2010 United States Senate election in Vermont: Difference between revisions
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{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2010 United States Senate election in Vermont |
| election_name = 2010 United States Senate election in Vermont |
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| country = Vermont |
| country = Vermont |
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| type = presidential |
| type = presidential |
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| ongoing = |
| ongoing = no |
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| previous_election = 2004 United States Senate election in Vermont |
| previous_election = 2004 United States Senate election in Vermont |
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| previous_year = 2004 |
| previous_year = 2004 |
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| next_year = 2016 |
| next_year = 2016 |
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| election_date = November 2, 2010 |
| election_date = November 2, 2010 |
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| image1 = |
| image1 = File:Patrick Leahy 113th Congress.jpg |
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| image_size = x150px |
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| nominee1 = '''[[Patrick Leahy]]''' |
| nominee1 = '''[[Patrick Leahy]]''' |
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| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote1 = '''151,281''' |
| popular_vote1 = '''151,281''' |
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| percentage1 = '''64. |
| percentage1 = '''64.36%''' |
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| image2 = |
| image2 = 3x4.svg |
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| nominee2 = Len Britton |
| nominee2 = Len Britton |
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| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote2 = 72,699 |
| popular_vote2 = 72,699 |
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| percentage2 = 30. |
| percentage2 = 30.93% |
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| map = {{switcher |
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| map_image = Vermont Senate Election Results by County, 2010.svg |
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|[[file:2010 United States Senate election in Vermont results map by county.svg|x220px]] |
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| map_size = 140px |
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|County results |
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|[[file:2010 United States Senate election in Vermont results map by municipality.svg|x220px]] |
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|Municipality results}} |
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| map_caption = '''Leahy:''' {{legend0|#bdd3ff|30-40%}} {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40-50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50-60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60-70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70-80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80-90%}} |
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| title = U.S. Senator |
| title = U.S. Senator |
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| before_election = [[Patrick Leahy]] |
| before_election = [[Patrick Leahy]] |
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| before_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| after_election = [[Patrick Leahy]] |
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| after_election = [[Patrick Leahy]]<ref>{{cite news| url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/02/patrick-leahy-defeats-len_n_767443.html | work=Huffington Post | title=Patrick Leahy Defeats Len Britton In Vermont Senate Race | date=November 2, 2010}}</ref> |
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| after_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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}} |
}} |
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{{ElectionsVT}} |
{{ElectionsVT}} |
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The '''2010 United States Senate election in Vermont''' took place on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the [[United States Senate]] in other states as well as elections to the [[United States House of Representatives]] and various state and local elections. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] U.S. Senator [[Patrick Leahy]] was re-elected to a seventh term. |
The '''2010 United States Senate election in Vermont''' took place on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the [[United States Senate]] in other states as well as elections to the [[United States House of Representatives]] and various state and local elections. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] U.S. Senator [[Patrick Leahy]] was re-elected to a seventh term.<ref>{{cite news| url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/02/patrick-leahy-defeats-len_n_767443.html | work=Huffington Post | title=Patrick Leahy Defeats Len Britton In Vermont Senate Race | date=November 2, 2010}}</ref> |
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== Democratic primary == |
== Democratic primary == |
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=== Candidates === |
=== Candidates === |
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* [[Patrick Leahy]], incumbent U.S. Senator |
* [[Patrick Leahy]], incumbent U.S. Senator |
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* Daniel |
* Daniel Freilich, military doctor (also running as an independent) |
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=== Results === |
=== Results === |
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{{Election box begin no change |
{{Election box begin no change |
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| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Politico">{{cite web | url=http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/VT | title=Vermont Results | work=Politico | date=August 24, 2010 | |
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="Politico">{{cite web | url=http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/VT | title=Vermont Results | work=Politico | date=August 24, 2010 | access-date=August 24, 2010}}</ref> |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| candidate = Daniel |
| candidate = Daniel Freilich |
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| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| votes = 7,886 |
| votes = 7,886 |
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* [[Patrick Leahy]] (D), incumbent U.S. Senator |
* [[Patrick Leahy]] (D), incumbent U.S. Senator |
