High premature atrial complex burden and risk of renal function decline

Background: Atrial arrhythmia, particularly atrial fibrillation (AF), is known to be associated with renal function decline and increased risk of end-stage kidney disease. In recent years, premature atrial complexes (PACs) as subclinical arrhythmia have been proposed to be a marker of atrial cardiomyopathy and associated with poor clinical outcomes. However, the relationship between excessive daily PAC burden and renal outcomes remains unexplored.

Methods: This retrospective, all-comers cohort study analyzed 30 488 consecutive Holter monitoring records obtained from a validated Holter databank at a referral medical center in Taiwan between 2011 and 2018. After exclusion, 10 981 patients were categorized into three groups: high daily PAC burden (≥100 beats per day), low PAC burden (<100 beats per day) and the AF group. We used parallel propensity score matching to balance confounding factors between groups. The primary study interest was major adverse kidney events, including an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline of 40%, eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m² or the initiation of hemodialysis.

Results: After a mean follow-up of 4.07 ± 3.03 years, patients with high PAC burden had a 1.24-fold higher incidence of major adverse kidney events compared with the low PAC burden group [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.50]. The risk of major adverse kidney events was similar between patients with AF and those with high PAC burden [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.05, 95% CI 0.87-1.25], but significantly higher in the AF group than in the low PAC burden group (adjusted HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.07-1.56).

Conclusion: Excessive daily PAC burden is associated with a higher risk of major adverse kidney events and has a comparable impact as AF.