Lucas Erceg
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 214LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 2, #46, Milwaukee Brewers | Menlo
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 4 4.75 50 0 0 55 68 1.58
2024 2 3 3.58 39 0 3 37.2 43 1.17
2 Seasons 6 7 4.27 89 0 3 92.2 111 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 50 4-4 4.75 55 68 1.58
2024 39 2-3 3.58 37.2 43 1.17
2 Seasons 89 6-7 4.27 92.2 111 1.41
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 28 1053 141 9 6.4 3.6 86.0 110.5 7.9 34.0 .208 .301 .328 .297 .323 33.3 27.1 14.3 4.75 3.69
2024 29 577 98 6 6.1 3.8 85.4 110.3 3.1 34.7 .236 .367 .287 .303 .371 33.7 27.0 8.2 3.58 3.71
Player 1630 239 15 6.3 3.7 85.7 110.5 5.9 34.3 .219 .328 .312 .299 .343 33.5 27.1 12.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Erceg relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.2%) ,
Slider
(24.4%) ,
Sinker
(23.6%) ,
Changeup
(20.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 44.0 24.1 25.5 6.4 41.1 33.3 25.5 5.7 39.0 22.0 23.4 3.5 6.4 3.6
2024 50.0 23.5 25.5 1.0 25.5 39.8 34.7 4.1 39.8 15.3 28.6 6.1 6.1 3.8
Player 46.4 23.8 25.5 4.2 34.7 36.0 29.3 5.0 39.3 19.2 25.5 4.6 6.3 3.7
MLB 44.5 23.7 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.8 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup KC R 120 91.0 26.4 -1.4 -5 18.4 3.3 22
2024 4-Seam Fastball KC R 180 98.5 13.0 -0.7 -6 10.0 2.3 29
2024 Sinker KC R 136 98.5 18.0 -1.0 -5 16.0 1.3 9
2024 Slider KC R 141 85.7 40.1 4.7 13 0.2 -5.1 -103
2023 Sinker OAK R 319 98.0 17.6 -0.7 -4 15.5 0.8 5
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 299 98.0 13.9 -1.5 -12 9.0 1.3 18
2023 Slider OAK R 155 86.2 38.0 2.8 8 0.5 -4.1 -89
2023 Cutter OAK R 47 90.7 28.6 -3.9 -16 2.5 -0.1 -4
2023 Changeup OAK R 233 90.3 26.5 -1.0 -4 16.9 2.0 14
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 0 180 31.2 55 .196 .391 .321 31.7 36.4 32.8 .208 .424 .336 50.0
2024 Slider 2.6 4 141 24.4 31 .067 .067 .081 32.1 48.4 26.3 .125 .213 .162 33.3
2024 Sinker 1.1 1 136 23.6 46 .262 .286 .303 23.6 15.2 29.2 .242 .284 .271 22.9
2024 Changeup -2.4 -3 120 20.8 25 .391 .696 .480 32.3 4.0 4.3 .426 .607 .462 31.8
2023 Sinker 0.1 0 319 30.3 104 .280 .354 .369 28.9 15.4 25.4 .206 .266 .305 26.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 3 299 28.4 68 .190 .328 .290 19.3 32.4 17.5 .221 .389 .322 41.7
2023 Changeup 0.5 1 233 22.1 48 .190 .286 .285 38.4 39.6 22.9 .196 .230 .249 26.1
2023 Slider -0.2 0 155 14.7 24 .318 .500 .379 29.4 37.5 17.3 .210 .351 .275 61.5
2023 Cutter -5.4 -3 47 4.5 6 .500 .750 .592 40.0 33.3 10.0 .179 .212 .347 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 120 91.0 94 20.1 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 180 98.5 97 18.2 1:15 1:15 0
2024 Sinker 136 98.5 98 19.3 1:30 2:00 -30
2024 Slider 141 85.7 27 5.0 7:15 6:00 75
2023 Changeup 230 90.3 94 18.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Cutter 47 90.7 30 4.6 12:00 10:45 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 298 98.0 97 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 313 98.0 98 19.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Slider 154 86.2 23 3.6 8:15 6:30 105
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste Alle
2023 250 1,053 5 12 -8 -7 2
2024 157 577 3 6 -3 -3 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,053 46.1 62.9 79.3 23.2 53.0 42.0 56.8 41.5 28.4 6.3 65.2
2024 577 46.3 65.2 76.4 31.6 59.2 45.1 56.1 47.1 29.8 6.9 75.0
Player 1,630 46.1 63.7 78.3 26.2 55.7 43.1 56.5 43.5 28.9 6.5 68.9
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 88 96 95 21 83 75 94 85 77 3 67 5 96 3 75
2024 61 60 70 74 41 86 76 98 82 80 47 82 82 98 10 63
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.5 98.5 1.0
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 91.0 0.7
Breaking Velocity 86.2 85.7 -0.5
Exit Velocity 86.0 85.4 -0.6
Launch Angle 7.9 3.1 -4.8
Barrel % 6.4 6.1 -0.3
Hard Hit % 33.3 33.7 0.4
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.0 34.7 0.7
xBA .208 .236 0.028
BA .245 .220 -0.025
xwOBA .297 .303 0.006
wOBA .328 .287 -0.041
xSLG .301 .367 0.066
SLG .356 .340 -0.016
K% 27.1 27.0 -0.1
BB% 14.3 8.2 -6.1
Swing % 41.5 47.1 5.6
Whiff% 28.4 29.8 1.4
In Zone % 46.1 46.3 0.2
Out of Zone % 53.9 53.7 -0.2
Out of Zone Swing % 23.2 31.6 8.4
First Pitch Swing % 28.4 29.9 1.5
First Pitch Strike % 56.8 56.1 -0.7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 250 .328 159 1 0.6 91 32 35.2
2024 Shades 157 .287 93 0 0.0 64 35 54.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 247 16.0 25.5% 0.4% 254 19.3 0.4% 0.0%
2024 167 15.5 37.7% 0.6% 78 18.6 2.6% 1.3%
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Pitch Distribution