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* Stephen Cain (I)<ref name=list/> |
* Stephen Cain (I)<ref name=list/> |
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* Pete Diamondstone (Socialist)<ref name=list/><ref name=list2>{{cite web | url=http://vermont-elections.org/2010MinorPartyNominations.pdf | title=2010 Minor Party Nominations for the November 2, 2010 Vermont General Election | |
* Pete Diamondstone (Socialist)<ref name=list/><ref name=list2>{{cite web | url=http://vermont-elections.org/2010MinorPartyNominations.pdf | title=2010 Minor Party Nominations for the November 2, 2010 Vermont General Election | access-date=August 18, 2010 | publisher=[[Secretary of State of Vermont]] | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110927125449/http://vermont-elections.org/2010MinorPartyNominations.pdf | archive-date=September 27, 2011 | url-status=dead }}</ref> |
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* Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), two-time former candidate for U.S. Senate<ref name=list>{{cite web | url=http://vermont-elections.org/2010GECandidateList.pdf | title=2010 General Election Candidate Listing as of (June 17, 2010 at 7:15 p.m.) | date=June 17, 2010 | |
* Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), two-time former candidate for U.S. Senate<ref name=list>{{cite web | url=http://vermont-elections.org/2010GECandidateList.pdf | title=2010 General Election Candidate Listing as of (June 17, 2010 at 7:15 p.m.) | date=June 17, 2010 | access-date=August 18, 2010 | publisher=[[Secretary of State of Vermont]] | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110727092240/http://vermont-elections.org/2010GECandidateList.pdf | archive-date=July 27, 2011 | url-status=dead }}</ref> |
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* Daniel Freilich (I), military doctor<ref name=list/> |
* Daniel Freilich (I), military doctor<ref name=list/> |
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* Johenry Nunes (I), military education and training manager<ref name=list/> |
* Johenry Nunes (I), military education and training manager<ref name=list/> |
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=== Campaign === |
=== Campaign === |
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First elected in 1974, Leahy is the first and only Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from Vermont. He won his last two re-election campaigns with at least 70% of the vote. He is the second-most-senior member of Congress. In a June 2010 poll, the incumbent was viewed very favorably by 52% of the state. 52% of the state opposed repeal of [[Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act| |
First elected in 1974, Leahy is the first and only Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from Vermont. He won his last two re-election campaigns with at least 70% of the vote. He is the second-most-senior member of Congress. In a June 2010 poll, the incumbent was viewed very favorably by 52% of the state. 52% of the state opposed repeal of [[Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act|the Affordable Care Act (ACA)]] and 50% opposed [[Arizona SB 1070|Arizona's immigration law]]. Obama's approval rating in the poll was 62%.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_senate|title=Election 2010: Vermont Senate|website=www.rasmussenreports.com}}</ref> Obama carried Vermont with 67% of the vote in 2008. |
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His Republican opponent was Len Britton, a businessman who had never run for public office before. As of August 2010, he had released two TV ads, criticizing Obama's stimulus and the deficits.<ref>http://www.lenbritton.com/2010/07/26/len-britton-unveils-2nd-humorous-ad-on-national-debt-crisis/{{Dead link|date=August 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> His campaign manager admitted "Len is an unknown candidate and we are rigorously running on a difficult campaign schedule."<ref>http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20100820/NEWS03/100820022/Senate-candidate-Britton-has-big-campaign-debt#ixzz0yENEvZ5V</ref> |
His Republican opponent was Len Britton, a businessman who had never run for public office before. As of August 2010, he had released two TV ads, criticizing Obama's stimulus and the deficits.<ref>[http://www.lenbritton.com/2010/07/26/len-britton-unveils-2nd-humorous-ad-on-national-debt-crisis/ Len Britton unveils 2nd humorous as on national debt crisis] {{Dead link|date=August 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> His campaign manager admitted "Len is an unknown candidate and we are rigorously running on a difficult campaign schedule."<ref>[http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20100820/NEWS03/100820022/Senate-candidate-Britton-has-big-campaign-debt#ixzz0yENEvZ5V Burlington Free Press] {{dead link|date=December 2022}}</ref> |
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=== Debates === |
=== Debates === |
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* October 14: All four candidates on [[CCTV]] in [[Burlington, Vermont|Burlington]]{{Citation needed | date=October 2010}} |
* October 14: All four candidates on [[CCTV]] in [[Burlington, Vermont|Burlington]]{{Citation needed | date=October 2010}} |
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* October 19: Two candidates on [[Vermont Public Radio]]<ref>http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20101015/NEWS03/101014037/Opponents-challenge-Leahy-in-first-debate</ref> |
* October 19: Two candidates on [[Vermont Public Radio]]<ref>[http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20101015/NEWS03/101014037/Opponents-challenge-Leahy-in-first-debate Opponents challenge Leahy in first debate] Burlington Free Press {{dead link|date=December 2022}}</ref> |
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=== Predictions === |
=== Predictions === |
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{| class="wikitable" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
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|- |
|- |
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! Source |
! Source |
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! Ranking |
! Ranking |
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! As of |
! As of |
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|- |
|- |
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⚫ | |||
| [[Cook Political Report]] |
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| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} |
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| October |
| October 26, 2010 |
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|- |
|- |
