Radical prostatectomy is the treatment of choice for organ-confined prostatic cancers (T1-T2). However, it has been reported to improve the long-term survival of patients and achieve its oncological objectives in only one half of patients despite a serious morbidity. Based on a consecutive series of one hundred patients, the authors performed univariate statistical analysis to determine the predictive value of eight preoperative criteria for biological progression and capsular effraction: clinical stage, PSA (using a highly sensitive test derived from the Yang Proscheck and lowering the limit of detection to 0.1 ng/ml), PSA density (PSAD), percentage and topography of positive biopsies, capsular effraction, perineural spaces and Gleason's score. The predictive value for progression of five postoperative histological criteria (Gleason's score, capsule, perineural spaces, seminal vesicles and resection margins) was also studied in the same group of patients. The presence of capsular effraction on the biopsy was shown to have a positive predictive value of 90%. The three preoperative criteria most closely correlated with tumour progression were PSA, PSAD and percentage of positive biopsies (p < 0.001). Analysis of the combined predictive value of PSAD, percentage of positive biopsies and capsular effraction revealed that progression was always present when two of these criteria were positive. Seminal vesicle invasion on the operative specimen is the most pejorative element for progression. In conclusion, analysis of the histological features of biopsies associated with PSA and PSAD allows a more accurate selection of patients with a high risk of progression and seminal vesicle invasion is so pejorative that it could be detected in subjects with a preoperative PSA greater than 25 ng/ml.