2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin: Difference between revisions
m Fixed link |
→Results: dead link |
||
(37 intermediate revisions by 25 users not shown) | |||
Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] --> |
|||
{{Short description|Election}} |
|||
{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}} |
{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}} |
||
{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
||
| election_name |
| election_name = 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin |
||
| country |
| country = Wisconsin |
||
| type |
| type = presidential |
||
| ongoing |
| ongoing = no |
||
| previous_election = 2006 United States Senate election in Wisconsin |
| previous_election = 2006 United States Senate election in Wisconsin |
||
| previous_year |
| previous_year = 2006 |
||
| next_election |
| next_election = 2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin |
||
| next_year |
| next_year = 2018 |
||
| election_date |
| election_date = November 6, 2012 |
||
| image_size |
| image_size = x150px |
||
| turnout |
| turnout = 72.5% (voting eligible)<ref name="VEP12">{{cite web |url=http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |title=2012 General Election Turnout Rates |publisher=[[George Mason University]] |author=Michael McDonald |date=February 9, 2013 |access-date=April 3, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130424003112/http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |archive-date=April 24, 2013 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
| image1 = Tammy Baldwin, official photo portrait, color (cropped).jpg |
|||
| |
| nominee1 = '''[[Tammy Baldwin]]''' |
||
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
| nominee1 = '''[[Tammy Baldwin]]''' |
|||
| popular_vote1 = '''1,547,104''' |
|||
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
| |
| percentage1 = '''51.41%''' |
||
| image2 = File:Tommy Thompson-Tammy Baldwin debate (8127613321) (cropped).jpg |
|||
| percentage1 = '''51.4%''' |
|||
| nominee2 = [[Tommy Thompson]] |
|||
| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
|||
| image2 = File:Tommy Thompson 1 (3x4) a.jpg |
|||
| popular_vote2 = 1,380,126 |
|||
| nominee2 = [[Tommy Thompson]] |
|||
| percentage2 = 45.86% |
|||
| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
|||
| map_image = {{switcher |[[File:2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin results map by county.svg|250px]] |County results |[[File:2012 Wisconsin Senate election results by precinct.svg|250px]] |Precinct results |default=1}} |
|||
| popular_vote2 = 1,380,126 |
|||
| map_size = 250px |
|||
| percentage2 = 45.9% |
|||
| map_caption = '''Baldwin''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br />'''Thompson''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br/> {{legend0|#d2b1d9|Tie}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}} |
|||
| title = U.S. Senator |
|||
| map_image = 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin results map by county.svg |
|||
| before_election = [[Herb Kohl]] |
|||
| map_size = 250px |
|||
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
| map_caption = County results<br />'''Baldwin''': {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}<br />'''Thompson''': {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} |
|||
| after_election = [[Tammy Baldwin]] |
|||
| title = U.S. Senator |
|||
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
| before_election = [[Herb Kohl]] |
|||
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
| after_election = [[Tammy Baldwin]] |
|||
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
}} |
}} |
||
Line 39: | Line 36: | ||
The '''2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin''' took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a [[2012 United States presidential election|U.S. presidential election]] as well as other elections to the [[United States Senate]] and [[United States House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] and various state and local elections. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] Senator [[Herb Kohl]] retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since [[1988 United States Senate election in Wisconsin|1988]], when Kohl won his first term. |
The '''2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin''' took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a [[2012 United States presidential election|U.S. presidential election]] as well as other elections to the [[United States Senate]] and [[United States House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] and various state and local elections. Incumbent [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]] Senator [[Herb Kohl]] retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since [[1988 United States Senate election in Wisconsin|1988]], when Kohl won his first term. |
||
Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. Congresswoman [[Tammy Baldwin]] of [[Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district]] ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former [[Governor of Wisconsin|Wisconsin Governor]] and [[United States Secretary of Health and Human Services|U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services]] [[Tommy Thompson]], who won with a plurality in a four-way primary race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openly [[Homosexuality|gay]] U.S. senator in history. This is also the |
Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. Congresswoman [[Tammy Baldwin]] of [[Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district]] ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former [[Governor of Wisconsin|Wisconsin Governor]] and [[United States Secretary of Health and Human Services|U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services]] [[Tommy Thompson]], who won with a plurality in a four-way primary race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openly [[Homosexuality|gay]] U.S. senator in history. This is also the only time Thompson lost a statewide race. |
||
== Background == |
== Background == |
||
Incumbent Democratic senator [[Herb Kohl]] was re-elected to a fourth term [[United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2006|in 2006]], beating Republican attorney |
Incumbent Democratic senator [[Herb Kohl]] was re-elected to a fourth term [[United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2006|in 2006]], beating Republican attorney Robert Lorge by 67% to 30%. Kohl's lack of fundraising suggested his potential retirement.<ref name="js1">{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/106628683.html |title=Kohl says he'll work with Johnson |date=November 3, 2010 |access-date=November 29, 2010 |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]] |first=Bill |last=Glauber}}</ref> There was speculation that Kohl might decide to retire to allow [[Russ Feingold]], who lost his re-election bid [[United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2010|in 2010]], to run again, although Mike Tate, chairman of the [[Democratic Party of Wisconsin|Wisconsin Democratic Party]], dismissed speculation about Kohl's potential retirement.<ref name="ch1">{{cite news |url=http://chippewa.com/news/local/article_9e9dbc76-e826-11df-85e2-001cc4c002e0.html |title=Feingold won't seek office in 2012, official says |date=November 4, 2010 |access-date=November 29, 2010 |work=[[Chippewa Herald]] |first=Dee |last=Hall}}</ref> Ultimately, Kohl announced in May 2011 that he would not run for re-election in 2012. |
||
== Democratic primary == |
== Democratic primary == |
||
Line 50: | Line 47: | ||
==== Declared ==== |
==== Declared ==== |
||
* [[Tammy Baldwin]], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite |
* [[Tammy Baldwin]], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/129281483.html |title=Tammy Baldwin enters race for open Senate seat |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]]}}</ref> |
||
==== Declined ==== |
==== Declined ==== |
||
* [[Tom Barrett (Wisconsin politician)|Tom Barrett]], [[List of mayors of Milwaukee|mayor]] of [[Milwaukee]]<ref>{{cite |
* [[Tom Barrett (Wisconsin politician)|Tom Barrett]], [[List of mayors of Milwaukee|mayor]] of [[Milwaukee]]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Barrett_closes_door_on_Senate_speculation.html |title=Barrett closes door on Senate speculation |date=May 17, 2011 |access-date=May 17, 2011 |work=[[Politico (newspaper)|Politico]] |first=Alexander|last=Burns}}</ref> |
||
* [[Kathleen Falk]], former [[Dane County, Wisconsin|Dane County]] executive<ref>{{cite |
* [[Kathleen Falk]], former [[Dane County, Wisconsin|Dane County]] executive<ref>{{cite news |url=http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/01/falk-announces.php |title=Falk Announces Candidacy in Wisconsin Gubernatorial Race |date=January 18, 2012 |access-date=January 28, 2012 |work=[[National Journal]] |first=Sean |last=Sullivan |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120122011157/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/01/falk-announces.php |archive-date=January 22, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* [[Russ Feingold]], former U.S. senator<ref>{{cite news |
* [[Russ Feingold]], former U.S. senator<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/russ-feingold-not-running-in-2012/2011/08/19/gIQALSkjPJ_blog.html |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=August 19, 2011 |first=Krissah |last=Thompson |title=Russ Feingold not running in 2012}}</ref> |
||
* [[Steve Kagen]], former U.S. representative<ref>{{cite web|url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html|title=Baldwin kicks off jobs tour; receives Kagen endorsement|date=January 5, 2012|access-date=January 28, 2012|work=[[Wispolitics.com]]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120508182109/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html|archive-date=May 8, 2012|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
* [[Steve Kagen]], former U.S. representative<ref>{{cite web |url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html |title=Baldwin kicks off jobs tour; receives Kagen endorsement |date=January 5, 2012 |access-date=January 28, 2012 |work=[[Wispolitics.com]] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120508182109/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2012/01/baldwin-kicks-off-jobs-tour-receives.html |archive-date=May 8, 2012 |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
* [[Ron Kind]], U.S. representative<ref>{{cite |
* [[Ron Kind]], U.S. representative<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0911/Exclusive_Rep_Kind_says_no_to_Senate_run.html |title=Rep. Kind says no to Senate run |date=September 15, 2011 |access-date=September 15, 2011 |work=[[Politico (newspaper)|Politico]] |first=David |last=Catanese}}</ref> |
||
* [[Herb Kohl]], incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{ |
* [[Herb Kohl]], incumbent U.S. senator<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Herb-Kohl-Retiring-Senate-Wisconsin-2012-205591-1.html |title=Democratic Sen. Herb Kohl to Retire |date=May 13, 2011}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Herb_Kohl_wont_seek_reelection.html?showall |title=Herb Kohl won't seek reelection |website=[[Politico]]}}</ref> |
||
* [[Gwen Moore]], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=250796 |title |
* [[Gwen Moore]], U.S. representative<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=250796 |title=Baldwin Campaign: Rep. Gwen Moore endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate |website=WisPolitics.com |access-date=October 21, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120402172250/http://www.wispolitics.com/index.iml?Article=250796 |archive-date=April 2, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name=sullivan>{{cite web|url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html|title=Former Bucyrus head unlikely to jump into races next year|date=November 18, 2011|access-date=November 21, 2011|work=[[WisPolitics.com]]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111211211815/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html|archive-date=December 11, 2011|url-status=dead}}</ref> |
* Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name="sullivan">{{cite web |url=http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html |title=Former Bucyrus head unlikely to jump into races next year |date=November 18, 2011 |access-date=November 21, 2011 |work=[[WisPolitics.com]] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111211211815/http://dc.wispolitics.com/2011/11/former-bucyrus-head-unlikely-to-jump.html |archive-date=December 11, 2011 |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
=== Polling === |
=== Polling === |
||
Line 67: | Line 64: | ||
<!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = --> |
<!-- = = = don't edit the line above = = = --> |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 82: | Line 79: | ||
! Other/<br />Undecided |
! Other/<br />Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" rowspan=2 | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0527.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| rowspan=2 | May 19–22, 2011 |
| rowspan=2 | May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| rowspan=2 | 783 |
| rowspan=2 | 783 |
||
Line 106: | Line 103: | ||
| 12% |
| 12% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" rowspan=2 | [http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/Wisconsin-2012-US-Senate-Democrat-Primary-Election-Survey-Topline-Results-071411.pdf Magellan Strategies] |
||
| rowspan=2 | July 12–13, 2011 |
| rowspan=2 | July 12–13, 2011 |
||
| rowspan=2 | 627 |
| rowspan=2 | 627 |
||
Line 130: | Line 127: | ||
| 40% |
| 40% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" rowspan=2 | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0817513.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| rowspan=2 | August 12–14, 2011 |
| rowspan=2 | August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| rowspan=2 | 387 |
| rowspan=2 | 387 |
||
Line 159: | Line 156: | ||
=== Results === |
=== Results === |
||
{{Election box begin no change |
{{Election box begin no change |
||
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov">{{cite web|url=http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Percentage%20Results_8.14.12%20primary.pdf|title=Canvass Results for 2012 |
| title = Democratic primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov">{{cite web |url=http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Percentage%20Results_8.14.12%20primary.pdf |title=Canvass Results for 2012 Partisan Primary - 8/14/2012 |access-date=September 22, 2012 |publisher=[[Wisconsin Government Accountability Board]] |archive-date=October 29, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131029204626/http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Percentage%20Results_8.14.12%20primary.pdf |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
||
Line 180: | Line 177: | ||
== Republican primary == |
== Republican primary == |
||
Congressman and [[United States House Committee on the Budget|House Budget Committee]] Chairman [[Paul Ryan]] stated he would not run if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired.<ref>{{cite news|last=Gilbert |first=Craig |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/43705712.html |title=Ryan shines as GOP seeks vision |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]] |date=April 25, 2009|access-date=June 29, 2010}}</ref> Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run.<ref>{{cite news |last=Catanese |first=David |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Ryan_telling_GOPers_hes_unlikely_to_run_.html |title=Ryan telling GOPers he's unlikely to run |newspaper=Politico |date=May 16, 2011 |access-date=May 17, 2011}}</ref> He was later chosen as the Republican nominee for vice president by presidential nominee [[Mitt Romney]]. |
|||
[[File:Wisconsin Republican Senatorial Primary Results, 2012.png|thumb|Results of the 2012 Wisconsin Republican Senatorial Primary with winner indicated by county.]] |
|||
Congressman and [[United States House Committee on the Budget|House Budget Committee]] Chairman [[Paul Ryan]] stated he would not run if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired.<ref>{{cite news|last=Gilbert |first=Craig |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/43705712.html |title=Ryan shines as GOP seeks vision |publisher=JSOnline |date=April 25, 2009|access-date=June 29, 2010}}</ref> Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run.<ref>{{cite news|last=Catanese |first=David |url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0511/Ryan_telling_GOPers_hes_unlikely_to_run_.html |title=Ryan telling GOPers he's unlikely to run |publisher=Politico |date=May 16, 2011|access-date=May 17, 2011}}</ref> He was later chosen as the Republican nominee for vice president by presidential nominee [[Mitt Romney]]. |
|||
Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight |
Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight. Although a large majority of Republican primary voters consistently expressed a preference for a nominee "more conservative" than Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde and Mark Neumann split the conservative vote, allowing Thompson to narrowly prevail with a plurality of the vote.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=409667 |title=Our Campaigns - WI US Senate - R Primary Race - Aug 14, 2012 |website=Our Campaigns}}</ref> |
||
=== Candidates === |
=== Candidates === |
||
==== Declared ==== |
==== Declared ==== |
||
* [[Jeff Fitzgerald]], Speaker of the [[Wisconsin State Assembly]]<ref>{{cite |
* [[Jeff Fitzgerald]], Speaker of the [[Wisconsin State Assembly]]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/jeff-fitzgerald-announces-senate-bid-131519063.html |title=Jeff Fitzgerald announces Senate bid |date=October 11, 2011 |access-date=October 11, 2011 |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]] |first=Patrick |last=Marley}}</ref> |
||
* Eric Hovde, businessman<ref>{{ |
* Eric Hovde, businessman<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.leadertelegram.com/news/front_page/article_8f25fbd4-602d-11e1-8d24-0019bb2963f4.html |title=Hovde emerges as new Senate candidate |newspaper=Leader-Telegram |access-date=February 27, 2012 |archive-date=March 4, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304031455/http://www.leadertelegram.com/news/front_page/article_8f25fbd4-602d-11e1-8d24-0019bb2963f4.html |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
* [[Mark Neumann]], former U.S. representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in [[United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 1998|1998]], and candidate for |
* [[Mark Neumann]], former U.S. representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in [[United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 1998|1998]], and candidate for governor in [[2010 Wisconsin gubernatorial election|2010]]<ref>[http://www.wbay.com/story/15351054/republican-neumann-announces-senate-run Republican Neumann announces Senate run] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110928030928/http://www.wbay.com/story/15351054/republican-neumann-announces-senate-run |date=September 28, 2011}} WBAY-TV. August 29, 2011. Retrieved August 29, 2011</ref><ref> Kyle Trygstad. (August 29, 2011)[http://www.rollcall.com/news/-208393-1.html?pos=hln Ex-Rep. Mark Neumann Enters Wisconsin Senate Race] ''Roll Call''. Retrieved August 29, 2011</ref> |
||
* [[Tommy Thompson]], former [[governor of Wisconsin]] and former [[United States Secretary of Health and Human Services|secretary of Health and Human Services]]<ref>{{cite |
* [[Tommy Thompson]], former [[governor of Wisconsin]] and former [[United States Secretary of Health and Human Services|secretary of Health and Human Services]]<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Tommy_Thompson_Wisconsin_Senate_Bid_Official-208823-1.html?pos=hln |title=Tommy Thompson Makes Wisconsin Senate Bid Official |date=September 19, 2011 |access-date=September 19, 2011}}</ref> |
||
==== Withdrew ==== |
==== Withdrew ==== |
||
* [[Frank Lasee]], state senator<ref>{{ |
* [[Frank Lasee]], state senator<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.channel3000.com/news/30327852/detail.html |title=State Senator Lasee Drops Out Of U.S. Senate Race |website=Channel3000.com |access-date=February 15, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120202080622/http://www.channel3000.com/news/30327852/detail.html |archive-date=February 2, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> ''(endorsed Eric Hovde)'' |
||
* Kip Smith, physical therapist<ref>{{Cite |
* Kip Smith, physical therapist<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://wisconsin.onpolitix.com/news/106086/republican-kip-smith-enters-2012-u-s-senate-race |title=Kip Smith enters U.S. Senate race |website=onpolitics |publisher=[[WLUK-TV]] |access-date=January 1, 2023 |archive-date=July 18, 2012 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20120718232143/http://wisconsin.onpolitix.com/news/106086/republican-kip-smith-enters-2012-u-s-senate-race |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
==== Declined ==== |
==== Declined ==== |
||
* [[Mark Andrew Green]], former U.S. representative and former [[United States Ambassador to Tanzania|United States ambassador to Tanzania]]<ref name=fox11online>{{cite |
* [[Mark Andrew Green]], former U.S. representative and former [[United States Ambassador to Tanzania|United States ambassador to Tanzania]]<ref name="fox11online">{{cite news |url=http://www.fox11online.com/dpp/news/local/green_bay/former-u-s-rep-mark-green-backs-tommy-thompson-for-senate|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130123113310/http://www.fox11online.com/dpp/news/local/green_bay/former-u-s-rep-mark-green-backs-tommy-thompson-for-senate|url-status=dead|archive-date=January 23, 2013|title=Green backs Thompson for Senate|date=September 16, 2011|access-date=December 18, 2011|publisher=[[WLUK-TV]]|agency=[[Associated Press]]}}</ref> |
||
* [[Theodore Kanavas]], former state senator<ref>{{Cite |
* [[Theodore Kanavas]], former state senator<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/130773358.html |title=Kanavas says he won't run for U.S. Senate |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]]}}</ref> |
||
* [[Paul Ryan]], U.S. representative<ref>{{ |
* [[Paul Ryan]], U.S. representative<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/Ryan-Out-Thompson-In-Wisconsin-Senate-205679-1.html?pos=hln|title=Ryan Out, Thompson to Get in Wisconsin Senate Race|date=May 17, 2011 |work=Roll Call}}</ref> |
||
* Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name=sullivan/> |
* Tim Sullivan, businessman<ref name="sullivan" /> |
||
* [[J. B. Van Hollen]], Wisconsin attorney general<ref>{{Cite |
* [[J. B. Van Hollen]], Wisconsin attorney general<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/127969353.html?wpisrc=nl_fix |title=Thompson takes step toward Senate run |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]]}}</ref> |
||
===Polling=== |
===Polling=== |
||
{| class="wikitable" |
{| class="wikitable" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s) administered |
! Date(s) administered |
||
Line 219: | Line 214: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_809.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_809.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| August 8–9, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 557 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.2% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 15% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''27%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''27%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 24% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 25% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/ Marquette University] |
| [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/ Marquette University] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| August 2–5, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 519 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.4% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 13% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 20% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 18% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''28%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''28%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://web.archive.org/web/20120802201938/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/07/31/mojo/ We Ask America] |
| [https://web.archive.org/web/20120802201938/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/07/31/mojo/ We Ask America] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| July 31, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 1,237 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 2.8% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 12% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''23%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''23%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 17% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 23% |
||
| {{party shading/Undecided}} align=center| '''25%''' |
| {{party shading/Undecided}} align="center"| '''25%''' |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| rowspan=2| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_731.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| rowspan=2| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_731.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| July 30–31, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| 400 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| ± 4.9% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 13% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''28%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''28%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 25% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 25% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''33%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''33%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 27% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 30% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/07/11/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-tighter-u-s-senate-race-and-gop-primary/ Marquette University] |
| [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/07/11/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-tighter-u-s-senate-race-and-gop-primary/ Marquette University] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 432 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.8% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 6% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 23% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 10% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''35%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''35%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 25% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 564 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.1% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 9% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''31%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''31%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 15% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 29% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 16% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://web.archive.org/web/20120708231300/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/07/hovde-trails-th.php OnMessage Inc.]{{+}} |
| [https://web.archive.org/web/20120708231300/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/07/hovde-trails-th.php OnMessage Inc.]{{+}} |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| June 26–27, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 600 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.0% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 7% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 29% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 16% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''34%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''34%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 14% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/06/20/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-thompson-leading-u-s-senate-race/ Marquette University] |
| [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/06/20/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-thompson-leading-u-s-senate-race/ Marquette University] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| June 13–16, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 344 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 5.4% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 10% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 14% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 16% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''34%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''34%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 25% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WIMD_401.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WIMD_401.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| March 31–April 1, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 609 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.0% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 18% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 25% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''38%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''38%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 19% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| rowspan=4| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| rowspan=4| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| February 23–26, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| 556 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| ± 4.2% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 22% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 22% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''39%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''39%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 32% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''42%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''42%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 26% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 37% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''46%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''46%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 36% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''46%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''46%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 18% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| rowspan=4| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NVWI_1025.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| rowspan=4| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NVWI_1025.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| October 20–23, 2011 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| 650 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=4| ± 3.8% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 21% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 29% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''35%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''35%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 39% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''43%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''43%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 28% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''44%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''44%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 28% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 35% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''47%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''47%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0817513.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0817513.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 362 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 5.2% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 39% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''47%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''47%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| rowspan=2| [http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/Wisconsin-2012-US-Senate-Republican-Primary-Survey-Topline-Results-071411.pdf Magellan Strategies] |
| rowspan=2| [http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/Wisconsin-2012-US-Senate-Republican-Primary-Survey-Topline-Results-071411.pdf Magellan Strategies] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| July 12–13, 2011 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| 638 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center" rowspan=2| ± 3.9% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 15% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 26% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''41%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''41%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 18% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| — |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 36% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''44%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''44%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 20% |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 400: | Line 395: | ||
{| class="wikitable" |
{| class="wikitable" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom"bottom |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s) administered |
! Date(s) administered |
||
