2020 United States presidential election in Michigan: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] --> |
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{{main|2020 United States presidential election}} |
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{{Main|2020 United States presidential election}} |
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{{use mdy dates|date=November 2020}} |
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{{use American English|date=November 2020}} |
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{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan |
| election_name = 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan |
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| type = presidential |
| type = presidential |
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| ongoing = no |
| ongoing = no |
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| college_voted = yes |
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| previous_election = 2016 United States presidential election in Michigan |
| previous_election = 2016 United States presidential election in Michigan |
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| previous_year |
| previous_year = 2016 |
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| election_date = November 3, 2020 |
| election_date = November 3, 2020 |
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| next_election |
| next_election = 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan |
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| next_year |
| next_year = 2024 |
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| turnout = 71%{{increase}}<ref>{{cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/record-votes-michigan-highest-turnout-1f7802d2a2e67966ba8ccb02e3d1cbed|date=2020-11-05|title=Record 5.5M voted in Michigan; highest percentage in decades|website=Associated Press}}</ref> |
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| image_size = 200x200px |
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| last_update = Nov. 18, 2020, 4:57 AM |
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| time_zone = [[Eastern Time Zone|EST]]<ref>{{cite web |title=Michigan Presidential Election Results 2020|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/michigan-president-results|work=NBC News |access-date=November 18, 2020}}</ref> |
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| image1 = Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg |
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| nominee1 = '''[[Joe Biden]]''' |
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| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| home_state1 = [[Delaware]] |
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| running_mate1 = '''[[Kamala Harris]]''' |
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| electoral_vote1 = '''16''' |
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| popular_vote1 = '''2,804,040''' |
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| percentage1 = '''{{percentage|2,804,040|5,539,302|2|pad=yes}}''' |
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| image2 = Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg |
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| nominee2 = [[Donald Trump]] |
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| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| home_state2 = [[Florida]] |
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| running_mate2 = [[Mike Pence]] |
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| electoral_vote2 = 0 |
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| popular_vote2 = 2,649,852 |
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| percentage2 = {{percentage|2,649,852|5,539,302|2|pad=yes}} |
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<!--SEE TALK PAGE CONSENSUS NOTE BEFORE ADDING OR REMOVING CANDIDATES. Inclusion criteria have been discussed, and ballot access is not a factor.-->| map_image = {{Switcher |
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| [[File:Michigan Presidential Election Results 2020.svg|375px]] |
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| County results |
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| [[File:MI-20-pres-districts.svg|375px]] |
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| Congressional district results |
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| [[File:Michigan Presidential Results 2020 by Municipality.svg|375px]] |
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| Municipality results |
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| [[File:MI President 2020.svg|375px]] |
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| Precinct results |
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}} |
}} |
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| map_caption = {{col-begin}} |
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The '''2020 United States presidential election in Michigan''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the [[2020 United States elections]] in which all 50 states plus the [[Washington, D.C.|District of Columbia]] will participate.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html|title=US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?|last=Kelly|first=Ben|date=August 13, 2018|work=[[The Independent]]|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref> [[Michigan]] voters will choose electors to represent them in the [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]] via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|last=|first=|date=|website=[[National Archives and Records Administration]]|archive-url=|archive-date=|dead-url=|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref> |
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{{col-2}} |
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'''Biden''' |
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{{legend|#B9D7FF|40–50%}} |
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{{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}} |
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{{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}} |
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{{legend|#1666CB|70–80%}} |
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{{legend|#0645B4|80–90%}} |
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{{legend|#002B84|90–100%}} |
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{{col-2}} |
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'''Trump''' |
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{{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}} |
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{{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}} |
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{{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}} |
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{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}} |
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{{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}} |
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{{legend|#800000|90–100%}} |
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{{col-3}} |
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'''Tie''' |
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{{legend|#D4C4DC}} |
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{{col-end}} |
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| title = President |
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| before_election = [[Donald Trump]] |
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| before_party = Republican Party (United States) |
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| after_election = [[Joe Biden]] |
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| after_party = Democratic Party (United States) |
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}} |
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{{Elections in Michigan sidebar}} |
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The '''2020 United States presidential election in Michigan''' was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the [[2020 United States presidential election]] in which all 50 states plus the [[Washington, D.C.|District of Columbia]] participated.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180802011326/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-date=2018-08-02 |url-access=limited |url-status=live|title=US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?|last=Kelly|first=Ben|date=August 13, 2018|work=[[The Independent]]|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref> [[Michigan]] voters chose electors to represent them in the [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]] via a popular vote, pitting the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]]'s nominee, incumbent President [[Donald Trump]] of [[Florida]], and his running mate, [[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]] [[Mike Pence]] of [[Indiana]] against the [[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic Party]] nominee, former Vice President [[Joe Biden]] of [[Delaware]], and his running mate, [[United States Senate|Senator]] [[Kamala Harris]] of [[California]]. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|website=[[National Archives and Records Administration]]|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref> |
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In [[2016 United States presidential election in Michigan|2016]], Trump became the first [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]] to carry Michigan since [[1988 United States presidential election in Michigan|1988]], when [[George H. W. Bush]] had scored a decisive nationwide win against [[Michael Dukakis]].<ref>{{cite web |last1=Shepard |first1=Steven |title=Michigan certifies Trump as winner |url=https://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/michigan-certifies-trump-as-winner-231885 |website=POLITICO |date=November 28, 2016 |access-date=November 10, 2020 |language=en}}</ref> Throughout the campaign, Biden touted his work on the [[Automotive industry crisis of 2008–2010|auto bailout]] in [[Manufacturing in the United States|manufacturing]] towns outside [[Detroit]]. Appearing with [[United Auto Workers]], Biden presented a new proposal to penalize [[Automotive industry|American companies]] for moving [[manufacturing]] and service jobs overseas and then selling their products back in the United States.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Coleman|first=Justine|date=2020-09-09|title=Biden unveils plan to penalize companies that offshore jobs ahead of Michigan visit|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/515597-biden-unveils-plan-to-penalize-companies-that-offshore-jobs-ahead-of|access-date=2020-11-09|website=TheHill}}</ref> Polls of Michigan throughout the campaign generally indicated a clear Biden lead. Prior to election day, most news organizations considered Michigan a likely [[Red states and blue states|blue state]], or a state that Biden was likely to win. |
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As of February 2019, [[Donald Trump]] is the declared Republican candidate. A number of Democrats are running or have expressed interest in running, [[Elizabeth Warren]], [[Kamala Harris]], [[Bernie Sanders|Bernie Sanders,]] [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] among the major declared candidates.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Taylor |first1=Kate |title=Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/09/us/politics/elizabeth-warren-2020.html |accessdate=10 February 2019 |publisher=The New York Times |date=9 February 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Zhou |first1=Li |title=Kamala Harris announces her historic 2020 presidential campaign |url=https://www.vox.com/2019/1/21/18175628/kamala-harris-2020-campaign-president |accessdate=10 February 2019 |publisher=Vox |date=21 January 2019}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Detrow |first1=Scott |title=Cory Booker Makes It Official: He's Running For President In 2020 |url=https://www.npr.org/2019/02/01/676578945/cory-booker-makes-it-official-hes-running-for-president-in-2020 |accessdate=10 February 2019 |publisher=NPR |date=1 February 2019}}</ref> |
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Biden ultimately carried Michigan by 2.78%, a far closer margin than expected. Per [[exit poll]]s by the [[Associated Press]], Biden's strength in Michigan came from [[Labor unions in the United States|union]] households, who composed 21% of the electorate and supported Biden by 56%–42%. Biden was also able to boost minority turnout, consequently winning 93% of [[African Americans|Black American]] voters.<ref>{{Cite news|date=2020-11-03|title=Michigan Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-michigan.html|access-date=2020-11-09|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> Many voters were also concerned with the [[COVID-19 pandemic in Michigan|COVID-19 pandemic]], which had hit the state hard; 52% of voters felt the pandemic was not under control at all, and these voters broke for Biden by 82%–16%. Trump outperformed his polling average in the state, but it was not enough to win. Michigan marked Biden's strongest performance in a state won by Trump in 2016, even voting to the left of [[Nevada]] which Trump lost in 2016. |
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==Polling== |
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;with Donald Trump and Joe Biden |
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Biden flipped the counties of [[Leelanau County, Michigan|Leelanau]], [[Kent County, Michigan|Kent]], and [[Saginaw County, Michigan|Saginaw]] and became the first Democrat since [[Woodrow Wilson]] in [[1916 United States presidential election in Michigan|1916]] to win the presidency without winning [[Bay County, Michigan|Bay]] or [[Gogebic County, Michigan|Gogebic]] Counties, the first Democrat since [[Harry S. Truman]] in [[1948 United States presidential election in Michigan|1948]] to win without [[Monroe County, Michigan|Monroe County]], the first Democrat since [[John F. Kennedy]] in [[1960 United States presidential election in Michigan|1960]] to win without [[Lake County, Michigan|Lake County]] and the first Democrat since [[Jimmy Carter]] in [[1976 United States presidential election in Michigan|1976]] to win without [[Calhoun County, Michigan|Calhoun]], [[Isabella County, Michigan|Isabella]], [[Manistee County, Michigan|Manistee]], [[Shiawassee County, Michigan|Shiawassee]], or [[Van Buren County, Michigan|Van Buren]] Counties. |
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{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
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|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
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With [[2020 United States presidential election in Ohio|Ohio]], [[2020 United States presidential election in Florida|Florida]], and [[2020 United States presidential election in Iowa|Iowa]] backing the losing candidate for the first time since [[1960 United States presidential election in Ohio|1960]], [[1992 United States presidential election in Florida|1992]], and [[2000 United States presidential election in Iowa|2000]] respectively, this election established Michigan, [[2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|Wisconsin]], and [[2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]] as the states with the longest [[Bellwether#United_States|bellwether]] streak still in effect today. The last time any of them voted against the winning candidate was [[2004 United States presidential election|2004]], when all three voted for losing Democrat [[John Kerry]]. |
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Michigan's overall vote in for this election was 1.6% more Republican than the nation-at-large. |
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==Primary elections== |
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The primary elections were held on March 10, 2020. |
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===Republican primary=== |
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{{transcluded section|source=2020 Michigan Republican presidential primary}} |
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{{trim|{{#section-h:2020 Michigan Republican presidential primary|Results}}}} |
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===Democratic primary=== |
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[[Bernie Sanders]] and former [[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]] [[Joe Biden]] were the two major declared Democratic candidates.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Taylor |first1=Kate |title=Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/09/us/politics/elizabeth-warren-2020.html |access-date=February 10, 2019 |work=The New York Times |date=February 9, 2019}}</ref> |
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{{transcluded section|source=2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary}} |
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{{trim|{{#section-h:2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary|Results}}}} |
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==General election== |
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===Final predictions=== |
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{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center" |
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!Source |
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!Ranking |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[The Cook Political Report]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-03/EC%20030920.4.pdf|title=2020 POTUS Race ratings|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|access-date=2019-05-21}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[Stuart Rothenberg|Inside Elections]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://insideelections.com/ratings/president|title=POTUS Ratings {{!}} Inside Elections|website=insideelections.com|access-date=2019-05-21}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[Sabato's Crystal Ball]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-president/|title=Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President|website=crystalball.centerforpolitics.org|access-date=2019-05-21}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[Politico]]<ref>{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |publisher=[[Politico]]}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[RealClearPolitics|RCP]]<ref>{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html|title=Battle for White House|date=April 19, 2019 |publisher=[[RealClearPolitics|RCP]]}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[Niskanen Center|Niskanen]]<ref>[https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200423025500/https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ |date=April 23, 2020 }}, [[Niskanen Center]], March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[CNN]]<ref>{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian |author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN|date=June 11, 2020 }}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[The Economist]]<ref>{{cite news |title=Forecasting the US elections |url=https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president |newspaper=The Economist |access-date=July 7, 2020}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[CBS News]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/2020-us-election-battleground-tracker/|title=2020 Election Battleground Tracker|website=CBS News|date=July 12, 2020|access-date=July 13, 2020}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[270towin]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.270towin.com/|title=2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map|website=270 to Win}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[ABC News (United States)|ABC News]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-Electoral-Interactive-Map?basemap=71662160&promoref=brandpromo|title=ABC News Race Ratings|website=CBS News|date=July 24, 2020|access-date=July 24, 2020}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[NPR]]<ref>{{Cite web|title=2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes|url=https://www.npr.org/2020/08/03/897202359/2020-electoral-map-ratings-trump-slides-biden-advantage-expands-over-270-votes|access-date=2020-08-03|website=NPR.org|language=en}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[NBC News]]<ref>{{Cite web|title=Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/biden-dominates-electoral-map-here-s-how-race-could-tighten-n1236001|access-date=2020-08-06|website=NBC News|language=en}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} |
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|- |
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| align="left" |[[FiveThirtyEight|538]]<ref>{{cite web |title=2020 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ |website=FiveThirtyEight |date=August 12, 2020 |access-date=August 14, 2020}}</ref> |
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|{{USRaceRating|Solid|D|Flip}} |
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|} |
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===Polling=== |
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====Graphical summary==== |
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{{Graph:Chart |
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| width=700 |
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| height=400 | xAxisTitle= |
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| yAxisTitle=%support |
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| xAxisAngle = -40 |
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| yAxisMax = 55 |
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| legend=Candidate |
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| interpolate = bundle |
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| size = 77 |
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| xType = date |
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| y1Title=Trump |
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| y2Title=Biden |
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| y3Title=Jorgensen |
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| y4Title=Hawkins |
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| y5Title=Other/Undecided |
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| type=line |
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| xGrid= |
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| yGrid= |
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| x= |
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2020/01/07,2020/01/12,2020/02/18,2020/02/18,2020/02/20,2020/03/07,2020/03/08,2020/03/08,2020/03/09,2020/03/16,2020/03/20,2020/03/23, |
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2020/03/25,2020/04/01,2020/04/01,2020/04/08,2020/04/11,2020/04/20,2020/04/21,2020/04/21,2020/04/29,2020/05/05,2020/05/14,2020/05/17, |
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2020/05/19,2020/05/26,2020/05/30,2020/05/31,2020/06/03,2020/06/04,2020/06/07,2020/06/12,2020/06/14,2020/06/16,2020/06/16,2020/06/17, |
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2020/06/18,2020/06/20,2020/06/27,2020/06/28,2020/07/10,2020/07/12,2020/07/16,2020/07/16,2020/07/20,2020/07/22,2020/07/24,2020/07/24, |
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2020/07/24,2020/07/26,2020/07/26,2020/07/29,2020/07/30,2020/07/31,2020/07/31,2020/08/04,2020/08/06,2020/08/09,2020/08/17,2020/08/19,2020/08/23, |
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2020/08/23,2020/08/29,2020/08/30,2020/09/03,2020/09/03,2020/09/03,2020/09/06,2020/09/07,2020/09/08,2020/09/15,2020/09/15,2020/09/16, |
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2020/09/19,2020/09/20,2020/09/21,2020/09/21,2020/09/22,2020/09/22,2020/09/23,2020/09/28,2020/09/30,2020/10/01,2020/10/03,2020/10/04, |
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2020/10/06,2020/10/06,2020/10/07,2020/10/08,2020/10/09,2020/10/11,2020/10/11,2020/10/11,2020/10/12,2020/10/13,2020/10/13,2020/10/14, |
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2020/10/15,2020/10/18,2020/10/18,2020/10/19,2020/10/20,2020/10/20,2020/10/22,2020/10/24,2020/10/25,2020/10/25,2020/10/26,2020/10/26,2020/10/27,2020/10/28,2020/10/29,2020/10/30,2020/10/31,2020/11/01,2020/11/02 |
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| y1= |
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43,44,43,43,43,46,41,41,46,44,41,47, |
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42,46,45,41,43,38,41,44,42,42,39,46, |
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45,42,44,46,41,39,35,38,45,33,36,36, |
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45,38,44,43,44,42,50,41,40,42,40,37, |
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42,42,42,43,40,41,43,43,43,46,38,47, |
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44,44,42,40,42,44,43,42,43,40,42,44, |
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41,43,43,45,42,46.7,44,47,44,44,39,43, |
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43,42,43,43,46,44,40,43,39,43.5,41.7,47, |
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43,47,41,44,44,40,43,42,44,42,43,41,42, |
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49,43.7,44,47,43.3,46 |
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| y2= |
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50,50,43,47,47,44,48,45,44,50,44,48, |
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47,46,48,50,49,46,49,51,50,50,47,49, |
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51,50,50,48,53,55,50,51,47,49,47,47, |
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46,56,50,48,51,48,45,53,49,51,52,49, |
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48,52,46,49,51,51,52,47,48,49,50,45, |
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50,48,52,51,47,53,49,52,50,48,53,49, |
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46,51,53,51,50,46,52,49,53,50,48,51, |
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51,50,54,50,52,51,48,52,48,51,48.3,46, |
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54,45,51,51,52,52,50,55,51,49,53,53,52, |
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47,51.3,54,49,52.7,52 |
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| y3= |
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, , , , , , , , , , , , |
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, , , , , , , , , , , , |
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, , , , , , , , ,02, , , |
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, , , , , , , , , ,01, , |
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, , , ,03, , , , , , ,01, |
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03, , , ,03, ,01, , , , , , |
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, , , , , ,01,2.1, , ,02, , |
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02, , , ,01, ,01, , ,01,03,03, |
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,03,03, ,02,03, , ,03, ,01,02,03, |
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02, ,01,02,0.3 |
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| y4= |
|||
, , , , , , , , , , , , |
|||
, , , , , , , , , , , , |
|||
, , , , , , , , , ,01, , |
|||
, , , , , , , , , ,01, , |
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, , , , , , , , , , ,01, |
|||
, , , ,01, ,00, , , , , , |
|||
, , , , , ,00,0.8, , ,00, , |
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01, , , ,00, ,01, , ,0.5,1.5,02, |
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,02,01, ,00,00, , ,00, ,00,01,00, |
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00, ,00, ,00 |
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| y5= |
|||
07,06,14,10,10,10,11,14,10,06,15,05, |
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11,08,07,09,08,16,10,05,08,08,14,05, |
|||
04,08,06,06,06,06,15,11,08,18,14,17, |
|||
09,06,06,09,05,10,05,06,11,07,08,12, |
|||
10,06,12,08,06,08,05,10,09,05,10,05, |
|||
06,08,02,09,10,03,08,04,07,12,05,05, |
|||
13,06,04,04,07,4.4,04,03,03,03,13,06, |
|||
06,07,03,05,02,05,10,13,05,5.5,02,03, |
|||
03,03,04,05,3.5,05,07,03,02,09,04,07,03, |
|||
02,05,01,02,3.7,02 |
|||
| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, gold, green, #DCDCDC |
|||
| showsymbols = 1,1,1.5,1.5,1 |
|||
| symbolsShape = cross |
|||
}} |
|||
====Aggregate polls==== |
|||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px" |
|||
|+ |
|||
!Source of poll<br>aggregation |
|||
!Dates<br> administered |
|||
!Dates<br> updated |
|||
!class="unsortable"|[[Joe Biden|Joe<br>Biden]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]}}</small> |
|||
!class="unsortable"|[[Donald Trump|Donald<br>Trump]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]}}</small> |
|||
!class="unsortable"|[[Third-party and independent candidates for the 2020 United States presidential election|Other]]/<br>Undecided<br>{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=othercalc|group=}} |
|||
!Margin |
|||
|- |
|||
|[https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/michigan/ 270 to Win] |
|||
|October 22 – November 2, 2020<!-- 270 to Win reports the dates polls are released, this is when those polls were administered.--> |
|||
|November 3, 2020 |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49.9%''' |
|||
|44.4% |
|||
|5.7% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|{{hs|5.5}}'''Biden +5.5''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_biden-6761.html Real Clear Politics] |
|||
|October 29 – November 1, 2020 |
|||
|November 3, 2020 |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50.0%''' |
|||
|45.8% |
|||
|4.2% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|{{hs|5.1}}'''Biden +4.2''' |
|||
|- |
|||
|[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/michigan/ FiveThirtyEight] |
|||
|until November 1, 2020 |
|||
|November 3, 2020 |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51.2%''' |
|||
|43.2% |
|||
|5.6% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}} |{{hs|7.9}}'''Biden +7.9''' |
|||
|- |
|||
| colspan="3" |'''Average''' |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}} |'''50.4%''' |
|||
|44.5% |
|||
|5.1% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}} |'''Biden +5.9''' |
|||
|} |
|||
====2020 polls==== |
|||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px" |
|||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br>administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key|{{Polling Table Key}}}} |
||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
||
! class="unsortable" | [[Donald Trump|Donald<br>Trump]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]}}</small> |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! class="unsortable" |[[Joe Biden|Joe<br>Biden]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]}}</small> |
|||
! Joe<br>Biden (D) |
|||
! class="unsortable" |[[Jo Jorgensen|Jo<br>Jorgensen]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Libertarian Party (United States)|Libertarian]]}}</small> |
|||
! Other |
|||
! class="unsortable" |[[Howie Hawkins|Howie<br>Hawkins]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Green Party of the United States|Green]]}}</small> |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
! class="unsortable" |[[Third-party and independent candidates for the 2020 United States presidential election|Other]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" |Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios] |
|||
|Oct 20 – Nov 2 |
|||
|4,549 (LV) |
|||
|± 2% |
|||
|46%{{efn|Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://researchco.ca/2020/11/02/us2020-eight-states-uspoli/ Research Co.] |
|||
|Oct 31 – Nov 1 |
|||
|450 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.6% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%|name="SE2"}} |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-17/ Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Oct 29 – Nov 1 |
|||
|383 (LV) |
|||
|± 5.01% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|3% |
|||
|1% |
|||
| – |
|||
|1% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html Swayable] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201113073344/https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html |date=November 13, 2020 }} |
|||
|Oct 27 – Nov 1 |
|||
|413 (LV) |
|||
|± 6.5% |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w6_11_01_2020_0.pdf Ipsos/Reuters] |
|||
|rowspan=3|Oct 27 – Nov 1 |
|||
|rowspan=3|654 (LV) |
|||
|rowspan=3|± 4.4% |
|||
