Global trends in the burden of rheumatoid arthritis by sociodemographic index: a joinpoint and age-period-cohort analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BMJ Open. 2024 Nov 12;14(11):e082966. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082966.

Abstract

Objective: To describe temporal trends in the incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) across sociodemographic index (SDI) quintiles and sexes from 1990 to 2019.

Methods: Data on RA incidence and DALYs with a 95% uncertainty interval from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. Subsequently, trends across SDI quintiles and sexes from 1990 to 2019 were determined using joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort analyses.

Results: A significant upward trend in the global age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) of RA was observed for both sexes from 1990 to 2019 (average annual per cent change (AAPC): 0.214, 95% CI 0.179 to 0.249, p<0.001). Specifically, the ASIR of RA for both sexes demonstrated a significant increasing trend at all SDI levels, with the highest AAPC observed in the low SDI regions. A non-significant increasing trend in the global age-standardised DALYs rate (ASDR) of RA was observed for both sexes from 1990 to 2019 (AAPC: 0.017, 95% CI -0.051 to 0.085, p=0.621). Varying trends in ASDR were observed for both sexes and across SDI quintiles. Additionally, diverse age-period-cohort patterns in incidence and DALYs were observed across SDI quintiles and sexes.

Conclusion: The significant heterogeneity observed in the temporal trends of the incidence and DALYs of RA across SDI quintiles and sexes suggests potential disparities in the prevention, management and treatment of RA. Therefore, establishment of practical and customised healthcare initiatives for specific populations across SDI quintiles and sexes and allocation of supplementary health resources to high-risk populations are crucial for effective management of RA.

Keywords: Epidemiology; Public health; Rheumatology.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Distribution
  • Aged
  • Arthritis, Rheumatoid* / epidemiology
  • Cohort Studies
  • Disability-Adjusted Life Years / trends
  • Female
  • Global Burden of Disease* / trends
  • Global Health
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Sex Distribution
  • Sociodemographic Factors
  • Socioeconomic Factors