Line 410: | Line 405: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_731.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_731.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| July 30–31, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 400 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.9% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 29% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''58%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''58%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 564 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.1% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 34% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''50%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''50%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| February 23–26, 2012 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 556 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 4.2% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 37% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''47%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''47%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NVWI_1025.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NVWI_1025.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| October 20–23, 2011 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 650 |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| ± 3.8% |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 35% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| '''51%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align="center"| '''51%''' |
||
| |
| style="text-align:center"| 14% |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 447: | Line 442: | ||
| title = Jeff Fitzgerald |
| title = Jeff Fitzgerald |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
* [[Scott Suder]], Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (Abbotsford)<ref name="sunpra">{{ |
* [[Scott Suder]], Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (Abbotsford)<ref name="sunpra">{{cite news |url=https://www.hngnews.com/sun_prairie_star/ |title=Sun Prairie Star}}</ref>{{failed verification|date=January 2023}} |
||
* [[Robin Vos]], Wisconsin Assembly Finance Chair (Rochester)<ref name=sunpra /> |
* [[Robin Vos]], Wisconsin Assembly Finance Chair (Rochester)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}} |
||
* [[Joan Ballweg]], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Chair (Markesan)<ref name=sunpra /> |
* [[Joan Ballweg]], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Chair (Markesan)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}} |
||
* [[Mary Williams (Wisconsin politician)|Mary Williams]], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Secretary (Medford)<ref name=sunpra /> |
* [[Mary Williams (Wisconsin politician)|Mary Williams]], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Secretary (Medford)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}} |
||
* [[Samantha Kerkman]], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Sergeant at Arms (Randall)<ref name=sunpra /> |
* [[Samantha Kerkman]], Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Sergeant at Arms (Randall)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}} |
||
* [[Bill Kramer]], Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Pro-Temp (Waukesha)<ref name=sunpra2>[http://sunprairiestar.com/main.asp?SectionID=55&SubSectionID=161&ArticleID=8761 Fitzgerald announces Waukesha endorsements |
* [[Bill Kramer]], Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Pro-Temp (Waukesha)<ref name="sunpra2">[http://sunprairiestar.com/main.asp?SectionID=55&SubSectionID=161&ArticleID=8761 "Fitzgerald announces Waukesha endorsements"]. ''Sun Prairie Star''</ref> |
||
* [[Dan Knodl]], Wisconsin Assembly Assistant Assembly Majority Leader (Germantown)<ref name="sunpra"/> |
* [[Dan Knodl]], Wisconsin Assembly Assistant Assembly Majority Leader (Germantown)<ref name="sunpra" />{{failed verification|date=January 2023}} |
||
* [[Joel Kleefisch]], Wisconsin State Representative (Oconomowoc)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Joel Kleefisch]], Wisconsin State Representative (Oconomowoc)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
* [[Don Pridemore]], Wisconsin State Representative (Hartford)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Don Pridemore]], Wisconsin State Representative (Hartford)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
* [[Paul Farrow]], Wisconsin State Representative (Pewaukee)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Paul Farrow]], Wisconsin State Representative (Pewaukee)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
* [[Dale Kooyenga]], Wisconsin State Representative (Brookfield)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Dale Kooyenga]], Wisconsin State Representative (Brookfield)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
* [[Mike Kuglitsch]], Wisconsin State Representative (New Berlin)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Mike Kuglitsch]], Wisconsin State Representative (New Berlin)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
* [[Jim Ott]], Wisconsin State Representative (Brown Deer)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Jim Ott]], Wisconsin State Representative (Brown Deer)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
Line 466: | Line 461: | ||
| title = Eric Hovde |
| title = Eric Hovde |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
* [[Frank Lasee]], Wisconsin State Senator (De Pere)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Frank Lasee]], Wisconsin State Senator (De Pere)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
* [[Leah Vukmir]], Wisconsin State Senator (Wauwatosa)<ref name=sunpra2 /> |
* [[Leah Vukmir]], Wisconsin State Senator (Wauwatosa)<ref name="sunpra2" /> |
||
* [[FreedomWorks]]<ref>{{cite news|url= |
* [[FreedomWorks]]<ref>{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/119549-freedomworks-splits-with-other-conservatives-endorses-hovde-in-wisconsin/ |work=The Hill |title=FreedomWorks splits with other conservatives, endorses Hovde in Wisconsin}}</ref> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
Line 475: | Line 470: | ||
| title = Mark Neumann |
| title = Mark Neumann |
||
| list = |
| list = |
||
* [[Club for Growth]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |title=CFG PAC endorses Kevin Cramer in North Dakota<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=October 12, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111006124727/http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |archive-date=October 6, 2011 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all |
* [[Club for Growth]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |title=CFG PAC endorses Kevin Cramer in North Dakota<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=October 12, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111006124727/http://www.clubforgrowth.org/endorsedcandidates/ |archive-date=October 6, 2011 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* [[Family Research Council]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.frcaction.org/advanced-search|title=FRC Action| |
* [[Family Research Council]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.frcaction.org/advanced-search |title=FRC Action |publisher=[[Family Research Council]]}}</ref> |
||
* [[Rand Paul]], U.S. Senator (KY)<ref>{{cite news |
* [[Rand Paul]], U.S. Senator (KY)<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/11/11/huffpost-fundrace----perr_n_1089105.html |work=The Huffington Post |first=Paul |last=Blumenthal |title=HUFFPOST FUNDRACE -- Perry Spends Big |date=November 11, 2011}}</ref> |
||
* [[Tom Coburn]], U.S. Senator (OK)<ref>{{ |
* [[Tom Coburn]], U.S. Senator (OK)<ref>{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/178441-sen-coburn-endorses-neumann-in-wis-senate-race/ |title=Sen. Coburn endorses Neumann in Wis. Senate race |first=Cameron |last=Joseph |date=November 12, 2011}}</ref> |
||
* [[Jim DeMint]], U.S. Senator (SC)<ref>{{ |
* [[Jim DeMint]], U.S. Senator (SC)<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.rollcall.com/2011/11/28/jim-demint-backs-wisconsin-senate-hopeful-over-tommy-thompson/ |title=Jim DeMint Backs Wisconsin Senate Hopeful Over Tommy Thompson |date=November 28, 2011 |website=Roll Call}}</ref> |
||
* [[Mike Lee]], U.S. Senator (UT)<ref>{{ |
* [[Mike Lee]], U.S. Senator (UT)<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/148022855.html |title=Utah senator endorses Neumann |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]]}}</ref> |
||
* [[Jack Voight]], former Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name=wispol>[http://wispolitics.com/1006/120126_Neumann_100B.pdf WIS Politics] {{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes |
* [[Jack Voight]], former Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name="wispol">[http://wispolitics.com/1006/120126_Neumann_100B.pdf WIS Politics] {{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes}}</ref> |
||
* [[Kurt W. Schuller]], Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name=wispol /> |
* [[Kurt W. Schuller]], Wisconsin State Treasurer<ref name="wispol" /> |
||
* GING PAC, a PAC of Social Conservatives<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race |title=Mark Neumann Wins Two Key Endorsements For Senate Race<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=February 27, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160317014619/http://gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race/ |archive-date=March 17, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all |
* GING PAC, a PAC of Social Conservatives<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race |title=Mark Neumann Wins Two Key Endorsements For Senate Race<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=February 27, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160317014619/http://gingpac.org/mark-neumann-wins-two-key-endorsements-for-senate-race/ |archive-date=March 17, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* [[Pat Toomey]], U.S. Senator (PA)<ref>{{ |
* [[Pat Toomey]], U.S. Senator (PA)<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/161087815.html |title=Neumann endorsed by Sen. Toomey |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]]}}</ref> |
||
* Wisconsin Right to Life<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://wrtl.org/mec/ |title=Wisconsin Right to Life |
* Wisconsin Right to Life<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://wrtl.org/mec/ |title=My Election Central |publisher=Wisconsin Right to Life |access-date=July 23, 2012 |archive-date=July 23, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120723062333/http://www.wrtl.org/mec/ |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
* [[Mark Levin]], Nationally Syndicated Talk Show Host<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://impeachobamatoday.blogspot.com/2012/08/mark-levin-endorses-mark-neumann-for-us.html|title=Impeach McConnell, Boehner, and Cantor Today: Mark Levin endorses Mark Neumann for US Senate in Wisconsin GOP primary, 8/14/12|date=August 6, 2012}}</ref> |
* [[Mark Levin]], Nationally Syndicated Talk Show Host<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://impeachobamatoday.blogspot.com/2012/08/mark-levin-endorses-mark-neumann-for-us.html |title=Impeach McConnell, Boehner, and Cantor Today: Mark Levin endorses Mark Neumann for US Senate in Wisconsin GOP primary, 8/14/12 |date=August 6, 2012}}</ref> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
Line 494: | Line 489: | ||
| list = |
| list = |
||
'''Politicians''' |
'''Politicians''' |
||
* [[Herman Cain]], business executive, radio host, syndicated columnist, former candidate for the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination.<ref>{{Cite |
* [[Herman Cain]], business executive, radio host, syndicated columnist, former candidate for the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination.<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://waukesha.patch.com/articles/herman-cain-stumps-for-tommy-thompson-at-waukesha-rally|title=Herman Cain Stumps for Tommy Thompson at Waukesha Rally|date=August 13, 2012}}</ref> |
||
* [[Newt Gingrich]], former speaker of the House of Representatives, and 2012 presidential candidate<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |title |
* [[Newt Gingrich]], former speaker of the House of Representatives, and 2012 presidential candidate<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |title=Endorsements |access-date=May 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120609045717/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |archive-date=June 9, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* Governor [[Mitch Daniels]] of Indiana<ref name= |
* Governor [[Mitch Daniels]] of Indiana<ref name="tommyforwisconsin endorsements">{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |title=Endorsements<!-- Bot generated title --> |access-date=May 9, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120609045717/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/category/endorsements/ |archive-date=June 9, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* [[Rudy Giuliani]], former mayor of New York City and [[Rudy Giuliani presidential campaign, 2008|2008 Presidential Candidate]]<ref>{{Cite |
* [[Rudy Giuliani]], former mayor of New York City and [[Rudy Giuliani presidential campaign, 2008|2008 Presidential Candidate]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/145021415.html |title=Rudy Giuliani, Milwaukee Police Association backing Tommy Thompson |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]] |author=Don Walker |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150509155522/http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/145021415.html |archive-date=May 9, 2015 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
* [[Lamar Alexander]], U.S. senator from [[Tennessee]]<ref name=rollcall>{{Cite |
* [[Lamar Alexander]], U.S. senator from [[Tennessee]]<ref name="rollcall">{{Cite news |url=http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_60/tommy_thompson_picks_up_senate_endorsements-210366-1.html |title=Tommy Thompson Picks Up Senate Endorsements |author=Abby Livingston |work=Roll Call |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111117002212/http://www.rollcall.com/issues/57_60/tommy_thompson_picks_up_senate_endorsements-210366-1.html |archive-date=November 17, 2011 |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
* [[John Hoeven]], U.S. senator from [[North Dakota]]<ref name=rollcall/> |
* [[John Hoeven]], U.S. senator from [[North Dakota]]<ref name="rollcall" /> |
||
* [[Mike Johanns]], U.S. senator from [[Nebraska]]<ref name=rollcall/> |
* [[Mike Johanns]], U.S. senator from [[Nebraska]]<ref name="rollcall" /> |
||
* [[Jim Risch]], U.S. senator from [[Idaho]]<ref name=rollcall/> |
* [[Jim Risch]], U.S. senator from [[Idaho]]<ref name="rollcall" /> |
||
* [[Mark Andrew Green|Mark Green]], former U.S. representative and former [[ambassador to Tanzania|United States Ambassador to Tanzania]]<ref name="fox11online"/> |
* [[Mark Andrew Green|Mark Green]], former U.S. representative and former [[ambassador to Tanzania|United States Ambassador to Tanzania]]<ref name="fox11online" /> |
||
* [[J.B. Van Hollen]], Wisconsin attorney general<ref name=fox11online/> |
* [[J.B. Van Hollen]], Wisconsin attorney general<ref name="fox11online" /> |
||
* [[Cathy Zeuske]], former Wisconsin state treasurer<ref name=fox11online/> |
* [[Cathy Zeuske]], former Wisconsin state treasurer<ref name="fox11online" /> |
||
* [[Mike Huckabee]], former [[governor of Arkansas]], [[Mike Huckabee presidential campaign, 2008|2008 presidential candidate]] and [[Fox News]] talk show host<ref>{{cite |
* [[Mike Huckabee]], former [[governor of Arkansas]], [[Mike Huckabee presidential campaign, 2008|2008 presidential candidate]] and [[Fox News]] talk show host<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/huckabee-endorses-thompson-slams-club-for-growth-tr3f7ar-135710398.html |title=Huckabee endorses Thompson, slams Club for Growth|date=December 15, 2011 |access-date=December 18, 2011 |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]] |first=Don |last=Walker |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120111234455/http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/huckabee-endorses-thompson-slams-club-for-growth-tr3f7ar-135710398.html |archive-date=January 11, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* [[Scott Klug]], former U.S. representative (WI) |
* [[Scott Klug]], former U.S. representative (WI) |
||
* [[Margaret Farrow]], former lieutenant governor of Wisconsin |
* [[Margaret Farrow]], former lieutenant governor of Wisconsin |
||
* [[Mike Leavitt]], former [[governor of Utah]], former [[Administrator of the EPA]], and former [[Secretary of Health and Human Services]]<ref name=7govs>{{Cite |
* [[Mike Leavitt]], former [[governor of Utah]], former [[Administrator of the EPA]], and former [[Secretary of Health and Human Services]]<ref name="7govs">{{Cite news |url=https://archive.jsonline.com/blogs/news/146970885.html/ |title=Seven former governors endorse Thompson |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]]}}</ref> |
||
* [[John Engler]], former [[governor of Michigan]]<ref name=7govs /> |
* [[John Engler]], former [[governor of Michigan]]<ref name="7govs" /> |
||
* [[Dirk Kempthorne]], former [[governor of Idaho]] and former [[United States Secretary of the Interior|Secretary of the Interior]]<ref name=7govs /> |
