Prevalence, Predictors, and Outcomes of HIV Care in HIV-Positive Clients Entering HIV Care With Advanced HIV Disease in Sub-Saharan Africa 2010-2022: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and aims: Sub-Saharan Africa drives global HIV-related mortality, and patients continuously present with advanced HIV disease (AHD) at diagnosis. We describe prevalence, predictors, and treatment outcomes in HIV clients with AHD.

Methods: We systematically reviewed PUBMED, SCOPUS, Web of Science, JSTOR, and CINAHL for relevant studies conducted in Sub-Saharan Africa from 2010 to 2022. We used a narrative synthesis to describe included studies and a random effect meta-analysis to determine AHD pooled prevalence. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) checklist guided the reporting, while the Joanna Briggs Institute's quality assessment checklist assessed the quality of included articles. Cochrane's Q and the I ² tests assessed heterogeneity between included studies.

Results: We included 24 studies with a sample size of 322,676. Prevalence of AHD ranged from 11.0% to 89.7% with an overall pooled prevalence of 58.7% (95% CI: 51.3%, 66.0%): 66.1% (95% CI: 58.8%, 73.4%) between 2010 and 2016, and 51.2% (95% CI: 37.7%, 64.6%) from 2017 to 2022. Predictors of AHD include male sex, older age (≥ 35), widowed or divorced, unemployment, gap in care of ≥ 12 months before antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation, no history of HIV testing, and seeking care from a traditional healer before presenting for HIV care. Loss to follow-up ranged from 6.7%-58.3%, while the proportion of death ranged from 1.8%-13.1%. Predictors of death were being male, advanced age (≥ 50 years), advanced clinical stages, late ART initiation, higher mean log viral load, CD4+ cell count < 50 cells/mm³ and severe anaemia.

Conclusions: The high baseline prevalence of AHD suggests the need for targeted, people-centred HIV testing in Sub-Saharan Africa. Country HIV programs should accelerate the implementation of comprehensive HIV services that identify clients at risk of AHD for early enrolment with systems for monitoring the WHO care package for preventing, diagnosing, and treating AHD and associated comorbid conditions. PROSPERO number: 2022 CRD42022336487.