The prognostic impact of stress hyperglycemia ratio for all-cause mortality in patients with Psoriasis

Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 30;14(1):26113. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-77019-z.

Abstract

Aims The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is a valuable biomarker of acute hyperglycemia, significantly correlated with unfavorable prognosis in various conditions. However, its impact on Psoriasis has not been studied. We explored the association between SHR and long-term mortality in psoriasis patients. Methods We conducted a prospective cohort study with 288 psoriasis patients from the 2003-2006 and 2009-2014 NHANES. Participants were divided into three groups based on SHR tertiles: T1 (SHR ≤ 0.870), T2 (SHR 0.870-0.958), and T3 (SHR ≥ 0.958). Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses assessed the correlation between SHR and mortality, while restricted cubic splines explored non-linear correlations. ROC analyses determined the optimal SHR cut-off value for predicting clinical outcomes. Results Out of 288 Psoriasis patients, 38 all-cause deaths occurred during an average follow-up of 112.13 ± 45.154 months. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that higher SHR values were linked to an increased risk of all-cause mortality (log-rank P = 0.049). A U-shaped relationship was observed between SHR and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.028). Spearman correlation revealed significant associations between SHR and WC, BMI, neutrophil, monocyte, lymphocyte counts, SCr, uric acid, DM and MetS (all P < 0.05). After adjusting for confounders, multivariate Cox regression showed that SHR was associated with a 10.937-fold risk of all-cause mortality. ROC curve analysis identified an optimal SHR cut-off value of 1.045 for predicting long-term all-cause mortality in psoriasis patients. Conclusions Elevated SHR value independently correlates with all-cause mortality in Psoriasis patients, displaying a U-shaped relationship with clinical endpoints. An optimal SHR cut-off value of 1.045 has been determined for predicting clinical outcomes.

Keywords: All-cause mortality; NHANES; Psoriasis; Risk stratification; Stress hyperglycemia ratio.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hyperglycemia* / blood
  • Hyperglycemia* / mortality
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Psoriasis* / blood
  • Psoriasis* / complications
  • Psoriasis* / mortality
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • Biomarkers