Next Latvian parliamentary election: Difference between revisions
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| previous_election = [[2022 Latvian parliamentary election|2022]] |
| previous_election = [[2022 Latvian parliamentary election|2022]] |
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| election_date = By 3 October 2026 |
| election_date = By 3 October 2026 |
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| elected_members = Fifteenth Saeima of Latvia |
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| outgoing_members = Fourteenth Saeima of Latvia |
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| ongoing = yes |
| ongoing = yes |
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| leader1 = [[ |
| leader1 = [[Evika Siliņa]] |
||
| party1 = New Unity |
| party1 = New Unity |
||
| current_seats1 = |
| current_seats1 = 25 |
||
| leader2 = [[Armands Krauze]] |
| leader2 = [[Armands Krauze]] |
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Line 19: | Line 17: | ||
| leader3 = [[Edgars Tavars|E. Tavars]] & [[Edvards Smiltēns|E. Smiltēns]] |
| leader3 = [[Edgars Tavars|E. Tavars]] & [[Edvards Smiltēns|E. Smiltēns]] |
||
| party3 = United List (Latvia) |
| party3 = United List (Latvia) |
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| current_seats3 = |
| current_seats3 =14 |
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| leader4 = [[Raivis Dzintars]] |
| leader4 = [[Raivis Dzintars]] |
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Line 27: | Line 25: | ||
| leader5 = [[Aleksejs Rosļikovs]] |
| leader5 = [[Aleksejs Rosļikovs]] |
||
| party5 =For Stability! |
| party5 =For Stability! |
||
| current_seats5 = |
| current_seats5 = 10 |
||
| leader6 = [[Ainārs Šlesers]] |
| leader6 = [[Ainārs Šlesers]] |
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| party6 =Latvia First |
| party6 =Latvia First |
||
| current_seats6 = |
| current_seats6 = 8 |
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| leader7 = [[ |
| leader7 = [[Justīne Panteļējeva|J. Panteļējeva]] & [[Andris Šuvajevs|A. Šuvajevs]] |
||
| party7 =The Progressives (Latvia) |
| party7 =The Progressives (Latvia) |
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| current_seats7 = 10 |
| current_seats7 = 10 |
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| title = [[Prime Minister of Latvia|Prime Minister]] |
| title = [[Prime Minister of Latvia|Prime Minister]] |
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| before_election = [[ |
| before_election = [[Evika Siliņa]] |
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| before_party = Unity (Latvian political party) |
| before_party = Unity (Latvian political party) |
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| after_election = |
| after_election = |
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Line 44: | Line 42: | ||
}} |
}} |
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia no later than 3 October 2026, following the end of the term of the |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia no later than 3 October 2026, following the end of the term of the fourteenth [[Saeima]] elected in 2022. |
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== Opinion polls == |
== Opinion polls == |
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[[File:Opinion polling for |
[[File:Opinion polling for the next Latvian 2026 parliamentary elections.svg|center|thumb|800x800px|Graphical summary.]] |
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=== 2024 === |
|||
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;" |
|||
|- |
|||
! rowspan="2" | Polling firm |
|||
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" | Fieldwork date |
|||
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" | Sample<br />size |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[New Unity|JV]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Union of Greens and Farmers|ZZS]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[United List (Latvia)|AS]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[National Alliance (Latvia)|NA]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[For Stability!|ST!]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Latvia First|LPV]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[The Progressives (Latvia)|PRO]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Movement For!|KP]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[For Latvia's Development|LA]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Social Democratic Party "Harmony"|S]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Platform 21|P21]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Pamats-LV|PLV]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Sovereign Power (Latvia)|SV]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[The Conservatives (Latvia)|JKP]] |
|||
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:30px;" | Others |
|||
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:30px;" | Lead |
|||
