2004 United States Senate election in Wisconsin: Difference between revisions
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{{short description|none}} |
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{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}} |
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{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
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| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote1 = '''1,632,697''' |
| popular_vote1 = '''1,632,697''' |
||
| percentage1 = '''55. |
| percentage1 = '''55.35%''' |
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| image2 = File:Tim Michels.jpg |
| image2 = File:Tim Michels (a).jpg |
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| nominee2 = |
| nominee2 = Tim Michels |
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| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
| party2 = Republican Party (United States) |
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| popular_vote2 = 1,301,183 |
| popular_vote2 = 1,301,183 |
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| percentage2 = 44. |
| percentage2 = 44.11% |
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| map_image = {{switcher |[[File:2004 United States Senate election in Wisconsin results map by county.svg| |
| map_image = {{switcher |[[File:2004 United States Senate election in Wisconsin results map by county.svg|260px]] |County results |[[File:2004 United States Senate election in Wisconsin by precinct.svg|260px]] |Precinct results |default=1}} |
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| map_caption = '''Feingold:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br/>'''Michels:''' {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br/>'''Tie:''' {{legend0|#D2B1D9 |
| map_caption = '''Feingold:''' {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}<br />'''Michels:''' {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}<br />'''Tie:''' {{legend0|#D2B1D9}} |
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| title = U.S. Senator |
| title = U.S. Senator |
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| before_election = [[Russ Feingold]] |
| before_election = [[Russ Feingold]] |
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}} |
}} |
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{{ElectionsWI}} |
{{ElectionsWI}} |
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The '''2004 United States Senate election in Wisconsin''' was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent |
The '''2004 United States Senate election in Wisconsin''' was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Senator [[Russ Feingold]] won re-election to a third term. {{As of|2024}}, this is the last time Democrats won the Class 3 Senate seat from Wisconsin. [[Russ Feingold]] defeated Tim Michels in a landslide despite [[John Kerry]] narrowly winning Wisconsin over Republican presidential nominee [[George W. Bush]] in the [[2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|concurrent presidential election]]. |
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==Candidates== |
==Candidates== |
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===Republican=== |
===Republican=== |
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* Russ Darrow<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=7134 | title=Our Campaigns - WI US Senate - R Primary Race - Sep 14, 2004 }}</ref> |
* Russ Darrow<ref name="ourcampaigns.com">{{cite web | url=https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=7134 | title=Our Campaigns - WI US Senate - R Primary Race - Sep 14, 2004 }}</ref> |
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* Robert Gerald Lorge<ref |
* Robert Gerald Lorge<ref name="ourcampaigns.com"/> |
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* |
* Tim Michels, businessman and army veteran<ref name=CBSRaces/> |
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* [[Robert Welch (Wisconsin politician)|Robert Welch]], State Senator |
* [[Robert Welch (Wisconsin politician)|Robert Welch]], State Senator |
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== General election == |
== General election == |
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=== Campaign === |
=== Campaign === |
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Michels insisted he |
Michels insisted he had more real world experience than Feingold, someone he called an "extreme liberal" who was out of touch with Wisconsin voters.<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-112626866.html|title=MICHELS TOUTS RURAL ROOTS IN JOINING GOP SENATE RACE.(FRONT) - The Capital Times | HighBeam Research|date=November 4, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121104080030/http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-112626866.html|archive-date=2012-11-04}}</ref> Feingold attacked back by saying that any Republican would be a rubber stamp for President Bush. The incumbent had $2.2 million in the bank, while Michels had already spent $1 million in the primary and had only about $150,000 left.<ref>{{Cite web|date=2004-09-16|title=Michels, Feingold already sparring|url=http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=_6caAAAAIBAJ&sjid=Y0UEAAAAIBAJ&pg=6652,3445599&dq=tim+michels&hl=en|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160428143119/https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=_6caAAAAIBAJ&sjid=Y0UEAAAAIBAJ&pg=6652,3445599&dq=tim+michels&hl=en|archive-date=2016-04-28|access-date=|website=|publisher=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel|via=news.google.com}}</ref> |
