Cumulative distribution function

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In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable , or just distribution function of , evaluated at , is the probability that will take a value less than or equal to .

Cumulative distribution function for the Exponential distribution
Cumulative distribution function for the Normal distribution

In the case of a scalar continuous distribution, it gives the area under the probability density function from minus infinity to . Cumulative distribution functions are also used to specify the distribution of multivariate random variables.

Definition

The cumulative distribution function of a real-valued random variable   is the function given by[1]: p. 77 

  (Eq.1)

where the right-hand side represents the probability that the random variable   takes on a value less than or equal to  . The probability that   lies in the semi-closed interval  , where  , is therefore[1]: p. 84 

  (Eq.2)

In the definition above, the "less than or equal to" sign, "≤", is a convention, not a universally used one (e.g. Hungarian literature uses "<"), but is important for discrete distributions. The proper use of tables of the binomial and Poisson distributions depends upon this convention. Moreover, important formulas like Paul Lévy's inversion formula for the characteristic function also rely on the "less than or equal" formulation.

If treating several random variables   etc. the corresponding letters are used as subscripts while, if treating only one, the subscript is usually omitted. It is conventional to use a capital   for a cumulative distribution function, in contrast to the lower-case   used for probability density functions and probability mass functions. This applies when discussing general distributions: some specific distributions have their own conventional notation, for example the normal distribution.

The CDF of a continuous random variable   can be expressed as the integral of its probability density function   as follows:[1]: p. 86 

 

In the case of a random variable   which has distribution having a discrete component at a value  ,

 

If   is continuous at  , this equals zero and there is no discrete component at  .

Properties

 
From top to bottom, the cumulative distribution function of a discrete probability distribution, continuous probability distribution, and a distribution which has both a continuous part and a discrete part.

Every cumulative distribution function   is non-decreasing[1]: p. 78  and right-continuous[1]: p. 79 , which makes it a càdlàg function. Furthermore,

 

Every function with these four properties is a CDF, i.e., for every such function, a random variable can be defined such that the function is the cumulative distribution function of that random variable.

If   is a purely discrete random variable, then it attains values   with probability  , and the CDF of   will be discontinuous at the points  :

 

If the CDF   of a real valued random variable   is continuous, then   is a continuous random variable; if furthermore   is absolutely continuous, then there exists a Lebesgue-integrable function   such that

 

for all real numbers   and  . The function   is equal to the derivative of   almost everywhere, and it is called the probability density function of the distribution of  .

Examples

As an example, suppose   is uniformly distributed on the unit interval  . Then the CDF of   is given by

 

Suppose instead that   takes only the discrete values 0 and 1, with equal probability. Then the CDF of   is given by

 

Derived functions

Complementary cumulative distribution function (tail distribution)

Sometimes, it is useful to study the opposite question and ask how often the random variable is above a particular level. This is called the complementary cumulative distribution function (ccdf) or simply the tail distribution or exceedance, and is defined as

 

This has applications in statistical hypothesis testing, for example, because the one-sided p-value is the probability of observing a test statistic at least as extreme as the one observed. Thus, provided that the test statistic, T, has a continuous distribution, the one-sided p-value is simply given by the ccdf: for an observed value   of the test statistic

 

In survival analysis,   is called the survival function and denoted  , while the term reliability function is common in engineering.

Properties
 
  • As  , and in fact   provided that   is finite.
Proof:[citation needed] Assuming   has a density function  , for any  
 
Then, on recognizing   and rearranging terms,
 
as claimed.

Folded cumulative distribution

 
Example of the folded cumulative distribution for a normal distribution function with an expected value of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.

While the plot of a cumulative distribution often has an S-like shape, an alternative illustration is the folded cumulative distribution or mountain plot, which folds the top half of the graph over,[3][4] thus using two scales, one for the upslope and another for the downslope. This form of illustration emphasises the median and dispersion (specifically, the mean absolute deviation from the median[5]) of the distribution or of the empirical results.