|- |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Union of Greens and Farmers}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|United List (Latvia)}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|National Alliance (Latvia)}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|For Stability!}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Latvia First}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|The Progressives (Latvia)}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Movement For!}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|For Latvia's Development}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party "Harmony"}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Platform 21}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Latvian Russian Union}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Sovereign Power (Latvia)}};" | |
|||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|The Conservatives (Latvia)}};" | |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Jūnijā pieaudzis «Jaunās Vienotības» reitings; Saeimā iekļūtu 8 spēki |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/06.07.2024-junija-pieaudzis-jaunas-vienotibas-reitings-saeima-ieklutu-8-speki.a560547/ |access-date=2024-07-06 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|June 2024 |
|||
|1,818 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''18.4''' |
|||
|'''7.2''' |
|||
|'''7.9''' |
|||
|'''16.1''' |
|||
|'''6''' |
|||
|'''10.7''' |
|||
|'''10.6''' |
|||
|1.6 |
|||
|3.9 |
|||
|'''8.5''' |
|||
|0.3 |
|||
|1.4 |
|||
|2.9 |
|||
|2.4 |
|||
|2.3 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |2.3 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi aprīlī: Atbalsts iekļūšanai Saeimā būtu 8 partijām; līderos – NA un ZZS |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/14.05.2024-partiju-reitingi-aprili-atbalsts-ieklusanai-saeima-butu-8-partijam-lideros-na-un-zzs.a554035/ |access-date=2024-05-14 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|April 2024 |
|||
|1,806 |
|||
|'''12.7''' |
|||
|'''11.6''' |
|||
|'''8.5''' |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|National Alliance (Latvia)}}; |'''14.5''' |
|||
|'''6.5''' |
|||
|'''10.2''' |
|||
|'''11.5''' |
|||
|2.4 |
|||
|2.1 |
|||
|'''8.7''' |
|||
|0.3 |
|||
|1.7 |
|||
|4.1 |
|||
|2.7 |
|||
|2.4 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|National Alliance (Latvia)}};" |1.8 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi martā: Saeimas vēlēšanās līderi būtu NA un «Progresīvie», JV zaudē līderpozīcijas |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/06.04.2024-partiju-reitingi-marta-saeimas-velesanas-lideri-butu-na-un-progresivie-jv-zaude-liderpozicijas.a549417/ |access-date=2024-04-06 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|March 2024 |
|||
|1,785 |
|||
|'''13.6''' |
|||
|'''10.3''' |
|||
|'''8.2''' |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|National Alliance (Latvia)}}; |'''13.9''' |
|||
|'''8.4''' |
|||
|'''11.1''' |
|||
|'''13.6''' |
|||
|2.5 |
|||
|3.1 |
|||
|'''7.3''' |
|||
|0.3 |
|||
|1.1 |
|||
|2.9 |
|||
|2.2 |
|||
|1.6 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|National Alliance (Latvia)}};" |0.3 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi janvārī: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, lielākais kritums ZZS |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/03.02.2024-partiju-reitingi-janvari-jauna-vienotiba-saglaba-liderpozicijas-lielakais-kritums-zzs.a541521/ |access-date=2024-02-04 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|January 2024 |
|||
|1,799 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''16''' |
|||
|'''10.1''' |
|||
|'''8.4''' |
|||
|'''13''' |
|||
|'''8.2''' |
|||
|'''11.1''' |
|||
|'''13.3''' |
|||
|2.5 |
|||
|2.7 |
|||
|'''5.9''' |
|||
|0.7 |
|||
|1.3 |
|||
|2.9 |
|||
|2.7 |
|||
|1.4 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |2.7 |
|||
|} |
|||
===2023=== |
===2023=== |
||
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;" |
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;" |
||
Line 58: | Line 176: | ||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[United List (Latvia)|AS]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[United List (Latvia)|AS]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[National Alliance (Latvia)|NA]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[National Alliance (Latvia)|NA]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[For Stability!| |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[For Stability!|ST!]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Latvia First|LPV]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Latvia First|LPV]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[The Progressives (Latvia)| |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[The Progressives (Latvia)|PRO]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" colspan="2" | [[Development/For!|AP!]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" colspan="2" | [[Development/For!