Winter Wheat and Canola Seedings ISSN: 2474-7440 Released January 12, 2018, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Winter Wheat Planted Acres Down Less Than 1 Percent Winter wheat seeded area for 2018 is expected to total 32.6 million acres, down less than 1 percent from 2017. Approximate class acreage breakdowns are: Hard Red Winter, 23.1 million; Soft Red Winter, 5.98 million; and White Winter, 3.56 million. Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2016-2018 (Domestic Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2018 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2016 : 2017 : 2018 : of 2017 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Winter wheat ..: 36,152 32,696 32,608 100 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2016-2018 (Metric Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2018 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2016 : 2017 : 2018 : of 2017 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares hectares hectares percent : Winter wheat ..: 14,630,350 13,231,740 13,196,130 100 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter wheat: Planted area for harvest in 2018 is estimated at 32.6 million acres, down less than 1 percent from 2017 and down 10 percent from 2016. This represents the second lowest United States acreage on record. Seedings, which began in early September, remained behind the 5-year average seeding pace through early November when seeding was mostly complete. Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat seeded area is expected to total 23.1 million acres, down 2 percent from 2017. Planted acreage is down from last year across most of the growing region. The largest declines in planted acreage are estimated in Colorado, Montana, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. Record low acreage was seeded in Nebraska and Utah. Soft Red Winter (SRW) wheat seeded area totals 5.98 million acres, up 4 percent from last year. Acreage increases are expected from last year in most of the SRW growing States, while decreases are expected in the Delta Region, most Northeastern States, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Record low acreage was seeded in Louisiana, New Jersey, and West Virginia. White Winter wheat seeded area totals 3.56 million acres, up 1 percent from 2017. Planting in the Pacific Northwest got off to a normal start, but progress was behind the 5-year average pace in Washington throughout the planting season. By November 5, seeding was virtually complete in the region. Durum wheat: Seedings in Arizona and California for 2018 harvest are estimated at a combined 74,000 acres, down 41 percent from 2017 and 51 percent below 2016. In Arizona, seeding was well underway by December 31 at 21 percent complete, 1 percentage point below last year. Planting has been underway in California since mid-December. Canola: This report contains the first estimate of 2018 seedings for canola for Kansas and Oklahoma. Seedings in Kansas and Oklahoma for 2018 harvest are estimated at a combined 120,000 acres, a decline of 43 percent from 2017. This report was approved on January 12, 2018. Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons Winter Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2016-2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2018 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2016 : 2017 : 2018 : of 2017 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Alabama ........: 230 150 190 127 Arizona ........: 14 25 17 68 Arkansas .......: 195 200 170 85 California .....: 425 385 340 88 Colorado .......: 2,350 2,250 2,150 96 Delaware .......: 70 75 60 80 Florida ........: 25 20 30 150 Georgia ........: 180 160 210 131 Idaho ..........: 770 720 730 101 Illinois .......: 520 500 530 106 : Indiana ........: 330 290 330 114 Iowa ...........: 25 16 20 125 Kansas .........: 8,500 7,600 7,800 103 Kentucky .......: 510 480 460 96 Louisiana ......: 25 20 15 75 Maryland .......: 360 410 410 100 Michigan .......: 610 480 530 110 Minnesota ......: 11 10 11 110 Mississippi ....: 65 45 35 78 Missouri .......: 690 640 690 108 : Montana ........: 2,250 1,750 1,550 89 Nebraska .......: 1,370 1,120 1,030 92 Nevada .........: 10 14 9 64 New Jersey .....: 25 23 19 83 New Mexico .....: 345 330 340 103 New York .......: 120 140 130 93 North Carolina .: 420 450 460 102 North Dakota ...: 130 70 90 129 Ohio ...........: 580 460 530 115 Oklahoma .......: 5,000 4,500 4,100 91 : Oregon .........: 720 700 710 101 Pennsylvania ...: 190 210 180 86 South Carolina .: 60 90 60 67 South Dakota ...: 1,180 910 850 93 Tennessee ......: 400 370 360 97 Texas ..........: 5,000 4,700 5,000 106 Utah ...........: 120 120 120 100 Virginia .......: 210 210 230 110 Washington .....: 1,700 1,700 1,700 100 West Virginia ..: 7 8 7 88 Wisconsin ......: 270 210 260 124 Wyoming ........: 140 135 145 107 : United States ..: 36,152 32,696 32,608 100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Durum Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2016-2018 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2018 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2016 : 2017 : 2018 1/ : of 2017 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Arizona ........: 97 90 45 50 California .....: 55 35 29 83 Idaho ..........: 10 25 Montana ........: 780 890 North Dakota ...: 1,460 1,260 South Dakota ...: 10 7 : United States ..: 2,412 2,307 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2018 area seeded for all six States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2018. Canola Area Seeded - States and United States: 2016-2018 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2018 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2016 : 2017 : 2018 1/ : of 2017 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Idaho ..........: 21.0 23.0 Kansas .........: 25.0 50.0 60.0 120 Minnesota ......: 29.0 36.0 Montana ........: 62.0 155.0 North Dakota ...: 1,460.0 1,590.0 Oklahoma .......: 80.0 160.0 60.0 38 Oregon .........: 4.0 8.0 Washington .....: 33.0 55.0 : United States ..: 1,714.0 2,077.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2018 area seeded for all eight States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2018. Statistical Methodology Survey procedures: The estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted the first two weeks of December. The December Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of approximately 81,800 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United States have a chance to be selected. Data from farm operators was collected by mail, internet, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on crop acreage, yield, and production for the 2017 crop year and winter wheat, Durum wheat, and canola seedings for the 2018 crop year. Estimating procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each Regional Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review. Estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of official estimates to survey data. Revision policy: These estimates will not be revised; instead, new estimates will be made throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest and published in the Small Grains Annual Summary report at the end of September. End-of-season canola estimates are published in the Crop Production Annual Summary report in the middle of January. Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. The survey indications are subject to sampling variability because not all operations with winter wheat are included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the National level, is approximately 1.6 percent for winter wheat. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that survey estimates for acres will be within plus or minus 3.2 percent for winter wheat. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.................... (202) 720-2127 Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section........ (202) 720-2127 Chris Hawthorn - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet.. (202) 720-9526 James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay......... (202) 690-8533 Jeff Lemmons - Oats, Soybeans.................. (202) 690-3234 Sammy Neal - Peanuts, Rice..................... (202) 720-7688 Joshua O'Rear - Crop Weather, Barley........... (202) 720-7621 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat....................... (202) 720-8068 Bianca Pruneda - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum... (202) 720-5944 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds..... (202) 720-7369 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. 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