Trajectory and predictors of post-stroke depression among patients with newly diagnosed stroke: A prospective longitudinal study

Background: Post-stroke depression (PSD) is the most prevalent neuropsychological disorder among stroke patients, affecting approximately one-third of stroke survivors at any one time after a stroke. We identified between-person associations between post-stroke depression trajectories across 3 timepoints and predictors affecting trajectory classification among stroke patients.

Methods: This is a prospective longitudinal study using a convenience sample of 119 participants from 2 tertiary hospitals from March 2022 to September 2022. Clinical assessments and data collection were performed at diagnosis (T1), 3 months (T2), and 6 months (T3) after diagnosis. The instruments were Demographic and Disease Information Sheet and PROMIS-Depression 8a. Data were analyzed using SPSS 27.0 for descriptive statistics, logistic regression, and the Mplus program for growth mixture model analysis.

Results: Two stroke survivors depression trajectory classes (Class 1, moderate level decreasing- [37.8 %], and Class 2, high level increasing- [62.2%]) were delineated. Class 1 experienced moderate depression post-stroke, with a smooth diminishing pattern at T2 and T3, while Class 2 had a higher baseline depressive score and a significant increase at T2 and T3. The best growth mixture model was Class 2 model (LMR, p=0.010, BLRT, p≤0.01, AIC=2611.934, BIC=2650.842, aBIC=2606.583, Entropy= 0.944). The logistic regression results revealed that Class 2 of depression trajectory had a significant association with a lower score on cognitive function (B=-5.29, 95%CI: -8.80, -1.78, p <0.05) compared with Class 1. The stroke type, marital status, and monthly income were predictors of the Class 2 depression trajectory group among stroke patients. Precisely, ischemic stroke is associated with lower risk of class 2 trajectory.

Conclusion: The trajectory of post-stroke depression changes over time. This research has the potential to serve as a foundation for the assessment of high-risk stroke patients, the development of precise management programs, the implementation of risk stratification, and the enhancement of prognosis.