Introduction: Spectral turbulence analysis of the signal-averaged ECG (SAECG) combines spectral analysis with statistical evaluation of spectrograms of individual parts of the QRS complex. It has been suggested that it may be superior to conventional time-domain analysis of the SAECG.
Methods and results: This study compared the power of conventional time-domain (40 to 250 Hz) and spectral turbulence analyses of SAECG for the prediction of cardiac death, ventricular tachycardia, sudden arrhythmic death, and arrhythmic events (ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation, and/or sudden arrhythmic death) after acute myocardial infarction in 603 patients. The population excluded patients with bundle branch block and other conduction abnormalities. During the first 2 years of follow-up, there were 40 cardiac deaths, 21 cases of ventricular tachycardia, 1 sudden arrhythmic deaths, and 29 arrhythmic events. The positive predictive accuracy of spectral turbulence analysis was significantly higher than time-domain analysis for cardiac death at most levels of sensitivity (e.g., 26% vs 20% at 40% sensitivity, P < 0.05). The positive predictive accuracies of the two techniques were not statistically different for the prediction of ventricular tachycardia. For the prediction of sudden arrhythmic death and arrhythmic events, the positive predictive accuracy of spectral turbulence was better than that of time-domain analysis only at the higher levels of sensitivity (9% vs 2%, P < 0.001 for sudden arrhythmic death at 60% sensitivity, and 14% vs 11%, P < 0.05 for arrhythmic events at 60% sensitivity).
Conclusions: Spectral turbulence analysis is essentially equivalent to time-domain analysis for the prediction of arrhythmic events after myocardial infarction. However, it performed significantly better than time-domain analysis for the prediction of cardiac death.