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During both the primary and general election campaigns, Michel ran a series of ads attacking Feingold for his status as the sole senator to oppose the 2001 [[Patriot Act]]. One of his earliest ads during the primary accused Feingold of putting "his liberal ideology before our safety", while another primary spot featured footage of the [[September 11 attacks|September 11 Attacks]] and a voice-over saying that "our leaders passed new laws to keep us safe. But Russ Feingold voted against those laws."<ref name="Reason 1">{{cite web |last1=Weigel |first1=David |author-link1=David Weigel |title=When Patriots Dissent |url=https://reason.com/2005/11/01/when-patriots-dissent-2/ |website=Reason |access-date=November 13, 2021 |date=November 2005}}</ref> After easily winning the Republican primary against three opponents, Michel released two more anti-Feingold spots focusing on the Patriot Act. One of the ads showed further footage of the September 11 attacks, while another depicted a Middle Eastern spy photographing a Wisconsin [[nuclear power plant]] before Michels appears on-screen and announces that Unlike Russ Feingold, I will support renewing the PATRIOT Act, because we need to be able to track and stop terrorists before they strike again."<ref name="Reason 1" /> Michels reported that one-fifth of his campaign's advertising budget was devoted to making and airing the spots.<ref name="Reason 1" /> |
During both the primary and general election campaigns, Michel ran a series of ads attacking Feingold for his status as the sole senator to oppose the 2001 [[Patriot Act]]. One of his earliest ads during the primary accused Feingold of putting "his liberal ideology before our safety", while another primary spot featured footage of the [[September 11 attacks|September 11 Attacks]] and a voice-over saying that "our leaders passed new laws to keep us safe. But Russ Feingold voted against those laws."<ref name="Reason 1">{{cite web |last1=Weigel |first1=David |author-link1=David Weigel |title=When Patriots Dissent |url=https://reason.com/2005/11/01/when-patriots-dissent-2/ |website=Reason |access-date=November 13, 2021 |date=November 2005}}</ref> After easily winning the Republican primary against three opponents, Michel released two more anti-Feingold spots focusing on the Patriot Act. One of the ads showed further footage of the September 11 attacks, while another depicted a Middle Eastern spy photographing a Wisconsin [[nuclear power plant]] before Michels appears on-screen and announces that "Unlike Russ Feingold, I will support renewing the PATRIOT Act, because we need to be able to track and stop terrorists before they strike again."<ref name="Reason 1" /> Michels reported that one-fifth of his campaign's advertising budget was devoted to making and airing the spots.<ref name="Reason 1" /> |
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In October, based on a belief that Feingold was vulnerable due in part to his vote on the Patriot Act, the [[National Republican Senatorial Committee|NRSC]] pledged $600,000 in support of the Michel campaign. However, after the Michel commercials generated negative attention and Feingold continued to lead comfortably in most polls, the party rescinded their financial assistance.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://badgerherald.com/news/2004/10/15/republican-committee-p/|title=Republican committee pulls ads for Michels|newspaper=The Badger Herald|last1=Masse|first1=Ryan|date=October 15, 2004|access-date=January 11, 2020}}</ref> On October 1, a poll showed Feingold leading 52% to 39%.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Zielinski|first=Graeme|date=1 October 2004|title=Feingold holds big lead over Michels, poll says|url=http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=MWSB&p_theme=mwsb&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=1057665A96950BA6&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110609093231/http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=MWSB&p_theme=mwsb&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=1057665A96950BA6&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM|archive-date=2011-06-09|access-date=|website=nl.newsbank.com}}</ref> In mid October, another poll showed Feingold winning 48% to 43%. A poll at the end of the month showed him leading 51% to 36%.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Zielinski|first=Graeme|date=30 October 2004|title=Feingold, Michels each say campaign is going his way|url=http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=PKgaAAAAIBAJ&sjid=eEUEAAAAIBAJ&pg=6021,4541874&dq=tim+michels+poll&hl=en|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160513071902/https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=PKgaAAAAIBAJ&sjid=eEUEAAAAIBAJ&pg=6021,4541874&dq=tim+michels+poll&hl=en|archive-date=2016-05-13|access-date=|website=|publisher=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel|via=news.google.com/}}</ref> |