|43%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse|Standard VI response}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%|name="SOC2WWNV0"}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|42%{{efn|If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available|name="onlyBidTrumSOC"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%|name="SOC3WNV0"}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|45%{{efn|Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1MijhK0HHc4zCMF2SJ2tQdGV0BUW1AJi3/view Trafalgar Group] |
|||
|Oct 30–31 |
|||
|1,033 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.97% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|46% |
|||
|2% |
|||
| - |
|||
|1% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201101_MI_atlasintel.pdf AtlasIntel] |
|||
|Oct 30–31 |
|||
|686 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|46% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|6% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/11/MI-POll-Oct-31st-final-poll-.pdf Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness]{{efn-ua|name=amgreatness|The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization}} |
|||
|Oct 30–31 |
|||
|500 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.4% |
|||
|47% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/ Morning Consult] |
|||
|Oct 22–31 |
|||
|1,736 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.0% |
|||
|44.5% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/super-poll-sunday-polling-in-the-midwest-shows-biden-ahead-in-michigan-and-tight-races-in-ohio-and-iowa Emerson College] |
|||
|Oct 29–30 |
|||
|700 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.4% |
|||
|45%{{efn|With voters who lean towards a given candidate|name="lean"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%|name="SE3"}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/LE-Newsletter-Issue8.pdf Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan]{{efn-ua|name=ProgressMI|Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates}} |
|||
|Oct 29–30 |
|||
|745 (V) |
|||
|± 3.6% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
| – |
|||
|1% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5e28be4ccb16eb0aa6496c31/t/5f9f6cf4622e88214e9f0514/1604283637748/Crosstab+-+Michigan+2020+PollSmart+Poll+%28Demos%29.pdf Targoz Market Research/PollSmart] |
|||
|Oct 25–30 |
|||
|993 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|39% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|8%{{efn|"Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 8%}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_mi.pdf CNN/SSRS] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201031215433/http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_mi.pdf |date=October 31, 2020 }} |
|||
|Oct 23–30 |
|||
|907 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.8% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1%{{efn|"None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Mitchell_Poll_MI_November_1_2020.pdf Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS] |
|||
|Oct 29 |
|||
|817 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.43% |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0%{{efn|"Someone else" with no voters}} |
|||
|0% |
|||
|- |
|||
|rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|[http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/30/battleground-michigan-biden-51-trump-44/ RMG Research/PoliticalIQ] |
|||
|rowspan=3|Oct 27–29 |
|||
|rowspan=3|800 (LV) |
|||
|rowspan=3| ± 3.5% |
|||
|44%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3% |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|42%{{efn|Results generated with high Democratic turnout model|name="highDemo"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3% |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|45%{{efn|Results generated with high Republican turnout model|name="highRepub"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3% |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/eve-of-the-election-report-and-final-swing-states-voting-intention-26-29-october/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Oct 26–29 |
|||
|1,212 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/10/2020-Second-October-EPICMRA-poll-110120.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|Oct 25–28 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|"Third party" with 5%}} |
|||
|6%{{efn|Includes "Refused"|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ZEvKCyr9EKALfllUm9K3_xnnilz8E4OC/view Trafalgar Group] |
|||
|Oct 25–28 |
|||
|1,058 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.93% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%''' |
|||
|47% |
|||
|2% |
|||
| - |
|||
|1%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%|name="SE1"}} |
|||
|1% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://kiaerresearch.com/oct-2020-poll Kiaer Research] |
|||
|Oct 21–28 |
|||
|669 (LV) |
|||
|± 5.6% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Other/third party" with 2%}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios] |
|||
|Oct 1–28, 2020 |
|||
|7,541 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://mirsnews.com/images/MIRS-Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release-_Field_Copy_-_Crosstabs_10-28-20.pdf Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201029013114/https://mirsnews.com/images/MIRS-Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release-_Field_Copy_-_Crosstabs_10-28-20.pdf |date=October 29, 2020 }} |
|||
|Oct 25–27 |
|||
|759 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.56% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
|3% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|0%{{efn|"Someone else" with 0%}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-10-28.html Swayable] |
|||
|Oct 23–26, 2020 |
|||
|394 (LV) |
|||
|± 6.7% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''59%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|0% |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/mi102320-crosstabs/9308372de600fa49/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot] |
|||
|Oct 23–26 |
|||
|856 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.8% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0%{{efn|"Someone else" and would not vote with 0%}} |
|||
|6%{{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w5_10_27_2020.pdf Ipsos/Reuters] |
|||
|rowspan=2|Oct 20–26 |
|||
|rowspan=2|652 (LV) |
|||
|rowspan=2|± 4.4% |
|||
|43%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|2%{{efn|name="SOC2WWNV0"}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|43%{{efn|name="onlyBidTrumSOC"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|name="SOC3WNV0"}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://medium.com/wick-research/predicting-2020-research-on-the-research-57ad9b7b3d5a Wick Surveys] |
|||
|Oct 24–25 |
|||
|1,000 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.1% |
|||
|'''48%''' |
|||
|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2020/2020/10/27/poll-biden-preserves-lead-over-trump-in-michigan-including-32-point-lead-with-seniors/ Glengariff Group/Detroit News] |
|||
|Oct 23–25 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Third party" with 2%}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a52020StateBattlegrounds-MIWI.pdf ABC/Washington Post] |
|||
|Oct 20–25 |
|||
|789 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|3% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|0%{{efn|"Other" and "None of these" with 0%; would not vote with no voters}} |
|||
|1% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://gravismarketing.com/michigan-poll-results-2020/ Gravis Marketing] |
|||
| Oct 24 |
|||
|679 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.8% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''55%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://americanbridgepac.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/MichiganResults.pdf Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC]{{efn-ua|The American Bridge PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates}} |
|||
|Oct 21–22 |
|||
|804 (V) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|6% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://elections.wisc.edu/fourth-2020-election-survey/ YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison] |
|||
|Oct 13–21 |
|||
|681 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.2% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|Includes Undecided}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://github.com/GetCitizenData/VoteByMail/blob/master/VoteByMail-Michigan/Modeling/October/Michigan%20VBM%20Toplines%2010_23_2020.pdf Citizen Data] |
|||
|Oct 17–20 |
|||
|1,000 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.1% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/10/Fox_October-17-20-2020_Complete_Michigan_Topline_October-21-Release.pdf Fox News] |
|||
|Oct 17–20 |
|||
|1,032 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.0% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
|3% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Other" with 2%; would not vote with no voters}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w4_10_20_2020.pdf Ipsos/Reuters] |
|||
|rowspan=2|Oct 14–20 |
|||
|rowspan=2|686 (LV) |
|||
|rowspan=2|± 4.3% |
|||
|44%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|2%{{efn|name="SOC2WWNV0"}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|44%{{efn|name="onlyBidTrumSOC"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|name="SOC3WNV0"}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/ Morning Consult] |
|||
|Oct 11–20 |
|||
|1,717 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.4% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/20/voters-want-senate-to-choose-coronavirus-stimulus-over-supreme-court.html Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Oct 16–19 |
|||
|718 (LV){{efn|name=538data|Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/10/2020-EPICMRA-Omnibus-Statewide-Oct-Poll-102320.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|Oct 15–19 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|39% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|"Third party candidate" with 5%|name="TPC5"}} |
|||
|8%{{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Mitchell_Research_MI_10-18-20.pdf Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS] |
|||
|Oct 18 |
|||
|900 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.27% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|3% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1%{{efn|name="SE1"}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/1001/attachments/original/1603307463/RSTP_MI_'20_Oct_Press_Report.pdf?1603307463 Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration|The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign}} |
|||
|Oct 15–18 |
|||
|1,034 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.97% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''47%''' |
|||
|45% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|2% |
|||
|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-5/toplines/dfp_psp_mi_10.21.2020.pdf Data For Progress] |
|||
|Oct 15–18 |
|||
|830 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.4% |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|0% |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://mirsnews.com/pdfs/poll_cross_tabs/1603227211.pdf Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News] |
|||
|Oct 11–18 |
|||
|2,851 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.5% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%''' |
|||
|45% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/521421-biden-holds-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-pennsylvania-poll HarrisX/The Hill] |
|||
|Oct 12–15 |
|||
|1,289 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bfVKzx-3jkXRkjysTxH1k-h9ZIThV_7x/view Trafalgar Group] |
|||
|Oct 11–14 |
|||
|1,025 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.97% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''47%''' |
|||
|46% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|2% |
|||
|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Redfield__Wilton_Strategies_Eve_of_the_Election_Report_SB.pdf#page=22 Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Oct 10–13 |
|||
|972 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|42%{{efn|name=538data}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|[http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/15/battleground-mi-biden-48-trump-42/ RMG Research/PoliticalIQ] |
|||
|rowspan=3|Oct 8–13 |
|||
|rowspan=3|800 (LV) |
|||
|rowspan=3| – |
|||
|42%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|39%{{efn|name="highDemo"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|44%{{efn|name="highRepub"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w3_10_13_2020.pdf Ipsos/Reuters] |
|||
|rowspan=2|Oct 7–13 |
|||
|rowspan=2|620 (LV) |
|||
|rowspan=2|± 4.5% |
|||
|44%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|43%{{efn|name="onlyBidTrumSOC"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|name="SOC3WNV0"}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/10/2020-OCTOBER-FIRST-MEDIA-WEDNESDAY-FREQUENCY.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press] |
|||
|Oct 8–12 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|39% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|4%{{efn|"Third party candidate" with 4%}} |
|||
|9%{{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/191PrxEKwpYvRBlp0qfofqUwB9tlQvxgE/view Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising]{{efn-ua|name=rustbelt|Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party}} |
|||
|Oct 8–11 |
|||
|543 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.6% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|4%{{efn|"Someone else" with 4%}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/miwi1020-crosstabs/b0a09cd1cd0048df/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot] |
|||
|Oct 6–11 |
|||
|614 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.6% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%}} |
|||
|8%{{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/#section-5 Morning Consult] |
|||
|Oct 2–11 |
|||
|1,710 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.4% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Redfield__Wilton_Strategies_Eve_of_the_Election_Report_SB.pdf#page=22 Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Oct 9–10 |
|||
|827 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|41%{{efn|name=538data}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-trump-opinion-poll-michigan-nevada-iowa/ YouGov/CBS] |
|||
|Oct 6–9 |
|||
|1,190 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.3% |
|||
|46% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Other third party" with 2%}} |
|||
|0% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/10-2020-bw-gl-poll-4-final.pdf Baldwin Wallace University] |
|||
|Sep 30 – Oct 8 |
|||
|1,134 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.2% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 0%}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-hold-10-point-leads-in-presidential-and-us-senate-races Emerson College] |
|||
|Oct 6–7 |
|||
|716 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.6% |
|||
|43%{{efn|name="lean"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-4-7-october/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
| Oct 4–6 |
|||
| 700 (LV) |
|||
| ± 3.7% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|1%{{efn|"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%|name="ATPWI1"}} |
|||
|6% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/michigan-policy-priorities-and-the-election-october-update/ Opinion Insight/American Action Forum]{{efn-ua|name=americanaction}} |
|||
|Oct 3–6 |
|||
|800 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.46% |
|||
|44%{{efn|name="lean"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w2_10_06_2020.pdf Ipsos/Reuters] |
|||
|Sep 29 – Oct 6 |
|||
|709 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.2% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%|name="SOC2WNV0"}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/CNBC-CR_Battleground_Toplines_Wave-15_October-2-4-Wave-15_-10_2-4.pdf Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Oct 2–4 |
|||
|676 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2020/2020/10/07/full-poll-michigan-voters-on-biden-vs-trump-senate-race-supreme-court-vaccines/ Glengariff Group/Detroit News] |
|||
|Sep 30 – Oct 3 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|39% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 5%{{efn|"Refused" with 3%; "Third Party" with 2%}} |
|||
| 7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/MichiganResults-October.pdf Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan]{{efn-ua|name=ProgressMI}} |
|||
|Sep 30 – Oct 1 |
|||
|746 (V) |
|||
| – |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios] |
|||
|Sep 1–30 |
|||
|3,297 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/884/attachments/original/1601438834/RSTP_MI_'20_Sept_Press_Report.pdf?1601438834 Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}} |
|||
|Sep 26–28 |
|||
|1,042 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.95% |
|||
|47% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|1%{{efn|name="SE1"}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-23-27-september/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Sep 23–26 |
|||
|785 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.5% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|0%{{efn|"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%|name="ATPWI0"}} |
|||
|6% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/majorities-michigan-wisconsin-say-2020-winner-should-get-fill-scotus-n1241199 Marist College/NBC] |
|||
|Sep 19–23 |
|||
|799 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.3% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|1% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/519035-biden-leads-trump-by-8-points-in-michigan-poll ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare]{{efn-ua|The Committee to Protect Medicare is a PAC with a history of buying ads arguing against the reelection of Trump}} |
|||
| Sep 17–23 |
|||
| 800 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.5% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1gUrxmVI0S8G0klptrEM6Etj4s38iAaCC/view Trafalgar Group] |
|||
| Sep 20–22 |
|||
| 1,015 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.99% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''46.7%''' |
|||
|46.0% |
|||
|2.1% |
|||
|0.8% |
|||
|1.2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1.2%}} |
|||
|3.2% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/stories/2020/fall/2020_glp_3%20final-1.pdf Baldwin Wallace University] |
|||
| Sep 9–22 |
|||
| 1,001 (LV) |
|||
| ± 3.6% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|1%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 1%}} |
|||
|6% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://elections.wisc.edu/third-2020-election-survey/ YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research<br>Center/Wisconsin State Journal] |
|||
| Sep 10–21 |
|||
| 641 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-14/ Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
| Sep 18–20 |
|||
| 568 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.hrc.org/parts/HRC-Poll-917-202020.pdf Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign]{{Dead link|date=July 2023 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{efn-ua|The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period}} |
|||
|Sep 17–19 |
|||
|400 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.9% |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|[https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-1/MI_1.pdf Data for Progress (D)] |
|||
|rowspan=2 |Sep 14–19 |
|||
|rowspan=2 |455 (LV) |
|||
|rowspan=2 |± 4.6% |
|||
|42%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
| – |
|||
|9% |
|||
|- |
|||
|44%{{efn|If only Trump and Biden were candidates}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|6% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/MRG_Michigan_September_2020.pdf MRG] |
|||
|Sep 14–19 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|8%{{efn|"Someone else" with 7%; "Refused" with 1%; would not vote with 0%}} |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w1_09_22_2020.pdf Ipsos/Reuters] |
|||
|Sep 11–16 |
|||
|637 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.4% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|name="SOC2WNV0"}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1MnN8_rRNinle5U0mqlkF4Gs2XOhROk_w/view Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising]{{efn-ua|name=rustbelt}} |
|||
|Sep 11–15 |
|||
|517 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|name="SE3"}} |
|||
|1% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/US-Swing-State-Polls-Mid-September-Cover-Sheet.pdf Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Sep 12–14 |
|||
|930 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.21% |
|||
|39% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0%{{efn|name="ATPWI0"}} |
|||
|9% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/09/September-Statewide-EPIC-MRA-poll-091820.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|Sep 10–15 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|name="TPC5"}} |
|||
|7%{{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2020/2020-election-battleground-state-surveys.html Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP] |
|||
|Aug 28 – Sep 8 |
|||
|1,600 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.5% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|1%{{efn|Would not vote with 1%}} |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/09/trump-biden-race-tightens-2020-polling/ Morning Consult] |
|||
|Aug 29 – Sep 7 |
|||
|1,455 (LV) |
|||
|± (2%–4%) |
|||
|42%{{efn|Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/09/2020-election-polls-trump-leads-biden-in-az-fl-mi-nc-pa-and-wi.html Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Sep 4–6 |
|||
|876 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|7%{{efn|"Other/not sure" with 7%}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/questions/questions_michigan_presidential_race_september_2_3_2020 Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports][https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/michigan_biden_51_trump_43] |
|||
|Sep 2–3 |
|||
|1,000 (LV) |
|||
|± 3% |
|||
|44%{{efn|name="lean"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 3%}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/09/08/poll-biden-lead-michigan-narrows-but-trumps-support-flat/5745071002/ Glengariff Group] |
|||
|Sep 1–3 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|4%{{efn|"Refused" with 3%; "Third party" with 1%}} |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-30-august-4-september/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Aug 30 – Sep 3 |
|||
|967 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.15% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0% |
|||
|1%{{efn|name="ATPWI1"}} |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/michigan-policy-priorities-and-the-election/ Opinion Insight/American Action Forum]{{efn-ua|name=americanaction|The American Action Forum is a 501 organisation which usually supports Republican candidates}} |
|||
|Aug 30 – Sep 2 |
|||
|802 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.46% |
|||
|44%{{efn|name="lean"}} |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
|2% |
|||
|1% |
|||
|0%{{efn|Would not vote with 0%}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios] |
|||
|Aug 1–31 |
|||
|2,962 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|48% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/01/battleground-presidential-polling-post-conventions/ Morning Consult] |
|||
| Aug 21–30 |
|||
| 1,424 (LV) |
|||
|± (2%–4%) |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/MichiganResults_Sept.pdf Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan]{{efn-ua|name=ProgressMI}} |
|||
| Aug 28–29 |
|||
| 897 (V) |
|||
| – |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|3% |
|||
|1% |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-12/ Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
| Aug 21–23 |
|||
| 809 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/12_IApGhCQY27OukwWXGnk0MFgfPctmhQ/view Trafalgar Group] |
|||
|Aug 14–23 |
|||
|1,048 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.98% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''47%''' |
|||
|45% |
|||
|3% |
|||
| - |
|||
|1%{{efn|"Another party candidate" with 1%}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-august/ Redfield and Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Aug 16–19 |
|||
|812 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|38% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| 1% |
|||
| 1% |
|||
| 1%{{efn|"Another third party/write-in" 1%}} |
|||
| 9% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200821_MIOHPAWI.pdf Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising]{{efn-ua|name=rustbelt}} |
|||
|Aug 13–17 |
|||
|631 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|46% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 3%{{efn|name="SE3"}} |
|||
| 1% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/01/battleground-presidential-polling-post-conventions/ Morning Consult] |
|||
| Aug 7–16 |
|||
| 1,212 (LV) |
|||
|± (2%–4%) |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1599254878/Banner_August2020_08-17-2020.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}} |
|||
| Aug 11–15 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-11 Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Aug 7–9 |
|||
|413 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fqH-jLCyrO5lZ6Mugvj_77fXDc9aVHtc/view YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison] |
|||
|Jul 27 – Aug 6 |
|||
|761 (RV) |
|||
|± 5.1% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|"Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%}} |
|||
|6% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200818_MI.pdf GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC]{{efn-ua|Unite the Country PAC has endorsed Biden's presidential campaign}} |
|||
|Jul 30 – Aug 4 |
|||
|1,245 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.focusonruralamerica.com/2020/08/06/heartland-poll-biden-leads-in-midwest/ David Binder Research] |
|||
|Jul 30–31 |
|||
|200 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios] |
|||
|Jul 1–31 |
|||
|3,083 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|48% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/08/JULY-2020_EPIC-MRA-SURVEY.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|Jul 25–30 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| 3% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|6% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Michigan-Results-August.pdf Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan]{{efn-ua|name=ProgressMI}} |
|||
|Jul 28–29 |
|||
|876 (V) |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|6%{{efn|"Third party" with 6%}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10 Change Research/CNBC][https://web.archive.org/web/20200806112252/https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10] |
|||
|Jul 24–26 |
|||
|413 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/form/july-presidential-battleground-state-polling/ Morning Consult] |
|||
|Jul 17–26 |
|||
|1,320 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.7% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ohx4niA_F_s-Lrn9Dsr79Gu4kwhX8x6U/view YouGov/CBS] |
|||
|Jul 21–24 |
|||
|1,156 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.4% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%}} |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-19-to-24-july/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Jul 19–24 |
|||
|811 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|37% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| 1% |
|||
| 1% |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Another Third Party/Write-In" with 2%}} |
|||
|10% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/07/26/rel1_mi.pdf CNN/SSRS] |
|||
|Jul 18–24 |
|||
|927 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.8% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''52%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|"Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 4%}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://fr.scribd.com/document/470277505/Michigan-July-23-2020-2020#fullscreen&from_embed Gravis Marketing][https://web.archive.org/web/20200724191132/https://gravismarketing.com/michigan-poll-results/] |
|||
|Jul 22 |
|||
|754 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.6% |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/07/Fox_July-18-20-2020_Complete_Michigan_Topline_July-23-Release.pdf Fox News] |
|||
|Jul 18–20 |
|||
|756 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.5% |
|||
|40% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|4%{{efn|"Other" with 3%; would not vote with 1%}} |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1596556627/Banners_MI_July2020_07-17-2020.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}} |
|||
|Jul 13–16 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP.Michigan.pdf Spry Strategies/American Principles Project]{{efn-ua|This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.}} |
|||
|Jul 11–16 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.7% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''50%''' |
|||
|45% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-9 Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Jul 10–12 |
|||
|824 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://giffords.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/MichiganResults2-1.pdf Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Giffords, whose head - Gabby Giffords - had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period}} |
|||
|Jul 9–10 |
|||
|1,041 (V) |
|||
|± 3.2% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios] |
|||
|Jun 8–30 |
|||
|1,238 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|46% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-8 Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Jun 26–28 |
|||
|699 (LV){{efn|name=538data}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/MichiganResults-july2020.pdf Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)]{{efn-ua|name=ProgressMI}} |
|||
|Jun 26–27 |
|||
|1,237 (V) |
|||
| – |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|"Would vote third party" with 5%}} |
|||
|1% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1593026417/Banners_MI_June2020_06-22-2020_Crosstabs.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)] |
|||
|Jun 17–20 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|38% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''56%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|2%{{efn|"Refused" with 2%}} |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1F4fied1xg_S7mIBdgHQHC1t98cYys2ez/view Trafalgar Group] |
|||
|Jun 16–18 |
|||
|1,101 (LV) |
|||
|± 2.95% |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|5%{{efn|name="TPC5"}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/battleground-0625/6ca076db1919b722/full.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College] |
|||
|Jun 8–17 |
|||
|610 (RV) |
|||
|± 4.3% |
|||
|36% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|8%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 3%; Would not vote with 5%}} |
|||
|9% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-14-to-19-june/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|Jun 14–16 |
|||
|826 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.41% |
|||
|36% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| 2% |
|||
| 1% |
|||
|2%{{efn|"other" with 2%}} |
|||
|12% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20200729203350/https://www.detroitchamber.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Keep-Michigan-Healthy-and-Working-Study-Topline-F2.pdf TargetPoint] |
|||
|Jun 11–16 |
|||
|1,000 (A) |
|||
| – |
|||
|33% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|4%{{efn|"Refused/no answer" with 4%}} |
|||
|14% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-states-of-play-battleground-wave-7 Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|Jun 12–14 |
|||
| 353 (LV){{efn|name=538data}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|"Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://kittyhawk.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/06/Michigan-Crosstabs-June-2020-1.pdf TIPP/American Greatness PAC] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200616111557/https://kittyhawk.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/06/Michigan-Crosstabs-June-2020-1.pdf |date=June 16, 2020 }}{{efn-ua|name=amgreatness}} |
|||
|Jun 9–12 |
|||