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| [[Stuart Rothenberg|Rothenberg]] |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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| October 22, 2010 |
| October 22, 2010 |
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|- |
|- |
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| Swing State Project |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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| style="background:#66f" | Safe D{{Citation needed | date=October 2010}} |
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| |
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|- |
|- |
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| [[RealClearPolitics]] |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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|- |
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| [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]] |
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| October 21, 2010 |
| October 21, 2010 |
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|- |
|- |
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⚫ | | [[Congressional Quarterly|CQ Politics]]<ref>{{Cite web | url=http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate | title=Race Ratings Chart: Senate | publisher=[[CQ Politics]] | access-date=October 26, 2010 | url-status=dead | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate | archive-date=October 28, 2010 }}</ref> |
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| [[Congressional Quarterly|CQ Politics]] |
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |
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⚫ | | |
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| October |
| October 26, 2010 |
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|- valign=bottom |
|- valign=bottom |
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! Poll source |
! Poll source |
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! {{Small|Date(s)<br/>administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
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! {{Small|Sample<br/>size}} |
! {{Small|Sample<br />size}} |
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! {{Small|Margin<br/>of error}} |
! {{Small|Margin<br />of error}} |
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! Patrick Leahy (D) |
! style="width:100px;"| Patrick<br />Leahy (D) |
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! Len Britton (R) |
! style="width:100px;"| Len<br />Britton (R) |
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! Other |
! Other |
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
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|- |
|- |
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| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/vermont/toplines/toplines_2010_vermont_senate_june_17_2010 Rasmussen Reports] |
| align=left | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/vermont/toplines/toplines_2010_vermont_senate_june_17_2010 Rasmussen Reports] |
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| June 17, 2010 |
| June 17, 2010 |
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| 500 |
| 500 |
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|- |
|- |
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| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
| align=left | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
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| September 13, 2010 |
| September 13, 2010 |
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| 500 |
| 500 |
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|- |
|- |
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| [http://www.vpr.net/news_detail/89024 Vermont Public Radio/Mason-Dixon] |
| align=left | [http://www.vpr.net/news_detail/89024 Vermont Public Radio/Mason-Dixon] |
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| October 11–13, 2010 |
| October 11–13, 2010 |
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| 625 |
| 625 |
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|- |
|- |
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| colspan=5 | Source: Federal Election Commission<ref>{{cite web | url=http://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=VT&election_yr=2010 | title=2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Vermont | publisher=fec.gov | |
| colspan=5 | Source: Federal Election Commission<ref>{{cite web | url=http://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=VT&election_yr=2010 | title=2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Vermont | publisher=fec.gov | access-date=August 22, 2010 }}{{Dead link|date=August 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}</ref> |
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{{Election box winning candidate with party link |
{{Election box winning candidate with party link |
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| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| candidate = [[Patrick Leahy]] ( |
| candidate = [[Patrick Leahy]] (incumbent) |
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| votes = 151,281 |
| votes = 151,281 |
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| percentage = 64.36% |
| percentage = 64.36% |
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== References == |
== References == |
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{{reflist |
{{reflist}} |
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== External links == |
== External links == |
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* [http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=VT U.S. Congress candidates for Vermont] at [[Project Vote Smart]] |
* [http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=VT U.S. Congress candidates for Vermont] at [[Project Vote Smart]] |
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* [http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=406054 Vermont U.S. Senate] from OurCampaigns.com |
* [http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=406054 Vermont U.S. Senate] from OurCampaigns.com |
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* [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=VTS2&cycle=2010 Campaign contributions] from [[Open Secrets]] |
* [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=VTS2&cycle=2010 Campaign contributions] from [[OpenSecrets|Open Secrets]] |
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* [http://www.pollster.com/polls/vt/10-vt-sen-ge-bvl.php 2010 Vermont Senate General Election: Len Britton (R) vs Patrick Leahy (D)] |
* [https://archive.today/20130131163545/http://www.pollster.com/polls/vt/10-vt-sen-ge-bvl.php 2010 Vermont Senate General Election: Len Britton (R) vs Patrick Leahy (D)] graph of multiple polls from ''Pollster.com'' |
