Can we predict the risk of venous thromboembolism in patients with Cushing's syndrome: a nationwide cohort analysis

Purpose: Patients with Cushing's syndrome (CS) have an increased venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk with most studies focusing on the perioperative period. The purpose of this study was to assess the 5-year VTE risk and identify predictors of VTE at CS diagnosis.

Methods: A comparative nationwide retrospective cohort study of 609 patients (mean age 48.1 ± 17.2 years, 65.0% women) with CS, and 3018 age-, sex-, body mass index-, and socioeconomic status-individually matched controls. Ectopic CS and adrenal cancer were excluded. The time-to-event of pulmonary embolism (PE) or deep vein thrombosis (DVT) within 5 years of CS diagnosis was examined. VTE risk was calculated with death as competing event.

Results: VTE occurred in 16 cases (2.6%), compared to 17 (0.56%) controls (hazard ratio [HR] 4.71, 95% CI, 2.38-9.33). The 5-year HRs for PE and DVT were 7.47 (95% CI, 2.66-20.98) and 3.32 (95% CI, 1.36-8.12), respectively. After excluding patients and controls with current or prior malignancy the risk for VTE was 7.57 (95% CI, 2.98-19.20). Patients with CS ≥ 60 years at diagnosis (HR, 3.49; 95% CI, 1.30-9.35), with hypertension (HR, 5.53; 95% CI, 1.26-24.27), ischemic heart disease (HR, 3.60; 95% CI, 1.25-10.36), kidney disease (HR, 4.85; 95% CI, 1.39-16.90), or VTE event prior to CS diagnosis (HR, 33.65; 95% CI, 10.07-112.42) had an increased risk of VTE within five years.

Conclusions: In this large cohort of patients with CS, the 5-year VTE risk was 5 times higher compared with matched controls. Key baseline predictors included age ≥ 60, hypertension, heart/kidney disease, and prior VTE.