|859 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|38% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|4%{{efn|"Other" with 4%; "prefer not to answer" with 0%}} |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5e111a934eae7b3046095283/t/5edfa962ec4d69061a960910/1591716195220/Kiaer+Research+Poll+May-June+2020+-+Press+Release.pdf Kiaer Research] |
|||
|May 31 – Jun 7 |
|||
|543 (LV) |
|||
|± 6.4% |
|||
|35% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|6%{{efn|"A different candidate" with 6%}} |
|||
|8% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/06/16/michigan-poll-biden-trump/3190077001/ EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|May 31 – Jun 4<!-- separate from the May 30-June 3 EPIC-MRA poll --> |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|39% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''55%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/06/07/michigan-poll-biden-leading-trump-12-points/3153501001/ EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|May 30 – Jun 3 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''53%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|6%{{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-6 Change Research/CNBC] |
|||
|May 29–31 |
|||
| 620 (LV){{efn|name=538data}} |
|||
| – |
|||
|46% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3% |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/LE-Newsletter-Issue3.pdf Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan]{{efn-ua|name=ProgressMI}} |
|||
|May 29–30 |
|||
|1,582 (V) |
|||
|± 2.5% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|4%{{efn|"Third party" with 4%}} |
|||
|2% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://morningconsult.com/form/july-presidential-battleground-state-polling/ Morning Consult] |
|||
|May 17–26 |
|||
|1,325 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Michigan-Polling-Results-5.20.20.pdf Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care]{{efn-ua|Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation}} |
|||
|May 18–19 |
|||
|1,234 (V) |
|||
|± 2.8% |
|||
|45% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://crooked.com/articles/michigan-2020-pollercoaster/ Change Research/Crooked Media] |
|||
|May 11–17 |
|||
|3,070 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/the-story-in-six-swing-states/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies] |
|||
|May 10–14 |
|||
|970 (LV) |
|||
|± 3.2% |
|||
|39% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|3%{{efn|"Third party/write-in" with 3%}} |
|||
|11% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1589465664/restoration_pac_michigan_toplines_may2020.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)] |
|||
| May 1–5 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 3% |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Lake-Effect-Poll-April.pdf Public Policy Polling]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, the Michigan branch of Progress Now, a progressive advocacy organisation}} |
|||
| Apr 28–29 |
|||
| 1,270 (V) |
|||
| – |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
|8% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/MichiganResults1.pdf Public Policy Polling]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation}} |
|||
| Apr 20–21 |
|||
| 1,277 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| 5% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/457806519/Fox-News-Poll-April-18-21-2020#from_embed Fox News] |
|||
| Apr 18–21 |
|||
| 801 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.5% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 3% |
|||
| 6% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/jznvnwawplm/index.html Ipsos/Reuters] |
|||
| Apr 15–20 |
|||
| 612 (RV) |
|||
| ± 5.0% |
|||
| 38% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://data.restorationofamerica.com/michigan_april Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)] |
|||
| Apr 9–11 |
|||
| 600 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.0% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''49%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://cdn.americanprogressaction.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2020/04/13082915/FI12875-National-States-11.pdf Hart Research/CAP Action]{{efn-ua|CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates}} |
|||
| Apr 6–8 |
|||
| 303 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 4% |
|||
| 5% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/LE-Newsletter-Issue1.pdf Public Policy Polling] |
|||
| Mar 31 – Apr 1 |
|||
| 1,019 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.1% |
|||
| 45% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| 7% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Michigan-April-2020-Poll.pdf SPRY Strategies] |
|||
|Mar 30 – Apr 1 |
|||
|602 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|'''46%''' |
|||
|'''46%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|– |
|||
|8% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes] |
|||
| Mar 17–25 |
|||
| 997 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.7% |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| 11% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://rustbeltrising.com/files/March2020RBRpoll.pdf Change Research] |
|||
|Mar 21–23 |
|||
|510 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|47% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| colspan="2" | 5% |
|||
<!-- dummy line for line operations --> |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.mrgmi.com/2020/03/25/ballot-test-race-for-the-white-house-within-the-margin-of-error-with-biden-on-top/ Marketing Resource Group] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200325171513/https://www.mrgmi.com/2020/03/25/ballot-test-race-for-the-white-house-within-the-margin-of-error-with-biden-on-top/ |date=March 25, 2020 }} |
|||
|Mar 16–20 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''44%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 9%{{efn|"Someone else" with 6%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%}} |
|||
| 6% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.restorationofamerica.com/reelection_index_release Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)] |
|||
|Mar 12–16 |
|||
| 600 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200309_MI.pdf AtlasIntel] |
|||
|Mar 7–9 |
|||
|1,100 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.0% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''46%''' |
|||
|44% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 10% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/fwvdnnbigm/20200308_yahoo_primary_crosstabs.pdf YouGov/Yahoo News] |
|||
|Mar 6–8 |
|||
|566 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|6%{{efn|"Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%}} |
|||
|7% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_MI_030920/ Monmouth University] |
|||
|Mar 5–8 |
|||
|977 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.1% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| 2% |
|||
| 9% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }} |
|||
|Mar 5–7 |
|||
|550 (RV) |
|||
|± 5.3% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''46%''' |
|||
|44% |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://news.wisc.edu/battleground-state-poll-1/ YouGov] |
|||
|Feb 11–20 |
|||
|1,249 (RV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200513025805/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 |date=May 13, 2020 }} |
|||
|Feb 12–18 |
|||
|845 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.4% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
|6%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%|name="SE2WNV4"}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PPI_SwingVoterPoll_Feb2020.pdf Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute] |
|||
| Feb 6–18 |
|||
| 500 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| '''43%''' |
|||
| '''43%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| 14% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Jan2020_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press][https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/15/mike-bloomberg-other-democrats-lead-donald-trump-michigan-poll/4469175002/] |
|||
| Jan 9–12 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| 6% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/442183414/January-2020-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group Inc.] |
|||
| Jan 3–7 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''50%''' |
|||
| - |
|||
| - |
|||
| – |
|||
| 5% |
|||
|} |
|||
====2017–2019 polls==== |
|||
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px" |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! class="unsortable" | [[Donald Trump|Donald<br>Trump]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Republican Party (United States)|Republican]]}}</small> |
|||
! class="unsortable" |[[Joe Biden|Joe<br>Biden]]<br><small>{{nobold|[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democratic]]}}</small> |
|||
! class="unsortable" |[[Third-party and independent candidates for the 2020 United States presidential election|Other]] |
|||
! class="unsortable" |Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }} |
|||
| Dec 3–5, 2019 |
|||
| 551 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| 8% {{efn|A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%|name="TPC5WNV3"}} |
|||
| 5% {{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-aim-to-take-back-the-state Emerson College] |
|||
| Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 |
|||
| 1,051 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.0% |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''56%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://github.com/ndcohn/battleground-poll-2019/blob/master/MI110419%20Crosstabs.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College] |
|||
| Oct 13–25, 2019 |
|||
| 501 (LV) |
|||
| ± 5.1% |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://twitter.com/MIRSnews/status/1178868336211431424 Target Insyght] |
|||
| Sep 24–26, 2019 |
|||
| 800 (LV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 35% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''54%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190912235454/http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ |date=September 12, 2019 }} |
|||
| Sep 7–9, 2019 |
|||
| 529 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''42%''' |
|||
| 17% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.woodtv.com/news/elections/mi-poll-dems-top-trump-but-undecideds-could-tip-scale/ EPIC-MRA] |
|||
| Aug 17–21, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://web.archive.org/web/20191208172620/https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/Michigan-Poll-Toplines-PR1916.pdf Climate Nexus] |
|||
| Jul 14–17, 2019 |
|||
| 820 (RV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 36% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''49%''' |
|||
| 5%{{efn|Would not vote with 5%}} |
|||
| 10% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/june-2020-survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] |
|||
| Jun 11–13, 2019 |
|||
| 587 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.2% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
|||
| 11% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_June2019_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
|||
| Jun 8–12, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''52%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 7% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/412276550/June-2019-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group] |
|||
| May 28–30, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''53%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 4% |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/gop-poll-reassuring-for-trump-in-key-states-but-offers-warning-about-michigan WPA Intelligence] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/gop-poll-reassuring-for-trump-in-key-states-but-offers-warning-about-michigan WPA Intelligence] |
||
| Apr 27–30, 2019 |
| Apr 27–30, 2019 |
||
| 200 |
| 200 (LV) |
||
| ± 6.9% |
| ± 6.9% |
||
| 42% |
| 42% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''45%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''45%''' |
||
| – |
| – |
||
| |
| 12% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403182858/http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ |date=April 3, 2019 }} |
||
| Mar 19–21, 2019 |
| Mar 19–21, 2019 |
||
| 530 |
| 530 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.5% |
| ± 4.5% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''46%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''46%''' |
||
Line 46: | Line 2,134: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310193324/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ |date=March 10, 2019 }} |
||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
||
| 743 |
| 743 (RV) |
||
| ± 3.5% |
| ± 3.5% |
||
| 46% |
| 46% |
||
Line 55: | Line 2,143: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422075003/https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan |date=April 22, 2019 }} |
||
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
||
| 600 |
| 600 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.0% |
| ± 4.0% |
||
| 40% |
| 40% |
||
Line 66: | Line 2,154: | ||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Apr2018_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Apr2018_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
||
| Apr 28–30, 2018 |
| Apr 28–30, 2018 |
||
| 600 |
| 600 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.0% |
| ± 4.0% |
||
| 39% |
| 39% |
||
Line 75: | Line 2,163: | ||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/soundbites/808-poll-kid-rock-riding-trump-train-to-us-senate-leads-gop-field Zogby Analytics] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/soundbites/808-poll-kid-rock-riding-trump-train-to-us-senate-leads-gop-field Zogby Analytics] |
||
| Sep 2017 |
| Sep 2017 |
||
| 800 |
| 800 (V) |
||
| – |
| – |
||
| 35% |
| 35% |
||
Line 83: | Line 2,171: | ||
|} |
|} |
||
<noinclude>{{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">Former candidates</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}} |
|||
;with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz |
|||
'''Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br>administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
||
! |
! Michael<br>Bloomberg (D) |
||
! Other |
|||
! Howard<br>Schultz (I) |
|||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200513025805/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 |date=May 13, 2020 }} |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] |
|||
|Feb 12–18, 2020 |
|||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
|||
| |
|845 (RV) |
||
| |
|±3.4% |
||
| |
|42% |
||
| |
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
||
|7%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%|name="SE3WNV4"}} |
|||
| 4% |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PPI_SwingVoterPoll_Feb2020.pdf Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute] |
|||
| Feb 6–18, 2020 |
|||
| 500 (RV) |
|||
| – |
| – |
||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 13% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Jan2020_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press][https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/15/mike-bloomberg-other-democrats-lead-donald-trump-michigan-poll/4469175002/] |
|||
| Jan 9–12, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 9% |
|||
|- |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/442183414/January-2020-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group Inc.] |
|||
| Jan 3–7, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''47%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 10% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }} |
|||
| Dec 3–5, 2019 |
|||
| 551 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| 8% {{efn|name="TPC5WNV3"}} |
|||
| 7% {{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|} |
|} |
||
'''Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
|- valign="bottom" style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! Cory <br>Booker (D) |
|||
! Other |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://web.archive.org/web/20191208172620/https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/Michigan-Poll-Toplines-PR1916.pdf Climate Nexus] |
|||
| Jul 14–17, 2019 |
|||
| 820 (RV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''39%''' |
|||
| 7%{{efn|Would not vote with 7%|name="WNV7"}} |
|||
| 16% |
|||
|} |
|||
'''Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br>administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! Pete<br>Buttigieg (D) |
|||
! Other |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://news.wisc.edu/battleground-state-poll-1/ YouGov] |
|||
|Feb 11–20, 2020 |
|||
|1,249 (RV) |
|||
|±4.0% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200513025805/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 |date=May 13, 2020 }} |
|||
|Feb 12–18, 2020 |
|||
|845 (RV) |
|||
|±3.4% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |
|||
|8%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 5%}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PPI_SwingVoterPoll_Feb2020.pdf Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute] |
|||
| Feb 6–18, 2020 |
|||
| 500 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 40% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''44%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 15% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Jan2020_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press][https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/15/mike-bloomberg-other-democrats-lead-donald-trump-michigan-poll/4469175002/] |
|||
| Jan 9–12, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 10% |
|||
|- |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/442183414/January-2020-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group Inc.] |
|||
| Jan 3–7, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''45%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 10% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }} |
|||
| Dec 3–5, 2019 |
|||
| 551 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| 8% {{efn|A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 4%}} |
|||
| 6% {{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://web.archive.org/web/20191208172620/https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/Michigan-Poll-Toplines-PR1916.pdf Climate Nexus] |
|||
| Jul 14–17, 2019 |
|||
| 820 (RV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''39%''' |
|||
| 7%{{efn|name="WNV7"}} |
|||
| 16% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/june-2020-survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] |
|||
| Jun 11–13, 2019 |
|||
| 587 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.2% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''44%''' |
|||
| 40% |
|||
| 16% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/412276550/June-2019-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group] |
|||
| May 28–30, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''47%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 11% |
|||
|} |
|||
'''Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
||
! Kamala<br>Harris (D) |
! Kamala<br>Harris (D) |
||
! Other |
|||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [ |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.woodtv.com/news/elections/mi-poll-dems-top-trump-but-undecideds-could-tip-scale/ EPIC-MRA] |
||
| Aug 17–21, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 11% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://web.archive.org/web/20191208172620/https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/Michigan-Poll-Toplines-PR1916.pdf Climate Nexus] |
|||
| Jul 14–17, 2019 |
|||
| 820 (RV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 38% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''41%''' |
|||
| 6%{{efn|Would not vote with 6%|name="WNV6"}} |
|||
| 14% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/412276550/June-2019-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group] |
|||
| May 28–30, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''47%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 9% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310193324/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ |date=March 10, 2019 }} |
|||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
||
| 743 |
| 743 (RV) |
||
| ± 3.5% |
| ± 3.5% |
||
| 49% |
| 49% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
||
| – |
|||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422075003/https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan |date=April 22, 2019 }} |
||
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
||
| 600 |
| 600 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.0% |
| ± 4.0% |
||
| 42% |
| 42% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''47%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''47%''' |
||
| – |
|||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|} |
|} |
||
'''Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br>administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
||
! Amy<br>Klobuchar (D) |
! Amy<br>Klobuchar (D) |
||
! Other |
|||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [ |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://news.wisc.edu/battleground-state-poll-1/ YouGov] |
||
|Feb 11–20, 2020 |
|||
|1,249 (RV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''44%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200513025805/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 |date=May 13, 2020 }} |
|||
|Feb 12–18, 2020 |
|||
|845 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.4% |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |
|||
|6%{{efn|name="SE2WNV4"}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310193324/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ |date=March 10, 2019 }} |
|||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
||
| 743 |
| 743 (RV) |
||
| ± 3.5% |
| ± 3.5% |
||
| 47% |
| 47% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''53%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''53%''' |
||
| – |
|||
| – |
| – |
||
|} |
|} |
||
'''Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br>administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
||
Line 165: | Line 2,458: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403182858/http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ |date=April 3, 2019 }} |
||
| Mar 19–21, 2019 |
| Mar 19–21, 2019 |
||
| 530 |
| 530 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.5% |
| ± 4.5% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''48%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''48%''' |
||
Line 175: | Line 2,468: | ||
|} |
|} |
||
'''Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br>administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
||
Line 186: | Line 2,479: | ||
! Other |
! Other |
||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes] |
|||
| Mar 17–25, 2020 |
|||
| 997 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.7% |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''45%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 13% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.restorationofamerica.com/reelection_index_release Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R)] |
|||
|Mar 12–16, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|44% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200309_MI.pdf AtlasIntel] |
|||
|Mar 7–9, 2020 |
|||
|1,100 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.0% |
|||
|'''43%''' |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| 11% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/fwvdnnbigm/20200308_yahoo_primary_crosstabs.pdf YouGov/Yahoo News] |
|||
|Mar 6–8, 2020 |
|||
|566 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
|42% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''43%''' |
|||
|7%{{efn|"Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%}} |
|||
|8% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_MI_030920/ Monmouth University] |
|||
|Mar 5–8, 2020 |
|||
|977 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.1% |
|||
|'''41%''' |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| 2% |
|||
| 9% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }} |
|||
| Mar 5–7, 2020 |
|||
|550 (RV) |
|||
|± 5.3% |
|||
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|'''41%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://news.wisc.edu/battleground-state-poll-1/ YouGov] |
|||
|Feb 11–20, 2020 |
|||
|1,249 (RV) |
|||
|± 4.0% |
|||
|41% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200513025805/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 |date=May 13, 2020 }} |
|||
|Feb 12–18, 2020 |
|||
|845 (RV) |
|||
|± 3.4% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
|7%{{efn|name="SE3WNV4"}} |
|||
|3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PPI_SwingVoterPoll_Feb2020.pdf Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute] |
|||
| Feb 6–18, 2020 |
|||
| 500 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 12% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Jan2020_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press][https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/15/mike-bloomberg-other-democrats-lead-donald-trump-michigan-poll/4469175002/] |
|||
| Jan 9–12, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 45% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 5% |
|||
|- |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/442183414/January-2020-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group Inc.] |
|||
| Jan 3–7, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 45% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''49%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 5% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }} |
|||
| Dec 3–5, 2019 |
|||
| 551 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| 6% {{efn|A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 2%}} |
|||
| 5% {{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-aim-to-take-back-the-state Emerson College] |
|||
| Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 |
|||
| 1,051 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.0% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''57%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://github.com/ndcohn/battleground-poll-2019/blob/master/MI110419%20Crosstabs.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College] |
|||
| Oct 13–25, 2019 |
|||
| 501 (LV) |
|||
| ± 5.1% |
|||
| 42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190912235454/http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ |date=September 12, 2019 }} |
|||
| Sep 7–9, 2019 |
|||
| 529 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''43%''' |
|||
| 40% |
|||
| 17% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.woodtv.com/news/elections/mi-poll-dems-top-trump-but-undecideds-could-tip-scale/ EPIC-MRA] |
|||
| Aug 17–21, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''48%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://web.archive.org/web/20191208172620/https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/Michigan-Poll-Toplines-PR1916.pdf Climate Nexus] |
|||
| Jul 14–17, 2019 |
|||
| 820 (RV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 38% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47%''' |
|||
| 4%{{efn|Would not vote with 4%}} |
|||
| 11% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/june-2020-survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] |
|||
| Jun 11–13, 2019 |
|||
| 587 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.2% |
|||
|'''44%''' |
|||
|'''44%''' |
|||
| 12% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/412276550/June-2019-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group] |
|||
| May 28–30, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''53%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 5% |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://tulchinresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Tulchin-Research-Memo-Sanders-Defeating-Trump-in-Industrial-Battleground-States-4-19-final.pdf Tulchin Research (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Bernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaign|Sanders campaign]]|name="Sanders"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://tulchinresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Tulchin-Research-Memo-Sanders-Defeating-Trump-in-Industrial-Battleground-States-4-19-final.pdf Tulchin Research (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the [[Bernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaign|Sanders campaign]]|name="Sanders"}} |
||
| Apr 14–18, 2019 |
| Apr 14–18, 2019 |
||
| 400 |
| 400 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.9% |
| ± 4.9% |
||
| 41% |
| 41% |
||
Line 196: | Line 2,661: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403182858/http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ |date=April 3, 2019 }} |
||
| Mar 19–21, 2019 |
| Mar 19–21, 2019 |
||
| 530 |
| 530 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.5% |
| ± 4.5% |
||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''46%''' |
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''46%''' |
||
Line 205: | Line 2,670: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310193324/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ |date=March 10, 2019 }} |
||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
||
| 743 |
| 743 (RV) |
||
| ± 3.5% |
| ± 3.5% |
||
| 47% |
| 47% |
||
Line 214: | Line 2,679: | ||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422075003/https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan |date=April 22, 2019 }} |
||
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
||
| 600 |
| 600 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.0% |
| ± 4.0% |
||
| 41% |
| 41% |
||
Line 225: | Line 2,690: | ||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/soundbites/808-poll-kid-rock-riding-trump-train-to-us-senate-leads-gop-field Zogby Analytics] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/soundbites/808-poll-kid-rock-riding-trump-train-to-us-senate-leads-gop-field Zogby Analytics] |
||
| Sep 2017 |
| Sep 2017 |
||
| 800 |
| 800 (V) |
||
| – |
| – |
||
| 36% |
| 36% |
||
Line 233: | Line 2,698: | ||
|} |
|} |
||
'''Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
||
! Poll source |
! Poll source |
||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
! Date(s)<br>administered |
||
! Sample<br>size |
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
||
! |
! Elizabeth<br>Warren (D) |
||
! Other |
|||
! Howard<br>Schultz (I) |
|||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [ |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://news.wisc.edu/battleground-state-poll-1/ YouGov] |
||
|Feb 11–20, 2020 |
|||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
|||
|1,249 (RV) |
|||
| 743 |
|||
| |
|±4.0% |
||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''46%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200513025805/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 |date=May 13, 2020 }} |
|||
|Feb 12–18, 2020 |
|||
|845 (RV) |
|||
|±3.4% |
|||
|43% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''45%''' |
|||
|7%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 5%}} |
|||
|4% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Jan2020_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press][https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/15/mike-bloomberg-other-democrats-lead-donald-trump-michigan-poll/4469175002/] |
|||
| Jan 9–12, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 45% |
| 45% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''48%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 7% |
|||
|- |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/442183414/January-2020-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group Inc.] |
|||
| Jan 3–7, 2020 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 8% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }} |
|||
| Dec 3–5, 2019 |
|||
| 551 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.3% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|'''47%''' |
|||
| 38% |
|||
| 8% {{efn|A third party candidate with 3%; would not vote with 5%}} |
|||
| 6% {{efn|name="inclRefu"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-aim-to-take-back-the-state Emerson College] |
|||
| Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 |
|||
| 1,051 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.0% |
|||
| 46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''54%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://github.com/ndcohn/battleground-poll-2019/blob/master/MI110419%20Crosstabs.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College] |
|||
| Oct 13–25, 2019 |
|||
| 501 (LV) |
|||