* [[Dirk Kempthorne]], former [[governor of Idaho]] and former [[United States Secretary of the Interior|Secretary of the Interior]]<ref name="7govs" /> |
||
* [[Frank Keating]], former [[governor of Oklahoma]]<ref name=7govs /> |
* [[Frank Keating]], former [[governor of Oklahoma]]<ref name="7govs" /> |
||
* [[Tom Ridge]], former [[governor of Pennsylvania]] and former [[Secretary of Homeland Security]]<ref name=7govs /> |
* [[Tom Ridge]], former [[governor of Pennsylvania]] and former [[Secretary of Homeland Security]]<ref name="7govs" /> |
||
* [[Bill Weld]], former [[governor of Massachusetts]]<ref name=7govs /> |
* [[Bill Weld]], former [[governor of Massachusetts]]<ref name="7govs" /> |
||
* [[Bill Graves]], former [[governor of Kansas]]<ref name=7govs /> |
* [[Bill Graves]], former [[governor of Kansas]]<ref name="7govs" /> |
||
* [[Jeb Bush]], former [[Florida governor]]<ref name= |
* [[Jeb Bush]], former [[Florida governor]]<ref name="tommyforwisconsin endorsements" /> |
||
'''Celebrities and political commentators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin |
'''Celebrities and political commentators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list">{{Cite web |url=http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/2012/06/21/see-the-full-list/ |title=See the full list |access-date=July 25, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120725202346/http://www.tommyforwisconsin.com/2012/06/21/see-the-full-list/ |archive-date=July 25, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* [[Ted Nugent]], musician and conservative activist <ref>{{Cite |
* [[Ted Nugent]], musician and conservative activist <ref>{{Cite news |url=http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/144434255.html |title='The Nuge' endorses Tommy Thompson |author=Don Walker |work=[[Milwaukee Journal Sentinel]] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120330015632/http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/144434255.html |archive-date=March 30, 2012 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
* [[Michael Reagan]], author, radio host, and son of President [[Ronald Reagan]] |
* [[Michael Reagan]], author, radio host, and son of President [[Ronald Reagan]] |
||
* [[Dick Morris]], political strategist, author, Fox News analyst, former adviser to President [[Bill Clinton]]<ref>{{Cite |
* [[Dick Morris]], political strategist, author, Fox News analyst, former adviser to President [[Bill Clinton]]<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/buzzfeedpolitics/the-coveted-dick-morris-endorsement |title=The Coveted Dick Morris Endorsement |website=BuzzFeed News |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180811112749/https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/buzzfeedpolitics/the-coveted-dick-morris-endorsement |archive-date=August 11, 2018 |url-status=live}}</ref> |
||
* [[Joe Wurzelbacher]], a.k.a. Joe the Plumber<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |title=Joe the Plumber Supports Thompson Because He 'Gets Stuff Done' - Shor… |archive-url=https://archive.today/20130131032804/http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |archive-date=31 January 2013 |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
* [[Joe Wurzelbacher]], a.k.a. Joe the Plumber<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |title=Joe the Plumber Supports Thompson Because He 'Gets Stuff Done' - Shor… |archive-url=https://archive.today/20130131032804/http://shorewood.patch.com/articles/joe-the-plumber-supports-thompson-because-he-gets-stuff-done |archive-date=31 January 2013 |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
'''Cabinet officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin |
'''Cabinet officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" /> |
||
* [[Donald Rumsfeld]], former Secretary of Defense from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006, former White House chief of staff, and former ambassador |
* [[Donald Rumsfeld]], former Secretary of Defense from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006, former White House chief of staff, and former ambassador |
||
* Donald L. Nelson, former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense |
* Donald L. Nelson, former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense |
||
* Ray Boland, colonel and former Veterans Affairs Secretary |
* Ray Boland, colonel and former Veterans Affairs Secretary |
||
'''State legislators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin |
'''State legislators'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" /> |
||
* [[John Gard]], former Wisconsin Assembly Speaker |
* [[John Gard]], former Wisconsin Assembly Speaker |
||
* State Senator Rob Cowles |
* State Senator Rob Cowles |
||
Line 540: | Line 535: | ||
* [[Van Wanggaard]], former state senator |
* [[Van Wanggaard]], former state senator |
||
'''Political organization officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin |
'''Political organization officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" /> |
||
* [[David Keene]], president of the [[National Rifle Association]] and former chairman of the [[American Conservative Union]]{{ |
* [[David Keene]], president of the [[National Rifle Association of America]] and former chairman of the [[American Conservative Union]]<ref>{{Cite web |last=Byers |first=Dylan |date=25 March 2014 |title=David Keene, the endorsement editor |url=https://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2014/03/david-keene-the-endorsement-editor-185686 |access-date=4 June 2024 |website=[[Politico]]}}</ref> |
||
* Former Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Rick Graber |
* Former Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Rick Graber |
||
* Wisconsin Club for Growth founders Terry and Mary Kohler |
* Wisconsin Club for Growth founders Terry and Mary Kohler |
||
Line 548: | Line 543: | ||
* Republican National Convention co-chairman Mary Buestrin |
* Republican National Convention co-chairman Mary Buestrin |
||
'''Law enforcement officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin |
'''Law enforcement officials'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" /> |
||
* Waukesha County Sheriff Daniel Trawicki |
* Waukesha County Sheriff Daniel Trawicki |
||
* Waukesha County District Attorney [[Brad Schimel]] |
* Waukesha County District Attorney [[Brad Schimel]] |
||
'''Organizations'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin |
'''Organizations'''<ref name="tommyforwisconsin full list" /> |
||
* Wisconsin Right to Life |
* Wisconsin Right to Life |
||
Line 566: | Line 561: | ||
* Wisconsin Health Care Association |
* Wisconsin Health Care Association |
||
* Wisconsin Mortgage Bankers Association |
* Wisconsin Mortgage Bankers Association |
||
* [[GOProud]]<ref>{{Cite web|url= |
* [[GOProud]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements |title=GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc. |date=October 25, 2012 |access-date=September 17, 2017 |archive-date=October 25, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121025012745/http://www.goproud.org/pages/news--press/2012/goproud-announces-u.s.-house-endorsements |url-status=dead}}</ref> |
||
}} |
}} |
||
=== Results === |
=== Results === |
||
[[File:2012 WI US Senate GOP primary.svg|thumb|Results by county |
|||
{{Election box begin no change |
|||
{{collapsible list |
|||
| title = Republican primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov"/> |
|||
| title = {{legend|#d35f5f|Thompson}} |
|||
|{{legend|#e9afaf|20–30%}} |
|||
|{{legend|#de8787|30–40%}} |
|||
|{{legend|#d35f5f|40–50%}} |
|||
|{{legend|#c83737|50–60%}} |
|||
|{{legend|#a02c2c|60–70%}} |
|||
}} |
|||
{{collapsible list |
|||
| title = {{legend|#5f8dd3|Hovde}} |
|||
|{{legend|#87aade|30–40%}} |
|||
|{{legend|#5f8dd3|40–50%}} |
|||
}} |
|||
{{collapsible list |
|||
| title = {{legend|#8dd35f|Neumann}} |
|||
|{{legend|#aade87|30–40%}} |
|||
|{{legend|#8dd35f|40–50%}} |
|||
}} |
|||
]]{{Election box begin no change |
|||
| title = Republican primary results<ref name="gab.wi.gov" /> |
|||
}} |
}} |
||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change |
||
Line 616: | Line 630: | ||
* [[Tammy Baldwin]] (Democratic), U.S. Representative |
* [[Tammy Baldwin]] (Democratic), U.S. Representative |
||
* [[Tommy Thompson]] (Republican), former governor and former [[United States Secretary of Health and Human Services|Secretary of Health and Human Services]] |
* [[Tommy Thompson]] (Republican), former governor and former [[United States Secretary of Health and Human Services|Secretary of Health and Human Services]] |
||
* Joseph Kexel (Libertarian), IT consultant<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/120420_Kexel.pdf|title=Kexel Announces Run for US Senate|date=April 20, 2012|access-date=September 22, 2012| |
* Joseph Kexel (Libertarian), IT consultant<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/120420_Kexel.pdf |title=Kexel Announces Run for US Senate |date=April 20, 2012 |access-date=September 22, 2012 |website=[[Wispolitics.com]] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303231853/http://www.wispolitics.com/1006/120420_Kexel.pdf |archive-date=March 3, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
* Nimrod Allen III ( |
* Nimrod Allen III (independent), consultant and former [[United States Marine Corps|Marine]]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://wispolitics.com/1006/120720_Nimrod_Allen_bio___press_release_7_20.pdf |title=Nimrod Allen III Independent Candidate for U.S. Senate |date=July 20, 2012 |access-date=September 22, 2012 |website=[[Wispolitics.com]] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303173630/http://wispolitics.com/1006/120720_Nimrod_Allen_bio___press_release_7_20.pdf |archive-date=March 3, 2016 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all}}</ref> |
||
=== Debates === |
=== Debates === |
||
Line 654: | Line 668: | ||
| $0 |
| $0 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| colspan=5 | Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref>{{cite web | |
| colspan=5 | Source: [[Federal Election Commission]]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSState.do |title=2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Wisconsin |publisher=[[Federal Election Commission]] |date=November 26, 2012 |access-date=December 19, 2012 }}</ref> |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 716: | Line 730: | ||
| $20,000 |
| $20,000 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| colspan=5 | Source: [[OpenSecrets]]<ref>{{cite web | |
| colspan=5 | Source: [[OpenSecrets]]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=WIS1&spec=N |title=Top Contributors 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate |website=[[OpenSecrets]] |date=March 25, 2013}}</ref> |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 778: | Line 792: | ||
| $138,700 |
| $138,700 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| colspan=5 | Source: [[OpenSecrets]]<ref>{{cite web | |
| colspan=5 | Source: [[OpenSecrets]]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/indus.php?cycle=2012&id=WIS1&spec=N |title=Top Industries 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate |website=[[OpenSecrets]] |date=March 25, 2013}}</ref> |
||
|} |
|} |
||
Line 789: | Line 803: | ||
! As of |
! As of |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [[The Cook Political Report]]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 |website=The Cook Political Report |access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> |
||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
||
| November 1, 2012 |
| November 1, 2012 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Senate |url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2012-senate/ |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball |access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> |
||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} |
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} |
||
| November 5, 2012 |
| November 5, 2012 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Stuart Rothenberg|Rothenberg Political Report]]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Senate Ratings |url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2012-senate-ratings-november-2-2012 |work=Senate Ratings |publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report |access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> |
||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
||
| November 2, 2012 |
| November 2, 2012 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [[Real Clear Politics]]<ref>{{cite web |title=2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012 |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html |publisher=Real Clear Politics |access-date=September 20, 2018}}</ref> |
||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
||
| November 5, 2012 |
| November 5, 2012 |
||
Line 808: | Line 822: | ||
=== Polling === |
=== Polling === |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 818: | Line 832: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 827: | Line 841: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 836: | Line 850: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_1027930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| October 20–23, 2011 |
| October 20–23, 2011 |
||
| 1,170 |
| 1,170 |
||
Line 845: | Line 859: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_49_baldwin_d_42 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| October 26, 2011 |
| October 26, 2011 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 854: | Line 868: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/MLSPFebToplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| February 16–19, 2012 |
| February 16–19, 2012 |
||
| 716 |
| 716 |
||
Line 863: | Line 877: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 23–26, 2012 |
| February 23–26, 2012 |
||
| 900 |
| 900 |
||
Line 872: | Line 886: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_50_baldwin_d_36 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| February 27, 2012 |
| February 27, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 881: | Line 895: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_48_baldwin_d_44 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| March 27, 2012 |
| March 27, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 890: | Line 904: | ||
| 4% |
| 4% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2012/4/13/WI/113/4Y9QW Public Policy Polling] |
||
| April 13–15, 2012 |
| April 13–15, 2012 |
||
| 1,136 |
| 1,136 |
||
Line 899: | Line 913: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_50_baldwin_d_38 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| May 9, 2012 |
| May 9, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 908: | Line 922: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2012/5/11/WI/123/MjpEP Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 11–13, 2012 |
| May 11–13, 2012 |
||
| 851 |
| 851 |
||
Line 917: | Line 931: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_52_baldwin_d_36 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| June 12, 2012 |
| June 12, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 926: | Line 940: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/06/20/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-thompson-leading-u-s-senate-race/ Marquette University] |
||
| June 13–16, 2012 |
| June 13–16, 2012 |
||
| 707 |
| 707 |
||
Line 935: | Line 949: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 1,057 |
| 1,057 |
||
Line 944: | Line 958: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/07/11/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-tighter-u-s-senate-race-and-gop-primary/ Marquette University] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 810 |
| 810 |
||
Line 953: | Line 967: | ||
| 14% |
| 14% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/democrats_baldwin_now_leads_gop_pack_in_wisconsin_senate_race Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| July 25, 2012 |
| July 25, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 962: | Line 976: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/MLSP9_Toplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| August 2–5, 2012 |
| August 2–5, 2012 |
||
| 1,400 |
| 1,400 |
||
Line 971: | Line 985: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 Quinnipiac] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012}} |
||
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
||
| 1,428 |
| 1,428 |
||
Line 980: | Line 994: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_54_baldwin_d_43 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| August 15, 2012 |
| August 15, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 989: | Line 1,003: | ||
| 3% |
| 3% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_082212.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 16–19, 2012 |
| August 16–19, 2012 |
||
| 1,308 |
| 1,308 |
||
Line 998: | Line 1,012: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/08/22/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-tighter-presidential-race-after-ryan-selection/ Marquette University] |
||
| August 16–19, 2012 |
| August 16–19, 2012 |
||
| 576 |