In October, based on a belief that Feingold was vulnerable due in part to his vote on the Patriot Act, the [[National Republican Senatorial Committee|NRSC]] pledged $600,000 in support of the Michel campaign. However, after the Michel commercials generated negative attention and Feingold continued to lead comfortably in most polls, the party rescinded their financial assistance.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://badgerherald.com/news/2004/10/15/republican-committee-p/|title=Republican committee pulls ads for Michels|newspaper=The Badger Herald|last1=Masse|first1=Ryan|date=October 15, 2004|access-date=January 11, 2020}}</ref> On October 1, a poll showed Feingold leading 52% to 39%.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Zielinski|first=Graeme|date=1 October 2004|title=Feingold holds big lead over Michels, poll says|url=http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=MWSB&p_theme=mwsb&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=1057665A96950BA6&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110609093231/http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=MWSB&p_theme=mwsb&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=1057665A96950BA6&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM|archive-date=2011-06-09|access-date=|website=nl.newsbank.com}}</ref> In mid October, another poll showed Feingold winning 48% to 43%. A poll at the end of the month showed him leading 51% to 36%.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Zielinski|first=Graeme|date=30 October 2004|title=Feingold, Michels each say campaign is going his way|url=http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=PKgaAAAAIBAJ&sjid=eEUEAAAAIBAJ&pg=6021,4541874&dq=tim+michels+poll&hl=en|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160513071902/https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=PKgaAAAAIBAJ&sjid=eEUEAAAAIBAJ&pg=6021,4541874&dq=tim+michels+poll&hl=en|archive-date=2016-05-13|access-date=|website=|publisher=Milwaukee Journal Sentinel|via=news.google.com/}}</ref> |
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041205033905/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=918 Zogby International] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Zogby International]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041205033905/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=918 Zogby International]</ref> |
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|October 27–30, 2004 |
|October 27–30, 2004 |
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|601 (LV) |
|601 (LV) |
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|6% |
|6% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041108180815/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/Memo-WI-Poll-10.29.04.pdf?ID=913 Tarrance Group (R)] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Tarrance Group|Tarrance Group (R)]]<ref name="Tarrance Group R">[https://web.archive.org/web/20041108180815/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/Memo-WI-Poll-10.29.04.pdf?ID=913 Tarrance Group (R)]</ref> |
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|October 29, 2004 |
|October 29, 2004 |
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|500 (LV) |
|500 (LV) |
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|9% |
|9% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041206223944/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=916 Zogby International] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Zogby International]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041206223944/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=916 Zogby International]</ref> |
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|October 26–29, 2004 |
|October 26–29, 2004 |
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|600 (LV) |
|600 (LV) |
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|6% |
|6% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[ |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Tarrance Group|Tarrance Group (R)]]<ref name="Tarrance Group R"/> |
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|October 28, 2004 |
|October 28, 2004 |
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|500 (LV) |
|500 (LV) |
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|10% |
|10% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041208094601/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=913 Zogby International] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Zogby International]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041208094601/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=913 Zogby International]</ref> |
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|October 25–28, 2004 |
|October 25–28, 2004 |
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|601 (LV) |
|601 (LV) |
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|6% |
|6% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[ |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Tarrance Group|Tarrance Group (R)]]<ref name="Tarrance Group R"/> |