| ± 5.1% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''45%''' |
|||
| 40% |
|||
| – |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190912235454/http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ |date=September 12, 2019 }} |
|||
| Sep 7–9, 2019 |
|||
| 529 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''42%''' |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| 17% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.woodtv.com/news/elections/mi-poll-dems-top-trump-but-undecideds-could-tip-scale/ EPIC-MRA] |
|||
| Aug 17–21, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''49%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''49%''' |
||
| 6% |
|||
| – |
| – |
||
| |
| 8% |
||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;" |[https://web.archive.org/web/20191208172620/https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/Michigan-Poll-Toplines-PR1916.pdf Climate Nexus] |
|||
;with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren |
|||
| Jul 14–17, 2019 |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
| 820 (RV) |
|||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
| 38% |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''44%''' |
|||
! Sample<br>size |
|||
| 6%{{efn|name="WNV6"}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
| 12% |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
|- |
|||
! Elizabeth<br>Warren (D) |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://firehousestrategies.com/june-2020-survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
| Jun 11–13, 2019 |
|||
| 587 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.2% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| '''43%''' |
|||
| 41% |
|||
| 16% |
|||
| – |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/412276550/June-2019-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group] |
|||
| May 28–30, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''47%''' |
|||
| – |
|||
| 9% |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310193324/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ |date=March 10, 2019 }} |
||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
||
| 743 |
| 743 (RV) |
||
| ± 3.5% |
| ± 3.5% |
||
| 49% |
| 49% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
||
| – |
|||
| – |
| – |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan Glengariff Group] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190422075003/https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-politics/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan |date=April 22, 2019 }} |
||
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
| Jan 24–26, 2019 |
||
| 600 |
| 600 (LV) |
||
| ± 4.0% |
| ± 4.0% |
||
| 43% |
| 43% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
||
| – |
|||
| 10% |
| 10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/soundbites/808-poll-kid-rock-riding-trump-train-to-us-senate-leads-gop-field Zogby Analytics] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/soundbites/808-poll-kid-rock-riding-trump-train-to-us-senate-leads-gop-field Zogby Analytics] |
||
| Sep 2017 |
| Sep 2017 |
||
| 800 |
| 800 (V) |
||
| – |
| – |
||
| 37% |
| 37% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''46%''' |
||
| – |
|||
| 17% |
| 17% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/792-the-zogby-poll-trump-approval-trump-vs-warren-in-11-states Zogby Analytics] |
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/792-the-zogby-poll-trump-approval-trump-vs-warren-in-11-states Zogby Analytics] |
||
| Aug 17–23, 2017 |
| Aug 17–23, 2017 |
||
| 803 |
| 803 (LV) |
||
| ± 3.5% |
| ± 3.5% |
||
| 35% |
| 35% |
||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''51%''' |
||
| – |
|||
| 14% |
| 14% |
||
|} |
|} |
||
{{collapse bottom}} |
|||
{{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">Hypothetical polling</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}} |
|||
== See also == |
|||
'''with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! Joe<br>Biden (D) |
|||
! Justin<br>Amash (L) |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.scribd.com/document/412276550/June-2019-Statewide-Survey Glengariff Group] |
|||
| May 28–30, 2019 |
|||
| 600 (LV) |
|||
| ± 4.0% |
|||
| 39% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''45%''' |
|||
| 10% |
|||
| 6% |
|||
|} |
|||
'''with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz''' |
|||
* [[2020 United States presidential election]] |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
* [[2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries]] |
|||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
* [[2020 Republican Party presidential primaries]] |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! Joe<br>Biden (D) |
|||
! Howard<br>Schultz (I) |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310193324/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ |date=March 10, 2019 }} |
|||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
|||
| 743 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.5% |
|||
| 44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''52%''' |
|||
| 4% |
|||
| – |
|||
|} |
|||
'''with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! Bernie<br>Sanders (D) |
|||
! Howard<br>Schultz (I) |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310193324/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/10/michigan-2020-primary-biden-with-strong-lead-but-sanders-waiting-in-the-wings/ |date=March 10, 2019 }} |
|||
| Mar 7–10, 2019 |
|||
| 743 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.5% |
|||
| 45% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| '''49%''' |
|||
| 6% |
|||
| – |
|||
|} |
|||
'''with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! Generic<br>Democrat (D) |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University] |
|||
| Mar 17–25, 2020 |
|||
| 997 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.7% |
|||
| 43.2%{{efn|Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.|name="Undecidedlean"}} |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''54.0%''' |
|||
| 2.9%{{efn|"It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 1%}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PPI_SwingVoterPoll_Feb2020.pdf Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute] |
|||
| Feb 6–18, 2020 |
|||
| 500 (RV) |
|||
| – |
|||
| 38% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50%''' |
|||
| 11% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"| [https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/2020-great-lakes-poll-full-FINAL.pdf Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University] |
|||
| Jan 8–20, 2020 |
|||
| 1,023 (RV) |
|||
| ± 3.1% |
|||
| 36.4%{{efn|name="Undecidedlean"}} |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|'''50.3%''' |
|||
| 13.3% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.kff.org/other/report/blue-wall-voices-project/ KFF/Cook Political Report] |
|||
|Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 |
|||
|767 (RV) |
|||
| ± 4% |
|||
|27% |
|||
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''39%''' |
|||
|25% |
|||
|} |
|||
'''with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent''' |
|||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
|||
|- valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;" |
|||
! Poll source |
|||
! Date(s)<br>administered |
|||
! Sample<br>size{{efn|name=key}} |
|||
! Margin<br>{{nowrap|of error}} |
|||
! Donald<br>Trump (R) |
|||
! Generic<br>Opponent |
|||
! Undecided |
|||
|- |
|||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/08/JULY-2020_EPIC-MRA-SURVEY.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|Jul 25 - 30, 2020 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|37% |
|||
|{{party shading/Other}}|'''49%'''{{efn|Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"|name="listReplace"}} |
|||
|14% |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/06/16/michigan-poll-biden-trump/3190077001/ EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|33% |
|||
|{{party shading/Other}}|'''51%'''{{efn|name="listReplace"}} |
|||
|13%{{efn|Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"|name="listOther"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/06/16/michigan-poll-biden-trump/3190077001/ EPIC-MRA][https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/06/07/michigan-poll-biden-leading-trump-12-points/3153501001/] |
|||
|May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|38% |
|||
|{{party shading/Other}}|'''51%'''{{efn|name="listReplace"}} |
|||
|8%{{efn|name="listOther"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Jan2020_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press][https://eu.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/15/mike-bloomberg-other-democrats-lead-donald-trump-michigan-poll/4469175002/] |
|||
|Jan 9–12, 2020 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|34% |
|||
|{{party shading/Other}}|'''44%'''{{efn|name="listReplace"}} |
|||
|22%{{efn|19% listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"; 3% as "undecided/refused"}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_June2019_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA] |
|||
|Jun 8–12, 2019 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|32% |
|||
|{{party shading/Other}}|'''45%'''{{efn|"Vote to replace Trump" with 45%}} |
|||
|23%{{efn|"Consider voting for someone else" with 19%; "Undecided/refused" with 4%}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://ssl2002.webhosting.comcast.net/epic-mra/press/Stwd_Survey_Mar2019_Media_Freq.pdf EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press] |
|||
|Mar 3–7, 2019 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|31% |
|||
|{{party shading/Other}}|'''49%'''{{efn|"Vote to replace Trump" with 49%}} |
|||
|20%{{efn|"Consider voting for someone else" with 16%; "Don't know/refused" with 4%}} |
|||
|- |
|||
| style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20200216234513/https://www.clickondetroit.com/all-about-michigan/2019/01/29/wdivdetroit-news-poll-trump-faces-uphill-re-election-battle-in-michigan/ Glengariff Group/WDIV/Detroit News][https://www.scribd.com/document/398401363/Michigan-Statewide-Survey-Jan-2019#from_embed] |
|||
|Jan 24–26, 2019 |
|||
|600 (LV) |
|||
|± 4% |
|||
|31% |
|||
|{{party shading/Other}}|'''53%''' |
|||
|15%{{efn|"Depends on who the Democratic nominee is" with 15%}} |
|||
|} |
|||
{{collapse bottom}}</noinclude> |
|||
=== Results === |
|||
[[File:Election 2020 Watch Function, 4 November 2020 (50567910881).jpg|thumb|People at the [[Embassy of the United States, Wellington|United States Embassy in New Zealand]] watch as the results from Michigan are released on [[CNN]], 5 November 2020.]]{{Election box begin|title=2020 United States presidential election in Michigan<ref>{{cite web |url=https://mielections.us/election/results/2020GEN_CENR.html |title=2020 Michigan Official General Election Results – 11/03/2020 |website=Michigan Secretary of State |access-date=2020-11-23}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=2020 Presidential General Election Results - Michigan|url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2020&fips=26&f=0&off=0&elect=0&minper=0|access-date=2020-11-30|website=Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections}}</ref>}} |
|||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Democratic Party (United States) |
|||
| candidate = [[Joe Biden]]<br>[[Kamala Harris]] |
|||
| votes = 2,804,040 |
|||
| percentage = 50.62% |
|||
| change = +3.35% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
|||
| candidate = [[Donald Trump]]<br>[[Mike Pence]] |
|||
| votes = 2,649,852 |
|||
| percentage = 47.84% |
|||
| change = +0.34% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Libertarian Party (United States) |
|||
| candidate = [[Jo Jorgensen]]<br>[[Spike Cohen]] |
|||
| votes = 60,381 |
|||
| percentage = 1.09% |
|||
| change = −2.50% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Green Party (United States) |
|||
| candidate = [[Howie Hawkins]]<br>[[Angela Nicole Walker|Angela Walker]] |
|||
| votes = 13,718 |
|||
| percentage = 0.25% |
|||
| change = −0.82% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = US Taxpayers Party |
|||
| candidate = [[Don Blankenship]]<br>[[William Mohr]] |
|||
| votes = 7,235 |
|||
| percentage = 0.13% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Natural Law Party (United States) |
|||
| candidate = [[Rocky De La Fuente]]<br>Darcy Richardson |
|||
| votes = 2,986 |
|||
| percentage = 0.05% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Write-in |
|||
| candidate = [[Brian T. Carroll]] |
|||
| votes = 963 |
|||
| percentage = 0.02% |
|||
| change = +0.01% |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Write-in |
|||
| candidate = [[Jade Simmons]] |
|||
| votes = 89 |
|||
| percentage = <0.01% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box candidate with party link |
|||
| party = Write-in |
|||
| candidate = [[Tom Hoefling]] |
|||
| votes = 32 |
|||
| percentage = <0.01% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box write-in with party link |
|||
| votes = 6 |
|||
| percentage = <0.01% |
|||
| change = N/A |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box total |
|||
| votes = 5,539,302 |
|||
| percentage = 100.00% |
|||
| change = |
|||
}} |
|||
{{Election box end}} |
|||
==== By county ==== |
|||
{{collapse top|1=<span style="font-size:88%;">By county</span>|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}} |
|||
{| width="60%" class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center" |
|||
|- |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| County |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Joe Biden<br />Democratic |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Donald Trump<br />Republican |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Various candidates<br />Other parties |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Margin |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| Total votes cast |
|||
|- |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # |
|||
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Alcona County, Michigan|Alcona]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,142 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 30.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,848 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 68.63% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 74 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,706 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −38.31% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,064 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Alger County, Michigan|Alger]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,053 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.98% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,014 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 58.70% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 68 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −961 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −18.72% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,135 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Allegan County, Michigan|Allegan]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 24,449 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.39% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 41,392 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.60% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,354 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.01% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −16,943 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −25.21% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 67,195 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Alpena County, Michigan|Alpena]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,000 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,686 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.91% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 301 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.77% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,686 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −27.59% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,987 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Antrim County, Michigan|Antrim]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,960 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,748 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.03% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 264 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.65% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,788 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −23.71% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,972 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Arenac County, Michigan|Arenac]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,774 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31.38% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,928 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 67.07% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 137 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.55% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,154 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −35.69% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,839 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Baraga County, Michigan|Baraga]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,478 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.52% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 2,512 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.07% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 57 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,034 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −25.55% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,047 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Barry County, Michigan|Barry]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 11,797 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32.80% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 23,471 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 65.27% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 693 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.93% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −11,674 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −32.47% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 35,961 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Bay County, Michigan|Bay]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 26,151 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43.34% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 33,125 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 54.90% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,057 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.76% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −6,974 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −11.56% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 60,333 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Benzie County, Michigan|Benzie]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,480 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44.69% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,601 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 53.83% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 181 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.48% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,121 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −9.14% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,262 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Berrien County, Michigan|Berrien]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37,438 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45.34% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 43,519 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 52.71% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,608 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.95% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −6,081 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −7.37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 82,565 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Branch County, Michigan|Branch]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,159 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 29.94% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,064 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 68.36% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 350 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.70% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,905 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −38.42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 20,573 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Calhoun County, Michigan|Calhoun]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 28,877 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43.57% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 36,221 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 54.65% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,183 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.78% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,344 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −11.08% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 66,281 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Cass County, Michigan|Cass]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,130 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.79% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,699 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.63% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 413 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.58% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,569 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −28.84% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 26,242 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Charlevoix County, Michigan|Charlevoix]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,939 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 40.75% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,841 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 57.79% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 250 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,902 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −17.04% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,030 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Cheboygan County, Michigan|Cheboygan]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,437 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.22% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,186 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 267 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.68% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,749 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −29.88% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,890 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Chippewa County, Michigan|Chippewa]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,648 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.62% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,681 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 60.44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 342 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.94% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,033 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −22.82% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,671 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Clare County, Michigan|Clare]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,199 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31.91% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,861 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 66.65% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 235 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,662 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −34.74% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,295 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Clinton County, Michigan|Clinton]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 21,968 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45.84% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 25,098 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 52.37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 861 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.79% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,130 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −6.53% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 47,927 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Crawford County, Michigan|Crawford]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,672 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.99% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,087 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.71% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 102 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.30% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,415 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −30.72% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,861 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Delta County, Michigan|Delta]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,606 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.93% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 13,207 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.39% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 354 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.68% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,601 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −26.46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 21,167 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Dickinson County, Michigan|Dickinson]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,744 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32.46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,617 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 65.80% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 254 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.74% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,873 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −33.34% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,615 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Eaton County, Michigan|Eaton]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31,299 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 48.66% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 31,798 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 49.43% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,230 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.91% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −499 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −0.77% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64,327 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Emmet County, Michigan|Emmet]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,662 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43.50% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,135 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 54.64% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 412 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.86% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,473 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −11.14% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 22,209 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Genesee County, Michigan|Genesee]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 119,390 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53.84% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 98,714 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 44.51% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,660 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.65% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20,676 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9.33% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 221,764 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Gladwin County, Michigan|Gladwin]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,524 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 30.95% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,893 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 67.69% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 198 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.36% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,369 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −36.74% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,615 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Gogebic County, Michigan|Gogebic]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,570 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43.14% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,600 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.58% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 106 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.28% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,030 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −12.44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,276 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Grand Traverse County, Michigan|Grand Traverse]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 28,683 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47.53% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 30,502 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 50.54% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,168 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.93% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,819 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −3.01% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 60,353 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Gratiot County, Michigan|Gratiot]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,693 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.95% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,102 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.20% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 353 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.85% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,409 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −28.25% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 19,148 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Hillsdale County, Michigan|Hillsdale]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,883 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 25.25% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,037 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 73.11% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 382 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.64% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −11,154 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −47.86% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 23,302 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Houghton County, Michigan|Houghton]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,750 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.82% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,378 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.00% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 405 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.18% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,628 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −14.18% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 18,533 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Huron County, Michigan|Huron]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,490 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 29.77% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,731 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 69.03% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 221 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.20% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,241 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −39.26% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 18,442 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Ingham County, Michigan|Ingham]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 94,212 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 65.18% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 