| 576 |
||
Line 1,007: | Line 1,021: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28fl-oh-and-pa%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1789 CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120927101858/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28fl-oh-and-pa%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1789 |date=September 27, 2012}} |
||
| August 15–21, 2012 |
| August 15–21, 2012 |
||
| 1,190 |
| 1,190 |
||
Line 1,016: | Line 1,030: | ||
| 4% |
| 4% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/hhgq32pcmw/Tabs_WI.pdf YouGov] |
||
| September 4–11, 2012 |
| September 4–11, 2012 |
||
| 772 |
| 772 |
||
Line 1,025: | Line 1,039: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://www.scribd.com/doc/106153060/PPP-baldwin-pollResults-9-16-12 Public Policy Polling] |
||
| September 12–13, 2012 |
| September 12–13, 2012 |
||
| 959 |
| 959 |
||
Line 1,034: | Line 1,048: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/MLSP11_Toplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| September 13–16, 2012 |
| September 13–16, 2012 |
||
| 705 |
| 705 |
||
Line 1,043: | Line 1,057: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-(co-va-and-wi)/release-detail?ReleaseID=1799 CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120927031655/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1799 |date=September 27, 2012}} |
||
| September 11–17, 2012 |
| September 11–17, 2012 |
||
| 1,485 |
| 1,485 |
||
Line 1,052: | Line 1,066: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20120930134200/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC_Wisconsin.pdf NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll] |
||
| September 16–18, 2012 |
| September 16–18, 2012 |
||
| 968 |
| 968 |
||
Line 1,061: | Line 1,075: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_92112.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| September 18–19, 2012 |
| September 18–19, 2012 |
||
| 842 |
| 842 |
||
Line 1,070: | Line 1,084: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20120927023248/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/09/24/big-cheese/ We Ask America] |
||
| September 20–23, 2012 |
| September 20–23, 2012 |
||
| 1,238 |
| 1,238 |
||
Line 1,079: | Line 1,093: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/MLSP12_Toplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| September 27–30, 2012 |
| September 27–30, 2012 |
||
| 894 |
| 894 |
||
Line 1,088: | Line 1,102: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VAWI_1008.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| October 4–6, 2012 |
| October 4–6, 2012 |
||
| 979 |
| 979 |
||
Line 1,097: | Line 1,111: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20121116155843/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-(co-va-and-wi)/release-detail?ReleaseID=1804 CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac] |
||
| October 4–9, 2012 |
| October 4–9, 2012 |
||
| 1,327 |
| 1,327 |
||
Line 1,106: | Line 1,120: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_baldwin_d_51_thompson_r_47 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| October 9, 2012 |
| October 9, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,115: | Line 1,129: | ||
| 2% |
| 2% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/3v4uqe77wv/ygTabs_october_WI.pdf YouGov] |
||
| October 4–11, 2012 |
| October 4–11, 2012 |
||
| 639 |
| 639 |
||
Line 1,124: | Line 1,138: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/MLSP13_Toplines_Likely.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| October 11–14, 2012 |
| October 11–14, 2012 |
||
| 870 |
| 870 |
||
Line 1,133: | Line 1,147: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20121019023551/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-Wisconsin-October-18.pdf NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll] |
||
| October 15–17, 2012 |
| October 15–17, 2012 |
||
| 1,013 |
| 1,013 |
||
Line 1,142: | Line 1,156: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/10/22/obama_romney_neck-and-neck_in_wisconsin_115888.html Mason-Dixon] |
||
| October 15–17, 2012 |
| October 15–17, 2012 |
||
| 625 |
| 625 |
||
Line 1,151: | Line 1,165: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_48_baldwin_d_46 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| October 18, 2012 |
| October 18, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,160: | Line 1,174: | ||
| 3% |
| 3% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20121027180446/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/2012.10.22_Wisconsin.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion] |
||
| October 18–20, 2012 |
| October 18–20, 2012 |
||
| 502 |
| 502 |
||
Line 1,169: | Line 1,183: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| October 25, 2012 |
| October 25, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,178: | Line 1,192: | ||
| 4% |
| 4% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/10/31/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-obama-ahead-in-wisconsin-baldwin-with-slight-edge-in-close-senate-race/ Marquette University] |
||
| October 25–28, 2012 |
| October 25–28, 2012 |
||
| 1,243 |
| 1,243 |
||
Line 1,187: | Line 1,201: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.snc.edu/sri/docs/2012/2012wisconsinsurvey.pdf St. Norbert College] |
||
| October 25–29, 2012 |
| October 25–29, 2012 |
||
| 402 |
| 402 |
||
Line 1,196: | Line 1,210: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| October 29, 2012 |
| October 29, 2012 |
||
| 750 |
| 750 |
||
Line 1,205: | Line 1,219: | ||
| 2% |
| 2% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20121102153808/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/Wisconsin_poll.pdf NBC/WSJ/Marist] |
||
| October 31, 2012 |
| October 31, 2012 |
||
| 1,065 |
| 1,065 |
||
Line 1,214: | Line 1,228: | ||
| 1% |
| 1% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20121103235512/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/11/02/hot-off-the-presses-2/ WeAskAmerica] |
||
| October 31 – November 1, 2012 |
| October 31 – November 1, 2012 |
||
| 1,210 |
| 1,210 |
||
Line 1,223: | Line 1,237: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/xtp9j3rspl/ygTabs_november_likelyvoters_WI.pdf YouGov] |
||
| October 31 – November 3, 2012 |
| October 31 – November 3, 2012 |
||
| 1,225 |
| 1,225 |
||
Line 1,232: | Line 1,246: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://web.archive.org/web/20121115043047/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/2012.11.05_Wisconsin.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion] |
||
| November 1–3, 2012 |
| November 1–3, 2012 |
||
| 482 |
| 482 |
||
Line 1,241: | Line 1,255: | ||
| — |
| — |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_PAWI_1103.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| November 2–3, 2012 |
| November 2–3, 2012 |
||
| 1,256 |
| 1,256 |
||
Line 1,257: | Line 1,271: | ||
;with Tammy Baldwin |
;with Tammy Baldwin |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,267: | Line 1,281: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,276: | Line 1,290: | ||
| 15% |
| 15% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_1027930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| October 20–23, 2011 |
| October 20–23, 2011 |
||
| 1,170 |
| 1,170 |
||
Line 1,285: | Line 1,299: | ||
| 16% |
| 16% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_49_baldwin_d_42 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| October 26, 2011 |
| October 26, 2011 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,295: | Line 1,309: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/MLSPFebToplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| February 16–19, 2012 |
| February 16–19, 2012 |
||
| 716 |
| 716 |
||
Line 1,304: | Line 1,318: | ||
| 15% |
| 15% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 23–26, 2012 |
| February 23–26, 2012 |
||
| 900 |
| 900 |
||
Line 1,313: | Line 1,327: | ||
| 14% |
| 14% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_50_baldwin_d_36 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| February 27, 2012 |
| February 27, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,322: | Line 1,336: | ||
| 15% |
| 15% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_48_baldwin_d_44 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| March 27, 2012 |
| March 27, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,331: | Line 1,345: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2012/4/13/WI/113/4Y9QW Public Policy Polling] |
||
| April 13–15, 2012 |
| April 13–15, 2012 |
||
| 1,136 |
| 1,136 |
||
Line 1,340: | Line 1,354: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_50_baldwin_d_38 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| May 9, 2012 |
| May 9, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,349: | Line 1,363: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| June 12, 2012 |
| June 12, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,358: | Line 1,372: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/06/20/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-thompson-leading-u-s-senate-race/ Marquette University] |
||
| June 13–16, 2012 |
| June 13–16, 2012 |
||
| 707 |
| 707 |
||
Line 1,367: | Line 1,381: | ||
| 16% |
| 16% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 1,057 |
| 1,057 |
||
Line 1,376: | Line 1,390: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/07/11/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-tighter-u-s-senate-race-and-gop-primary/ Marquette University] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 810 |
| 810 |
||
Line 1,385: | Line 1,399: | ||
| 20% |
| 20% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| July 25, 2012 |
| July 25, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,394: | Line 1,408: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/MLSP9_Toplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| August 2–5, 2012 |
| August 2–5, 2012 |
||
| 1,400 |
| 1,400 |
||
Line 1,403: | Line 1,417: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 Quinnipiac] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012}} |
||
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
||
| 1,428 |
| 1,428 |
||
Line 1,415: | Line 1,429: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,425: | Line 1,439: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2012/5/11/WI/123/MjpEP Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 11–13, 2012 |
| May 11–13, 2012 |
||
| 851 |
| 851 |
||
Line 1,434: | Line 1,448: | ||
| 14% |
| 14% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| June 12, 2012 |
| June 12, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,443: | Line 1,457: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/06/20/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-thompson-leading-u-s-senate-race/ Marquette University] |
||
| June 13–16, 2012 |
| June 13–16, 2012 |
||
| 707 |
| 707 |
||
Line 1,452: | Line 1,466: | ||
| 19% |
| 19% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 1,057 |
| 1,057 |
||
Line 1,461: | Line 1,475: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/07/11/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-tighter-u-s-senate-race-and-gop-primary/ Marquette University] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 810 |
| 810 |
||
Line 1,470: | Line 1,484: | ||
| 18% |
| 18% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| July 25, 2012 |
| July 25, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,479: | Line 1,493: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/MLSP9_Toplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| August 2–5, 2012 |
| August 2–5, 2012 |
||
| 1,400 |
| 1,400 |
||
Line 1,488: | Line 1,502: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 Quinnipiac] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012}} |
||
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
||
| 1,428 |
| 1,428 |
||
Line 1,500: | Line 1,514: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,510: | Line 1,524: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,519: | Line 1,533: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 1,528: | Line 1,542: | ||
| 15% |
| 15% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_1027930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| October 20–23, 2011 |
| October 20–23, 2011 |
||
| 1,170 |
| 1,170 |
||
Line 1,537: | Line 1,551: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_49_baldwin_d_42 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| October 26, 2011 |
| October 26, 2011 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,546: | Line 1,560: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/MLSPFebToplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| February 16–19, 2012 |
| February 16–19, 2012 |
||
| 716 |
| 716 |
||
Line 1,556: | Line 1,570: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 23–26, 2012 |
| February 23–26, 2012 |
||
| 900 |
| 900 |
||
Line 1,565: | Line 1,579: | ||
| 12% |
| 12% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_50_baldwin_d_36 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| February 27, 2012 |
| February 27, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,574: | Line 1,588: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_48_baldwin_d_44 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| March 27, 2012 |
| March 27, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,583: | Line 1,597: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2012/4/13/WI/113/4Y9QW Public Policy Polling] |
||
| April 13–15, 2012 |
| April 13–15, 2012 |
||
| 1,136 |
| 1,136 |
||
Line 1,592: | Line 1,606: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/wisconsin/wisconsin_senate_thompson_r_50_baldwin_d_38 Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| May 9, 2012 |
| May 9, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,601: | Line 1,615: | ||
| 9% |
| 9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2012/5/11/WI/123/MjpEP Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 11–13, 2012 |
| May 11–13, 2012 |
||
| 851 |
| 851 |
||
Line 1,610: | Line 1,624: | ||
| 12% |
| 12% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| June 12, 2012 |
| June 12, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,619: | Line 1,633: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/06/20/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-thompson-leading-u-s-senate-race/ Marquette University] |
||
| June 13–16, 2012 |
| June 13–16, 2012 |
||
| 707 |
| 707 |
||
Line 1,628: | Line 1,642: | ||
| 12% |
| 12% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_070912.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 1,057 |
| 1,057 |
||
Line 1,637: | Line 1,651: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2012/07/11/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-tighter-u-s-senate-race-and-gop-primary/ Marquette University] |
||
| July 5–8, 2012 |
| July 5–8, 2012 |
||
| 810 |
| 810 |
||
Line 1,646: | Line 1,660: | ||
| 17% |
| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_senate_elections/wisconsin/election_2012_wisconsin_senate Rasmussen Reports] |
||
| July 25, 2012 |
| July 25, 2012 |
||
| 500 |
| 500 |
||
Line 1,655: | Line 1,669: | ||
| 8% |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/MLSP9_Toplines.pdf Marquette University] |
||
| August 2–5, 2012 |
| August 2–5, 2012 |
||
| 1,400 |
| 1,400 |
||
Line 1,664: | Line 1,678: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 Quinnipiac] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120913072521/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1786 |date=September 13, 2012}} |
||
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
| July 31 – August 6, 2012 |
||
| 1,428 |
| 1,428 |
||
Line 1,675: | Line 1,689: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,685: | Line 1,699: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,698: | Line 1,712: | ||
;with Russ Feingold |
;with Russ Feingold |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,708: | Line 1,722: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,719: | Line 1,733: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,729: | Line 1,743: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 1,738: | Line 1,752: | ||
| 5% |
| 5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,747: | Line 1,761: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_03020330.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 24–27, 2011 |
| February 24–27, 2011 |
||
| 768 |
| 768 |
||
Line 1,758: | Line 1,772: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,768: | Line 1,782: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1214913.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| December 10–12, 2010 |
| December 10–12, 2010 |
||
| 702 |
| 702 |
||
Line 1,777: | Line 1,791: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_03020330.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 24–27, 2011 |
| February 24–27, 2011 |
||
| 768 |
| 768 |
||
Line 1,788: | Line 1,802: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,798: | Line 1,812: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1214913.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| December 10–12, 2010 |
| December 10–12, 2010 |
||
| 702 |
| 702 |
||
