Multimodal predictive modeling: Scalable imaging informed approaches to predict future brain health

Background: Predicting future brain health is a complex endeavor that often requires integrating diverse data sources. The neural patterns and interactions identified through neuroimaging serve as the fundamental basis and early indicators that precede the manifestation of observable behaviors or psychological states.

New method: In this work, we introduce a multimodal predictive modeling approach that leverages an imaging-informed methodology to gain insights into future behavioral outcomes. We employed three methodologies for evaluation: an assessment-only approach using support vector regression (SVR), a neuroimaging-only approach using random forest (RF), and an image-assisted method integrating the static functional network connectivity (sFNC) matrix from resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) alongside assessments. The image-assisted approach utilized a partially conditional variational autoencoder (PCVAE) to predict brain health constructs in future visits from the behavioral data alone.

Results: Our performance evaluation indicates that the image-assisted method excels in handling conditional information to predict brain health constructs in subsequent visits and their longitudinal changes. These results suggest that during the training stage, the PCVAE model effectively captures relevant information from neuroimaging data, thereby potentially improving accuracy in making future predictions using only assessment data.

Comparison with existing methods: The proposed image-assisted method outperforms traditional assessment-only and neuroimaging-only approaches by effectively integrating neuroimaging data with assessment factors.

Conclusion: This study underscores the potential of neuroimaging-informed predictive modeling to advance our comprehension of the complex relationships between cognitive performance and neural connectivity.