Turkey Hatchery ISSN: 1949-1964 Released July 12, 2024, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Eggs in Incubators on July 1 Down 15 Percent from Last Year Turkey eggs in incubators on July 1, 2024 in the United States totaled 23.0 million, down 15 percent from July 1, 2023. Eggs in incubators were up 1 percent from the June 1, 2024 total of 22.8 million eggs. Poults Hatched During June Down 18 Percent from Last Year Turkey poults hatched during June 2024 in the United States totaled 19.5 million, down 18 percent from June 2023. Poults hatched were down 10 percent from the May 2024 total of 21.7 million poults. Net Poults Placed During June Down 18 Percent from Last Year The 18.8 million net poults placed during June 2024 in the United States were down 18 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier. Net poult placements were down 9 percent from the May 2024 total of 20.6 million. Eggs in Incubators and Poults Hatched by Month - United States: 2022-2024 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Eggs in incubators first of month: Percent of : Poults hatched entire month : Percent of Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------------: : 2022-2023 : 2023-2024 : previous year : 2022-2023 : 2023-2024 : previous year ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 eggs ----- percent ----- 1,000 poults ---- percent : September ........: 27,508 26,636 97 22,254 21,571 97 October ..........: 26,648 27,010 101 22,454 22,665 101 November .........: 26,479 25,537 96 22,615 21,668 96 December .........: 26,595 25,346 95 22,853 21,671 95 January ..........: 27,284 24,945 91 23,399 21,527 92 February .........: 27,608 25,422 92 21,700 20,274 93 March ............: 26,757 24,689 92 23,619 21,676 92 April ............: 26,389 26,341 100 21,115 21,366 101 May ..............: 27,625 25,003 91 23,576 21,706 92 June .............: 27,455 22,806 83 23,976 19,545 82 July .............: 26,984 22,978 85 22,627 August ...........: 27,208 23,451 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Net Poult Placements by Month - United States: 2022-2024 [Includes imports and excludes exports. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Total all breeds : Percent of : Cumulative total : Percent of Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------------: : 2022-2023 : 2023-2024 : previous year : 2022-2023 : 2023-2024 : previous year ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ----- 1,000 poults ---- percent ----- 1,000 poults ----- percent : September ........: 19,763 19,091 97 19,763 19,091 97 October ..........: 20,472 20,645 101 40,235 39,736 99 November .........: 20,802 19,934 96 61,037 59,670 98 December .........: 20,955 19,807 95 81,992 79,477 97 January ..........: 21,582 19,795 92 103,574 99,272 96 February .........: 19,871 18,542 93 123,445 117,814 95 March ............: 21,912 20,246 92 145,357 138,060 95 April ............: 19,919 20,105 101 165,276 158,165 96 May ..............: 22,295 20,619 92 187,571 178,784 95 June .............: 23,095 18,845 82 210,666 197,629 94 July .............: 22,447 233,113 August ...........: 22,429 255,542 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS regional field offices maintain a list of all known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to update their lists. Approximately 40 hatcheries in 20 states are contacted each month. All known turkey hatcheries hatching 15,000 or more poults annually are mailed a questionnaire as close to the first of the month as possible. Adequate time is given to respond via mail, fax, or electronic data reporting. Those that do not respond are contacted by phone. Care is exercised to ensure that all hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate. Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values. Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated based on similar operations or historical data. NASS regional field offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to State, regional, and United States totals. Only United States level estimates are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult Placement data include imported poults and exclude exported poults. Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August 31 are shown in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report. This time period corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be available for slaughter during the calendar year. Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report, while annual revisions are published in the Hatchery Production - Annual Summary report in April. Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However, estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the first day of the month over the past 24 months is 2.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 23.0 million eggs by more than 2.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 3.7 percent. Reliability of July Turkey Hatchery Estimates [Based on data for the past 24 months] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate :square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------ Item : : : : : : Months : : : : : :--------------------------- : : :Average :Smallest:Largest :Below latest :Above latest ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent -------- 1,000 ------- ---- number ---- : Eggs in incubators ................: 2.2 3.7 392 13 2,202 11 13 : Poults hatched ....................: 0.9 1.5 137 2 514 13 11 : Net poult placements ..............: 1.0 1.7 156 2 526 12 12 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ............................... (202) 692-0069 Greg Lemmons, Acting Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section... (202) 720-9526 Holly Brenize - Poultry Slaughter................................... (202) 720-0585 Liana Cuffman - Catfish and Trout, Mink, Census of Aquaculture ..... (202) 720-8784 Fatema Haque - Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised ..................... (202) 720-3244 Derron Martin - Chicken Hatchery, Egg Products...................... (202) 690-3237 Seth Riggins - Honey, Honey Bee Colonies ........................... (202) 690-4870 Shulonda Shaw - Cold Storage, Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses .. (202) 720-3240 Autumn Stone - Layers, Eggs ........................................ (202) 690-3676 Takiyah Walker - Broiler Hatchery................................... 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