47,639 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 32.96% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2,699 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.86% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46,573 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32.22% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 144,550 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Ionia County, Michigan|Ionia]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 10,901 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.84% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 20,657 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 651 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.03% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −9,756 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −30.29% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 32,209 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Iosco County, Michigan|Iosco]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,373 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.92% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,759 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.42% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 255 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.66% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,386 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −28.50% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,387 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Iron County, Michigan|Iron]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,493 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.69% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,216 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 86 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.26% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,723 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −25.36% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,795 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Isabella County, Michigan|Isabella]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 14,072 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47.74% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,815 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 50.26% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 589 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.00% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −743 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2.52% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 29,476 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Jackson County, Michigan|Jackson]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31,995 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.49% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 47,372 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 58.47% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,647 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.04% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −15,377 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −18.98% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 81,014 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Kalamazoo County, Michigan|Kalamazoo]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 83,686 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 58.22% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 56,823 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 39.53% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,237 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.25% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 26,863 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 18.69% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 143,746 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Kalkaska County, Michigan|Kalkaska]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,002 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 28.24% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,436 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 69.95% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 193 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.81% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,434 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −41.71% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,631 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Kent County, Michigan|Kent]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 187,915 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51.91% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 165,741 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 45.78% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 8,375 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.31% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 22,174 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6.13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 362,031 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Keweenaw County, Michigan|Keweenaw]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 672 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43.16% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 862 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.36% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 23 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.48% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −190 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −12.20% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 1,557 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Lake County, Michigan|Lake]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,288 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,946 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 98 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.55% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,658 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −26.19% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,332 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Lapeer County, Michigan|Lapeer]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 16,367 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31.04% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 35,482 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 67.29% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 883 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.67% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −19,115 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −36.25% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 52,732 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Leelanau County, Michigan|Leelanau]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 8,795 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52.04% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,916 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 46.84% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 189 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.12% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 879 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5.20% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 16,900 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Lenawee County, Michigan|Lenawee]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20,918 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 31,541 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.01% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 993 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.86% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −10,623 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −19.88% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 53,452 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Livingston County, Michigan|Livingston]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 48,220 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.91% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 76,982 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 60.52% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,995 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.57% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −28,762 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −22.61% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 127,197 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Luce County, Michigan|Luce]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 842 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 28.00% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 2,109 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 70.14% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 56 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.86% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,277 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −42.14% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,007 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Mackinac County, Michigan|Mackinac]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,632 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.47% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,304 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.27% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 89 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.26% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,772 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −23.80% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 7,025 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Macomb County, Michigan|Macomb]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 223,952 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45.31% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 263,863 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 53.39% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 6,441 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.30% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −39,911 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −8.08% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 494,256 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Manistee County, Michigan|Manistee]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,107 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.60% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,321 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.69% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 251 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.71% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,214 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −15.09% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,679 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Marquette County, Michigan|Marquette]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20,465 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 54.50% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,286 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 43.37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 799 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,179 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 11.13% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37,550 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Mason County, Michigan|Mason]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6,802 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.36% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 10,207 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.06% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 274 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.58% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,405 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −19.70% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 17,283 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Mecosta County, Michigan|Mecosta]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,375 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.98% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 13,267 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 62.93% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 439 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.09% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,892 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −27.95% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 21,081 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Menominee County, Michigan|Menominee]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,316 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.20% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,117 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.31% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 188 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.49% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,801 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −30.11% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,621 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Midland County, Michigan|Midland]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20,493 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.67% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 27,675 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.28% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,007 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,182 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −14.61% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 49,175 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Missaukee County, Michigan|Missaukee]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,967 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 22.47% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 6,648 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 75.93% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 140 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.60% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,681 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −53.46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,755 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Monroe County, Michigan|Monroe]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32,980 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37.78% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 52,722 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 60.39% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,597 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.83% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −19,742 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −22.61% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 87,299 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Montcalm County, Michigan|Montcalm]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,703 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 30.19% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 21,815 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 67.88% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 620 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.93% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −12,112 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −37.69% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 32,138 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Montmorency County, Michigan|Montmorency]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,628 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 27.77% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,171 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 71.14% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 64 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.09% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,543 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −43.37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,863 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Muskegon County, Michigan|Muskegon]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45,643 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 49.37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 45,133 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 48.82% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,668 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.81% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 510 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 0.55% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 92,444 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Newaygo County, Michigan|Newaygo]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,873 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 28.95% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 18,857 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 69.33% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 467 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.72% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −10,984 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −40.38% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 27,197 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Oakland County, Michigan|Oakland]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 434,148 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 56.24% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 325,971 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 42.22% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 11,872 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.54% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 108,177 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 14.02% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 771,991 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Oceana County, Michigan|Oceana]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,944 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.11% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,892 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.15% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 244 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.74% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −3,948 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −28.04% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,080 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Ogemaw County, Michigan|Ogemaw]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,475 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 29.15% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,253 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 69.23% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 193 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.62% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,778 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −40.08% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 11,921 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Ontonagon County, Michigan|Ontonagon]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,391 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.51% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 2,358 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 61.89% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 61 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.60% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −967 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −25.38% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,810 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Osceola County, Michigan|Osceola]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,214 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 26.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,928 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 72.35% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 198 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.60% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,714 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −46.30% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,340 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Oscoda County, Michigan|Oscoda]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,342 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 27.50% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,466 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 71.02% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 72 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.48% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,124 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −43.52% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,880 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Otsego County, Michigan|Otsego]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4,743 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32.10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,779 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 66.19% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 253 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.71% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −5,036 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −34.09% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 14,775 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Ottawa County, Michigan|Ottawa]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 64,705 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38.35% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 100,913 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 59.81% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,095 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.84% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −36,208 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −21.46% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 168,713 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Presque Isle County, Michigan|Presque Isle]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 2,911 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.84% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 5,342 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.94% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 102 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.22% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −2,431 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −29.10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 8,355 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Roscommon County, Michigan|Roscommon]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,166 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.36% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 9,670 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 198 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,504 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −29.96% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 15,034 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Saginaw County, Michigan|Saginaw]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51,088 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 49.37% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 50,785 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 49.08% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,610 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.55% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 303 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 0.29% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 103,483 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[St. Clair County, Michigan|St. Clair]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31,363 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.02% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 59,185 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.19% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,654 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.79% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −27,822 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −30.17% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 92,202 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[St. Joseph County, Michigan|St. Joseph]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,262 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.10% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 18,127 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64.78% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 592 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.12% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −8,865 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −31.68% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 27,981 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Sanilac County, Michigan|Sanilac]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,966 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 26.58% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 16,194 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 72.15% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 286 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.27% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −10,228 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −45.57% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 22,446 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Schoolcraft County, Michigan|Schoolcraft]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1,589 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.49% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 3,090 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 65.12% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 66 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.39% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −1,501 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −31.63% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 4,745 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Shiawassee County, Michigan|Shiawassee]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 15,347 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 23,149 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 58.90% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 805 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −7,802 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −19.85% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 39,301 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Tuscola County, Michigan|Tuscola]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 8,712 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 29.55% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 20,297 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 68.85% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 470 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.60% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −11,585 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −39.30% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 29,479 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Van Buren County, Michigan|Van Buren]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 16,803 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 42.92% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 21,591 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.16% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 752 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.92% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −4,788 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −12.24% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 39,146 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Washtenaw County, Michigan|Washtenaw]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 157,136 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 72.44% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 56,241 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 25.93% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,554 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.63% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 100,895 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46.51% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 216,931 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| [[Wayne County, Michigan|Wayne]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 597,170 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 68.32% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 264,553 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 30.27% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 12,295 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.41% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 332,617 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38.05% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 874,018 |
|||
|- style="text-align:center;" |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| [[Wexford County, Michigan|Wexford]] |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,838 |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 31.92% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 12,102 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 66.16% |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 352 |
|||
| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.92% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −6,264 |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| −34.24% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}| 18,292 |
|||
|- |
|||
!Totals!!2,804,045!!50.55%!!2,649,864!!47.77%!!93,277!!1.68%!!154,181!!2.78%!!5,547,186 |
|||
|} |
|||
{{align|right|{{Switcher| [[File:Michigan County Swing 2020.svg|300px]]|Swing by county<br>{{collapsible list| title = Legend| |
|||
{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5–10%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5–7.5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5–5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0–2.5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0–2.5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5–5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5–7.5%}}}}| |
|||
[[File:Michigan County Trend 2020.svg|300px]]|Trend relative to the state by county<br>{{collapsible list| title = Legend| |
|||
{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5–10%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5–7.5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5–5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0–2.5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0–2.5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5–5%}}| |
|||
{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5–7.5%}}}}| |
|||
[[File: Michigan County Flips 2020.svg|300px]]|County flips<br>{{collapsible list| title = Legend| {{col-begin}} |
|||
{{col-2}} |
|||
'''Democratic''' |
|||
{{legend|#92c5de|Hold}} |
|||
{{legend|#0671b0|Gain from Republican}} |
|||
{{col-2}} |
|||
'''Republican''' |
|||
{{legend|#f48882|Hold}} |
|||
{{col-end}}}}}}}} |
|||
;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic |
|||
*[[Leelanau County, Michigan|Leelanau]] (largest municipality: [[Greilickville, Michigan|Greilickville]]) |
|||
*[[Kent County, Michigan|Kent]] (largest municipality: [[Grand Rapids, Michigan|Grand Rapids]]) |
|||
*[[Saginaw County, Michigan|Saginaw]] (largest municipality: [[Saginaw, Michigan|Saginaw]]) |
|||
{{collapse bottom}} |
|||
==== By congressional district ==== |
|||
Despite losing the state, Trump won 8 out of the 14 congressional districts in Michigan, including one that elected a Democrat. |
|||
{|class=wikitable |
|||
|- |
|||
! District |
|||
! Trump |
|||
! Biden |
|||
! Representative |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|1|1st}} |
|||
| '''57.9%''' |
|||
| 40.6% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Jack Bergman]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|2|2nd}} |
|||
| '''55%''' |
|||
| 43.2% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Bill Huizenga]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|3|3rd}} |
|||
| rowspan=2|'''50.7%''' |
|||
| rowspan=2|47.4% |
|||
| {{party shading/Libertarian}}|[[Justin Amash]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Peter Meijer]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|4|4th}} |
|||
| '''61.1%''' |
|||
| 37.2% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[John Moolenaar]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Michigan|5|5th}} |