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|October 27, 2004 |
|October 27, 2004 |
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|500 (LV) |
|500 (LV) |
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|8% |
|8% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041206222535/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=910 Zogby International] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Zogby International]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041206222535/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=910 Zogby International]</ref> |
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|October 24–27, 2004 |
|October 24–27, 2004 |
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|601 (LV) |
|601 (LV) |
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|5% |
|5% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109279155/the-capital-times/ University of Wisconsin] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[University of Wisconsin]]<ref>[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109279155/the-capital-times/ University of Wisconsin]</ref> |
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|October 23–27, 2004 |
|October 23–27, 2004 |
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|545 (V) |
|545 (V) |
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|13% |
|13% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[ |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Tarrance Group|Tarrance Group (R)]]<ref name="Tarrance Group R"/> |
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|October 26, 2004 |
|October 26, 2004 |
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|500 (LV) |
|500 (LV) |
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|9% |
|9% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041209102505/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=908 Zogby International] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Zogby International]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041209102505/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=908 Zogby International]</ref> |
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|October 23–26, 2004 |
|October 23–26, 2004 |
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|601 (LV) |
|601 (LV) |
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Line 232: | Line 233: | ||
|5% |
|5% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[ |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Tarrance Group|Tarrance Group (R)]]<ref name="Tarrance Group R"/> |
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|October 25, 2004 |
|October 25, 2004 |
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|500 (LV) |
|500 (LV) |
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|8% |
|8% |
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|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041205095805/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=906 Zogby International] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Zogby International]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041205095805/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=906 Zogby International]</ref> |
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|October 22–25, 2004 |
|October 22–25, 2004 |
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|601 (LV) |
|601 (LV) |
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Line 250: | Line 251: | ||
|5% |
|5% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041206215802/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=904 Zogby International] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Zogby International]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041206215802/http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=904 Zogby International]</ref> |
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|October 21–24, 2004 |
|October 21–24, 2004 |
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|601 (LV) |
|601 (LV) |
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|4% |
|4% |
||
|- |
|- |
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|style="text-align:left;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20041019022507/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Wisconsin_Senate.htm Rasmussen Reports] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Rasmussen Reports]]<ref>[https://web.archive.org/web/20041019022507/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Wisconsin_Senate.htm Rasmussen Reports]</ref> |
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|October 14, 2004 |
|October 14, 2004 |
||
|500 (LV) |
|500 (LV) |
||
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|2% |
|2% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://schneiderschool.snc.edu/researchandservices/sri/docs/2000/wisurvey-senate-fall04.pdf St. Norbert College] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[St. Norbert College]]<ref>[https://schneiderschool.snc.edu/researchandservices/sri/docs/2000/wisurvey-senate-fall04.pdf St. Norbert College]</ref> |
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|October 4–13, 2004 |
|October 4–13, 2004 |
||
|401 (LV) |
|401 (LV) |