|AP!]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Social Democratic Party "Harmony"|S]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Social Democratic Party "Harmony"|S]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Platform 21|P21]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Platform 21|P21]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px; |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Pamats-LV|PLV]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Sovereign Power (Latvia)|SV]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Sovereign Power (Latvia)|SV]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[The Conservatives (Latvia)|K]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[The Conservatives (Latvia)|K]] |
||
Line 72: | Line 190: | ||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Movement For!|KP]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Movement For!|KP]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[For Latvia's Development|LA]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[For Latvia's Development|LA]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" | [[Latvian Russian Union|LKS]] |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" | |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" | |
||
Line 88: | Line 207: | ||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|The Conservatives (Latvia)}};" | |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|The Conservatives (Latvia)}};" | |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi: |
|SKDS/LTV<ref name=":1">{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi decembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" piedzīvo kritumu, Saeimā iekļūtu 7 spēki |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/23.12.2023-partiju-reitingi-decembri-jauna-vienotiba-piedzivo-kritumu-saeima-ieklutu-7-speki.a536577/ |access-date=2023-12-23 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
||
|December 2023 |
|||
|1,808 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''14.4''' |
|||
|'''12''' |
|||
|'''8.9''' |
|||
|'''13.1''' |
|||
|'''9.1''' |
|||
|'''11.3''' |
|||
|'''12''' |
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|2 |
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| 3.3 |
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|3.6 |
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|1.3 |
|||
|2.5 |
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|2.2 |
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|3.2 |
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|1.2 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |1.3 |
|||
|- |
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|SKDS/LTV<ref name=":1" /> |
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|November 2023 |
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|{{efn|LTV never released the November poll, because of its editorial decision "to not highlight the November ratings separately, because the survey was conducted at a time when the scandal involving the private flights of former Prime Minister [[Krišjānis Kariņš]] was just beginning to gain momentum and could mislead the public", thus the results may be inaccurate. Numbers on this row were counted manually using information about the November poll given by LTV itself.}} |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''18''' |
|||
|'''13.2''' |
|||
|'''7.6''' |
|||
|'''10.1''' |
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|'''9.6''' |
|||
|'''11.5''' |
|||
|'''11.2''' |
|||
|2.8 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|'''7.2''' |
|||
|0.3 |
|||
|1.5 |
|||
|2.3 |
|||
|2.8 |
|||
|0.4 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |3.6 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref name=":0">{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi: "Jaunā Vienotība" atgriežas līderpozīcijā, atbalsts kāpj arī ZZS, "Progresīvajiem" kritums |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/31.10.2023-partiju-reitingi-jauna-vienotiba-atgriezas-liderpozicija-atbalsts-kapj-ari-zzs-progresivajiem-kritums.a529886/ |access-date=2023-10-31 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|October 2023 |
|||
|1,793 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''17.3''' |
|||
|'''13.7''' |
|||
|'''8.2''' |
|||
|'''12.9''' |
|||
|'''8.7''' |
|||
|'''11.6''' |
|||
|'''11''' |
|||
|2.3 |
|||
| - |
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|4.5 |
|||
|0.7 |
|||
|1.8 |
|||
|2.3 |
|||
|2.7 |
|||
|0.4 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |3.6 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi septembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" līderpozīciju atdod Zaļo un Zemnieku savienībai |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/30.09.2023-partiju-reitingi-septembri-jauna-vienotiba-liderpoziciju-atdod-zalo-un-zemnieku-savienibai.a525994/ |access-date=2023-10-01 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|September 2023 |
