Winter Wheat and Canola Seedings ISSN: 2474-7440 Released January 12, 2023, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Winter Wheat Planted Acres Up 11 Percent Winter wheat seeded area for 2023 is expected to total 37.0 million acres, up 11 percent from 2022. Approximate class acreage breakdowns are: Hard Red Winter, 25.3 million; Soft Red Winter, 7.90 million; and White Winter, 3.73 million. Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2021-2023 (Domestic Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2023 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2021 : 2022 : 2023 : of 2022 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Winter wheat ..: 33,678 33,271 36,950 111 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2021-2023 (Metric Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2023 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2021 : 2022 : 2023 : of 2022 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares hectares hectares percent : Winter wheat ..: 13,629,150 13,464,440 14,953,300 111 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter wheat: Planted area for harvest in 2023 is estimated at 37.0 million acres, up 11 percent from 2022 and up 10 percent from 2021. Seeding of the 2023 acreage was underway in early-September and began the month equal to the 5-year average pace. Throughout much of the season, planting progressed on pace with the 5-year average and reached 96 percent complete by November 13. Emergence was 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average pace on November 27. Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat seeded area is expected to total 25.3 million acres, up 10 percent from 2022. Planted acreage is up from last year across most of the growing region. The largest increase in planted acreage is estimated in Texas, while North Dakota and South Dakota are estimated to be unchanged. Soft Red Winter (SRW) wheat seeded area totals 7.90 million acres, up 20 percent from last year. Compared with last year, the largest acreage increases are expected in Illinois and Missouri, while the largest acreage decreases are expected in Georgia and Wisconsin. White Winter wheat seeded area totals 3.73 million acres, up 3 percent from 2022. Seeding was virtually complete in the region by the end of October. Durum wheat: Seedings in Arizona and California for 2023 harvest are estimated at a combined 90,000 acres, down 28 percent from 2022 but 6 percent above 2021. Canola: This report contains the first estimate of 2023 canola seedings for Kansas and Oklahoma. Acres seeded in Kansas and Oklahoma for 2023 harvest are estimated at a combined 16,000 acres, a decrease of 41 percent, or 11,000 acres, from 2022. Planted area in Kansas would represent the second lowest on record and planted area in Oklahoma would represent the lowest on record, if realized. This report was approved on January 12, 2023. Deputy Secretary of Agriculture Jewel Bronaugh Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons Winter Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2021-2023 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2023 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2021 : 2022 : 2023 : of 2022 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Alabama ...........: 175 180 250 139 Arkansas ..........: 210 220 190 86 California ........: 360 340 330 97 Colorado ..........: 2,200 1,950 2,200 113 Delaware ..........: 60 80 80 100 Georgia ...........: 220 200 130 65 Idaho .............: 710 770 770 100 Illinois ..........: 670 650 940 145 Indiana ...........: 340 290 450 155 Kansas ............: 7,300 7,300 7,500 103 : Kentucky ..........: 510 530 610 115 Maryland ..........: 345 355 370 104 Michigan ..........: 610 460 670 146 Mississippi .......: 95 100 120 120 Missouri ..........: 640 630 860 137 Montana ...........: 1,950 2,050 2,100 102 Nebraska ..........: 920 980 1,110 113 New Jersey ........: 23 26 30 115 New Mexico ........: 380 355 380 107 New York ..........: 155 140 170 121 : North Carolina ....: 450 480 580 121 North Dakota ......: 90 105 105 100 Ohio ..............: 580 510 650 127 Oklahoma ..........: 4,400 4,300 4,600 107 Oregon ............: 720 730 790 108 Pennsylvania ......: 270 270 285 106 South Carolina ....: 125 120 130 108 South Dakota ......: 800 830 830 100 Tennessee .........: 400 410 410 100 Texas .............: 5,500 5,300 6,700 126 : Utah ..............: 110 110 110 100 Virginia ..........: 205 230 320 139 Washington ........: 1,750 1,850 1,800 97 Wisconsin .........: 290 305 260 85 Wyoming ...........: 115 115 120 104 : United States .....: 33,678 33,271 36,950 111 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Durum Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2021-2023 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2023 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2021 : 2022 : 2023 1/ : of 2022 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Arizona ........: 60 85 70 82 California .....: 25 40 20 50 Idaho ..........: 7 7 Montana ........: 670 710 North Dakota ...: 880 790 : United States ..: 1,642 1,632 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2023 area seeded for all five States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2023. Canola Area Seeded - States and United States: 2021-2023 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2023 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2021 : 2022 : 2023 1/ : of 2022 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Kansas .........: 7.0 9.0 6.0 67 Minnesota ......: 63.0 71.0 Montana ........: 185.0 180.0 North Dakota ...: 1,750.0 1,800.0 Oklahoma .......: 12.0 18.0 10.0 56 Washington .....: 135.0 135.0 : United States ..: 2,152.0 2,213.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2023 area seeded for all six States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2023. Statistical Methodology Survey procedures: The estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted the first two weeks of December. The December Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of approximately 77,100 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United States have a chance to be selected. Data from farm operators was collected by mail, internet, or telephone to obtain information on crop acreage, yield, and production for the 2022 crop year and winter wheat, Durum wheat, and canola seedings for the 2023 crop year. Estimating procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each Regional Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review. Estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of official estimates to survey data. Revision policy: These estimates will not be revised; instead, new estimates will be made throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest and published in the Small Grains Annual Summary report at the end of September. End-of-season canola estimates are published in the Crop Production Annual Summary report in the middle of January. Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. The survey indications are subject to sampling variability because not all operations with winter wheat are included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the National level, is approximately 1.8 percent for winter wheat. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that survey estimates for acres will be within plus or minus 3.6 percent for winter wheat. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch................................................ 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