|||
| 47.1% |
|||
| '''51.4%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Dan Kildee]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|6|6th}} |
|||
| '''51.3%''' |
|||
| 46.8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Fred Upton]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|7|7th}} |
|||
| '''56.7%''' |
|||
| 41.6% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Tim Walberg]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|8|8th}} |
|||
| '''49.6%''' |
|||
| 48.8% |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Elissa Slotkin]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Michigan|9|9th}} |
|||
| 42.7% |
|||
| '''55.9%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Andy Levin]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Michigan|10|10th}} |
|||
| rowspan=2|'''64.2%''' |
|||
| rowspan=2|34.4% |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Paul Mitchell (politician)|Paul Mitchell]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
| {{party shading/Republican}}|[[Lisa McClain]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Michigan|11|11th}} |
|||
| 47.1% |
|||
| '''51.6%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Haley Stevens]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Michigan|12|12th}} |
|||
| 34.4% |
|||
| '''64.2%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Debbie Dingell]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Michigan|13|13th}} |
|||
| 20% |
|||
| '''78.8%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Rashida Tlaib]] |
|||
|- align=center |
|||
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Michigan|14|14th}} |
|||
| 19.6% |
|||
| '''79.5%''' |
|||
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|[[Brenda Lawrence]] |
|||
|} |
|||
==Analysis== |
|||
Michigan was generally seen as one of the most critical states of the 2020 election; the state boasts a highly prized 16 electoral votes, and had been part of the [[Blue wall (U.S. politics)|blue wall]] since [[Bill Clinton]] won the state in [[1992 United States presidential election in Michigan|1992]]. It was key to Trump's surprise victory in 2016, and the Biden campaign paid heavy attention to the state throughout the campaign, looking to avoid a repeat of Hillary Clinton's unexpected collapse in the northern industrial states.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Alter |first1=Charlotte |title=Joe Biden is Running an Invisible Digital Campaign in All-Important Michigan. That's Making Some Democrats Nervous |url=https://time.com/5889093/joe-biden-michigan-campaign/ |access-date=December 15, 2020 |agency=Time |date=September 15, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Emmrich |first1=Stuart |title=Letter From Michigan: Trying to Win a Key Battleground State for Joe Biden, One Door at a Time |url=https://www.vogue.com/article/campaigning-in-michigan-for-joe-biden-one-door-at-a-time |access-date=December 15, 2020 |agency=Vogue |date=October 28, 2020}}</ref> |
|||
Biden would carry the state by about 2.8%; while Biden ran well behind [[Barack Obama]] in his two campaigns, his margin of victory was in-line for a Democratic candidate, only performing slightly worse than [[John Kerry]]'s 3.4% margin in 2004, and [[Al Gore]]'s 5.2% margin in 2000, reflecting some of the steady demographic shifts in the state. Many undecided/third-party voters that had been lost by Clinton appeared to return to the Democratic column, giving Biden enough votes to carry the state.<ref name=":0">{{cite news|last=Spangler|first=Todd|title=Here's how Biden beat Trump in Michigan — and it wasn't corruption|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/06/joe-biden-donald-trump-michigan-vote/6176981002/|access-date=December 15, 2020|agency=Detroit Free Press|date=November 6, 2020}}</ref> |
|||
While Michigan returned to the Democratic column with a fairly sizable margin, the state's internal politics shifted rather dramatically. Trump performed strongly with white voters without a college degree, winning this group by 17 points, and this group made up about 51% of Michigan's electorate, cementing the white-working-class shift to the GOP; with men, this was even more convincing, as Trump carried white men without a college degree by 30 points. On the other hand, there was a significant suburban shift towards the Democrats; for example, [[Ottawa County, Michigan|Ottawa County]], a suburban county outside of Grand Rapids, has traditionally been a GOP-stronghold in the state; Biden cut into Trump's margins here, and Trump carried this county with less than 60%.<ref name=":0"/> Trump held [[Macomb County, Michigan|Macomb County]], which famously helped him clinch Michigan in 2016, but carried it by only 8 points, 3 points fewer than in 2016.<ref name="How Detroit suburbs voted in 2020 presidential election">{{cite news |last1=Bartkowiak |first1=Dave |title=Biden wins big in Wayne, Oakland counties while Trump holds onto Macomb County |url=https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2020/2020/11/11/how-detroit-suburbs-voted-in-2020-presidential-election/ |access-date=December 15, 2020 |agency=ClickOnDetroit |date=November 11, 2020}}</ref> |
|||
Other demographic patterns remained the same. Biden won 93% of African-American voters in the state; consequently, Biden improved from Clinton's performance in [[Wayne County, Michigan|Wayne County]], home of [[Detroit]].<ref name="How Detroit suburbs voted in 2020 presidential election" /> Biden's performance among black voters would carry on in other parts of the state; Biden was able to match Clinton's performance in [[Genesee County, Michigan|Genesee County]],<ref>{{cite web |last1=Simpson-Mersha |first1=Isis |title=See how Genesee County in 2020 voted compared to past elections |url=https://www.mlive.com/politics/2020/11/see-how-genesee-county-in-2020-voted-compared-to-past-elections.html |website=MLive |date=November 8, 2020 |access-date=December 15, 2020}}</ref> and flipped back [[Saginaw County, Michigan|Saginaw County]].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Johnson |first1=Bob |title=Biden narrowly wins Saginaw County |url=https://www.mlive.com/politics/2020/11/biden-narrowly-wins-saginaw-county-after-trump-won-the-county-in-2016.html |access-date=December 15, 2020 |agency=MLive |date=November 4, 2020}}</ref> |
|||
Biden performed strongly with Michigan's different religious groups; Biden was able to improve from Clinton in the vote share with Evangelical [[Michiganders]]. More importantly, Biden performed strongly with white Catholics, who make up a large portion of Michigan's electorate.<ref>{{cite news |title=US elections 2020: Trump's support dips among Caucasian evangelical Christians, exit polls show |url=https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/us-elections-2020-donald-trump-support-dips-among-white-evangelical-christians |access-date=December 15, 2020 |agency=Middle East Eye |date=November 6, 2020}}</ref> Much of the state's sizable Muslim and Arab American voters backed Biden in the election, in which their support was seen as being important for helping Biden secure victory in Michigan.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Davis|first=Gabriel|date=January 19, 2021|title=How Arab Americans Helped Decide the U.S. Election|url=https://www.jadaliyya.com/Details/42237|url-status=live|access-date=2021-11-16|website=[[Jadaliyya]]|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210118193939/https://www.jadaliyya.com/Details/42237 |archive-date=January 18, 2021 }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=Ramey|first=Elisse|date=November 7, 2020|title=Muslim vote helps secure Michigan for Biden/Harris ticket|url=https://www.abc12.com/2020/11/07/muslim-vote-helps-secure-michigan-for-bidenharris-ticket/|url-status=live|access-date=2021-11-16|website=[[WJRT-TV|ABC12]]|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201107223018/https://www.abc12.com/2020/11/07/muslim-vote-helps-secure-michigan-for-bidenharris-ticket/ |archive-date=November 7, 2020 }}</ref> |
|||
Jeremy W. Peters of ''[[The New York Times]]'' wrote that "high Detroit turnout" was a crucial factor aiding Biden.<ref>{{cite web|last=Peters|first=Jeremy W.|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/us/politics/mi-election.html|title=The view in Michigan: Amid ballot-counting, Biden's team is buoyed by high Detroit turnout.|newspaper=[[The New York Times]]|date=2020-11-04|access-date=2020-11-11}}</ref> [[History of African Americans in Detroit|African Americans in Detroit]] were a major demographic contributing to [[Joe Biden]] winning that state.<ref>{{cite web|last=Warikoo|first=Niraj|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/06/joe-biden-detroit-michigan-vote-election-2020/6168971002/|title=Black voters in Detroit key for Joe Biden and Gary Peters' victories, advocates say|newspaper=[[Detroit Free Press]]|date=2020-11-06|access-date=2020-11-11}}</ref> Trump received 12,600 votes in Detroit proper, an increase from the previous election's 7,700. In percentage terms, the shift in Detroit was from Clinton 95–3 to Biden 94–5, a decreased margin from 92 points in 2016 to 89 in 2020. Biden saw increases from 2016 in Oakland and [[Washtenaw County|Washtenaw]] counties.<ref>{{cite web|last=Garrison|first=Joey|url=https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/politics/elections/2020/11/13/donald-trump-lost-election-suburbs-not-cities-despite-claims/6263149002/|title=Donald Trump keeps baselessly claiming voter fraud in cities. But suburbs actually lost him the election|newspaper=[[USA Today]]|date=2020-11-13|access-date=2020-11-13}}</ref> |
|||
[[File:2020 US Presidential Election in Oakland County, Michigan.svg|thumb|150px|The 2020 election in Oakland County by municipality (certain villages like Holly not shown).]] |
|||
[[File:2020 US Presidential Election in Wayne County, Michigan.svg|thumb|150px|The 2020 election in Wayne County by municipality.]] |
|||
<!--The projected Oakland County result was 56.29% for Biden versus 42.18% for Trump. Specifically the projected tally was 438,147–328,313.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/biden-projected-to-win-oakland-county-with-56-percent-of-vote|title=Biden projected to win Oakland County with 56 percent of vote|publisher=Fox 2 Detroit|date=2020-11-04|access-date=2020-11-24}}</ref>-->In [[Oakland County, Michigan|Oakland County]], Biden won 433,982 votes, making up 56.36% of the votes. The municipalities in Oakland County that majority-voted for Biden versus Trump included [[Bloomfield Township, Oakland County, Michigan|Bloomfield Township]], [[Farmington Hills, Michigan|Farmington Hills]], [[Madison Heights, Michigan|Madison Heights]], [[Novi, Michigan|Novi]], [[Rochester Hills, Michigan|Rochester Hills]], [[Southfield, Michigan|Southfield]] and [[Troy, Michigan|Troy]].<ref>{{cite web|last=Bartkowiak|first=Dave Jr.|url=https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2020/2020/11/10/how-detroits-oakland-county-suburbs-voted-in-2020-presidential-election/|title=How Detroit's Oakland County suburbs voted in 2020 presidential election|publisher=Click on Detroit|date=2020-11-10|access-date=2020-11-24}}</ref> |
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The number of unbalanced votes in [[Wayne County, Michigan|Wayne County]] for 2020 was below the same number for 2016.<ref>{{cite web|last=Ruble|first=Kayla|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/detroit-vote-errors-trump/2020/11/23/ae789912-2d3b-11eb-bae0-50bb17126614_story.html|title=Detroit had more vote errors in 2016 when Trump won Michigan by a narrow margin. He didn't object then.|newspaper=[[The Washington Post]]|date=2020-11-23|access-date=2020-11-23}}</ref> On November 23, 2020, Michigan certified the results 3–0, with [[Norm Shinkle]] abstaining.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/23/michigan-election-state-canvassers-certification/6390475002/|title = Michigan board certifies Nov. 3 election, cementing Biden victory}}</ref> |
|||
===Edison exit polls=== |
|||
{| class="wikitable sortable" |
|||
! colspan="4" |2020 presidential election in Michigan by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)<ref>{{Cite web|title=Michigan 2020 President exit polls.|url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/michigan|access-date=2020-12-28|website=www.cnn.com|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Michigan Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted.|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-michigan.html|access-date=2020-12-28|website=www.nytimes.com|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|- |
|||
!Demographic subgroup |
|||
!Biden |
|||
!Trump |
|||
!% of |
|||
total vote |
|||
|- |
|||
|Total vote |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |50.62 |
|||
|47.84 |
|||
|100 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Ideology |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Liberalism in the United States|Liberals]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |89 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|25 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Moderates]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |62 |
|||
|36 |
|||
|38 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Conservatism in the United States|Conservatives]] |
|||
|12 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |88 |
|||
|37 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Party |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Democratic Party (United States)|Democrats]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |97 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|38 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Republican Party (United States)|Republicans]] |
|||
|6 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |94 |
|||
|38 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Independent (voter)|Independents]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |51 |
|||
|45 |
|||
|23 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Gender |
|||
|- |
|||
|Men |
|||
|44 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |54 |
|||
|46 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Women |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |57 |
|||
|43 |
|||
|54 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Race/ethnicity |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[White American|White]] |
|||
|44 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |55 |
|||
|81 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[African American|Black]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |92 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Hispanic and Latino Americans|Latino]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |55 |
|||
|44 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Asian Americans|Asian]] |
|||
|– |
|||
|– |
|||
|1 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Other |
|||
|– |
|||
|– |
|||
|4 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Age |
|||
|- |
|||
|18–24 years old |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |62 |
|||
|36 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|- |
|||
|25–29 years old |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |59 |
|||
|37 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|- |
|||
|30–39 years old |
|||
|48 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |50 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|- |
|||
|40–49 years old |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |49 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |49 |
|||
|15 |
|||
|- |
|||
|50–64 years old |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |51 |
|||
|49 |
|||
|29 |
|||
|- |
|||
|65 and older |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |51 |
|||
|49 |
|||
|30 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Sexual orientation |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[LGBT]] |
|||
|– |
|||
|– |
|||
|6 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Not LGBT |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |53 |
|||
|47 |
|||
|94 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Education |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Secondary education in the United States|High school]] or less |
|||
|49 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |50 |
|||
|20 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Some [[Higher education in the United States|college]] education |
|||
|49 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |50 |
|||
|27 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Associate degree|Associate's degree]] |
|||
|42 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |57 |
|||
|18 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Bachelor's degree]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |55 |
|||
|44 |
|||
|20 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Postgraduate education|Postgraduate]] degree |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |63 |
|||
|37 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Income |
|||
|- |
|||
|Under $30,000 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |61 |
|||
|39 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|- |
|||
|$30,000–49,999 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |60 |
|||
|39 |
|||
|20 |
|||
|- |
|||
|$50,000–99,999 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |55 |
|||
|44 |
|||
|34 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Over $100,000 |
|||
|47 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |51 |
|||
|30 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Union households |
|||
|- |
|||
|Yes |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |62 |
|||
|37 |
|||
|21 |
|||
|- |
|||
|No |
|||
|48 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |51 |
|||
|79 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Issue regarded as most important |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Racial inequality in the United States|Racial inequality]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |93 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[COVID-19 pandemic in the United States|Coronavirus]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |94 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|18 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Economy]] |
|||
|14 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |86 |
|||
|39 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Crime in the United States|Crime]] and safety |
|||
|22 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |77 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Health care in the United States|Health care]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |85 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Region |
|||
|- |
|||
|[[Wayne County, Michigan|Wayne County]] |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |69 |
|||
|30 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Southeast |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |58 |
|||
|41 |
|||
|27 |
|||
|- |
|||
|East central |
|||
|42 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |57 |
|||
|24 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Southwest |
|||
|46 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |53 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|- |
|||
|North central/[[Upper Peninsula of Michigan|Upper Peninsula]] |
|||
|40 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |59 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Area type |
|||
|- |
|||
|Urban |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |65 |
|||
|35 |
|||
|21 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Suburban |
|||
|48 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |51 |
|||
|58 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Rural |
|||
|45 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |54 |
|||
|21 |
|||
|- |
|||
! colspan="4" |Family's financial situation today |
|||
|- |
|||
|Better than four years ago |
|||
|18 |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |81 |
|||
|41 |
|||
|- |
|||
|Worse than four years ago |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |90 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|15 |
|||
|- |
|||
|About the same |
|||
| style="text-align:left; background:#b0ceff;" |72 |
|||
|27 |
|||
|43 |
|||
|} |
|||
==Aftermath== |
|||
On November 5, a state judge in Michigan dismissed the Trump campaign's lawsuit requesting a pause in vote-counting to allow access to observers, as the judge noted that vote-counting had already finished in Michigan.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Egan |first1=Paul |title=Judge throws out Trump lawsuit over counting of Michigan ballots |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/05/poll-watcher-challenger-ballot-counting-detroit-tcf-center/6172210002/ |access-date=November 11, 2020 |work=[[Detroit Free Press]] |date=November 5, 2020 |archive-date=November 8, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201108023843/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/05/poll-watcher-challenger-ballot-counting-detroit-tcf-center/6172210002/ |url-status=live }}</ref> That judge also noted the official complaint did not state "why, when, where, or by whom" an election observer was allegedly blocked from observing ballot-counting in Michigan.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Herb |first1=Jeremy |last2=Polantz |first2=Katelyn |title='Democracy plain and simple': How the 2020 election defied fraud claims and pandemic fears |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/06/politics/us-election-process-success/index.html |access-date=November 11, 2020 |work=[[CNN]] |date=November 7, 2020}}</ref> |
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On election night in [[Antrim County, Michigan|Antrim County]], human error miscounted an unofficial tally of Presidential votes. Next day, the County Clerk pulled the unofficial tally offline. The error was caused by using different kinds of ballots when setting up ballot scanners and result-reporting systems, which mismatched results.<ref name="Antrim NYT">{{cite news |last1=Perlroth |first1=Nicole |last2=Nicas |first2=Jack |title=No, Software Glitches Are Not Affecting Vote Counts |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/09/technology/no-software-glitches-are-not-affecting-vote-counts.html |access-date=November 11, 2020 |work=[[The New York Times]] |date=November 9, 2020 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20201110103155/https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/09/technology/no-software-glitches-are-not-affecting-vote-counts.html |archive-date=November 10, 2020 |url-status=live }}</ref> The Republican Clerk admitted that she made a mistake in some precincts, which mismatched precinct results.<ref name="Antrim hand tally">{{cite news |last1=Hendrickson |first1=Clara |last2=Egan |first2=Paul |title=Antrim County hand tally affirms certified election results |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2020/12/17/antrim-county-hand-tally-certified-election-results/3937898001/ |access-date=September 21, 2023 |work=Detroit Free Press |date=December 17, 2020}}</ref> The very next day, she corrected her mistake, tabulated all ballots again and ran a final report to certify [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan#By county|Trump's overwhelming win]].<ref name="Antrim NYT" /> Nonetheless, this error and a [[Post-election lawsuits related to the 2020 United States presidential election from Michigan#Bailey v. Antrim County|related lawsuit]] fueled multiple election conspiracies.<ref>{{cite magazine |last1=Bowden |first1=Mark |last2=Teague |first2=Matthew |title=How a County Clerk in Michigan Found Herself at the Center of Trump's Attempt to Overturn the Election |url=https://time.com/6128812/the-steal-antrim-county-michigan/ |access-date=October 7, 2023 |magazine=Time |date=December 15, 2021}}</ref> |
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Despite pressure from the Trump campaign to hand the decision over the state's presidential electors to the [[Michigan State Legislature]], which would have been an unprecedented maneuver in state history and was not authorized under Michigan law, the statewide results were certified in favor of the Biden/Harris ticket on November 23, with one Republican member of the [[Michigan Board of State Canvassers]] abstaining.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/23/michigan-election-state-canvassers-certification/6390475002/|work=The Detroit News|title=Michigan board certifies Nov. 3 election, cementing Biden victory|first1=Craig|last1=Mauger|first2=Melissa|last2=Nann Burke|date=November 23, 2020|access-date=November 23, 2020}}</ref> |
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===Official audits=== |
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In October 2020, the Michigan Election Security Advisory Commission published recommendations for two types of postelection audits: procedural and tabulation audits.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Dunaj |first1=Mikhayla |title=Michigan is conducting postelection audits. Here's how that works |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/12/23/michigans-post-election-audit-explained/3935058001/ |access-date=September 21, 2023 |work=Detroit Free Press |date=December 23, 2020}}</ref> The first statewide [[Election audit#Risk-limiting audits|risk-limiting audit]] included a hand tally of the sampled ballots, which confirmed that Biden received more votes than Trump and the share of votes each candidate received was within a fraction of a percentage point of the certified results.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Hendrickson |first1=Clara |title=Michigan election audit affirms November presidential results, Benson says |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/detroit/2021/02/12/michigan-election-audit-presidential-results/6738200002/ |access-date=September 21, 2023 |work=Detroit Free Press |date=February 12, 2021}}</ref> Another tabulation audit confirmed the election results by examining ballots cast, voting machines and the election procedures. The series of post-election audits was the most comprehensive in the state's history.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Hendrickson |first1=Clara |title=Michigan completes most comprehensive post-election audit in state history: What it showed |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2021/03/02/michigan-election-audit-results/6884982002/ |access-date=September 21, 2023 |work=Detroit Free Press |date=March 2, 2021}}</ref> |
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In Antrim County, the Clerk's Office was joined by a bipartisan team of clerks to perform a hand recount of every single ballot. Their recount proved that the [[2020 United States presidential election in Michigan#By county|county's election results]] had been accurately certified.<ref name="Antrim hand tally" /> The Republican Chairman concluded in a letter prefacing his state Senate Oversight Committee's election report: "all compelling theories that sprang forth from the rumors surrounding Antrim County are diminished so significantly as for it to be a complete waste of time to consider them further."<ref name="Senate report - DFP">{{cite news |last1=Hendrickson |first1=Clara| last2=Boucher |first2=Dave |title=Michigan Republican-led investigation rejects Trump's claim that Nov. 3 election was stolen |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2021/06/23/michigan-senate-investigation-election-trump/5035244001/ |access-date=September 21, 2023 |work=Detroit Free Press |date=June 23, 2021}}</ref> |
|||
After eight months investigating the state's 2020 general election process, he and his Republican Committee members all voted for the Senate to adopt their report. Their report concluded, "The Committee found no evidence of widespread or systemic fraud in Michigan's prosecution of the 2020 election."<ref name="Senate report - DFP" /> |
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==See also== |
|||
* [[United States presidential elections in Michigan]] |
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* [[2020 Michigan elections]] |
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* [[2020 United States elections]] |
* [[2020 United States elections]] |
||
* [[Post-election lawsuits related to the 2020 United States presidential election from Michigan]] |
|||
* [[Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election]] |
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==Notes== |
==Notes== |
||
;Partisan clients |
;Partisan clients |
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{{notelist-ua}} |
{{notelist-ua}} |
||
;Voter samples and additional candidates |
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{{notelist}} |
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== |
==References== |
||
{{Reflist|30em}} |
{{Reflist|30em}} |
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{{United States elections, 2020}} |
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==Further reading== |
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* {{citation |url= https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/michigan-political-geography |work= [[Washingtonpost.com]] |title= The six political states of Michigan |author1= [[David Weigel]] |author2= Lauren Tierney |date= August 9, 2020 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20200909005735/https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/michigan-political-geography/ |archive-date= September 9, 2020 |access-date= September 7, 2020 |url-status= dead }}. (describes 2016 political geography of Detroit; [[Metro Detroit|Detroit suburbs]]; the Middle; [[the Thumb]]; the [[West Michigan|West]]; [[Upper Peninsula of Michigan|Upper Peninsula]] and [[Northern Michigan|North]]) |
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* {{citation |url=https://www.nass.org/sites/default/files/surveys/2020-10/summary-electoral-college-laws-100220.pdf |publisher=[[National Association of Secretaries of State]] |location=Washington DC |title=Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors |date=August 2020 |quote= Michigan }} |
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* {{citation |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/06/opinion/biden-trump-bellwether-counties-.html |work= [[The New York Times]] |title= The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble |author= David Wasserman |date= October 6, 2020 }}. (describes [[List of election bellwether counties in the United States|bellwether]] [[Kent County, Michigan]]) |
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* {{citation |url= https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/17/us/politics/voters-michigan-kalamazoo.html |title= In Kalamazoo, Old High School Classmates Reckon With a Divided Country |author= [[Jennifer Steinhauer]] |date= October 17, 2020 |work=The New York Times }} |
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==External links== |
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* {{cite web |title= League of Women Voters of Michigan |url= https://www.lwvmi.org }} (state affiliate of the U.S. [[League of Women Voters]]) |
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* {{citation |author= [[Government Documents Round Table]] of the American Library Association |work=Voting & Elections Toolkits |url= https://godort.libguides.com/votingtoolkit/michigan |title= Michigan }} |
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* {{citation |work=[[Vote.org]] |location=Oakland, CA |url= https://www.vote.org/state/michigan/ |title= Michigan: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links }} |
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* {{Ballotpedia|Michigan|Michigan}} |
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{{2020 United States elections}} |
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{{State results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election}} |
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[[Category:2020 United States presidential election by state|Michigan]] |
[[Category:2020 United States presidential election by state|Michigan]] |
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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[3] Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]
In 2016, Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan since 1988, when George H. W. Bush had scored a decisive nationwide win against Michael Dukakis.[5] Throughout the campaign, Biden touted his work on the auto bailout in manufacturing towns outside Detroit. Appearing with United Auto Workers, Biden presented a new proposal to penalize American companies for moving manufacturing and service jobs overseas and then selling their products back in the United States.[6] Polls of Michigan throughout the campaign generally indicated a clear Biden lead. Prior to election day, most news organizations considered Michigan a likely blue state, or a state that Biden was likely to win.