|||
|1,081 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''14.5''' |
|||
|'''12.9''' |
|||
|'''8.7''' |
|||
|'''12''' |
|||
|'''8.1''' |
|||
|'''11.9''' |
|||
|'''13.8''' |
|||
|2.6 |
|||
|1.7 |
|||
|'''5.1''' |
|||
|0.5 |
|||
|1.5 |
|||
|2.5 |
|||
|3.2 |
|||
|0.9 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |0.7 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi augustā: līderos "Jaunā Vienotība", ZZS un Šlesera partija |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/12.09.2023-partiju-reitingi-augusta-lideros-jauna-vienotiba-zzs-un-slesera-partija.a523708/ |access-date=2023-09-14 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|August 2023 |
|||
|1,787 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''18.1''' |
|||
|'''12.7''' |
|||
|'''9.3''' |
|||
|'''8.7''' |
|||
|'''9.3''' |
|||
|'''11.9''' |
|||
|'''13''' |
|||
|2.8 |
|||
|2.1 |
|||
|'''5.3''' |
|||
|0.6 |
|||
|1.1 |
|||
|1.7 |
|||
|2.7 |
|||
|0.6 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |5.1 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi jūlijā: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, ZZS izvirzās otrajā vietā |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/08.08.2023-partiju-reitingi-julija-jauna-vienotiba-saglaba-liderpozicijas-zzs-izvirzas-otraja-vieta.a519439/ |access-date=2023-08-08 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|July 2023 |
|||
|1,805 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''22.3''' |
|||
|'''11.8''' |
|||
|'''7.5''' |
|||
|'''8.8''' |
|||
|'''7.5''' |
|||
|'''11.4''' |
|||
|'''14''' |
|||
|2.5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|4.9 |
|||
|0.4 |
|||
|1.2 |
|||
|2.1 |
|||
|2.6 |
|||
|1.3 |
|||
| style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |8.3 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi: līderos – "Jaunā Vienotība", "Latvija pirmajā vietā" izvirzās otrajā vietā |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/30.06.2023-partiju-reitingi-lideros-jauna-vienotiba-latvija-pirmaja-vieta-izvirzas-otraja-vieta.a514988/ |access-date=2023-06-30 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|June 2023 |
|||
|1,797 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''18.9''' |
|||
|'''11.1''' |
|||
|'''8.9''' |
|||
|'''10.2''' |
|||
|'''6.6''' |
|||
|'''14.1''' |
|||
|'''14.7''' |
|||
|1.5 |
|||
|2.1 |
|||
|'''5.6''' |
|||
|0.7 |
|||
|0.9 |
|||
|2.0 |
|||
|1.7 |
|||
|1.0 |
|||
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |4.2 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi: maijā lielākais kritums – "Apvienotajam sarakstam" |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/07.06.2023-partiju-reitingi-maija-lielakais-kritums-apvienotajam-sarakstam.a511872/ |access-date=2023-06-08 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|May 2023 |
|||
|1,777 |
|||
| style="background:#A0D78E" |'''18.9''' |
|||
|'''12.8''' |
|||
|'''9.1''' |
|||
|'''10.6''' |
|||
|'''7.8''' |
|||
|'''13.5''' |
|||
|'''10.8''' |
|||
|1.6 |
|||
|1.2 |
|||
|'''5.5''' |
|||
|1.3 |
|||
|1.3 |
|||
|2.1 |
|||
|2.3 |
|||
|1.1 |
|||
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |5.4 |
|||
|- |
|||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi: aprīlī lielākais kāpums – "Latvija pirmajā vietā" |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/12.05.2023-partiju-reitingi-aprili-lielakais-kapums-latvija-pirmaja-vieta.a508415/ |access-date=2023-05-12 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
|||
|April 2023 |
|April 2023 |
||
|1,800 |
|1,800 |
||
Line 108: | Line 387: | ||
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |6.3 |
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |6.3 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingā lielākais kritums – |
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingā lielākais kritums – "Jaunajai Vienotībai"; vadošais piecinieks – nemainīgs |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/11.04.2023-partiju-reitinga-lielakais-kritums-jaunajai-vienotibai-vadosais-piecinieks-nemainigs.a504469/ |access-date=2023-04-11 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
||
|March 2023 |
|March 2023 |
||
|1,814 |
|1,814 |
||
Line 128: | Line 407: | ||
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |3.3 |
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |3.3 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingā līderpozīcijas saglabā |
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingā līderpozīcijas saglabā "Jaunā Vienotība" |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/partiju-reitinga-liderpozicijas-saglaba-jauna-vienotiba.a496204 |access-date=2023-02-17 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
||
|January 2023 |
|January 2023 |
||
|1,792 |
|1,792 |
||
