Winter Wheat and Canola Seedings ISSN: 2474-7440 Released February 8, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Winter Wheat Planted Acres Down 4 Percent Winter wheat seeded area for 2019 is expected to total 31.3 million acres, down 4 percent from 2018. Approximate class acreage breakdowns are: Hard Red Winter, 22.2 million; Soft Red Winter, 5.66 million; and White Winter, 3.44 million. Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2017-2019 (Domestic Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2019 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2017 : 2018 : 2019 : of 2018 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Winter wheat ..: 32,726 32,535 31,290 96 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2017-2019 (Metric Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2019 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2017 : 2018 : 2019 : of 2018 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares hectares hectares percent : Winter wheat ..: 13,243,880 13,166,590 12,662,750 96 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter wheat: Planted area for harvest in 2019 is estimated at 31.3 million acres, down 4 percent from 2018 and down 4 percent from 2017. This represents the second lowest United States acreage on record. Seedings, which began in early September, fell behind the 5-year average seeding pace in early October and remained behind the 5-year average seeding pace for the duration of the planting season. Seeding was mostly complete by November 11. Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat seeded area is expected to total 22.2 million acres, down 3 percent from 2018. Planted acreage is down from last year across most of the growing region. The largest declines in planted acreage are estimated in California, Kansas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. Record low acreage was seeded in Nebraska. Soft Red Winter (SRW) wheat seeded area totals 5.66 million acres, down 7 percent from last year. Acreage decreases are expected from last year in most of the SRW growing States, while increases are expected in Alabama, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana, and Pennsylvania. Record low acreage was seeded in New Jersey, Ohio, and West Virginia. White Winter wheat seeded area totals 3.44 million acres, down 3 percent from 2018. Planting in the Pacific Northwest got off to a normal start, compared to the 5-year average pace, and remained near average throughout the planting season. By November 4, seeding was virtually complete in the region. Durum wheat: Seedings in Arizona and California for 2019 harvest are estimated at a combined 88,000 acres, down 21 percent from 2018 and 30 percent below 2017. Canola: This report contains the first estimate of 2019 canola seedings for Kansas and Oklahoma. Acres seeded in Kansas and Oklahoma for 2019 harvest are estimated at a combined 65,000 acres, a decline of 44 percent from 2018. This report was approved on February 8, 2019. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Stephen L. Censky Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons Winter Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2017-2019 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2019 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2017 : 2018 : 2019 : of 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Alabama ........: 150 160 170 106 Arizona ........: 25 20 7 35 Arkansas .......: 200 175 120 69 California .....: 385 380 330 87 Colorado .......: 2,250 2,250 2,250 100 Delaware .......: 75 75 60 80 Florida ........: 20 15 20 133 Georgia ........: 160 200 210 105 Idaho ..........: 720 720 710 99 Illinois .......: 500 600 600 100 : Indiana ........: 290 310 300 97 Iowa ...........: 16 16 30 188 Kansas .........: 7,600 7,700 7,200 94 Kentucky .......: 480 450 430 96 Louisiana ......: 20 15 25 167 Maryland .......: 410 360 300 83 Michigan .......: 480 510 500 98 Minnesota ......: 10 11 15 136 Mississippi ....: 45 55 55 100 Missouri .......: 640 740 700 95 : Montana ........: 1,750 1,650 1,800 109 Nebraska .......: 1,120 1,100 930 85 Nevada .........: 14 13 11 85 New Jersey .....: 23 18 16 89 New Mexico .....: 330 315 325 103 New York .......: 140 110 110 100 North Carolina .: 450 460 380 83 North Dakota ...: 70 85 110 129 Ohio ...........: 490 490 460 94 Oklahoma .......: 4,500 4,400 4,200 95 : Oregon .........: 700 720 670 93 Pennsylvania ...: 210 195 210 108 South Carolina .: 90 80 60 75 South Dakota ...: 910 830 800 96 Tennessee ......: 370 380 330 87 Texas ..........: 4,700 4,500 4,500 100 Utah ...........: 120 120 125 104 Virginia .......: 210 230 180 78 Washington .....: 1,700 1,700 1,700 100 West Virginia ..: 8 7 6 86 Wisconsin ......: 210 240 215 90 Wyoming ........: 135 130 120 92 : United States ..: 32,726 32,535 31,290 96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Durum Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2017-2019 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2019 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2017 : 2018 : 2019 1/ : of 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Arizona ........: 90 71 45 63 California .....: 35 40 43 108 Idaho ..........: 25 11 Montana ........: 890 840 North Dakota ...: 1,260 1,100 South Dakota ...: 7 3 : United States ..: 2,307 2,065 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2019 area seeded for all six States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2019. Canola Area Seeded - States and United States: 2017-2019 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2019 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2017 : 2018 : 2019 1/ : of 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Idaho ..........: 23.0 43.0 Kansas .........: 50.0 47.0 35.0 74 Minnesota ......: 36.0 46.0 Montana ........: 155.0 120.0 North Dakota ...: 1,590.0 1,590.0 Oklahoma .......: 160.0 70.0 30.0 43 Oregon .........: 8.0 4.7 Washington .....: 55.0 70.0 : United States ..: 2,077.0 1,990.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2019 area seeded for all eight States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2019. Statistical Methodology Survey procedures: The estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted the first two weeks of December. The December Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of approximately 82,000 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United States have a chance to be selected. Data from farm operators was collected by mail, internet, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on crop acreage, yield, and production for the 2018 crop year and winter wheat, Durum wheat, and canola seedings for the 2019 crop year. Estimating procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each Regional Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review. Estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of official estimates to survey data. Revision policy: These estimates will not be revised; instead, new estimates will be made throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest and published in the Small Grains Annual Summary report at the end of September. End-of-season canola estimates are published in the Crop Production Annual Summary report in the middle of January. Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. The survey indications are subject to sampling variability because not all operations with winter wheat are included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the National level, is approximately 1.8 percent for winter wheat. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that survey estimates for acres will be within plus or minus 3.6 percent for winter wheat. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.............................. (202) 720-2127 Travis Thorson, Head, Field Crops Section..................... (202) 720-2127 David Colwell - Current Agricultural Industrial Reports.. (202) 720-3338 Chris Hawthorn- Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet............. (202) 720-9526 James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay................... (202) 690-8533 Jeff Lemmons - Oats, Soybeans............................ (202) 690-3234 Jannety Mosley - Crop Weather, Barley.................... (202) 720-7621 Sammy Neal - Peanuts, Rice............................... (202) 720-7688 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat................................. (202) 720-8068 Chris Singh - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum................ (202) 720-5944 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds............... (202) 720-7369 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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