||
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|11% |
|11% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109278355/chicago-tribune/ Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Chicago Tribune]]/[[WGN-TV]]<ref>[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109278355/chicago-tribune/ Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV]</ref> |
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|October 2004 |
|October 2004 |
||
| |
| |
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|10% |
|10% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277921/wisconsin-state-journal/ Harris Interactive] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[Harris Insights & Analytics|Harris Interactive]]<ref>[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277921/wisconsin-state-journal/ Harris Interactive]</ref> |
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|September 22–26, 2004 |
|September 22–26, 2004 |
||
|562 (V) |
|562 (V) |
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|9% |
|9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277763/leader-telegram/ University of Wisconsin] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[University of Wisconsin]]<ref>[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277763/leader-telegram/ University of Wisconsin]</ref> |
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|September 15–21, 2004 |
|September 15–21, 2004 |
||
|485 (LV) |
|485 (LV) |
||
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|9% |
|9% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277763/leader-telegram/ ABC News] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[ABC News (United States)|ABC News]]<ref>[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277763/leader-telegram/ ABC News]</ref> |
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|September 16–19, 2004 |
|September 16–19, 2004 |
||
|775 (LV) |
|775 (LV) |
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Line 313: | Line 314: | ||
|4% |
|4% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277005/daily-citizen/ University of Wisconsin] |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[University of Wisconsin]]<ref name="University of Wisconsin">[https://www.newspapers.com/clip/109277005/daily-citizen/ University of Wisconsin]</ref> |
||
|June 15–23, 2004 |
|June 15–23, 2004 |
||
|504 (V) |
|504 (V) |
||
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! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[ |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[University of Wisconsin]]<ref name="University of Wisconsin"/> |
||
|June 15–23, 2004 |
|June 15–23, 2004 |
||
|504 (V) |
|504 (V) |
||
Line 354: | Line 355: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[ |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[University of Wisconsin]]<ref name="University of Wisconsin"/> |
||
|June 15–23, 2004 |
|June 15–23, 2004 |
||
|504 (V) |
|504 (V) |
||
Line 373: | Line 374: | ||
! Undecided |
! Undecided |
||
|- |
|- |
||
|style="text-align:left;"|[ |
|style="text-align:left;"|[[University of Wisconsin]]<ref name="University of Wisconsin"/> |
||
|June 15–23, 2004 |
|June 15–23, 2004 |
||
|504 (V) |
|504 (V) |
||
Line 395: | Line 396: | ||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
{{Election box candidate with party link no change |
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| party = Republican Party (United States) |
| party = Republican Party (United States) |
||
| candidate = |
| candidate = Tim Michels |
||
| votes = 1,301,183 |
| votes = 1,301,183 |
||
| percentage = 44.11% |
| percentage = 44.11% |
||
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}} |
}} |
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{{Election box end}} |
{{Election box end}} |
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====Counties that flipped Republican to Democratic==== |
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* [[Barron County, Wisconsin|Barron]] (largest city: [[Rice Lake, Wisconsin|Rice Lake]]) |
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* [[Brown County, Wisconsin|Brown]] (largest city: [[Green Bay, Wisconsin|Green Bay]]) |
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* [[Burnett County, Wisconsin|Burnett]] (largest village: [[Grantsburg, Wisconsin|Grantsburg]]) |
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* [[Clark County, Wisconsin|Clark]] (largest city: [[Neillsville, Wisconsin|Neillsville]]) |
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* [[Kewaunee County, Wisconsin|Kewaunee]] (largest city: [[Algoma, Wisconsin|Algoma]]) |
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* [[Langlade County, Wisconsin|Langlade]] (largest city: [[Antigo, Wisconsin|Antigo]]) |
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* [[Manitowoc County, Wisconsin|Manitowoc]] (largest city: [[Manitowoc, Wisconsin|Manitowoc]]) |
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* [[Marathon County, Wisconsin|Marathon]] (largest city: [[Wausau, Wisconsin|Wausau]]) |
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* [[Monroe County, Wisconsin|Monroe]] (largest city: [[Sparta, Wisconsin|Sparta]]) |