Line 1,807: | Line 1,821: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,816: | Line 1,830: | ||
| 6% |
| 6% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 1,827: | Line 1,841: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,837: | Line 1,851: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1214913.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| December 10–12, 2010 |
| December 10–12, 2010 |
||
| 702 |
| 702 |
||
Line 1,846: | Line 1,860: | ||
| 7% |
| 7% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_03020330.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 24–27, 2011 |
| February 24–27, 2011 |
||
| 768 |
| 768 |
||
Line 1,855: | Line 1,869: | ||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,867: | Line 1,881: | ||
;with Steve Kagen |
;with Steve Kagen |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,877: | Line 1,891: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,888: | Line 1,902: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,898: | Line 1,912: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,907: | Line 1,921: | ||
| 17% |
| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 1,918: | Line 1,932: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,928: | Line 1,942: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,937: | Line 1,951: | ||
| 13% |
| 13% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 1,948: | Line 1,962: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,958: | Line 1,972: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,970: | Line 1,984: | ||
;with Ron Kind |
;with Ron Kind |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 1,980: | Line 1,994: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 1,991: | Line 2,005: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 2,001: | Line 2,015: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 2,010: | Line 2,024: | ||
| 16% |
| 16% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 2,021: | Line 2,035: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 2,031: | Line 2,045: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 2,040: | Line 2,054: | ||
| 12% |
| 12% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0818424.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| August 12–14, 2011 |
| August 12–14, 2011 |
||
| 830 |
| 830 |
||
Line 2,051: | Line 2,065: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 2,061: | Line 2,075: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0524930.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| May 19–22, 2011 |
| May 19–22, 2011 |
||
| 1,636 |
| 1,636 |
||
Line 2,073: | Line 2,087: | ||
;with Herb Kohl |
;with Herb Kohl |
||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 2,083: | Line 2,097: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_03020330.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 24–27, 2011 |
| February 24–27, 2011 |
||
| 768 |
| 768 |
||
Line 2,094: | Line 2,108: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 2,104: | Line 2,118: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1214913.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| December 10–12, 2010 |
| December 10–12, 2010 |
||
| 702 |
| 702 |
||
Line 2,113: | Line 2,127: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_03020330.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 24–27, 2011 |
| February 24–27, 2011 |
||
| 768 |
| 768 |
||
Line 2,124: | Line 2,138: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 2,134: | Line 2,148: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1214913.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| December 10–12, 2010 |
| December 10–12, 2010 |
||
| 702 |
| 702 |
||
Line 2,145: | Line 2,159: | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
||
|- |
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
! {{Small|Date(s)<br />administered}} |
||
Line 2,155: | Line 2,169: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1214913.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| December 10–12, 2010 |
| December 10–12, 2010 |
||
| 702 |
| 702 |
||
Line 2,164: | Line 2,178: | ||
| 11% |
| 11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="text-align:left" | [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_03020330.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
||
| February 24–27, 2011 |
| February 24–27, 2011 |
||
| 768 |
| 768 |
||
Line 2,175: | Line 2,189: | ||
{{hidden end}} |
{{hidden end}} |
||
==Results== |
===Results=== |
||
{{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2012<ref> |
{{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2012<ref>{{cite web |url=https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Amended%20Percentage%20Results-11.6.12%20President.pdf |title=Canvass Results for 2012 Presidential and General Election - 11/6/2012 |publisher=G.A.B. Canvass Reporting System |archive-date=October 14, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161014235045/https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Amended%20Percentage%20Results-11.6.12%20President.pdf |url-status=dead}}</ref>}} |
||
|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161014235045/https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Amended%20Percentage%20Results-11.6.12%20President.pdf}}</ref>}} |
|||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link |
{{Election box winning candidate with party link |
||
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
||
Line 2,185: | Line 2,198: | ||
| change = -15.90% |
| change = -15.90% |
||
}} |
}} |
||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=[[Tommy Thompson]]|votes=1,380,126|percentage=45.86%|change=+16.38%}} |
||
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Joseph Kexel|votes=62,240|percentage=2.07%|change=N/A}} |
|||
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent (United States)|candidate=Nimrod Allen, III|votes=16,455|percentage=0.55%|change=N/A}} |
|||
| candidate = [[Tommy Thompson]] |
|||
| votes = 1,380,126 |
|||
| percentage = 45.86% |
|||
| change = +16.38% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Independent (United States) |
|||
| candidate = Joseph Kexel |
|||
| votes = 62,240 |
|||
| percentage = 2.07% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Independent (United States) |
|||
| candidate = Nimrod Allen, III |
|||
| votes = 16,455 |
|||
| percentage = 0.55% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box write-in with party link |
{{Election box write-in with party link |
||
| votes = 3,486 |
| votes = 3,486 |
||
Line 2,220: | Line 2,215: | ||
}} |
}} |
||
{{Election box end}} |
{{Election box end}} |
||
====Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican==== |
|||
* [[Barron County, Wisconsin|Barron]] (largest city: [[Rice Lake, Wisconsin|Rice Lake]]) |
|||
* [[Brown County, Wisconsin|Brown]] (largest city: [[Green Bay, Wisconsin|Green Bay]]) |
|||
* [[Burnett County, Wisconsin|Burnett]] (largest village: [[Grantsburg, Wisconsin|Grantsburg]]) |
|||
* [[Calumet County, Wisconsin|Calumet]] (largest city: [[Chilton, Wisconsin|Chilton]]) |
|||
* [[Clark County, Wisconsin|Clark]] (largest city: [[Neillsville, Wisconsin|Neillsville]]) |
|||
* [[Iron County, Wisconsin|Iron]] (largest city: [[Hurley, Wisconsin|Hurley]]) |
|||
* [[Jefferson County, Wisconsin|Jefferson]] (largest city: [[Watertown, Wisconsin|Watertown]]) |
|||
* [[Kewaunee County, Wisconsin|Kewaunee]] (largest city: [[Algoma, Wisconsin|Algoma]]) |
|||
* [[Langlade County, Wisconsin|Langlade]] (largest city: [[Antigo, Wisconsin|Antigo]]) |
|||
* [[Manitowoc County, Wisconsin|Manitowoc]] (largest city: [[Manitowoc, Wisconsin|Manitowoc]]) |
|||
* [[Marathon County, Wisconsin|Marathon]] (largest city: [[Wausau, Wisconsin|Wausau]]) |
|||
* [[Marinette County, Wisconsin|Marinette]] (largest city: [[Marinette, Wisconsin|Marinette]]) |
|||
* [[Monroe County, Wisconsin|Monroe]] (largest city: [[Sparta, Wisconsin|Sparta]]) |
|||
* [[Oconto County, Wisconsin|Oconto]] (largest city: [[Oconto, Wisconsin|Oconto]]) |
|||
* [[Oneida County, Wisconsin|Oneida]] (largest city: [[Rhinelander, Wisconsin|Rhinelander]]) |
|||
* [[Outagamie County, Wisconsin|Outagamie]] (largest city: [[Appleton, Wisconsin|Appleton]]) |
|||
* [[Rusk County, Wisconsin|Rusk]] (largest city: [[Ladysmith, Wisconsin|Ladysmith]]) |
|||
* [[Shawano County, Wisconsin|Shawano]] (largest city: [[Shawano, Wisconsin|Shawano]]) |
|||
* [[Washburn County, Wisconsin|Washburn]] (largest city: [[Spooner, Wisconsin|Spooner]]) |
|||
* [[Waupaca County, Wisconsin|Waupaca]] (largest city: [[New London, Wisconsin|New London]]) |
|||
* [[Waushara County, Wisconsin|Waushara]] (largest city: [[Berlin, Wisconsin|Berlin]]) |
|||
*[[Adams County, Wisconsin|Adams]] (largest city: [[Adams, Wisconsin|Adams]]) |
|||
*[[Marquette County, Wisconsin|Marquette]] (largest city: [[Montello, Wisconsin|Montello]]) |
|||
*[[Polk County, Wisconsin|Polk]] (Largest city: [[Amery, Wisconsin|Amery]]) |
|||
*[[Sheboygan County, Wisconsin|Sheboygan]] (Largest city: [[Sheboygan, Wisconsin|Sheboygan]]) |
|||
*[[St. Croix County, Wisconsin|St. Croix]] (Largest city: [[Hudson, Wisconsin|Hudson]]) |
|||
*[[Taylor County, Wisconsin|Taylor]] (Largest city: [[Medford, Wisconsin|Medford]]) |
|||
*[[Florence County, Wisconsin|Florence]] (Largest city: [[Florence (town), Wisconsin|Florence]]) |
|||
*[[Vilas County, Wisconsin|Vilas]] (Largest city: [[Eagle River, Wisconsin|Eagle River]]) |
|||
*[[Fond du Lac County, Wisconsin|Fond du Lac]] (Largest city: [[Fond du Lac, Wisconsin|Fond du Lac]]) |
|||
*[[Green Lake County, Wisconsin|Green Lake]] (Largest city: [[Green Lake, Wisconsin|Green Lake]]) |
|||
*[[Dodge County, Wisconsin|Dodge]] (Largest city: [[Juneau, Wisconsin|Juneau]]) |
|||
*[[Ozaukee County, Wisconsin|Ozaukee]] (Largest city: [[Mequon, Wisconsin|Mequon]]) |
|||
*[[Walworth County, Wisconsin|Walworth]] (Largest city: [[Whitewater, Wisconsin|Whitewater]]) |
|||
*[[Washington County, Wisconsin|Washington]] (Largest city: [[West Bend, Wisconsin|West Bend]]) |
|||
*[[Waukesha County, Wisconsin|Waukesha]] (Largest city: [[Waukesha, Wisconsin|Waukesha]]) |
|||
===By congressional districts=== |
|||
Despite losing the state, Thompson won 5 of 8 congressional districts.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2013/07/09/1220127/-Daily-Kos-Elections-2012-election-results-by-congressional-and-legislative-districts |title=Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts |website=Daily Kos |access-date=11 August 2020}}</ref> |
|||
{|class=wikitable |
|||
|- |
|||
! District |
|||
! Thompson |
|||
! Baldwin |
|||
! Representative |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|1|1st}} |
|||
| '''50.61%''' |
|||
| 46.56% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Paul Ryan]] |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|2|2nd}} |
|||
| 32.28% |
|||
| '''65.82%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Mark Pocan]] |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|3|3rd}} |
|||
| 44.31% |
|||
| '''52.77%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Ron Kind]] |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|4|4th}} |
|||
| 25.15% |
|||
| '''72.93%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Gwen Moore]] |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|5|5th}} |
|||
| '''61.06%''' |
|||
| 36.68% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Jim Sensenbrenner]] |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|6|6th}} |
|||
| '''52.93%''' |
|||
| 44.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Tom Petri]] |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|7|7th}} |
|||
| '''48.93%''' |
|||
| 48.06% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Sean Duffy]] |
|||
|- style="text-align:center" |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Wisconsin|8|8th}} |
|||
| '''50.21%''' |
|||
| 46.63% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Reid Ribble]] |
|||
|} |
|||
==Aftermath== |
==Aftermath== |
||
Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of the [[Republican Party of Wisconsin|Wisconsin Republican Party]], partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: "[Thompson] blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. [Baldwin] piled on immediately." He claimed "If [Thompson] hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/can-republicans-avoid-the-next-todd-akin-20130926|title=Can Republicans Avoid the Next Todd Akin?|work=National Journal|author=Alex Roarty|date=September 26, 2013|access-date=September 30, 2013}}</ref> |
Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of the [[Republican Party of Wisconsin|Wisconsin Republican Party]], partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: "[Thompson] blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. [Baldwin] piled on immediately." He claimed "If [Thompson] hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/can-republicans-avoid-the-next-todd-akin-20130926 |title=Can Republicans Avoid the Next Todd Akin? |work=National Journal |author=Alex Roarty |date=September 26, 2013 |access-date=September 30, 2013}}</ref> |
||
==See also== |
==See also== |
||
Line 2,233: | Line 2,317: | ||
==External links== |
==External links== |
||
* [http://gab.wi.gov/elections-voting Elections & Voting] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121107175743/http://gab.wi.gov/elections-voting |date=November 7, 2012 |
* [http://gab.wi.gov/elections-voting Elections & Voting] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121107175743/http://gab.wi.gov/elections-voting |date=November 7, 2012}} at the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board |
||
* [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=WIS1&cycle=2012 Campaign contributions] at [[OpenSecrets.org]] |
* [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=WIS1&cycle=2012 Campaign contributions] at [[OpenSecrets.org]] |
||
* [http://reporting.sunlightfoundation.com/outside-spending/race_detail/S/WI/00/ Outside spending] at [[Sunlight Foundation]] |
* [http://reporting.sunlightfoundation.com/outside-spending/race_detail/S/WI/00/ Outside spending] at [[Sunlight Foundation]] |
Latest revision as of 10:44, 27 June 2024
| |||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 72.5% (voting eligible)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
Baldwin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Thompson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Wisconsin |
---|
The 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Herb Kohl retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since 1988, when Kohl won his first term.
Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former Wisconsin Governor and U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson, who won with a plurality in a four-way primary race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openly gay U.S. senator in history. This is also the only time Thompson lost a statewide race.
Background
[edit]Incumbent Democratic senator Herb Kohl was re-elected to a fourth term in 2006, beating Republican attorney Robert Lorge by 67% to 30%. Kohl's lack of fundraising suggested his potential retirement.[2] There was speculation that Kohl might decide to retire to allow Russ Feingold, who lost his re-election bid in 2010, to run again, although Mike Tate, chairman of the Wisconsin Democratic Party, dismissed speculation about Kohl's potential retirement.[3] Ultimately, Kohl announced in May 2011 that he would not run for re-election in 2012.
Democratic primary
[edit]Despite speculation that Kohl would retire to make way for his former Senate colleague Russ Feingold, who had been unseated in 2010, Feingold chose not to enter the race. Other potential candidates also declined to run, so Baldwin was unopposed in the Democratic primary.
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Tammy Baldwin, U.S. representative[4]
Declined
[edit]- Tom Barrett, mayor of Milwaukee[5]
- Kathleen Falk, former Dane County executive[6]
- Russ Feingold, former U.S. senator[7]
- Steve Kagen, former U.S. representative[8]
- Ron Kind, U.S. representative[9]
- Herb Kohl, incumbent U.S. senator[10][11]
- Gwen Moore, U.S. representative[12]
- Tim Sullivan, businessman[13]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin |
Jon Erpenbach |
Russ Feingold |
Kathleen Falk |
Steve Kagen |
Ron Kind |
Barbara Lawton |
Gwen Moore |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 783 | ±3.5% | 12% | 5% | 70% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
30% | 13% | — | 4% | 17% | 16% | 3% | 6% | 12% | ||||
Magellan Strategies | July 12–13, 2011 | 627 | ±3.9% | 46% | — | — | — | 21% | — | — | — | 33% |
41% | — | — | — | — | 19% | — | — | 40% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 387 | ±5% | 48% | — | — | — | 19% | — | — | — | 33% |
37% | — | — | — | 15% | 21% | — | — | 27% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Baldwin | 185,265 | 99.77 | |
Democratic | Write ins | 424 | 0.23 | |
Total votes | 185,689 | 100 |
Republican primary
[edit]Congressman and House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan stated he would not run if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired.[15] Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run.[16] He was later chosen as the Republican nominee for vice president by presidential nominee Mitt Romney.
Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight. Although a large majority of Republican primary voters consistently expressed a preference for a nominee "more conservative" than Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde and Mark Neumann split the conservative vote, allowing Thompson to narrowly prevail with a plurality of the vote.[17]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Jeff Fitzgerald, Speaker of the Wisconsin State Assembly[18]
- Eric Hovde, businessman[19]
- Mark Neumann, former U.S. representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1998, and candidate for governor in 2010[20][21]
- Tommy Thompson, former governor of Wisconsin and former secretary of Health and Human Services[22]
Withdrew
[edit]- Frank Lasee, state senator[23] (endorsed Eric Hovde)
- Kip Smith, physical therapist[24]
Declined
[edit]- Mark Andrew Green, former U.S. representative and former United States ambassador to Tanzania[25]
- Theodore Kanavas, former state senator[26]
- Paul Ryan, U.S. representative[27]
- Tim Sullivan, businessman[13]
- J. B. Van Hollen, Wisconsin attorney general[28]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Fitzgerald |
Eric Hovde |
Mark Neumann |
Tommy Thompson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 8–9, 2012 | 557 | ± 4.2% | 15% | 27% | 24% | 25% | 9% |
Marquette University | August 2–5, 2012 | 519 | ± 4.4% | 13% | 20% | 18% | 28% | 7% |
We Ask America | July 31, 2012 | 1,237 | ± 2.8% | 12% | 23% | 17% | 23% | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | July 30–31, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 13% | 28% | 25% | 25% | 9% |
— | 33% | 27% | 30% | 10% | ||||
Marquette University | July 5–8, 2012 | 432 | ± 4.8% | 6% | 23% | 10% | 35% | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | 564 | ± 4.1% | 9% | 31% | 15% | 29% | 16% |
OnMessage Inc.+ | June 26–27, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 7% | 29% | 16% | 34% | 14% |
Marquette University | June 13–16, 2012 | 344 | ± 5.4% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 34% | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | March 31–April 1, 2012 | 609 | ± 4.0% | 18% | — | 25% | 38% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling | February 23–26, 2012 | 556 | ± 4.2% | 22% | — | 22% | 39% | 17% |
32% | — | 42% | — | 26% | ||||
37% | — | — | 46% | 17% | ||||
— | — | 36% | 46% | 18% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 21% | — | 29% | 35% | 11% |
— | — | 39% | 43% | 17% | ||||
28% | — | 44% | — | 28% | ||||
35% | — | — | 47% | 17% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 362 | ± 5.2% | — | — | 39% | 47% | 13% |
Magellan Strategies | July 12–13, 2011 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 15% | — | 26% | 41% | 18% |
— | — | 36% | 44% | 20% |
- + Commissioned by Eric Hovde
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tommy Thompson |
Someone more conservative |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 30–31, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 29% | 58% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | 564 | ± 4.1% | 34% | 50% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | February 23–26, 2012 | 556 | ± 4.2% | 37% | 47% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 51% | 14% |
Endorsements
[edit]- Scott Suder, Wisconsin Assembly Majority Leader (Abbotsford)[29][failed verification]
- Robin Vos, Wisconsin Assembly Finance Chair (Rochester)[29][failed verification]
- Joan Ballweg, Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Chair (Markesan)[29][failed verification]
- Mary Williams, Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Secretary (Medford)[29][failed verification]
- Samantha Kerkman, Wisconsin Assembly Caucus Sergeant at Arms (Randall)[29][failed verification]
- Bill Kramer, Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Pro-Temp (Waukesha)[30]
- Dan Knodl, Wisconsin Assembly Assistant Assembly Majority Leader (Germantown)[29][failed verification]
- Joel Kleefisch, Wisconsin State Representative (Oconomowoc)[30]
- Don Pridemore, Wisconsin State Representative (Hartford)[30]
- Paul Farrow, Wisconsin State Representative (Pewaukee)[30]
- Dale Kooyenga, Wisconsin State Representative (Brookfield)[30]
- Mike Kuglitsch, Wisconsin State Representative (New Berlin)[30]
- Jim Ott, Wisconsin State Representative (Brown Deer)[30]
- Frank Lasee, Wisconsin State Senator (De Pere)[30]
- Leah Vukmir, Wisconsin State Senator (Wauwatosa)[30]
- FreedomWorks[31]
- Club for Growth[32]
- Family Research Council[33]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (KY)[34]
- Tom Coburn, U.S. Senator (OK)[35]
- Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator (SC)[36]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator (UT)[37]
- Jack Voight, former Wisconsin State Treasurer[38]
- Kurt W. Schuller, Wisconsin State Treasurer[38]
- GING PAC, a PAC of Social Conservatives[39]
- Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator (PA)[40]
- Wisconsin Right to Life[41]
- Mark Levin, Nationally Syndicated Talk Show Host[42]
Politicians
- Herman Cain, business executive, radio host, syndicated columnist, former candidate for the 2012 U.S. Republican Party presidential nomination.[43]
- Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the House of Representatives, and 2012 presidential candidate[44]
- Governor Mitch Daniels of Indiana[45]
- Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City and 2008 Presidential Candidate[46]
- Lamar Alexander, U.S. senator from Tennessee[47]
- John Hoeven, U.S. senator from North Dakota[47]
- Mike Johanns, U.S. senator from Nebraska[47]
- Jim Risch, U.S. senator from Idaho[47]
- Mark Green, former U.S. representative and former United States Ambassador to Tanzania[25]
- J.B. Van Hollen, Wisconsin attorney general[25]
- Cathy Zeuske, former Wisconsin state treasurer[25]
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas, 2008 presidential candidate and Fox News talk show host[48]
- Scott Klug, former U.S. representative (WI)
- Margaret Farrow, former lieutenant governor of Wisconsin
- Mike Leavitt, former governor of Utah, former Administrator of the EPA, and former Secretary of Health and Human Services[49]
- John Engler, former governor of Michigan[49]
- Dirk Kempthorne, former governor of Idaho and former Secretary of the Interior[49]
- Frank Keating, former governor of Oklahoma[49]
- Tom Ridge, former governor of Pennsylvania and former Secretary of Homeland Security[49]
- Bill Weld, former governor of Massachusetts[49]
- Bill Graves, former governor of Kansas[49]
- Jeb Bush, former Florida governor[45]
Celebrities and political commentators[50]
- Ted Nugent, musician and conservative activist [51]
- Michael Reagan, author, radio host, and son of President Ronald Reagan
- Dick Morris, political strategist, author, Fox News analyst, former adviser to President Bill Clinton[52]
- Joe Wurzelbacher, a.k.a. Joe the Plumber[53]
Cabinet officials[50]
- Donald Rumsfeld, former Secretary of Defense from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006, former White House chief of staff, and former ambassador
- Donald L. Nelson, former deputy assistant Secretary of Defense
- Ray Boland, colonel and former Veterans Affairs Secretary
State legislators[50]
- John Gard, former Wisconsin Assembly Speaker
- State Senator Rob Cowles
- State Senator Mike Ellis
- Rep. Evan Wynn (Whitewater)
- Rep. Joseph Knilans (Janesville)
- State Senator Sheila Harsdorf
- State Senator Luther Olsen
- State Senator Dale Schultz
- State Senator Jerry Petrowski
- Van Wanggaard, former state senator
Political organization officials[50]
- David Keene, president of the National Rifle Association of America and former chairman of the American Conservative Union[54]
- Former Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Rick Graber
- Wisconsin Club for Growth founders Terry and Mary Kohler
- Former Wisconsin Federation of Republican Women President Sue Lynch
- Former Wisconsin Federation of Republican Women President Ginny Marschman
- Republican National Convention co-chairman Mary Buestrin
Law enforcement officials[50]
- Waukesha County Sheriff Daniel Trawicki
- Waukesha County District Attorney Brad Schimel
Organizations[50]
- Wisconsin Right to Life
- Dairy Business Association
- Wisconsin Corn Growers Association
- Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation
- Milwaukee Police Association
- Milwaukee Police Supervisors Organization
- Milwaukee Professional Firefighters Association
- Wisconsin Grocers Association
- Wisconsin Restaurant Association
- Chiropractic Society of Wisconsin
- Wisconsin Health Care Association
- Wisconsin Mortgage Bankers Association
- GOProud[55]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tommy Thompson | 197,928 | 34.0 | |
Republican | Eric Hovde | 179,557 | 30.8 | |
Republican | Mark Neumann | 132,786 | 22.8 | |
Republican | Jeff Fitzgerald | 71,871 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Write ins | 244 | 0.04 | |
Total votes | 582,630 | 100 |
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Tammy Baldwin (Democratic), U.S. Representative
- Tommy Thompson (Republican), former governor and former Secretary of Health and Human Services
- Joseph Kexel (Libertarian), IT consultant[56]
- Nimrod Allen III (independent), consultant and former Marine[57]
Debates
[edit]Baldwin and Thompson agreed to three debates: September 28, October 18 and 26, all broadcast statewide, and nationwide through C-SPAN.
The first debate originated from the studios of Milwaukee Public Television and was coordinated by the Wisconsin Broadcasters Association. It aired on MPTV, Wisconsin Public Television, Wisconsin Public Radio and several commercial stations throughout the state.
The second debate originated from the Theater for Civic Engagement on the campus of the University of Wisconsin–Marathon County in Wausau and was coordinated by WPT/WPR, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and Milwaukee's WTMJ-TV. Again it was carried on MPTV, WPT/WPR, and several commercial stations, including WTMJ-TV.
The third debate originated from Eckstein Hall on the campus of Marquette University Law School and was coordinated by WISN-TV in Milwaukee. It aired on that station and across the state's other ABC affiliated stations.
- External links
- Complete video of debate, September 28, 2012 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2012 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 26, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
[edit]Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tammy Baldwin (D) | $14,643,869 | $15,204,940 | $143,852 | $0 |
Tommy Thompson (R) | $9,585,823 | $9,582,888 | $2,934 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[58] |
Top contributors
[edit]Tammy Baldwin | Contribution | Tommy Thompson | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
EMILY's List | $431,843 | Michael Best & Friedrich LLP | $36,825 | |
MoveOn.org | $171,467 | ABC Supply | $28,500 | |
University of Wisconsin | $117,600 | Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld | $28,250 | |
J Street PAC | $113,758 | Direct Supply | $27,500 | |
League of Conservation Voters | $95,308 | Wisconsin Energy Corporation | $25,750 | |
Democracy Engine | $81,330 | American Foods Group | $25,000 | |
Council for a Livable World | $54,130 | Gilead Sciences | $23,000 | |
Voices for Progress | $25,749 | Centene Corporation | $20,750 | |
Marshfield Clinic | $21,800 | BGR Group | $20,500 | |
Microsoft Corporation | $18,564 | C. R. Bard, Inc. | $20,000 | |
Source: OpenSecrets[59] |
Top industries
[edit]Tammy Baldwin | Contribution | Tommy Thompson | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Women's Issues | $915,482 | Retired | $858,276 | |
Retired | $791,756 | Leadership PACs | $244,804 | |
Lawyers/Law Firms | $597,674 | Financial Institutions | $243,636 | |
Democratic/Liberal | $555,792 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $228,379 | |
Leadership PACs | $309,430 | Real Estate | $227,687 | |
Universities | $298,298 | Pharmaceuticals/Health Products | $204,302 | |
Human Rights Organisations | $215,539 | Insurance Industry | $202,654 | |
Health Professionals | $202,654 | Manufacturing & Distributing | $169,104 | |
Pro-Israel | $172,380 | Health Professionals | $150,149 | |
Business Services | $163,238 | Lobbyists | $138,700 | |
Source: OpenSecrets[60] |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[61] | Tossup | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[62] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report[63] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics[64] | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Tommy Thompson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 44% | 45% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 42% | 50% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | 1,170 | ±2.9% | 44% | 46% | — | 10% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 26, 2011 | 500 | ±4.5% | 42% | 49% | 4% | 6% |
Marquette University | February 16–19, 2012 | 716 | ±3.7% | 42% | 48% | 1% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | February 23–26, 2012 | 900 | ±3.3% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 27, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 36% | 50% | 4% | 10% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 27, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 44% | 48% | 4% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | April 13–15, 2012 | 1,136 | ±2.9% | 45% | 47% | — | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 9, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 38% | 50% | 5% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | May 11–13, 2012 | 851 | ±3.4% | 42% | 47% | — | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 12, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 36% | 52% | 6% | 6% |
Marquette University | June 13–16, 2012 | 707 | ±3.8% | 41% | 49% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | 1,057 | ±3.0% | 45% | 45% | — | 11% |
Marquette University | July 5–8, 2012 | 810 | ±3.5% | 41% | 45% | — | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 25, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 6% |
Marquette University | August 2–5, 2012 | 1,400 | ±2.6% | 43% | 48% | — | 5% |
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | 1,428 | ±2.6% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 15, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 43% | 54% | 1% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2012 | 1,308 | ±2.7% | 44% | 49% | — | 7% |
Marquette University | August 16–19, 2012 | 576 | ±4.2% | 41% | 50% | — | 9% |
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac Archived September 27, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 15–21, 2012 | 1,190 | ±3.0% | 44% | 50% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov | September 4–11, 2012 | 772 | ±n/a | 42% | 48% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | September 12–13, 2012 | 959 | ±n/a | 48% | 45% | — | 6% |
Marquette University | September 13–16, 2012 | 705 | ±3.8% | 50% | 41% | — | 5% |
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac Archived September 27, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 11–17, 2012 | 1,485 | ±2.5% | 47% | 47% | — | 6% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 16–18, 2012 | 968 | ±3.2% | 48% | 46% | — | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | September 18–19, 2012 | 842 | ±3.4% | 49% | 45% | — | 6% |
We Ask America | September 20–23, 2012 | 1,238 | ±2.8% | 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
Marquette University | September 27–30, 2012 | 894 | ±3.3% | 48% | 44% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | October 4–6, 2012 | 979 | ±3.1% | 49% | 46% | — | 6% |
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac | October 4–9, 2012 | 1,327 | ±2.7% | 48% | 46% | — | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 9, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 51% | 47% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | 639 | ±4.9% | 48% | 43% | — | 9% |
Marquette University | October 11–14, 2012 | 870 | ±3.3% | 45% | 46% | — | 7% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 15–17, 2012 | 1,013 | ±3.1% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 5% |
Mason-Dixon | October 15–17, 2012 | 625 | ±4% | 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 18, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 46% | 48% | 3% | 3% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | 502 | ±4.5% | 45% | 42% | 3% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 25, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 47% | 48% | 2% | 4% |
Marquette University | October 25–28, 2012 | 1,243 | ±2.8% | 47% | 43% | — | 10% |
St. Norbert College | October 25–29, 2012 | 402 | ±5% | 43% | 46% | — | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 29, 2012 | 750 | ±4.0% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 2% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 31, 2012 | 1,065 | ±3.0% | 48% | 47% | 4% | 1% |
WeAskAmerica | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | 1,210 | ±3% | 49% | 46% | — | 5% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | 1,225 | ±3.1% | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1–3, 2012 | 482 | ±4.5% | 50% | 48% | 2% | — |
Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | 1,256 | ±2.8% | 51% | 48% | — | 2% |
- with Tammy Baldwin
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Jeff Fitzgerald (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 48% | 37% | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | 1,170 | ±2.9% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 26, 2011 | 500 | ±4.5% | 46% | 39% | 4% | 6% |
