Serological markers of exocrine pancreatic function are differentially informative for distinguishing individuals progressing to type 1 diabetes

BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2025 Jan 4;13(1):e004655. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2024-004655.

Abstract

Introduction: Altered serum levels of growth hormones, adipokines, and exocrine pancreas enzymes have been individually linked with type 1 diabetes (T1D). We collectively evaluated seven such biomarkers, combined with islet autoantibodies (AAb) and genetic risk score (GRS2), for their utility in predicting AAb/T1D status.

Research design and methods: Cross-sectional serum samples (n=154 T1D, n=56 1AAb+, n=77 ≥2AAb+, n=256 AAb-) were assessed for IGF1, IGF2, adiponectin, leptin, amylase, lipase, and trypsinogen (n=543, age range 2.7-30.0 years) using random forest modeling.

Results: GRS2, age, lipase, trypsinogen, and AAb against ZnT8, GAD65, and insulin were the most informative markers. Notably, these variables were differentially informative according to AAb/T1D status. Higher GRS2 (p<0.001) and lower lipase levels (p=0.002) favored ≥2AAb+ versus AAb- classification. AAb against ZnT8 (p<0.01), GAD65 (p=0.021), or insulin (p=0.01) each independently favored ≥2AAb+ versus 1AAb+ classification. Reduced trypsinogen (p<0.001) and increased lipase levels (p<0.001) favored recent-onset T1D versus ≥2AAb+ classification.

Conclusions: Among the serological markers tested, lipase and trypsinogen levels were the most informative for differentiating among clinical groups, with the utility of each enzyme varying according to GRS2 and AAb/T1D status. These data support exocrine pancreas enzymes as candidates for longitudinal follow-up.

Keywords: Autoantibodies; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1; Enzymes; Models, Statistical.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Autoantibodies* / blood
  • Biomarkers* / blood
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1* / blood
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Islets of Langerhans / immunology
  • Lipase / blood
  • Male
  • Pancreas, Exocrine*
  • Prognosis
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Autoantibodies
  • Lipase