Predictors of liver fibrosis progression in cohort of type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with MASLD

Aim: To investigate predictors of liver fibrosis progression in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) over a minimum follow-up duration of three years.

Methods: Two hundred and thirty-three patients completed the follow-up period and their clinical, laboratory and liver FibroScan data are reported. Patients were categorized into progressors 42 (18.0 %) and non-progressors 191 (82.0 %) based on liver fibrosis progression. Factors influencing fibrosis progression were identified by comparing these groups.

Results: Progressors showed significantly increased aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (p = 0.010), increased alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (p = 0.001) and decreased platelet count (p = 0.002). Non-progressors exhibited significant decreases in diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (p = 0.050), body mass index (BMI) (p < 0.001), waist circumference (p < 0.001), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) (p < 0.001), albumin (p < 0.001), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (p = 0.022), glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) (p = 0.002) and fasting blood sugar (FBS) (p = 0.030) with increase in HDL-cholesterol (p < 0.001), creatinine (p < 0.001), bilirubin (p < 0.001), and ALP (p = 0.007). Baseline parameters predictive of liver fibrosis progression included elevated AST and reduced platelet count. Delta changes from baseline to follow-up revealed that increases in ALP, BMI, waist circumference, and reduction in platelet count were correlated with fibrosis progression. Use of GLP-1 receptor agonist was associated with reduced progression.

Conclusion: In conclusion, increase in ALP and waist circumference and reduction in platelet count are predictive of liver fibrosis progression in patients with T2DM. GLP-1 receptor agonists use seems to have a promising protective effect against liver fibrosis progression.

Clinicaltrials: govID:NCT05697991.