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* [[Oneida County, Wisconsin|Oneida]] (largest city: [[Rhinelander, Wisconsin|Rhinelander]]) |
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* [[Outagamie County, Wisconsin|Outagamie]] (largest city: [[Appleton, Wisconsin|Appleton]]) |
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* [[Rusk County, Wisconsin|Rusk]] (largest city: [[Ladysmith, Wisconsin|Ladysmith]]) |
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* [[Washburn County, Wisconsin|Washburn]] (largest city: [[Spooner, Wisconsin|Spooner]]) |
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*[[Lafayette County, Wisconsin|Lafayette]] (largest city: [[Darlington, Wisconsin|Darlington]]) |
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*[[Pepin County, Wisconsin|Pepin]] (largest city: [[Durand, Wisconsin|Durand]]) |
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*[[Racine County, Wisconsin|Racine]] (largest city: [[Racine, Wisconsin|Racine]]) |
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*[[Richland County, Wisconsin|Richland]] (largest city: [[Richland Center, Wisconsin|Richland Center]]) |
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*[[Sawyer County, Wisconsin|Sawyer]] (largest city: [[Hayward, Wisconsin|Hayward]]) |
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*[[Winnebago County, Wisconsin|Winnebago]] (largest city: [[Oshkosh, Wisconsin|Oshkosh]]) |
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*[[Polk County, Wisconsin|Polk]] (Largest city: [[Amery, Wisconsin|Amery]]) |
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*[[St. Croix County, Wisconsin|St. Croix]] (Largest city: [[Hudson, Wisconsin|Hudson]]) |
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*[[Taylor County, Wisconsin|Taylor]] (Largest city: [[Medford, Wisconsin|Medford]]) |
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*[[Door County, Wisconsin|Door]] (largest city: [[Sturgeon Bay, Wisconsin|Sturgeon Bay]]) |
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*[[Grant County, Wisconsin|Grant]] (largest city: [[Platteville, Wisconsin|Platteville]]) |
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*[[Juneau County, Wisconsin|Juneau]] (largest city: [[Mauston, Wisconsin|Mauston]]) |
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* [[Wood County, Wisconsin|Wood]] (largest city: [[Marshfield, Wisconsin|Marshfield]]) |
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* [[Chippewa County, Wisconsin|Chippewa]] (largest city: [[Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin|Chippewa Falls]]) |
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====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==== |
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*[[Florence County, Wisconsin|Florence]] (Largest city: [[Florence (town), Wisconsin|Florence]]) |
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== See also == |
== See also == |
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== External links == |
== External links == |
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'''Debates''' |
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* [https://www.c-span.org/video/?183732-1/wisconsin-senate-debate Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate] on [[C-SPAN]], October 1, 2004 |
* [https://www.c-span.org/video/?183732-1/wisconsin-senate-debate Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate] on [[C-SPAN]], October 1, 2004 |
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* [https://www.c-span.org/video/?183970-1/wisconsin-senate-debate Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate] on [[C-SPAN]], October 16, 2004 |
* [https://www.c-span.org/video/?183970-1/wisconsin-senate-debate Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate] on [[C-SPAN]], October 16, 2004 |
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* [https://www.c-span.org/video/?184109-1/wisconsin-senate-debate Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate] on [[C-SPAN]], October 22, 2004 |
* [https://www.c-span.org/video/?184109-1/wisconsin-senate-debate Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate] on [[C-SPAN]], October 22, 2004 |
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'''Official campaign websites (archived)'''<br /> |
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Democrats |
Democrats |
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* [https://web.archive.org/web/20041101064359/http://www.russfeingold.org/ Russ Feingold] |
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20041101064359/http://www.russfeingold.org/ Russ Feingold] |
Latest revision as of 22:14, 6 September 2024
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Feingold: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Michels: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Wisconsin |
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The 2004 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Senator Russ Feingold won re-election to a third term. As of 2024[update], this is the last time Democrats won the Class 3 Senate seat from Wisconsin. Russ Feingold defeated Tim Michels in a landslide despite John Kerry narrowly winning Wisconsin over Republican presidential nominee George W. Bush in the concurrent presidential election.
