Accurate evaluation of water resource systems is essential for informed planning and decision-making. Evapotranspiration (ET), a key component of water resource management, is often estimated using remote sensing techniques; however, such estimates can be subject to significant uncertainties under certain conditions. In this study, we present a novel approach to improving the accuracy of ET estimates in composite terrains. The methodology involves optimizing the Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL-OPT) by integrating ground-based eddy covariance (EC) flux tower data into the satellite-based ET retrieval process. The approach was evaluated at four sites in California, each representing different land uses. Parameter optimization was achieved through Bayesian inference using the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis (DREAM) algorithm, which minimized discrepancies between ET estimates derived from Landsat 8 and 9 imagery and the observed ET from EC measurements. Results from the global sensitivity analysis identified solar radiation and hot/cold pixel selection as the most sensitive parameters in the SEBAL algorithm, highlighting their critical role in reducing uncertainty in ET estimates. SEBAL-OPT demonstrated significantly improved accuracy, with root mean square error (RMSE) values ranging from 0.72 mm to 1.33 mm, compared to the original SEBAL parameterization (SEBAL-ORG), which produced RMSE values between 1.03 mm and 2.14 mm. This approach highlights that, when properly calibrated, the model can be effectively applied across diverse agricultural landscapes, regardless of the specific land use at individual sites. These findings have significant implications for water resource planning, agricultural water management, and water rights adjudication and could be applied to other remote sensing of ET models.
Keywords: Eddy covariance; Energy balance; Evapotranspiration; Optimization; Remote sensing; Uncertainty.
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