Measured glomerular filtration rate predicts liver related deaths better than estimated glomerular filtration rate in advanced chronic liver disease

Background & aims: Renal dysfunction is prevalent in advanced chronic liver disease (aCLD) and is associated to liver-related death (LRD). This makes a reliable evaluation of renal function (RF) a crucial aspect. RF can be estimated by formulas or measured by gold standard method. Estimated RF is not reliable in aCLD. However, there is a lack of information on the reliability of formulas in the prediction of LRD.

Methods: We analysed a cohort of patients with aCLD in whom RF was measured by the plasma clearance of iohexol (mGFR) and estimated (eGFR) by formulas: MDRD, CKD-EPI, Royal Free Hospital (RFHC), GRAIL and Mindikoglu-eGFR. LRD was defined as death from hepatic causes. Multivariable analysis was used to evaluate association of mGFR or eGFR with LRD.

Results: 161 patients were evaluated, with median follow-up of 28 months, 58 died from LRD. In overall group mGFR (OR 0.99; p = 0.022) and formulas: CKD-EPI (OR 0.98; p = 0.044), GRAIL (OR 0.98; p = 0.038) was associated with LRD. In patients with normal creatinine levels (≤ 1.1 mg/dL), mGFR (OR 0.99; p = 0.031) was whereas any formula was not associated with LRD.

Conclusions: eGFR appears as an unreliable method for predicting LRDs in aCLD, especially in those with lower creatinine levels. By contrast, mGFR seems to be a superior predictor.