Elevated levels of PDGF-BB and VEGF are associated with a decreased risk of readmission or death in children with severe malarial anemia

Background: Children with severe malarial anemia (SMA) typically have low in-hospital mortality but have a high risk of post-discharge readmission or death. We hypothesized that the dysregulation of hematopoiesis, vascular growth factors, and endothelial function that occurs in SMA might affect risk of readmission or death.

Methods: Plasma was obtained from children 18 months to 12 years old with SMA (N=145) in Kampala, Uganda on admission, and outcomes were assessed over 12-month follow-up. Admission plasma levels of ten biomarkers of vascular growth, hematopoiesis, and endothelial function were compared to risk of readmission or death over 12-month follow-up.

Results: Over 12-month follow-up, 19 of 145 children with SMA were either readmitted or died: 15 children were readmitted (13 with malaria) and 4 children died. In multivariable analyses adjusted for age and sex, elevated plasma levels of platelet-derived growth factor-BB (PDGF-BB) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) on admission were independently associated with a decreased risk of all-cause readmission or death (adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals], 0.28 [0.16-0.51] and 0.19 [0.08-0.48], respectively) and a decreased risk of readmission due to severe malaria (0.27 [0.15, 0.51] and 0.16 [0.05, 0.47]) but not with risk of uncomplicated malaria (1.01 [0.53, 1.95] and 2.07 [0.93-4.64]).

Conclusions: In children with severe malarial anemia, elevated plasma levels of PDGF-BB and VEGF, two factors that promote angiogenesis, are associated with a decreased risk of readmission or death in the year following admission, primarily driven by a decrease in the risk of recurrent severe malaria.