Line 160: | Line 439: | ||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[United List (Latvia)|AS]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[United List (Latvia)|AS]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[National Alliance (Latvia)|NA]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[National Alliance (Latvia)|NA]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[For Stability!| |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[For Stability!|ST!]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Latvia First|LPV]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Latvia First|LPV]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[The Progressives (Latvia)| |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[The Progressives (Latvia)|PRO]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" colspan="2" | [[Development/For!|AP!]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" colspan="2" | [[Development/For!|AP!]] |
||
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Social Democratic Party "Harmony"|S]] |
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2" | [[Social Democratic Party "Harmony"|S]] |
||
Line 192: | Line 471: | ||
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Republic (Latvia)}};" | |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Republic (Latvia)}};" | |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi: decembrī lielākais kritums |
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title=Partiju reitingi: decembrī lielākais kritums "Jaunajai Vienotībai", kāpums – ZZS un "Stabilitātei"|url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/partiju-reitingi-decembri-lielakais-kritums-jaunajai-vienotibai-kapums--zzs-un-stabilitatei.a490304/ |access-date=2023-01-06 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
||
|December 2022 |
|December 2022 |
||
|1,785 |
|1,785 |
||
Line 212: | Line 491: | ||
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |3.7 |
|style="background:{{party color|New Unity}};" |3.7 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title= |
|SKDS/LTV<ref>{{Cite web |title="Jaunā Vienotība" arvien droša līdere partiju reitingos, konkurenti mazliet pietuvojušies |url=https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/latvija/jauna-vienotiba-arvien-drosa-lidere-partiju-reitingos-konkurenti-mazliet-pietuvojusies.a486413/ |access-date=2022-12-11 |website=www.lsm.lv |language=lv}}</ref> |
||
|November 2022 |
|November 2022 |
||
|1,795 |
|1,795 |
||
Line 274: | Line 553: | ||
== Notes == |
== Notes == |
||
{{notelist}} |
|||
{{reflist|group=a}} |
{{reflist|group=a}} |
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Revision as of 19:46, 6 July 2024
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All 100 seats in the Saeima 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia no later than 3 October 2026, following the end of the term of the fourteenth Saeima elected in 2022.
Opinion polls
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4e/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Latvian_2026_parliamentary_elections.svg/800px-Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Latvian_2026_parliamentary_elections.svg.png)
2024
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | KP | LA | S | P21 | PLV | SV | JKP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS/LTV[1] | June 2024 | 1,818 | 18.4 | 7.2 | 7.9 | 16.1 | 6 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 8.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
SKDS/LTV[2] | April 2024 | 1,806 | 12.7 | 11.6 | 8.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 10.2 | 11.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
SKDS/LTV[3] | March 2024 | 1,785 | 13.6 | 10.3 | 8.2 | 13.9 | 8.4 | 11.1 | 13.6 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
SKDS/LTV[4] | January 2024 | 1,799 | 16 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 13 | 8.2 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
2023
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | AP! | S | P21 | PLV | SV | K | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KP | LA | LKS | ||||||||||||||||
SKDS/LTV[5] | December 2023 | 1,808 | 14.4 | 12 | 8.9 | 13.1 | 9.1 | 11.3 | 12 | 2 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
SKDS/LTV[5] | November 2023 | [a] | 18 | 13.2 | 7.6 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 11.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 2 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
SKDS/LTV[6] | October 2023 | 1,793 | 17.3 | 13.7 | 8.2 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 11.6 | 11 | 2.3 | - | 4.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
SKDS/LTV[7] | September 2023 | 1,081 | 14.5 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 12 | 8.1 | 11.9 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
SKDS/LTV[8] | August 2023 | 1,787 | 18.1 | 12.7 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 9.3 | 11.9 | 13 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 5.1 |
SKDS/LTV[9] | July 2023 | 1,805 | 22.3 | 11.8 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 11.4 | 14 | 2.5 | 2 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 8.3 |