Biden ultimately carried Michigan by 2.78%, a far closer margin than expected. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Michigan came from union households, who composed 21% of the electorate and supported Biden by 56%–42%. Biden was also able to boost minority turnout, consequently winning 93% of Black American voters.[7] Many voters were also concerned with the COVID-19 pandemic, which had hit the state hard; 52% of voters felt the pandemic was not under control at all, and these voters broke for Biden by 82%–16%. Trump outperformed his polling average in the state, but it was not enough to win. Michigan marked Biden's strongest performance in a state won by Trump in 2016, even voting to the left of Nevada which Trump lost in 2016.
Biden flipped the counties of Leelanau, Kent, and Saginaw and became the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to win the presidency without winning Bay or Gogebic Counties, the first Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948 to win without Monroe County, the first Democrat since John F. Kennedy in 1960 to win without Lake County and the first Democrat since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win without Calhoun, Isabella, Manistee, Shiawassee, or Van Buren Counties.
With Ohio, Florida, and Iowa backing the losing candidate for the first time since 1960, 1992, and 2000 respectively, this election established Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania as the states with the longest bellwether streak still in effect today. The last time any of them voted against the winning candidate was 2004, when all three voted for losing Democrat John Kerry.
Michigan's overall vote in for this election was 1.6% more Republican than the nation-at-large.
Primary elections
The primary elections were held on March 10, 2020.
Republican primary
Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by three candidates: former governor Mark Sanford of South Carolina, former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts. Sanford and Walsh both withdrew prior to the primary. Michigan is the only primary state where Sanford's name remained on the ballot.[8]
Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump (incumbent) | 640,552 | 93.7% | 73 |
Uncommitted | 32,743 | 4.8% | 0 |
Bill Weld | 6,099 | 0.9% | 0 |
Mark Sanford (withdrawn) | 4,258 | 0.6% | 0 |
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 4,067 | 0.6% | 0 |
Total | 683,431 | 100% | 73 |
Democratic primary
Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.[10]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/7d/MI_President_Democratic_Primary_2020.svg/220px-MI_President_Democratic_Primary_2020.svg.png)
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[12] |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 840,360 | 52.93 | 73 |
Bernie Sanders | 576,926 | 36.34 | 52 |
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)[a] | 73,464 | 4.63 | |
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)[a] | 26,148 | 1.65 | |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[b] | 22,462 | 1.41 | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[b] | 11,018 | 0.69 | |
Tulsi Gabbard | 9,461 | 0.60 | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[c] | 2,380 | 0.15 | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[b] | 1,732 | 0.11 | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)[c] | 1,536 | 0.10 | |
Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 840 | 0.05 | |
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 757 | 0.05 | |
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 719 | 0.05 | |
John Delaney (withdrawn)[d] | 464 | 0.03 | |
Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 306 | 0.02 | |
Uncommitted | 19,106 | 1.20 | |
Total | 1,587,679 | 100% | 125 |
General election
Final predictions
Source | Ranking |
---|---|
The Cook Political Report[13] | Lean D (flip) |
Inside Elections[14] | Lean D (flip) |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean D (flip) |
Politico[16] | Lean D (flip) |
RCP[17] | Tossup |
Niskanen[18] | Likely D (flip) |
CNN[19] | Lean D (flip) |
The Economist[20] | Likely D (flip) |
CBS News[21] | Lean D (flip) |
270towin[22] | Lean D (flip) |
ABC News[23] | Lean D (flip) |
NPR[24] | Lean D (flip) |
NBC News[25] | Lean D (flip) |
538[26] | Solid D (flip) |
Polling
Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [e] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.9% | 44.4% | 5.7% | Biden +5.5 |
Real Clear Politics | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 4.2% | Biden +4.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.2% | 43.2% | 5.6% | Biden +7.9 |
Average | 50.4% | 44.5% | 5.1% | Biden +5.9 |
2020 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,549 (LV) | ± 2% | 46%[g] | 52% | - | - | - | - |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2%[h] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.01% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 1% | - | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 413 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 45% | 54% | 1% | 0% | - | - |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43%[i] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2%[j] | - |
42%[k] | 52% | - | - | 3%[l] | 3% | ||||
45%[m] | 53% | - | - | 2%[n] | - | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 30–31 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% | - |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[A] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | 2% | - | - | 3% |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,736 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44.5% | 52% | - | - | - | - |
Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45%[o] | 52% | - | - | 3%[p] | - |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[B] | Oct 29–30 | 745 (V) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 54% | 1% | 0% | - | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30 | 993 (LV) | - | 39% | 53% | - | - | 8%[q] | - |
CNN/SSRS Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23–30 | 907 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 1%[r] | 2% |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 29 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.43% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 1% | 0%[s] | 0% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44%[i] | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
42%[t] | 53% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
45%[u] | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 1,212 (LV) | - | 41% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
EPIC-MRA | Oct 25–28 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 5%[v] | 6%[w] |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28 | 1,058 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[x] | 1% |
Kiaer Research | Oct 21–28 | 669 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 2%[y] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,541 (LV) | - | 45% | 53% | - | - | - | - |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS Archived October 29, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 25–27 | 759 (LV) | ± 3.56% | 42% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 0%[z] | 2% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 40% | 59% | 2% | 0% | - | - |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–26 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0%[aa] | 6%[w] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43%[i] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2%[j] | - |
43%[k] | 52% | - | - | 3%[l] | 3% | ||||
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | - | - | - | - |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Oct 23–25 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 2%[ab] | 4% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 20–25 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 0% | 0%[ac] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 55% | - | - | - | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[C] | Oct 21–22 | 804 (V) | - | 43% | 50% | - | - | - | 6% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 681 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 5%[ad] | - |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News | Oct 17–20 | 1,032 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 2%[ae] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–20 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44%[i] | 52% | 2% | 0% | 2%[j] | - |
44%[k] | 51% | - | - | 3%[l] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,717 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 52% | - | - | - | - |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 718 (LV)[af] | - | 44% | 51% | - | - | - | - |
EPIC-MRA | Oct 15–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5%[ag] | 8%[w] |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 18 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 1% | 1%[x] | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[D] | Oct 15–18 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2%[h] | 2% |
Data For Progress | Oct 15–18 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | - | 3% |
Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News | Oct 11–18 | 2,851 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | - | 43% | 54% | - | - | - | - |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 11–14 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 2%[h] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 972 (LV) | - | 42%[af] | 51% | 1% | 0% | - | - |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | - | 42%[i] | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
39%[t] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
44%[u] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–13 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44%[i] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 2%[ah] | - |
43%[k] | 51% | - | - | 3%[l] | 2% | ||||
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Oct 8–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 4%[ai] | 9%[w] |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[E] | Oct 8–11 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 52% | - | - | 4%[aj] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 6–11 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[ak] | 8%[w] |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,710 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | - | - |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 827 (LV) | - | 41%[af] | 51% | 2% | 1% | - | - |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9 | 1,190 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2%[al] | 0% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[am] | 4% |
Emerson College | Oct 6–7 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43%[o] | 54% | - | - | 2%[h] | - |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[an] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[F] | Oct 3–6 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44%[o] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 6 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ao] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 676 (LV) | - | 43% | 51% | - | - | - | - |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Sep 30 – Oct 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5%[ap] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[B] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 746 (V) | - | 44% | 50% | 2% | 1% | - | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 3,297 (LV) | - | 44% | 53% | - | - | - | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[D] | Sep 26–28 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1%[x] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 0%[aq] | 6% |
Marist College/NBC | Sep 19–23 | 799 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare[G] | Sep 17–23 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | - | - |
Trafalgar Group | Sep 20–22 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2%[ar] | 3.2% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[as] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal |
Sep 10–21 | 641 (LV) | - | 45% | 51% | - | - | - | - |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 568 (LV) | - | 43% | 51% | - | - | - | - |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[permanent dead link][H] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 50% | - | - | - | - |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42%[i] | 48% | 1% | 0% | - | 9% |
44%[at] | 50% | - | - | - | 6% | ||||
MRG | Sep 14–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8%[au] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 2%[ao] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[E] | Sep 11–15 | 517 (RV) | - | 42% | 53% | - | - | 3%[p] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14 | 930 (LV) | ± 3.21% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0%[aq] | 9% |
EPIC-MRA | Sep 10–15 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 5%[ag] | 7%[w] |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1%[av] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,455 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42%[aw] | 52% | - | - | - | - |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 876 (LV) | - | 43% | 49% | - | - | 7%[ax] | - |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[1] | Sep 2–3 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44%[o] | 53% | - | - | 3%[ay] | - |
Glengariff Group | Sep 1–3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 4%[az] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 40% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1%[an] | 7% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[F] | Aug 30 – Sep 2 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44%[o] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 0%[ba] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 2,962 (LV) | - | 48% | 49% | - | - | - | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 1,424 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 52% | - | - | - | - |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[B] | Aug 28–29 | 897 (V) | - | 44% | 48% | 3% | 1% | - | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 809 (LV) | - | 44% | 50% | - | - | - | - |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 14–23 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 45% | 3% | - | 1%[bb] | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–19 | 812 (LV) | - | 38% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1%[bc] | 9% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[E] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | - | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3%[p] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,212 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | - | - |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[D] | Aug 11–15 | 600 (LV) | - | 41% | 52% | - | - | - | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 413 (LV) | - | 43% | 48% | - | - | - | - |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 761 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 5%[bd] | 6% |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[I] | Jul 30 – Aug 4 | 1,245 (LV) | - | 43% | 52% | - | - | - | - |
David Binder Research | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | - | 41% | 51% | - | - | - | - |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 3,083 (LV) | - | 48% | 49% | - | - | - | 2% |
EPIC-MRA | Jul 25–30 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 51% | 3% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[B] | Jul 28–29 | 876 (V) | - | 43% | 49% | - | - | 6%[be] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[2] | Jul 24–26 | 413 (LV) | - | 42% | 46% | - | - | - | - |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 1,320 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 52% | - | - | - | - |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 21–24 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2%[bf] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–24 | 811 (LV) | - | 37% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2%[bg] | 10% |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24 | 927 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 52% | - | - | 5%[bh] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing[3] | Jul 22 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 51% | - | - | - | 7% |
Fox News | Jul 18–20 | 756 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4%[bi] | 7% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[D] | Jul 13–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | - | - | - | 7% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[J] | Jul 11–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 45% | - | - | - | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 824 (LV) | - | 42% | 48% | - | - | - | - |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D)[K] | Jul 9–10 | 1,041 (V) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | - | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 1,238 (LV) | - | 46% | 51% | - | - | - | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 699 (LV)[af] | - | 43% | 48% | - | - | - | - |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)[B] | Jun 26–27 | 1,237 (V) | - | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5%[bj] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Jun 17–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 56% | - | - | 2%[bk] | 7% |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 16–18 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 5%[ag] | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 8–17 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 47% | - | - | 8%[bl] | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–16 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.41% | 36% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2%[bm] | 12% |
TargetPoint | Jun 11–16 | 1,000 (A) | - | 33% | 49% | - | - | 4%[bn] | 14% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 353 (LV)[af] | - | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3%[bo] | - |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[A] | Jun 9–12 | 859 (LV) | - | 38% | 51% | - | - | 4%[bp] | 7% |
Kiaer Research | May 31 – Jun 7 | 543 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 35% | 50% | - | - | 6%[bq] | 8% |
EPIC-MRA | May 31 – Jun 4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 55% | - | - | - | - |
EPIC-MRA | May 30 – Jun 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | - | 6%[w] |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 620 (LV)[af] | - | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[B] | May 29–30 | 1,582 (V) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 4%[br] | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 1,325 (LV) | - | 42% | 50% | - | - | - | - |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[L] | May 18–19 | 1,234 (V) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | - | 5% |
Change Research/Crooked Media | May 11–17 | 3,070 (LV) | - | 46% | 49% | - | - | - | - |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 47% | - | - | 3%[bs] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | May 1–5 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 50% | - | - | - | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[M] | Apr 28–29 | 1,270 (V) | - | 42% | 50% | - | - | - | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[N] | Apr 20–21 | 1,277 (RV) | - | 44% | 51% | - | - | - | 5% |
Fox News | Apr 18–21 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 15–20 | 612 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 46% | - | - | - | - |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Apr 9–11 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | - | - |
Hart Research/CAP Action[O] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | - | 41% | 50% | - | - | 4% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 31 – Apr 1 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | - | 7% |
SPRY Strategies | Mar 30 – Apr 1 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | - | - | - | 8% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 47% | - | - | - | 11% |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | - | 47% | 48% | - | - | 5% | |
Marketing Resource Group Archived March 25, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 16–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | - | - | 9%[bt] | 6% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Mar 12–16 | 600 (RV) | - | 44% | 50% | - | - | - | - |
AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 44% | - | - | 10% | - |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 566 (RV) | - | 41% | 45% | - | - | 6%[bu] | 7% |
Monmouth University | Mar 5–8 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 9% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 5–7 | 550 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 44% | - | - | - | - |
YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | - | - | - | - |
Quinnipiac University Archived May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 12–18 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6%[bv] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | - | 43% | 43% | - | - | - | 14% |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[4] | Jan 9–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 50% | - | - | - | 6% |
Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | - | 5% |
2017–2019 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 41% | 8% [bw] | 5% [w] |
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 56% | - | - |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 44% | 45% | - | - |
Target Insyght | Sep 24–26, 2019 | 800 (LV) | - | 35% | 54% | - | - |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | 17% | - |
EPIC-MRA | Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | - | 8% |
Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 49% | 5%[bx] | 10% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 46% | 11% | - |
EPIC-MRA | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 52% | - | 7% |
Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | - | 4% |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 42% | 45% | - | 12% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 4% | - |
Emerson College Archived March 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | - | - |
Glengariff Group Archived April 22, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 53% | - | 5% |
EPIC-MRA | Apr 28–30, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 52% | - | 9% |
Zogby Analytics | Sep 2017 | 800 (V) | - | 35% | 52% | - | 13% |
Former candidates
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Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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Hypothetical polling
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with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash
with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz
with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz
with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat
with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent
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Results
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/27/Election_2020_Watch_Function%2C_4_November_2020_%2850567910881%29.jpg/220px-Election_2020_Watch_Function%2C_4_November_2020_%2850567910881%29.jpg)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
2,804,040 | 50.62% | +3.35% | |
Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
2,649,852 | 47.84% | +0.34% | |
Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
60,381 | 1.09% | −2.50% | |
Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker |
13,718 | 0.25% | −0.82% | |
Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr |
7,235 | 0.13% | K.A. | |
Natural Law | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson |
2,986 | 0.05% | K.A. | |
Write-in | Brian T. Carroll | 963 | 0.02% | +0.01% | |
Write-in | Jade Simmons | 89 | <0.01% | K.A. | |
Write-in | Tom Hoefling | 32 | <0.01% | K.A. | |
Write-in | 6 | <0.01% | K.A. | ||
Total votes | 5,539,302 | 100.00% |
By county
By county
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By congressional district
Despite losing the state, Trump won 8 out of the 14 congressional districts in Michigan, including one that elected a Democrat.