Marquette University | February 16–19, 2012 | 716 | ±3.7% | 45% | 37% | 3% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | February 23–26, 2012 | 900 | ±3.3% | 47% | 39% | — | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 27, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 40% | 41% | 4% | 15% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 27, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 48% | 40% | 4% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | April 13–15, 2012 | 1,136 | ±2.9% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 9, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 45% | 41% | 4% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 12, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 8% |
Marquette University | June 13–16, 2012 | 707 | ±3.8% | 45% | 39% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | 1,057 | ±3.0% | 46% | 42% | — | 13% |
Marquette University | July 5–8, 2012 | 810 | ±3.5% | 43% | 37% | — | 20% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 25, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 47% | 37% | 6% | 10% |
Marquette University | August 2–5, 2012 | 1,400 | ±2.6% | 45% | 40% | — | 7% |
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | 1,428 | ±2.6% | 51% | 39% | — | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Eric Hovde (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 11–13, 2012 | 851 | ±3.4% | 41% | 45% | — | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 12, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 42% | 44% | 4% | 10% |
Marquette University | June 13–16, 2012 | 707 | ±3.8% | 45% | 36% | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | 1,057 | ±3.0% | 44% | 45% | — | 11% |
Marquette University | July 5–8, 2012 | 810 | ±3.5% | 44% | 38% | — | 18% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 25, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 45% | 42% | 5% | 8% |
Marquette University | August 2–5, 2012 | 1,400 | ±2.6% | 44% | 41% | — | 9% |
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | 1,428 | ±2.6% | 47% | 43% | 1% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
Mark Neumann (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 46% | 41% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 40% | 44% | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | 1,170 | ±2.9% | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 26, 2011 | 500 | ±4.5% | 44% | 43% | 4% | 9% |
Marquette University | February 16–19, 2012 | 716 | ±3.7% | 44% | 40% | 2% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | February 23–26, 2012 | 900 | ±3.3% | 47% | 41% | — | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 27, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 37% | 46% | 4% | 13% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 27, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 48% | 40% | 4% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | April 13–15, 2012 | 1,136 | ±2.9% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 9, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 42% | 44% | 4% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling | May 11–13, 2012 | 851 | ±3.4% | 42% | 46% | — | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 12, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 43% | 45% | 5% | 7% |
Marquette University | June 13–16, 2012 | 707 | ±3.8% | 44% | 44% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | 1,057 | ±3.0% | 45% | 41% | — | 13% |
Marquette University | July 5–8, 2012 | 810 | ±3.5% | 43% | 40% | — | 17% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 25, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 48% | 42% | 3% | 8% |
Marquette University | August 2–5, 2012 | 1,400 | ±2.6% | 44% | 44% | — | 6% |
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | 1,428 | ±2.6% | 48% | 45% | 1% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tammy Baldwin (D) |
J. B. Van Hollen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 46% | 39% | — | 15% |
- with Russ Feingold
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Jeff Fitzgerald (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 55% | 39% | — | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Mark Neumann (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 51% | 44% | — | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 53% | 41% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | 768 | ±3.5% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Paul Ryan (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 702 | ±3.7% | 50% | 43% | — | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | 768 | ±3.5% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Tommy Thompson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 702 | ±3.7% | 49% | 40% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 52% | 42% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
J. B. Van Hollen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 702 | ±3.7% | 52% | 41% | — | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | 768 | ±3.5% | 51% | 39% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 53% | 38% | — | 9% |
- with Steve Kagen
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Kagen (D) |
Jeff Fitzgerald (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Kagen (D) |
Mark Neumann (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 42% | 41% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 38% | 45% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Kagen (D) |
Tommy Thompson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 42% | 45% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 41% | 49% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Kagen (D) |
J. B. Van Hollen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
- with Ron Kind
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron Kind (D) |
Jeff Fitzgerald (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 45% | 37% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron Kind (D) |
Mark Neumann (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 40% | 43% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron Kind (D) |
Tommy Thompson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 44% | 44% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | 830 | ±3.4% | 41% | 48% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron Kind (D) |
J. B. Van Hollen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 1,636 | ±2.4% | 44% | 38% | — | 17% |
- with Herb Kohl
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Herb Kohl (D) |
Mark Neumann (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | 768 | ±3.5% | 51% | 37% | — | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Herb Kohl (D) |
Paul Ryan (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 702 | ±3.7% | 48% | 42% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | 768 | ±3.5% | 49% | 42% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Herb Kohl (D) |
Tommy Thompson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 702 | ±3.7% | 49% | 40% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Herb Kohl (D) |
J. B. Van Hollen (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 702 | ±3.7% | 51% | 38% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | 768 | ±3.5% | 52% | 37% | — | 11% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tammy Baldwin | 1,547,104 | 51.41% | −15.90% | |
Republican | Tommy Thompson | 1,380,126 | 45.86% | +16.38% | |
Libertarian | Joseph Kexel | 62,240 | 2.07% | N/A | |
Independent | Nimrod Allen, III | 16,455 | 0.55% | N/A | |
Write-in | 3,486 | 0.11% | +0.05% | ||
Total votes | 3,009,411 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Barron (largest city: Rice Lake)
- Brown (largest city: Green Bay)
- Burnett (largest village: Grantsburg)
- Calumet (largest city: Chilton)
- Clark (largest city: Neillsville)
- Iron (largest city: Hurley)
- Jefferson (largest city: Watertown)
- Kewaunee (largest city: Algoma)
- Langlade (largest city: Antigo)
- Manitowoc (largest city: Manitowoc)
- Marathon (largest city: Wausau)
- Marinette (largest city: Marinette)
- Monroe (largest city: Sparta)
- Oconto (largest city: Oconto)
- Oneida (largest city: Rhinelander)
- Outagamie (largest city: Appleton)
- Rusk (largest city: Ladysmith)
- Shawano (largest city: Shawano)
- Washburn (largest city: Spooner)
- Waupaca (largest city: New London)
- Waushara (largest city: Berlin)
- Adams (largest city: Adams)
- Marquette (largest city: Montello)
- Polk (Largest city: Amery)
- Sheboygan (Largest city: Sheboygan)
- St. Croix (Largest city: Hudson)
- Taylor (Largest city: Medford)
- Florence (Largest city: Florence)
- Vilas (Largest city: Eagle River)
- Fond du Lac (Largest city: Fond du Lac)
- Green Lake (Largest city: Green Lake)
- Dodge (Largest city: Juneau)
- Ozaukee (Largest city: Mequon)
- Walworth (Largest city: Whitewater)
- Washington (Largest city: West Bend)
- Waukesha (Largest city: Waukesha)
By congressional districts
[edit]Despite losing the state, Thompson won 5 of 8 congressional districts.[66]
District | Thompson | Baldwin | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 50.61% | 46.56% | Paul Ryan |
2nd | 32.28% | 65.82% | Mark Pocan |
3rd | 44.31% | 52.77% | Ron Kind |
4th | 25.15% | 72.93% | Gwen Moore |
5th | 61.06% | 36.68% | Jim Sensenbrenner |
6th | 52.93% | 44.05% | Tom Petri |
7th | 48.93% | 48.06% | Sean Duffy |
8th | 50.21% | 46.63% | Reid Ribble |
Aftermath
[edit]Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of the Wisconsin Republican Party, partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: "[Thompson] blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. [Baldwin] piled on immediately." He claimed "If [Thompson] hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."[67]
See also
[edit]- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin
- 2012 Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election
References
[edit]- ^ Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
- ^ Glauber, Bill (November 3, 2010). "Kohl says he'll work with Johnson". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved November 29, 2010.
- ^ Hall, Dee (November 4, 2010). "Feingold won't seek office in 2012, official says". Chippewa Herald. Retrieved November 29, 2010.
- ^ "Tammy Baldwin enters race for open Senate seat". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ Burns, Alexander (May 17, 2011). "Barrett closes door on Senate speculation". Politico. Retrieved May 17, 2011.
- ^ Sullivan, Sean (January 18, 2012). "Falk Announces Candidacy in Wisconsin Gubernatorial Race". National Journal. Archived from the original on January 22, 2012. Retrieved January 28, 2012.
- ^ Thompson, Krissah (August 19, 2011). "Russ Feingold not running in 2012". The Washington Post.
- ^ "Baldwin kicks off jobs tour; receives Kagen endorsement". Wispolitics.com. January 5, 2012. Archived from the original on May 8, 2012. Retrieved January 28, 2012.
- ^ Catanese, David (September 15, 2011). "Rep. Kind says no to Senate run". Politico. Retrieved September 15, 2011.
- ^ "Democratic Sen. Herb Kohl to Retire". May 13, 2011.
- ^ "Herb Kohl won't seek reelection". Politico.
- ^ "Baldwin Campaign: Rep. Gwen Moore endorses Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate". WisPolitics.com. Archived from the original on April 2, 2012. Retrieved October 21, 2011.
- ^ a b "Former Bucyrus head unlikely to jump into races next year". WisPolitics.com. November 18, 2011. Archived from the original on December 11, 2011. Retrieved November 21, 2011.
- ^ a b "Canvass Results for 2012 Partisan Primary - 8/14/2012" (PDF). Wisconsin Government Accountability Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 29, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2012.
- ^ Gilbert, Craig (April 25, 2009). "Ryan shines as GOP seeks vision". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved June 29, 2010.
- ^ Catanese, David (May 16, 2011). "Ryan telling GOPers he's unlikely to run". Politico. Retrieved May 17, 2011.
- ^ "Our Campaigns - WI US Senate - R Primary Race - Aug 14, 2012". Our Campaigns.
- ^ Marley, Patrick (October 11, 2011). "Jeff Fitzgerald announces Senate bid". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved October 11, 2011.
- ^ "Hovde emerges as new Senate candidate". Leader-Telegram. Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved February 27, 2012.
- ^ Republican Neumann announces Senate run Archived September 28, 2011, at the Wayback Machine WBAY-TV. August 29, 2011. Retrieved August 29, 2011
- ^ Kyle Trygstad. (August 29, 2011)Ex-Rep. Mark Neumann Enters Wisconsin Senate Race Roll Call. Retrieved August 29, 2011
- ^ "Tommy Thompson Makes Wisconsin Senate Bid Official". September 19, 2011. Retrieved September 19, 2011.
- ^ "State Senator Lasee Drops Out Of U.S. Senate Race". Channel3000.com. Archived from the original on February 2, 2012. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
- ^ "Kip Smith enters U.S. Senate race". onpolitics. WLUK-TV. Archived from the original on July 18, 2012. Retrieved January 1, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "Green backs Thompson for Senate". WLUK-TV. Associated Press. September 16, 2011. Archived from the original on January 23, 2013. Retrieved December 18, 2011.
- ^ "Kanavas says he won't run for U.S. Senate". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ "Ryan Out, Thompson to Get in Wisconsin Senate Race". Roll Call. May 17, 2011.
- ^ "Thompson takes step toward Senate run". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ a b c d e f "Sun Prairie Star".
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Fitzgerald announces Waukesha endorsements". Sun Prairie Star
- ^ "FreedomWorks splits with other conservatives, endorses Hovde in Wisconsin". The Hill.
- ^ "CFG PAC endorses Kevin Cramer in North Dakota". Archived from the original on October 6, 2011. Retrieved October 12, 2011.
- ^ "FRC Action". Family Research Council.
- ^ Blumenthal, Paul (November 11, 2011). "HUFFPOST FUNDRACE -- Perry Spends Big". The Huffington Post.
- ^ Joseph, Cameron (November 12, 2011). "Sen. Coburn endorses Neumann in Wis. Senate race".
- ^ "Jim DeMint Backs Wisconsin Senate Hopeful Over Tommy Thompson". Roll Call. November 28, 2011.
- ^ "Utah senator endorses Neumann". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ a b WIS Politics [permanent dead link]
- ^ "Mark Neumann Wins Two Key Endorsements For Senate Race". Archived from the original on March 17, 2016. Retrieved February 27, 2012.
- ^ "Neumann endorsed by Sen. Toomey". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ "My Election Central". Wisconsin Right to Life. Archived from the original on July 23, 2012. Retrieved July 23, 2012.
- ^ "Impeach McConnell, Boehner, and Cantor Today: Mark Levin endorses Mark Neumann for US Senate in Wisconsin GOP primary, 8/14/12". August 6, 2012.
- ^ "Herman Cain Stumps for Tommy Thompson at Waukesha Rally". August 13, 2012.
- ^ "Endorsements". Archived from the original on June 9, 2012. Retrieved May 9, 2012.
- ^ a b "Endorsements". Archived from the original on June 9, 2012. Retrieved May 9, 2012.
- ^ Don Walker. "Rudy Giuliani, Milwaukee Police Association backing Tommy Thompson". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on May 9, 2015.
- ^ a b c d Abby Livingston. "Tommy Thompson Picks Up Senate Endorsements". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 17, 2011.
- ^ Walker, Don (December 15, 2011). "Huckabee endorses Thompson, slams Club for Growth". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on January 11, 2012. Retrieved December 18, 2011.
- ^ a b c d e f g "Seven former governors endorse Thompson". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
- ^ a b c d e f "See the full list". Archived from the original on July 25, 2012. Retrieved July 25, 2012.
- ^ Don Walker. "'The Nuge' endorses Tommy Thompson". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on March 30, 2012.
- ^ "The Coveted Dick Morris Endorsement". BuzzFeed News. Archived from the original on August 11, 2018.
- ^ "Joe the Plumber Supports Thompson Because He 'Gets Stuff Done' - Shor…". Archived from the original on January 31, 2013.
- ^ Byers, Dylan (March 25, 2014). "David Keene, the endorsement editor". Politico. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
- ^ "GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc". October 25, 2012. Archived from the original on October 25, 2012. Retrieved September 17, 2017.
- ^ "Kexel Announces Run for US Senate" (PDF). Wispolitics.com. April 20, 2012. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 3, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2012.
- ^ "Nimrod Allen III Independent Candidate for U.S. Senate" (PDF). Wispolitics.com. July 20, 2012. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 3, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2012.
- ^ "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Wisconsin". Federal Election Commission. November 26, 2012. Retrieved December 19, 2012.
- ^ "Top Contributors 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate". OpenSecrets. March 25, 2013.
- ^ "Top Industries 2012 Race: Wisconsin Senate". OpenSecrets. March 25, 2013.
- ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "Canvass Results for 2012 Presidential and General Election - 11/6/2012" (PDF). G.A.B. Canvass Reporting System. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 14, 2016.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
- ^ Alex Roarty (September 26, 2013). "Can Republicans Avoid the Next Todd Akin?". National Journal. Retrieved September 30, 2013.
External links
[edit]- Elections & Voting Archived November 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine at the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official candidate sites (Archived)