Prognostic Value of Fibrosis-4 in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Undergoing Intravenous Thrombolysis

Purpose: Although recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) treatment is efficient in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), a significant percentage of patients who received rt-PA intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) do not achieve a good prognosis. Therefore, the factors that affect the poor prognosis of patients with IVT are needed. The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index has been used as a liver fibrosis biomarker. We aimed to investigate the relationship between the FIB-4 index and functional outcomes in patients with AIS receiving IVT.

Patients and methods: This study prospectively included consecutive patients with AIS receiving IVT between April 2015 and May 2022. We collected clinical and laboratory data and calculated the FIB-4 index. Clinical outcome was poor functional outcome (mRS ≥3) at 3 months after IVT. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the association between FIB-4 and outcome. We explored the interactive effect of FIB-4 and dyslipidemia on poor outcomes, and subgroup analysis was performed. Furthermore, an individualized prediction model based on the FIB-4 for functional outcome was established in the dyslipidemia group.

Results: A total of 1135 patients were included, and 41.50% had poor 3-month outcomes. After adjusted by other variants that P value <0.05 in univariable analysis, FIB-4 was independently associated with poor outcomes (OR=1.420; 95% CI: 1.113-1.812; P=0.004). There was a significant interaction between FIB-4 and dyslipidemia on poor outcome (P=0.036), and the independent association between FIB-4 and poor outcome was maintained in the dyslipidemia subgroup (OR=1.646; 95% CI: 1.228-2.206; P=0.001). Furthermore, in the dyslipidemia group, the FIB-4-based prediction model had good predictive value (the AUC of the training and validation sets were 0.767 and 0.708, respectively), good calibration (P-values for the Hosmer-Lemeshow test >0.05), and clinical usefulness.

Conclusion: FIB-4 is an independent risk factor for poor outcomes in IVT patients with dyslipidemia, which can be used as a simple predictor of their prognosis.