SKDS/LTV[10] | June 2023 | 1,797 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 14.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4.2 |
SKDS/LTV[11] | May 2023 | 1,777 | 18.9 | 12.8 | 9.1 | 10.6 | 7.8 | 13.5 | 10.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5.4 |
SKDS/LTV[12] | April 2023 | 1,800 | 19.0 | 12.7 | 11.7 | 10.0 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 11.3 | 2.9 | - | 4.7 | - | 2.2 | - | 2.9 | 3.0 | 6.3 |
SKDS/LTV[13] | March 2023 | 1,814 | 17.7 | 14.4 | 9.7 | 10.9 | 8.8 | 9.0 | 12.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
SKDS/LTV[14] | January 2023 | 1,792 | 21.3 | 14.1 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 7.2 |
2022
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV | ZZS | AS | NA | ST! | LPV | PRO | AP! | S | P21 | LKS | SV | K | R | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KP | LA | ||||||||||||||||||
SKDS/LTV[15] | December 2022 | 1,785 | 18.8 | 15.1 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 8 | 5.8 | 11.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.8 | - | 1.5 | 3.7 | |
SKDS/LTV[16] | November 2022 | 1,795 | 22.5 | 11.6 | 11 | 12.1 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 12.3 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2.7 | - | 1.0 | 10.2 | |
SKDS/LTV[17] | 7–19 Oct 2022 | 1,821 | 23.9 | 13.7 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 10.2 | |
2022 election | 1 Oct 2022 | - | 18.92 | 12.40 | 10.98 | 9.27 | 6.78 | 6.22 | 6.14 | 4.96 | 4.76 | 3.66 | 3.62 | 3.23 | 3.08 | 1.76 | 4.18[a 1] | 6.42 |
Notes
- ^ LTV never released the November poll, because of its editorial decision "to not highlight the November ratings separately, because the survey was conducted at a time when the scandal involving the private flights of former Prime Minister Krišjānis Kariņš was just beginning to gain momentum and could mislead the public", thus the results may be inaccurate. Numbers on this row were counted manually using information about the November poll given by LTV itself.
- ^ others: 2.76%, blank/invalid votes: 1.42%
References
- ^ "Jūnijā pieaudzis «Jaunās Vienotības» reitings; Saeimā iekļūtu 8 spēki". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-07-06.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi aprīlī: Atbalsts iekļūšanai Saeimā būtu 8 partijām; līderos – NA un ZZS". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-05-14.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi martā: Saeimas vēlēšanās līderi būtu NA un «Progresīvie», JV zaudē līderpozīcijas". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-04-06.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi janvārī: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, lielākais kritums ZZS". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-02-04.
- ^ a b "Partiju reitingi decembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" piedzīvo kritumu, Saeimā iekļūtu 7 spēki". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-12-23.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: "Jaunā Vienotība" atgriežas līderpozīcijā, atbalsts kāpj arī ZZS, "Progresīvajiem" kritums". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-10-31.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi septembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" līderpozīciju atdod Zaļo un Zemnieku savienībai". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-10-01.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi augustā: līderos "Jaunā Vienotība", ZZS un Šlesera partija". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-09-14.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi jūlijā: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, ZZS izvirzās otrajā vietā". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-08-08.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: līderos – "Jaunā Vienotība", "Latvija pirmajā vietā" izvirzās otrajā vietā". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-06-30.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: maijā lielākais kritums – "Apvienotajam sarakstam"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-06-08.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: aprīlī lielākais kāpums – "Latvija pirmajā vietā"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-05-12.
- ^ "Partiju reitingā lielākais kritums – "Jaunajai Vienotībai"; vadošais piecinieks – nemainīgs". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-04-11.
- ^ "Partiju reitingā līderpozīcijas saglabā "Jaunā Vienotība"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-02-17.
- ^ "Partiju reitingi: decembrī lielākais kritums "Jaunajai Vienotībai", kāpums – ZZS un "Stabilitātei"". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2023-01-06.
- ^ ""Jaunā Vienotība" arvien droša līdere partiju reitingos, konkurenti mazliet pietuvojušies". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2022-12-11.
- ^ "Pēc 14. Saeimas vēlēšanām reitings kāpis visām parlamentā iekļuvušajām partijām". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2022-12-06.