Candidates
[edit]Democratic
[edit]- Russ Feingold, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Russ Feingold | 251,915 | 99.66% | |
Democratic | Scattering | 862 | 0.34% | |
Total votes | 252,777 | 100.00% |
Republican
[edit]- Russ Darrow[3]
- Robert Gerald Lorge[3]
- Tim Michels, businessman and army veteran[1]
- Robert Welch, State Senator
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Michels | 183,654 | 42.43% | |
Republican | Russ Darrow | 130,088 | 30.05% | |
Republican | Robert Welch | 99,971 | 23.09% | |
Republican | Robert Gerald Lorge | 18,809 | 4.35% | |
Republican | Scattering | 350 | 0.08% | |
Total votes | 432,872 | 100.0% |
Minor candidates
[edit]Libertarian
[edit]- Arif Khan, entrepreneur[4]
Independent
[edit]- Eugene Hem, perennial candidate and former educator[5]
General election
[edit]Campaign
[edit]Michels insisted he had more real world experience than Feingold, someone he called an "extreme liberal" who was out of touch with Wisconsin voters.[6] Feingold attacked back by saying that any Republican would be a rubber stamp for President Bush. The incumbent had $2.2 million in the bank, while Michels had already spent $1 million in the primary and had only about $150,000 left.[7]
During both the primary and general election campaigns, Michel ran a series of ads attacking Feingold for his status as the sole senator to oppose the 2001 Patriot Act. One of his earliest ads during the primary accused Feingold of putting "his liberal ideology before our safety", while another primary spot featured footage of the September 11 Attacks and a voice-over saying that "our leaders passed new laws to keep us safe. But Russ Feingold voted against those laws."[8] After easily winning the Republican primary against three opponents, Michel released two more anti-Feingold spots focusing on the Patriot Act. One of the ads showed further footage of the September 11 attacks, while another depicted a Middle Eastern spy photographing a Wisconsin nuclear power plant before Michels appears on-screen and announces that "Unlike Russ Feingold, I will support renewing the PATRIOT Act, because we need to be able to track and stop terrorists before they strike again."[8] Michels reported that one-fifth of his campaign's advertising budget was devoted to making and airing the spots.[8]
In October, based on a belief that Feingold was vulnerable due in part to his vote on the Patriot Act, the NRSC pledged $600,000 in support of the Michel campaign. However, after the Michel commercials generated negative attention and Feingold continued to lead comfortably in most polls, the party rescinded their financial assistance.[9] On October 1, a poll showed Feingold leading 52% to 39%.[10] In mid October, another poll showed Feingold winning 48% to 43%. A poll at the end of the month showed him leading 51% to 36%.[11]
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe D | November 1, 2004 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[13] |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Tim Michels (R) |
Arif Khan (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby International[14] | October 27–30, 2004 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | 37% | 6% | |
Tarrance Group (R)[15] | October 29, 2004 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% | |
Zogby International[16] | October 26–29, 2004 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | 37% | 6% | |
Tarrance Group (R)[15] | October 28, 2004 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% | |
Zogby International[17] | October 25–28, 2004 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | 37% | 6% | |
Tarrance Group (R)[15] | October 27, 2004 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 41% | 8% | |
Zogby International[18] | October 24–27, 2004 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 59% | 36% | 5% | |
University of Wisconsin[19] | October 23–27, 2004 | 545 (V) | ± 4% | 51% | 36% | 13% | |
Tarrance Group (R)[15] | October 26, 2004 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% | |
Zogby International[20] | October 23–26, 2004 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | 38% | 5% | |
Tarrance Group (R)[15] | October 25, 2004 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 40% | 8% | |
Zogby International[21] | October 22–25, 2004 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 41% | 5% | |
Zogby International[22] | October 21–24, 2004 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 42% | 4% | |
Rasmussen Reports[23] | October 14, 2004 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 43% | 2% | 2% |
St. Norbert College[24] | October 4–13, 2004 | 401 (LV) | ± 5% | 56% | 33% | 11% | |
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV[25] | October 2004 | 57% | 33% | 10% | |||
Harris Interactive[26] | September 22–26, 2004 | 562 (V) | ± 4% | 52% | 39% | 9% | |