District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 57.9% | 40.6% | Jack Bergman |
2nd | 55% | 43.2% | Bill Huizenga |
3rd | 50.7% | 47.4% | Justin Amash |
Peter Meijer | |||
4th | 61.1% | 37.2% | John Moolenaar |
5th | 47.1% | 51.4% | Dan Kildee |
6th | 51.3% | 46.8% | Fred Upton |
7th | 56.7% | 41.6% | Tim Walberg |
8th | 49.6% | 48.8% | Elissa Slotkin |
9th | 42.7% | 55.9% | Andy Levin |
10th | 64.2% | 34.4% | Paul Mitchell |
Lisa McClain | |||
11th | 47.1% | 51.6% | Haley Stevens |
12th | 34.4% | 64.2% | Debbie Dingell |
13th | 20% | 78.8% | Rashida Tlaib |
14th | 19.6% | 79.5% | Brenda Lawrence |
Analysis
Michigan was generally seen as one of the most critical states of the 2020 election; the state boasts a highly prized 16 electoral votes, and had been part of the blue wall since Bill Clinton won the state in 1992. It was key to Trump's surprise victory in 2016, and the Biden campaign paid heavy attention to the state throughout the campaign, looking to avoid a repeat of Hillary Clinton's unexpected collapse in the northern industrial states.[29][30]
Biden would carry the state by about 2.8%; while Biden ran well behind Barack Obama in his two campaigns, his margin of victory was in-line for a Democratic candidate, only performing slightly worse than John Kerry's 3.4% margin in 2004, and Al Gore's 5.2% margin in 2000, reflecting some of the steady demographic shifts in the state. Many undecided/third-party voters that had been lost by Clinton appeared to return to the Democratic column, giving Biden enough votes to carry the state.[31]
While Michigan returned to the Democratic column with a fairly sizable margin, the state's internal politics shifted rather dramatically. Trump performed strongly with white voters without a college degree, winning this group by 17 points, and this group made up about 51% of Michigan's electorate, cementing the white-working-class shift to the GOP; with men, this was even more convincing, as Trump carried white men without a college degree by 30 points. On the other hand, there was a significant suburban shift towards the Democrats; for example, Ottawa County, a suburban county outside of Grand Rapids, has traditionally been a GOP-stronghold in the state; Biden cut into Trump's margins here, and Trump carried this county with less than 60%.[31] Trump held Macomb County, which famously helped him clinch Michigan in 2016, but carried it by only 8 points, 3 points fewer than in 2016.[32]
Other demographic patterns remained the same. Biden won 93% of African-American voters in the state; consequently, Biden improved from Clinton's performance in Wayne County, home of Detroit.[32] Biden's performance among black voters would carry on in other parts of the state; Biden was able to match Clinton's performance in Genesee County,[33] and flipped back Saginaw County.[34]
Biden performed strongly with Michigan's different religious groups; Biden was able to improve from Clinton in the vote share with Evangelical Michiganders. More importantly, Biden performed strongly with white Catholics, who make up a large portion of Michigan's electorate.[35] Much of the state's sizable Muslim and Arab American voters backed Biden in the election, in which their support was seen as being important for helping Biden secure victory in Michigan.[36][37]
Jeremy W. Peters of The New York Times wrote that "high Detroit turnout" was a crucial factor aiding Biden.[38] African Americans in Detroit were a major demographic contributing to Joe Biden winning that state.[39] Trump received 12,600 votes in Detroit proper, an increase from the previous election's 7,700. In percentage terms, the shift in Detroit was from Clinton 95–3 to Biden 94–5, a decreased margin from 92 points in 2016 to 89 in 2020. Biden saw increases from 2016 in Oakland and Washtenaw counties.[40]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f2/2020_US_Presidential_Election_in_Oakland_County%2C_Michigan.svg/150px-2020_US_Presidential_Election_in_Oakland_County%2C_Michigan.svg.png)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/8f/2020_US_Presidential_Election_in_Wayne_County%2C_Michigan.svg/150px-2020_US_Presidential_Election_in_Wayne_County%2C_Michigan.svg.png)
In Oakland County, Biden won 433,982 votes, making up 56.36% of the votes. The municipalities in Oakland County that majority-voted for Biden versus Trump included Bloomfield Township, Farmington Hills, Madison Heights, Novi, Rochester Hills, Southfield and Troy.[41]
The number of unbalanced votes in Wayne County for 2020 was below the same number for 2016.[42] On November 23, 2020, Michigan certified the results 3–0, with Norm Shinkle abstaining.[43]
Edison exit polls
2020 presidential election in Michigan by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[44][45] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | % of
total vote |
Total vote | 50.62 | 47.84 | 100 |
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 89 | 10 | 25 |
Moderates | 62 | 36 | 38 |
Conservatives | 12 | 88 | 37 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 97 | 3 | 38 |
Republicans | 6 | 94 | 38 |
Independents | 51 | 45 | 23 |
Gender | |||
Men | 44 | 54 | 46 |
Women | 57 | 43 | 54 |
Race/ethnicity | |||
White | 44 | 55 | 81 |
Black | 92 | 7 | 12 |
Latino | 55 | 44 | 3 |
Asian | - | - | 1 |
Other | - | - | 4 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 62 | 36 | 7 |
25–29 years old | 59 | 37 | 4 |
30–39 years old | 48 | 50 | 14 |
40–49 years old | 49 | 49 | 15 |
50–64 years old | 51 | 49 | 29 |
65 and older | 51 | 49 | 30 |
Sexual orientation | |||
LGBT | - | - | 6 |
Not LGBT | 53 | 47 | 94 |
Bildung | |||
High school or less | 49 | 50 | 20 |
Some college education | 49 | 50 | 27 |
Associate's degree | 42 | 57 | 18 |
Bachelor's degree | 55 | 44 | 20 |
Postgraduate degree | 63 | 37 | 16 |
Income | |||
Under $30,000 | 61 | 39 | 16 |
$30,000–49,999 | 60 | 39 | 20 |
$50,000–99,999 | 55 | 44 | 34 |
Over $100,000 | 47 | 51 | 30 |
Union households | |||
Yes | 62 | 37 | 21 |
No | 48 | 51 | 79 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Racial inequality | 93 | 5 | 16 |
Coronavirus | 94 | 5 | 18 |
Economy | 14 | 86 | 39 |
Crime and safety | 22 | 77 | 9 |
Health care | 85 | 12 | 10 |
Region | |||
Wayne County | 69 | 30 | 16 |
Southeast | 58 | 41 | 27 |
East central | 42 | 57 | 24 |
Southwest | 46 | 53 | 19 |
North central/Upper Peninsula | 40 | 59 | 14 |
Area type | |||
Urban | 65 | 35 | 21 |
Suburban | 48 | 51 | 58 |
Rural | 45 | 54 | 21 |
Family's financial situation today | |||
Better than four years ago | 18 | 81 | 41 |
Worse than four years ago | 90 | 9 | 15 |
About the same | 72 | 27 | 43 |
Aftermath
On November 5, a state judge in Michigan dismissed the Trump campaign's lawsuit requesting a pause in vote-counting to allow access to observers, as the judge noted that vote-counting had already finished in Michigan.[46] That judge also noted the official complaint did not state "why, when, where, or by whom" an election observer was allegedly blocked from observing ballot-counting in Michigan.[47]
On election night in Antrim County, human error miscounted an unofficial tally of Presidential votes. Next day, the County Clerk pulled the unofficial tally offline. The error was caused by using different kinds of ballots when setting up ballot scanners and result-reporting systems, which mismatched results.[48] The Republican Clerk admitted that she made a mistake in some precincts, which mismatched precinct results.[49] The very next day, she corrected her mistake, tabulated all ballots again and ran a final report to certify Trump's overwhelming win.[48] Nonetheless, this error and a related lawsuit fueled multiple election conspiracies.[50]
Despite pressure from the Trump campaign to hand the decision over the state's presidential electors to the Michigan State Legislature, which would have been an unprecedented maneuver in state history and was not authorized under Michigan law, the statewide results were certified in favor of the Biden/Harris ticket on November 23, with one Republican member of the Michigan Board of State Canvassers abstaining.[51]
Official audits
In October 2020, the Michigan Election Security Advisory Commission published recommendations for two types of postelection audits: procedural and tabulation audits.[52] The first statewide risk-limiting audit included a hand tally of the sampled ballots, which confirmed that Biden received more votes than Trump and the share of votes each candidate received was within a fraction of a percentage point of the certified results.[53] Another tabulation audit confirmed the election results by examining ballots cast, voting machines and the election procedures. The series of post-election audits was the most comprehensive in the state's history.[54]
In Antrim County, the Clerk's Office was joined by a bipartisan team of clerks to perform a hand recount of every single ballot. Their recount proved that the county's election results had been accurately certified.[49] The Republican Chairman concluded in a letter prefacing his state Senate Oversight Committee's election report: "all compelling theories that sprang forth from the rumors surrounding Antrim County are diminished so significantly as for it to be a complete waste of time to consider them further."[55]
After eight months investigating the state's 2020 general election process, he and his Republican Committee members all voted for the Senate to adopt their report. Their report concluded, "The Committee found no evidence of widespread or systemic fraud in Michigan's prosecution of the 2020 election."[55]
See also
- United States presidential elections in Michigan
- 2020 Michigan elections
- 2020 United States elections
- Post-election lawsuits related to the 2020 United States presidential election from Michigan
- Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization
- ^ a b c d e f Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
- ^ The American Bridge PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
- ^ a b c Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
- ^ a b The American Action Forum is a 501 organisation which usually supports Republican candidates
- ^ The Committee to Protect Medicare is a PAC with a history of buying ads arguing against the reelection of Trump
- ^ The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
- ^ Unite the Country PAC has endorsed Biden's presidential campaign
- ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Giffords, whose head - Gabby Giffords - had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
- ^ Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, the Michigan branch of Progress Now, a progressive advocacy organisation
- ^ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
- ^ CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign
- Voter samples and additional candidates
- ^ a b Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, following Super Tuesday.
- ^ a b c Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, before Super Tuesday.
- ^ a b Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, following the New Hampshire primary.
- ^ Candidate withdrew in January, shortly after absentee voting had begun.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ a b c d "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f g Standard VI response
- ^ a b c "Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%
- ^ a b c d If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available
- ^ a b c d "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ a b c "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 8%
- ^ "None of these" with 1%; "Other" with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with no voters
- ^ a b Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
- ^ a b Results generated with high Republican turnout model
- ^ "Third party" with 5%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Includes "Refused"
- ^ a b c "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Other/third party" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Third party" with 2%
- ^ "Other" and "None of these" with 0%; would not vote with no voters
- ^ Includes Undecided
- ^ "Other" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
- ^ a b c d e f Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- ^ a b c "Third party candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Some other candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Third party candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Other third party" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
- ^ a b "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
- ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Refused" with 3%; "Third Party" with 2%
- ^ a b "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1.2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ If only Trump and Biden were candidates
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%; "Refused" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%
- ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Other/not sure" with 7%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Refused" with 3%; "Third party" with 1%
- ^ Would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Another party candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another third party/write-in" 1%
- ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ "Third party" with 6%
- ^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
- ^ "Another Third Party/Write-In" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 1%; "Neither" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ "Would vote third party" with 5%
- ^ "Refused" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%; Would not vote with 5%
- ^ "other" with 2%
- ^ "Refused/no answer" with 4%
- ^ "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Other" with 4%; "prefer not to answer" with 0%
- ^ "A different candidate" with 6%
- ^ "Third party" with 4%
- ^ "Third party/write-in" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%; "Refused" and would not vote with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
- ^ a b A third party candidate with 5%; would not vote with 3%
- ^ Would not vote with 5%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 4%
- ^ a b Would not vote with 7%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 5%
- ^ A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 4%
- ^ a b Would not vote with 6%
- ^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ A third party candidate with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ Would not vote with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 5%
- ^ A third party candidate with 3%; would not vote with 5%
- ^ a b Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
- ^ "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.9%; "unsure" with 1%
- ^ a b c d Listed as "Would vote to replace Trump"
- ^ a b Listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"
- ^ 19% listed as "would consider voting for someone other than Trump"; 3% as "undecided/refused"
- ^ "Vote to replace Trump" with 45%
- ^ "Consider voting for someone else" with 19%; "Undecided/refused" with 4%
- ^ "Vote to replace Trump" with 49%
- ^ "Consider voting for someone else" with 16%; "Don't know/refused" with 4%
- ^ "Depends on who the Democratic nominee is" with 15%
References
- ^ "Record 5.5M voted in Michigan; highest percentage in decades". Associated Press. November 5, 2020.
- ^ "Michigan Presidential Election Results 2020". NBC News. Retrieved November 18, 2020.
- ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ Shepard, Steven (November 28, 2016). "Michigan certifies Trump as winner". POLITICO. Retrieved November 10, 2020.
- ^ Coleman, Justine (September 9, 2020). "Biden unveils plan to penalize companies that offshore jobs ahead of Michigan visit". TheHill. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
- ^ "Michigan Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
- ^ "Michigan Will Keep Mark Sanford's Name on the Republican Presidential Primary Unless he Sends in a Withdrawal Letter | Ballot Access News". November 21, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. April 30, 2020. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
- ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
- ^ "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
- ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
- ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
- ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Michigan Official General Election Results – 11/03/2020". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Presidential General Election Results - Michigan". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved November 30, 2020.
- ^ Alter, Charlotte (September 15, 2020). "Joe Biden is Running an Invisible Digital Campaign in All-Important Michigan. That's Making Some Democrats Nervous". Time. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ^ Emmrich, Stuart (October 28, 2020). "Letter From Michigan: Trying to Win a Key Battleground State for Joe Biden, One Door at a Time". Vogue. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ^ a b Spangler, Todd (November 6, 2020). "Here's how Biden beat Trump in Michigan — and it wasn't corruption". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ^ a b Bartkowiak, Dave (November 11, 2020). "Biden wins big in Wayne, Oakland counties while Trump holds onto Macomb County". ClickOnDetroit. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ^ Simpson-Mersha, Isis (November 8, 2020). "See how Genesee County in 2020 voted compared to past elections". MLive. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ^ Johnson, Bob (November 4, 2020). "Biden narrowly wins Saginaw County". MLive. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ^ "US elections 2020: Trump's support dips among Caucasian evangelical Christians, exit polls show". Middle East Eye. November 6, 2020. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ^ Davis, Gabriel (January 19, 2021). "How Arab Americans Helped Decide the U.S. Election". Jadaliyya. Archived from the original on January 18, 2021. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
- ^ Ramey, Elisse (November 7, 2020). "Muslim vote helps secure Michigan for Biden/Harris ticket". ABC12. Archived from the original on November 7, 2020. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
- ^ Peters, Jeremy W. (November 4, 2020). "The view in Michigan: Amid ballot-counting, Biden's team is buoyed by high Detroit turnout". The New York Times. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ Warikoo, Niraj (November 6, 2020). "Black voters in Detroit key for Joe Biden and Gary Peters' victories, advocates say". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ Garrison, Joey (November 13, 2020). "Donald Trump keeps baselessly claiming voter fraud in cities. But suburbs actually lost him the election". USA Today. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
- ^ Bartkowiak, Dave Jr. (November 10, 2020). "How Detroit's Oakland County suburbs voted in 2020 presidential election". Click on Detroit. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
- ^ Ruble, Kayla (November 23, 2020). "Detroit had more vote errors in 2016 when Trump won Michigan by a narrow margin. He didn't object then". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- ^ "Michigan board certifies Nov. 3 election, cementing Biden victory".
- ^ "Michigan 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
- ^ "Michigan Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
- ^ Egan, Paul (November 5, 2020). "Judge throws out Trump lawsuit over counting of Michigan ballots". Detroit Free Press. Archived from the original on November 8, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ Herb, Jeremy; Polantz, Katelyn (November 7, 2020). "'Democracy plain and simple': How the 2020 election defied fraud claims and pandemic fears". CNN. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ a b Perlroth, Nicole; Nicas, Jack (November 9, 2020). "No, Software Glitches Are Not Affecting Vote Counts". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 10, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ a b Hendrickson, Clara; Egan, Paul (December 17, 2020). "Antrim County hand tally affirms certified election results". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
- ^ Bowden, Mark; Teague, Matthew (December 15, 2021). "How a County Clerk in Michigan Found Herself at the Center of Trump's Attempt to Overturn the Election". Time. Retrieved October 7, 2023.
- ^ Mauger, Craig; Nann Burke, Melissa (November 23, 2020). "Michigan board certifies Nov. 3 election, cementing Biden victory". The Detroit News. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- ^ Dunaj, Mikhayla (December 23, 2020). "Michigan is conducting postelection audits. Here's how that works". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
- ^ Hendrickson, Clara (February 12, 2021). "Michigan election audit affirms November presidential results, Benson says". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
- ^ Hendrickson, Clara (March 2, 2021). "Michigan completes most comprehensive post-election audit in state history: What it showed". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
- ^ a b Hendrickson, Clara; Boucher, Dave (June 23, 2021). "Michigan Republican-led investigation rejects Trump's claim that Nov. 3 election was stolen". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
Further reading
- David Weigel; Lauren Tierney (August 9, 2020), "The six political states of Michigan", Washingtonpost.com, archived from the original on September 9, 2020, retrieved September 7, 2020. (describes 2016 political geography of Detroit; Detroit suburbs; the Middle; the Thumb; the West; Upper Peninsula and North)
- Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020,
Michigan
- David Wasserman (October 6, 2020), "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", The New York Times. (describes bellwether Kent County, Michigan)
- Jennifer Steinhauer (October 17, 2020), "In Kalamazoo, Old High School Classmates Reckon With a Divided Country", The New York Times
External links
- "League of Women Voters of Michigan". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Michigan", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Michigan: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- Michigan at Ballotpedia