On exact Bayesian credible sets for discrete parameters

Stat Probab Lett. 2025 Mar:218:110295. doi: 10.1016/j.spl.2024.110295. Epub 2024 Nov 22.

Abstract

We introduce a generalized Bayesian credible set that can achieve any preassigned credible level, addressing a limitation of the current credible sets. This is achieved by exploiting a connection between the highest posterior density set and the Neyman-Pearson lemma.

Keywords: Bayesian classification; Highest posterior density set; Neyman-Pearson lemma; Pattern recognition.