Bayesian decision procedures for dose determining experiments

Stat Med. 1995 May;14(9-10):885-93; discussion 895-9. doi: 10.1002/sim.4780140904.

Abstract

This paper describes the Bayesian decision procedure and illustrates the methodology through an application to dose determination in early phase clinical trials. The situation considered is quite specific: a fixed number of patients are available, to be treated one at a time, with the choice of dose for any patient requiring knowledge of the responses of all previous patients. A continuous range of possible doses is available. The prior beliefs about the dose-response relationship are of a particular form and the gain from investigation is measured in terms of statistical information gathered. How all of these specifications may be varied is discussed. A comparison with the continual reassessment method is made.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem*
  • Clinical Trials, Phase I as Topic / statistics & numerical data*
  • Dose-Response Relationship, Drug*
  • Drug Therapy, Combination
  • Humans
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Logistic Models
  • Models, Biological*