Multimodal radiomics and deep learning models for predicting early femoral head deformity in LCPD

Purpose: To develop a predictive model combining clinical, radiomic, and deep learning features based on X-ray and MRI to identify risk factors for early femoral head deformity in Legg-Calvé-Perthes disease (LCPD).

Methods: This study involved 152 patients diagnosed with early unilateral LCPD across two centers between January 2013 and December 2023, and included an independent external validation set to assess generalizability. Four machine learning methods, including logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), were employed to develop radiomics deep learning signatures. The clinical-radiomics model (Clinic + Rad), clinical-deep learning model (Clinic + DL), and clinical-radiomics-deep learning model (Clinic + Rad + DL) were developed by integrating radiomics deep learning signatures with clinical variables. The best model, integrated into a nomogram for clinical application, was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results: Among the four machine learning methods, XGBoost demonstrated superior performance in our patient dataset: radiomic (Rad) model (AUC, 0.786) and deep learning (DL) model (AUC, 0.803). Clinical variables such as age at onset and JIC classification were associated with early femoral head deformity (p < 0.05). The combined model incorporating clinical, radiomic, and deep learning signatures demonstrated better predictive ability (AUC, 0.853). The nomogram can assist clinicians in effectively assessing the risk of early femoral head deformity.

Conclusion: The Clinic + Rad + DL integrated model may be beneficial for prognostic assessment of early LCPD femoral head deformity, which is crucial for tailoring personalized treatment strategies for individual patients.