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{{Infobox philosopher
| main_interests = [[Nuclear proliferation]]
| image = Scott Sagan.png
| caption = Scott Sagan in 2018
| birth_name = Scott Douglas Sagan
| birth_date = {{birth year and age|1955}}
| birth_place =
| alma_mater = [[Harvard University]]({{small|[[Ph.D.]]}}) <br /> [[Oberlin College]]({{small|[[B.A.]]}})
| institutions = [[Stanford University]]<br /> [[Harvard University]]
| school_tradition =
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| influenced =
| notable_ideas =
|education=[[Oberlin College]] ([[B. A.|BA]])<br />[[Harvard University]] ([[PhD]])}}
}}
'''Scott Douglas Sagan''' (born 1955) is the Caroline S.G. Munro Professor of [[Political Science]] at [[Stanford University]] and Seniorco-director Fellow atof Stanford's [[Center for International Security and Cooperation]] (CISAC). He is known for his research on [[nuclear weapons]] policy and [[nuclear disarmament]], including discussions of [[system accident]]s, and has published widely on these subjects.
 
In 2017, Scott Sagan received the [[International Studies Association]]'s [[Susan Strange Award]].<ref name="stanford.edu">{{cite web|url=https://politicalscience.stanford.edu/news/scott-sagan-receives-susan-strange-award|title=Scott Sagan receives the Susan Strange award - Political Science|work=stanford.edu|accessdate=22 April 2017|archive-date=22 April 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170422123549/https://politicalscience.stanford.edu/news/scott-sagan-receives-susan-strange-award|url-status=dead}}</ref> Sagan was the recipient of the National Academy of Sciences [[William and Katherine Estes Award]] in 2015<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.nasonline.org/programs/awards/behavioral-research.html?referrer=https://www.google.com/|title=William and Katherine Estes Award|website=www.nasonline.org|access-date=2016-03-25}}</ref> and the International Studies Association's Distinguished Scholar Award in 2013.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.isanet.org/ProgramsResources/Awards/ISSSDistinguishedScholar/PastRecipients.aspx |title= ISSS Distinguished Scholar Past Recipients|author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |date= |website=isanet.org |publisher= |access-date= |quote=}}</ref>
 
He currently serves as Project Chair for the [[American Academy of Arts and Sciences]]' InitiativeChair onof Newthe DilemmasCommittee inon Ethics,International Technology,Security and WarStudies and as Senior Advisor foron the American Academy of Arts and Sciences's Global Nuclear Future InitiativeCouncil.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Scott D. Sagan |url=https://www.amacad.org/contentperson/Research/researchproject.aspx?scott-d=1552-sagan |titleaccess-date=New Dilemmas in Ethics, Technology, and War 2022-07-06 |website=American Academy of Arts & Sciences |websitelanguage=www.amacad.org|access-date=2016-03-25en}}</ref>
 
==Biography==
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Sagan is known for his research on the organizations managing nuclear weapons and published on the subject in ''The Limits of Safety: Organizations, Accidents, and Nuclear Weapons'' ([[Princeton University Press]], 1993). [[Bruce G. Blair]] writes, "Scott Sagan's book [The Limits of Safety] is nothing less than a tour de force.... It is by far the most carefully researched and painstaking study of nuclear weapons safety ever written."<ref>[https://www.amazon.com/dp/0691021015/ Book review at Amazon], same source counts that 100 books cite this book</ref><ref>{{cite journal
| author =Charles Perrow
| date =
| year =2006
| month =
| title =The Limits of Safety: The Enhancement of a Theory of Accidents
| journal =Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management
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| issue =4
| pages =212–220
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| doi =10.1111/j.1468-5973.1994.tb00046.x
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| url =http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/119973206/abstract?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0
}}{{dead link|date=February 2019|bot=medic}}{{cbignore|bot=medic}}
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He also is one of the leading pessimist scholars about [[nuclear proliferation]], and his co-authored book with [[Kenneth Waltz]], ''The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed'',<ref>{{Cite book|isbn=978-0393977479|url=https://www.amazon.com/dp/0393977471|title=The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed|first1=Scott Douglas|last1=Sagan|first2=Kenneth N.|last2=Waltz|date=28 August 2002|publisher=W. W. Norton & Company|via=Amazon|url-access=registration|url=https://archive.org/details/spreadofnuclearw00saga_0}}</ref> is widely read and cited in the literature on nuclear weapons. Sagan writes in the book, "the United States and the Soviet Union survived the [[coldCold warWar]] and did not use their massive nuclear-weapons arsenals during the period's repeated crises. This should be a cause of celebration and wonder; it should not be an excuse for inaction with either [[arms control]] or [[non-proliferation]] policies."
 
