Ethnicity as a Risk Factor for Early Neurological Deterioration: A Post Hoc Analysis of the Secondary Prevention of Small Subcortical Strokes Trial

Objectives: Nearly 25% of those with a small vessel stroke will develop early neurological deterioration (END). The objectives of this study were to identify clinical risk factors for small vessel stroke-related END and its associated impact on functional outcomes in an ethnically diverse data set.

Methods: We performed a post hoc analysis of the "Secondary Prevention of Small Subcortical Strokes" trial. The primary outcome was END defined as progressive or stuttering stroke-related neurological symptoms. Standard descriptive and inferential statistical methods were used for analysis. Functional outcomes are reported by modified Rankin Scale score and analyzed by the Wilcoxon signed-rank test.

Results: In all, 69 participants met the inclusion criteria; 21 (30%) had END. Of the cohort, Spanish, Hispanic, or Latino ethnicity (grouping per trial definition) most frequently developed END [11 (52.4%) vs 4 (8.3%), P < 0.001] with a higher adjusted likelihood of END (odds ratio: 14.1, 95% CI: 2.57-76.7, P = 0.002). Black or African-American race less commonly had END [3 (14.3%) vs 21 (43.8%), P = 0.03] but lost significance after adjustment (odds ratio: 1.46, 95% CI: 0.26-8.17, P = 0.67) due to powering. END was associated with a higher mean modified Rankin Scale (2.06 ± 0.94 vs 1.17 ± 0.79, P = 0.006) but did not differ in the shift analysis.

Conclusions: We found that Spanish, Hispanic, or Latino ethnicity was the most consistent risk factor for END though it was without meaningful functional outcome differences.