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* [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_senate Election 2010: Vermont Senate] from [[Rasmussen Reports]] |
* [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/vermont/election_2010_vermont_senate Election 2010: Vermont Senate] from [[Rasmussen Reports]] |
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* [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_vermont_senate_race.html 2010 Vermont Senate Race] from [[Real Clear Politics]] |
* [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_vermont_senate_race.html 2010 Vermont Senate Race] from [[Real Clear Politics]] |
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* [http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-2010-VT 2010 Vermont Senate Race] |
* [https://archive.today/20130121043019/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-2010-VT 2010 Vermont Senate Race] from [[Congressional Quarterly|CQ Politics]] |
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* [http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/senate/vermont Race profile] from [[The New York Times]] |
* [http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/senate/vermont Race profile] from [[The New York Times]] |
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;Official campaign websites |
;Official campaign websites |
Latest revision as of 05:51, 19 June 2024
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Leahy: 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90%
Britton: 40-50% 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Vermont |
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Vermont took place on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy was re-elected to a seventh term.[1]
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Patrick Leahy, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Daniel Freilich, military doctor (also running as an independent)
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Leahy (incumbent) | 64,177 | 89.06% | |
Democratic | Daniel Freilich | 7,886 | 10.94% | |
Total votes | 72,063 | 100.0% |
General election[edit]
Candidates[edit]
- Len Britton (R), businessman
- Patrick Leahy (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Stephen Cain (I)[3]
- Pete Diamondstone (Socialist)[3][4]
- Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), two-time former candidate for U.S. Senate[3]
- Daniel Freilich (I), military doctor[3]
- Johenry Nunes (I), military education and training manager[3]
Campaign[edit]
First elected in 1974, Leahy is the first and only Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from Vermont. He won his last two re-election campaigns with at least 70% of the vote. He is the second-most-senior member of Congress. In a June 2010 poll, the incumbent was viewed very favorably by 52% of the state. 52% of the state opposed repeal of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and 50% opposed Arizona's immigration law. Obama's approval rating in the poll was 62%.[5] Obama carried Vermont with 67% of the vote in 2008.
His Republican opponent was Len Britton, a businessman who had never run for public office before. As of August 2010, he had released two TV ads, criticizing Obama's stimulus and the deficits.[6] His campaign manager admitted "Len is an unknown candidate and we are rigorously running on a difficult campaign schedule."[7]
Debates[edit]
- October 14: All four candidates on CCTV in Burlington[citation needed]
- October 19: Two candidates on Vermont Public Radio[8]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[9] | Solid D | October 26, 2010 |
Rothenberg[10] | Safe D | October 22, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics[11] | Safe D | October 26, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe D | October 21, 2010 |
CQ Politics[13] | Safe D | October 26, 2010 |
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Patrick Leahy (D) |
Len Britton (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | June 17, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 64% | 29% | 3% | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 13, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 63% | 32% | 2% | 4% |
Vermont Public Radio/Mason-Dixon | October 11–13, 2010 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 62% | 27% | 4% | 7% |
Fundraising[edit]
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Leahy (D) | $3,469,878 | $2,090,603 | $2,598,061 | $0 |
Len Britton (R) | $199,813 | $144,541 | $55,270 | $69,833 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[14] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Leahy (incumbent) | 151,281 | 64.36% | -6.27% | |
Republican | Len Britton | 72,699 | 30.93% | +6.38% | |
Independent | Daniel Freilich | 3,544 | 1.51% | N/A | |
Marijuana | Cris Ericson | 2,731 | 1.16% | N/A | |
Independent | Stephen Cain | 2,356 | 1.00% | N/A | |
Socialist | Peter Diamondstone | 1,433 | 0.61% | N/A | |
Independent | Johenry Nunes | 1,021 | 0.43% | N/A | |
Majority | 78,528 | 33.43% | |||
Total votes | 235,065 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic hold | Swing |
References[edit]
- ^ "Patrick Leahy Defeats Len Britton In Vermont Senate Race". Huffington Post. November 2, 2010.
- ^ "Vermont Results". Politico. August 24, 2010. Retrieved August 24, 2010.
- ^ a b c d e "2010 General Election Candidate Listing as of (June 17, 2010 at 7:15 p.m.)" (PDF). Secretary of State of Vermont. June 17, 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 27, 2011. Retrieved August 18, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Minor Party Nominations for the November 2, 2010 Vermont General Election" (PDF). Secretary of State of Vermont. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 27, 2011. Retrieved August 18, 2010.
- ^ "Election 2010: Vermont Senate". www.rasmussenreports.com.
- ^ Len Britton unveils 2nd humorous as on national debt crisis [permanent dead link]
- ^ Burlington Free Press [dead link]
- ^ Opponents challenge Leahy in first debate Burlington Free Press [dead link]
- ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Vermont". fec.gov. Retrieved August 22, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Vermont Election Results". The New York Times.
External links[edit]
- Elections and Campaign Finance Division at the Vermont Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Vermont at Project Vote Smart
- Vermont U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Vermont Senate General Election: Len Britton (R) vs Patrick Leahy (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Vermont Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Vermont Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Vermont Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Official campaign websites