University of Wisconsin[27] | September 15–21, 2004 | 485 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 38% | 9% | |
ABC News[28] | September 16–19, 2004 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 45% | 4% | |
University of Wisconsin[29] | June 15–23, 2004 | 504 (V) | ± 4% | 36% | 12% | 52% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[13] |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Russ Darrow (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Wisconsin[29] | June 15–23, 2004 | 504 (V) | ± 4% | 40% | 16% | 44% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[13] |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Robert Welch (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Wisconsin[29] | June 15–23, 2004 | 504 (V) | ± 4% | 36% | 10% | 54% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[13] |
Margin of error |
Russ Feingold (D) |
Robert Gerald Lorge (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Wisconsin[29] | June 15–23, 2004 | 504 (V) | ± 4% | 39% | 10% | 51% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Russ Feingold (incumbent) | 1,632,697 | 55.35% | |
Republican | Tim Michels | 1,301,183 | 44.11% | |
Libertarian | Arif Khan | 8,367 | 0.28% | |
Independent | Eugene A. Hem | 6,662 | 0.23% | |
Write-in | 834 | 0.03% | ||
Total votes | 2,949,743 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Barron (largest city: Rice Lake)
- Brown (largest city: Green Bay)
- Burnett (largest village: Grantsburg)
- Clark (largest city: Neillsville)
- Kewaunee (largest city: Algoma)
- Langlade (largest city: Antigo)
- Manitowoc (largest city: Manitowoc)
- Marathon (largest city: Wausau)
- Monroe (largest city: Sparta)
- Oneida (largest city: Rhinelander)
- Outagamie (largest city: Appleton)
- Rusk (largest city: Ladysmith)
- Washburn (largest city: Spooner)
- Lafayette (largest city: Darlington)
- Pepin (largest city: Durand)
- Racine (largest city: Racine)
- Richland (largest city: Richland Center)
- Sawyer (largest city: Hayward)
- Winnebago (largest city: Oshkosh)
- Polk (Largest city: Amery)
- St. Croix (Largest city: Hudson)
- Taylor (Largest city: Medford)
- Door (largest city: Sturgeon Bay)
- Grant (largest city: Platteville)
- Juneau (largest city: Mauston)
- Wood (largest city: Marshfield)
- Chippewa (largest city: Chippewa Falls)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b "2004 SENATE RACES" (PDF). CBS News. Retrieved January 10, 2020.
- ^ a b "Archived copy". elections.state.wi.us. Archived from the original on May 14, 2005. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ a b "Our Campaigns - WI US Senate - R Primary Race - Sep 14, 2004".
- ^ "In Wisconsin, a Muslim Libertarian for Senate". The Pluralism Project. July 6, 2004. Retrieved January 10, 2020.
- ^ Thoreson, Bridget (October 27, 2004). "Incumbent Feingold faces competition in Senate race". Marquette Wire. Retrieved January 11, 2020.
- ^ "MICHELS TOUTS RURAL ROOTS IN JOINING GOP SENATE RACE.(FRONT) - The Capital Times | HighBeam Research". November 4, 2012. Archived from the original on November 4, 2012.
- ^ "Michels, Feingold already sparring". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. September 16, 2004. Archived from the original on April 28, 2016 – via news.google.com.
- ^ a b c Weigel, David (November 2005). "When Patriots Dissent". Reason. Retrieved November 13, 2021.
- ^ Masse, Ryan (October 15, 2004). "Republican committee pulls ads for Michels". The Badger Herald. Retrieved January 11, 2020.
- ^ Zielinski, Graeme (October 1, 2004). "Feingold holds big lead over Michels, poll says". nl.newsbank.com. Archived from the original on June 9, 2011.
- ^ Zielinski, Graeme (October 30, 2004). "Feingold, Michels each say campaign is going his way". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on May 13, 2016 – via news.google.com/.
- ^ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Zogby International
- ^ a b c d e Tarrance Group (R)
- ^ Zogby International
- ^ Zogby International
- ^ Zogby International
- ^ University of Wisconsin
- ^ Zogby International
- ^ Zogby International
- ^ Zogby International
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ St. Norbert College
- ^ Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV
- ^ Harris Interactive
- ^ University of Wisconsin
- ^ ABC News
- ^ a b c d University of Wisconsin
- ^ "2004 Fall General Election results" (PDF). Wisconsin Government Accountability Board. November 2, 2004. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 13, 2015. Retrieved March 30, 2015.
External links
[edit]Debates
- Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate on C-SPAN, October 1, 2004
- Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate on C-SPAN, October 16, 2004
- Wisconsin Senate General Election Debate on C-SPAN, October 22, 2004
Official campaign websites (archived)
Democrats
Republicans