Accuracy of the diagnosis of pneumonia in Canadian pediatric emergency departments: A prospective cohort study

PLoS One. 2024 Dec 11;19(12):e0311201. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0311201. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Background: The diagnosis of pediatric pneumonia and determination of the likely pathogen are complicated as the clinical picture overlaps with other respiratory illnesses, interpretation of radiographs is subjective, and laboratory results are rarely diagnostic. This study was designed to describe the relative rates of bacterial and viral pneumonia in the pediatric Emergency Department (ED), determine the accuracy of pediatric ED physicians' ability to diagnose pneumonia and distinguish bacterial from viral etiology, and to determine clinical and laboratory predictors of bacterial pneumonia.

Methods: Children 3 months to 16 years of age presenting to seven Canadian pediatric EDs before the COVID-19 pandemic with fever and cough who had a chest radiograph performed for possible pneumonia were enrolled and underwent standardized clinical investigations. An expert panel was convened and reached a Consensus Diagnosis of typical or atypical bacterial pneumonia, viral pneumonia or not pneumonia for each case.

Results: The expert panel assessed 247 cases with the Consensus Diagnosis being typical bacterial pneumonia (N = 44(18%)), atypical bacterial pneumonia (N = 18(7%)), viral pneumonia (N = 46(19%)) and no pneumonia (N = 139(56%)). Treating ED physician diagnoses were typical bacterial pneumonia (N = 126(51%)), atypical bacterial pneumonia (N = 3(1%)), viral pneumonia (N = 10(4%)) and no pneumonia (N = 108(44%)) with low agreement between a diagnosis of bacterial pneumonia by the ED physician and the panel's Consensus Diagnosis (Kappa 0.15 (95% CI 0.08, 0.21)). Cut off values that predicted bacterial pneumonia as the Consensus Diagnosis were ESR ≥ 47 mm/hour, CRP ≥ 42 mg/L and procalcitonin ≥0.85 ng/m. Age greater than 5 years and cough for 5 or more days also predict bacterial pneumonia.

Conclusion: In this cohort, pediatric ED physicians over-diagnosed typical bacterial pneumonia and underdiagnosed viral and atypical bacterial pneumonia. Bacterial pneumonia is most likely in children over 5 years of age, with cough for 5 or more days and/or with elevated inflammatory markers.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • COVID-19 / diagnosis
  • COVID-19 / epidemiology
  • Canada / epidemiology
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Emergency Service, Hospital*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Male
  • Pneumonia / diagnosis
  • Pneumonia, Bacterial / diagnosis
  • Pneumonia, Bacterial / diagnostic imaging
  • Pneumonia, Viral / diagnosis
  • Pneumonia, Viral / diagnostic imaging
  • Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology
  • Prospective Studies

Grants and funding

Funding for Pneumonia Prospective Cohort Study • Canadian Institutes for Health Research Team Grant, Funded from April 2006-March 2011, Grant title: ‘Improving outcomes for ill and injured children in emergency departments’. Principal Investigator – Terry Klassen; Co-Investigators (and pneumonia project leads) – David Johnson and Tim Lynch. Can$4.8 million funded seven large multi-centre projects, one of which focused on three distinct pneumonia studies (systematic review, practice variation study and prospective cohort study) • Alberta Children’s Hospital Foundation project grant, Funded from April 2009-April 2010, Grant title: ‘Accuracy of metabolomics for diagnosing pediatric pneumonia’. Principal Investigator – Jim Kellner; Co-Investigator – David Johnson. Can$50,000 • Alberta Lung Association project grant. Funded from April 2009-April 2010, Grant title: ‘Accuracy of metabolomics for diagnosing pediatric pneumonia’. Co-investigator. Principal Investigator – Jim Kellner; Co-Investigator – David Johnson. Can $30,000 The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.