His most recent publications include ''The Fragile Balance of Terror: Deterrence in the New Nuclear Age'',<ref>{{Cite web |title=The Fragile Balance of Terror |url=https://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501767029/the-fragile-balance-of-terror/#bookTabs=1 |website=Cornell University Press}}</ref> co-edited with [[Vipin Narang]] (Cornell University Press, 2022); ''Insider Threats'',<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/?GCOI=80140100868640|title = Books}}</ref> co-edited with Matthew Bunn (Cornell University Press, 2017); ''Learning from a Disaster: Improving Nuclear Safety and Security after Fukushima'',<ref>{{Cite book|url=http://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=24812|title = Learning from a Disaster: Improving Nuclear Safety and Security after Fukushima &#124; Edited by Edward D. Blandford and Scott D. Sagan| date=2016 | publisher=Stanford University Press | isbn=978-0-8047-9561-6 }}</ref> co-edited with Edward D. Blandford (Stanford University Press, 2016); and guest editor of a two-volume special issue of ''Daedalus, New Dilemmas in Ethics, Technology, and War'' (Fall 2016 and Winter 2017).<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.mitpressjournals.org/toc/daed/145/4|title = Volume 145 Issue 4 &#124; Daedalus &#124; MIT Press}}</ref> Sagan is also the author of ''Moving Targets: Nuclear Strategy and National Security'' (Princeton University Press, 1989); and ''The Limits of Safety: Organizations, Accidents, and Nuclear Weapons'' (Princeton University Press, 1993). He is the co-editor of ''Planning the Unthinkable'' (Cornell University Press, 2000) with Peter R. Lavoy and James L. Wirtz; the editor of ''Inside Nuclear South Asia'' ([[Stanford University Press]], 2009); co-editor of a two-volume special issue of ''Daedalus, On the Global Nuclear Future'' (Fall 2009 and Winter 2010), with Steven E. Miller. Other publications include "The Case for No First Use" in ''[[Survival (journal)|Survival]]'' (June 2009); “A"A Call for Global Nuclear Disarmament”Disarmament" in ''[[Nature (journal)|Nature]]'' (July 2012); “Atomic"Atomic Aversion: Experimental Evidence on Taboos, Traditions, and the Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons”Weapons" with [[Daryl G. Press]] and [[Benjamin A. Valentino]] in ''[[The American Political Science Review]]'' (February 2013); and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences occasional paper, “A"A Worst Practices Guide to Insider Threats: Learning from Past Mistakes," (2014), with Matthew Bunn.
 
==Awards==
 
Scott Sagan was selected in 2018 by the [[Carnegie Corporation of New York|Carnegie Corporation]] as an Andrew Carnegie Fellow.<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |title=Scott Sagan |url=https://www.carnegie.org/awards/honoree/scott-sagan/ |access-date=2022-06-27 |website=Carnegie Corporation of New York |language=en}}</ref> In 2017, Scott Sagan received the [[International Studies Association]]'s [[Susan Strange Award]].<ref name="stanford.edu"/> The award recognizes a person whose “singular"singular intellect, assertiveness, and insight most challenge conventional wisdom and intellectual and organizational complacency" in the international studies community. Sagan was the recipient of the National Academy of Sciences William and Katherine Estes Award in 2015, for his pioneering work addressing the risks of nuclear weapons and the causes of nuclear proliferation.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nasonline.org/programs/awards/behavioral-research.html?referrer=https://www.google.com/|title=William and Katherine Estes Award|first=National Academy of Sciences -|last=http://www.nasonline.org|work=nasonline.org|accessdate=22 April 2017}}</ref> The award, which is granted triennially, recognizes “research"research in any field of cognitive or behavioral science that advances understanding of issues relating to the risk of nuclear war." In 2013, Sagan received the International Studies Association's International Security Studies Section Distinguished Scholar Award. Sagan has also won four teaching awards: the 2020 [[Phi Beta Kappa|Phi Beta Kappa of Northern California]] Teaching Excellence Award;<ref>{{Cite web |title=Phi Beta Kappa Northern California Association - Teaching-past |url=https://pbknca.com/Teaching-past |access-date=2022-06-27 |website=pbknca.com}}</ref> the Monterey Institute for International Studies’Studies' 2009 Outstanding Contribution to Nonproliferation Education Award; the International Studies Association’sAssociation's 2008 Deborah Misty Gerner Innovative Teaching Award; Stanford University’sUniversity's 1998-99 Dean’sDean's Award for Distinguished Teaching; and Stanford University's 1996 Laurance and Naomi Hoagland Prize for Undergraduate Teaching. He teaches a popular course atwith Stanford[[Allen for sophomoresWeiner]] called "The Face of Battle," in which students examinewalk howkey strategybattlefields wasfrom translatedAmerican intohistory, tacticalperforming decisionsindividual onhistorical theroles battlefieldin during[[staff keyrides]] battlesand inmeeting Americanwith historynational security professionals.<ref>{{cite webnews|url=https://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748703916004576271431627026802|title=WSJ|newspaper=Wall Street Journal|date=30 April 2011|publisher=|accessdate=22 April 2017|via=online.wsj.com|last1=Berkowitz|first1=Peter}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=The Face of Battle {{!}} Sophomore College {{!}} Stanford Undergrad|url=https://undergrad.stanford.edu/programs/sophomore-college/coursefinder/sophomore-college/face-battle|access-date=2020-07-22|website=undergrad.stanford.edu}}</ref>
 
==See also==
{{Portal|Biography|International relationsPolitics}}
*[[Nuclear Tipping Point]]
*[[Nuclear weapons debate]]
*[[Sam Nunn]]
*[[William J. Perry|William Perry]]
*[[Henry Kissinger]]
*[[George P. Shultz]]