Aspirin is associated with lower risk of pancreatic cancer and cancer-related mortality in patients with diabetes mellitus

Background: Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have higher pancreatic cancer (PC) risk. While aspirin has chemopreventive effects on digestive cancers, its effect on PC among patients with T2DM is unclear.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study identified newly diagnosed adult patients with T2DM in Hong Kong between 2001 and 2015 from a territory-wide healthcare registry. Exclusion criteria were history of PC, pancreatic cyst, IgG4 disease, or pancreatectomy. To address reverse causality between PC and T2DM, we excluded patients with PC diagnosed within 1 year of T2DM. We also excluded patients with less than 1 year of observation. Primary outcome was PC, and secondary outcomes were PC-related and all-cause mortality. Aspirin use was treated as time-varying variable (≥180 day-use/year) to address immortal-time bias, and multivariable Cox regression model was employed to derive adjusted HR (aHR). Propensity-score (PS) matching was used as secondary analysis.

Results: Among 343 966 newly diagnosed patients with T2DM (median follow-up: 10.5 years; IQR: 7.7-14.5 years), 1224 (0.36%) developed PC. There were 51 151 (14.9%) deaths from any cause, and 787 (0.2%) died from PC. Aspirin use was associated with lower PC risk in both time-dependent (aHR: 0.58; 95% CI 0.49 to 0.69) and PS matching analysis (aHR: 0.61; 95% CI 0.48 to 0.77). An inverse relationship was observed with increasing dose and duration of aspirin use (P _trend<0.001). Aspirin was also associated with a lower risk of PC-related mortality (aHR: 0.43; 95% CI 0.34 to 0.53) and all-cause mortality (aHR: 0.78; 95% CI 0.76 to 0.80).

Conclusion: Aspirin use may be an oncopreventive strategy to reduce PC risk in patients with T2DM. Further studies are warranted to validate the study findings.