Inverse distribution function (quantile function)

If the CDF F is strictly increasing and continuous then   is the unique real number   such that  . In such a case, this defines the inverse distribution function oder quantile function.

Some distributions do not have a unique inverse (for example in the case where   for all  , causing   to be constant). This problem can be solved by defining, for  , the generalized inverse distribution function:

 
  • Example 1: The median is  .
  • Example 2: Put  . Then we call   the 95th percentile.

Some useful properties of the inverse cdf (which are also preserved in the definition of the generalized inverse distribution function) are:

  1.   is nondecreasing
  2.  
  3.  
  4.   if and only if  
  5. If   has a   distribution then   is distributed as  . This is used in random number generation using the inverse transform sampling-method.
  6. If   is a collection of independent  -distributed random variables defined on the same sample space, then there exist random variables   such that   is distributed as   and   with probability 1 for all  .

The inverse of the cdf can be used to translate results obtained for the uniform distribution to other distributions.

Multivariate case

Definition for two random variables

When dealing simultaneously with more than one random variable the joint cumulative distribution function can also be defined. For example, for a pair of random variables  , the joint CDF   is given by[1]: p. 89 

  (Eq.3)

where the right-hand side represents the probability that the random variable   takes on a value less than or equal to   and that   takes on a value less than or equal to  .

Definition for more than two random variables

For   random variables  , the joint CDF   is given by

  (Eq.4)

Interpreting the   random variables as a random vector   yields a shorter notation:

 

Properties

Every multivariate CDF is:

  1. Monotonically non-decreasing for each of its variables,
  2. Right-continuous in each of its variables,
  3.  
  4.  

Complex case

Complex random variable

The generalization of the cumulative distribution function from real to complex random variables is not obvious because expressions of the form   make no sense. However expressions of the form   make sense. Therefore, we define the cumulative distribution of a complex random variables via the joint distribution of their real and imaginary parts:

 .

Complex random vector

Generalization of Eq.4 yields

 

as definition for the CDS of a complex random vector  .

Use in statistical analysis

The concept of the cumulative distribution function makes an explicit appearance in statistical analysis in two (similar) ways. Cumulative frequency analysis is the analysis of the frequency of occurrence of values of a phenomenon less than a reference value. The empirical distribution function is a formal direct estimate of the cumulative distribution function for which simple statistical properties can be derived and which can form the basis of various statistical hypothesis tests. Such tests can assess whether there is evidence against a sample of data having arisen from a given distribution, or evidence against two samples of data having arisen from the same (unknown) population distribution.

Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Kuiper's tests

 

The Kolmogorov–Smirnov test is based on cumulative distribution functions and can be used to test to see whether two empirical distributions are different or whether an empirical distribution is different from an ideal distribution. The closely related Kuiper's test is useful if the domain of the distribution is cyclic as in day of the week. For instance Kuiper's test might be used to see if the number of tornadoes varies during the year or if sales of a product vary by day of the week or day of the month.

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f Park, Kun Il (2018). Fundamentals of Probability and Stochastic Processes with Applications to Communications. Springer. ISBN 978-3-319-68074-3.
  2. ^ Zwillinger, Daniel; Kokoska, Stephen (2010). CRC Standard Probability and Statistics Tables and Formulae. CRC Press. p. 49. ISBN 978-1-58488-059-2.
  3. ^ Gentle, J.E. (2009). Computational Statistics. Springer. ISBN 978-0-387-98145-1. Retrieved 2010-08-06.[page needed]
  4. ^ Monti, K.L. (1995). "Folded Empirical Distribution Function Curves (Mountain Plots)". The American Statistician. 49 (4): 342–345. doi:10.2307/2684570. JSTOR 2684570.
  5. ^ Xue, J. H.; Titterington, D. M. (2011). "The p-folded cumulative distribution function and the mean absolute deviation from the p-quantile" (PDF). Statistics & Probability Letters. 81 (8): 1179–1182. doi:10.1016/j.spl.2011.03.014.<