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* [[Rand Paul]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Kentucky]] (2011–present), candidate for president in [[Rand Paul 2016 presidential campaign|2016]]<ref>{{cite web|last1=Lizza|first1=Ryan|last2=Bade|first2=Rachael|last3=Daniels|first3=Eugene|title=Politico Playbook. Breaking: Sinema Leaves The Democratic Party |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2022/12/09/breaking-sinema-leaves-the-democratic-party-00073226|website=[[Politico]]|date=December 9, 2022|access-date=April 12, 2023 |language=en |archive-date=January 31, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230131114754/https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2022/12/09/breaking-sinema-leaves-the-democratic-party-00073226|url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=May|first=Adam|title=Senator Paul supports spending reform, not likely to run for president in '24|url=https://whopam.com/2023/02/02/185524/ |access-date=February 16, 2023 |website=WHOP 1230 AM {{!}} News Radio |language=en |date=February 2, 2023 |archive-date=February 2, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230202153023/https://whopam.com/2023/02/02/185524/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
* [[Rand Paul]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Kentucky]] (2011–present), candidate for president in [[Rand Paul 2016 presidential campaign|2016]]<ref>{{cite web|last1=Lizza|first1=Ryan|last2=Bade|first2=Rachael|last3=Daniels|first3=Eugene|title=Politico Playbook. Breaking: Sinema Leaves The Democratic Party |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2022/12/09/breaking-sinema-leaves-the-democratic-party-00073226|website=[[Politico]]|date=December 9, 2022|access-date=April 12, 2023 |language=en |archive-date=January 31, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230131114754/https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2022/12/09/breaking-sinema-leaves-the-democratic-party-00073226|url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=May|first=Adam|title=Senator Paul supports spending reform, not likely to run for president in '24|url=https://whopam.com/2023/02/02/185524/ |access-date=February 16, 2023 |website=WHOP 1230 AM {{!}} News Radio |language=en |date=February 2, 2023 |archive-date=February 2, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230202153023/https://whopam.com/2023/02/02/185524/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
* [[Mike Pompeo]], 70th [[United States Secretary of State]] (2018–2021), 6th [[Director of the Central Intelligence Agency]] (2017–2018), [[United States Representative]] from [[Kansas's 4th congressional district|KS-04]] (2011–2017)<ref>{{cite web|last=Conradis |first=Brandon |date=April 14, 2023|title=Pompeo won't run for president in 2024|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3951500-pompeo-wont-run-for-president-in-2024/|access-date=April 14, 2023|website=The Hill|language=en-US |archive-date=April 14, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230414221832/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3951500-pompeo-wont-run-for-president-in-2024/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
* [[Mike Pompeo]], 70th [[United States Secretary of State]] (2018–2021), 6th [[Director of the Central Intelligence Agency]] (2017–2018), [[United States Representative]] from [[Kansas's 4th congressional district|KS-04]] (2011–2017)<ref>{{cite web|last=Conradis |first=Brandon |date=April 14, 2023|title=Pompeo won't run for president in 2024|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3951500-pompeo-wont-run-for-president-in-2024/|access-date=April 14, 2023|website=The Hill|language=en-US |archive-date=April 14, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230414221832/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3951500-pompeo-wont-run-for-president-in-2024/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
* [[Mike Rogers (Michigan politician)|Mike Rogers]], [[United States Representative|U.S. Representative]] from [[Michigan's 8th congressional district|MI-08]] (2001–2015), [[Michigan Senate|Michigan State Senator]] from [[Michigan's 26th Senate district|District 26]] (1995–2001) ''([[2024 United States Senate election in Michigan|running for U.S. Senate]])''<ref>{{cite web |date=March 30, 2023 |title=Former Rep. Mike Rogers on a possible 2024 presidential bid|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/video/former-congressman-mike-rogers-on-possible-2024-presidential-bid/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230331012905/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/former-congressman-mike-rogers-on-possible-2024-presidential-bid/ |archive-date=March 31, 2023 |access-date=March 30, 2023 |work=CBS News}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Cappelletti |first=Joey |last2=Burnett |first2=Sara |date=August 29, 2023 |title=Former Republican Congressman Mike Rogers Expected to Run for U.S. Senate in Michigan, AP Sources Say |url=https://apnews.com/article/michigan-senate-mike-rogers-elissa-slotkin-4090100478bd1f84813e96a94e83cceb |access-date=August 29, 2023|website=[[The Associated Press]] |language=en}}</ref>
* [[Mike Rogers (Michigan politician)|Mike Rogers]], [[United States Representative|U.S. Representative]] from [[Michigan's 8th congressional district|MI-08]] (2001–2015), [[Michigan Senate|Michigan State Senator]] from [[Michigan's 26th Senate district|District 26]] (1995–2001) ''([[2024 United States Senate election in Michigan|running for U.S. Senate]])''<ref>{{cite web |date=March 30, 2023 |title=Former Rep. Mike Rogers on a possible 2024 presidential bid|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/video/former-congressman-mike-rogers-on-possible-2024-presidential-bid/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230331012905/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/former-congressman-mike-rogers-on-possible-2024-presidential-bid/ |archive-date=March 31, 2023 |access-date=March 30, 2023 |work=CBS News}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Mutnick |first=Ally|date=September 6, 2023|title=Former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers jumps into Michigan Senate race |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/06/former-gop-rep-mike-rogers-jumps-into-michigan-senate-race-00114151 |access-date=September 6, 2023|website=[[Politico]] |language=en}}</ref>
* [[Mitt Romney]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Utah]] (2019–present), 70th [[Governor of Massachusetts]] (2003–2007), nominee for president in [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]] and candidate in [[2008 United States presidential election|2008]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.deseret.com/2022/3/10/22970330/perspective-romney-2024-the-third-times-a-charm-mitt-romney-for-president|title=Perspective: Romney 2024 — The Third Time's A Charm?|date=March 10, 2022|author=Soave, Robby|work=Deseret|access-date=March 13, 2022|archive-date=March 13, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220313004857/https://www.deseret.com/2022/3/10/22970330/perspective-romney-2024-the-third-times-a-charm-mitt-romney-for-president|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/mitt-romney-president-2024-not_n_6269f8c6e4b050c90f3bd844|title=Mitt Romney For President In 2024? 'Not Going To Happen,' He Says.|date=April 28, 2022|author=Bobic, Igor|work=HuffPost|access-date=May 1, 2022|archive-date=May 3, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220503190415/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/mitt-romney-president-2024-not_n_6269f8c6e4b050c90f3bd844|url-status=live}}</ref>
* [[Mitt Romney]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Utah]] (2019–present), 70th [[Governor of Massachusetts]] (2003–2007), nominee for president in [[2012 United States presidential election|2012]] and candidate in [[2008 United States presidential election|2008]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.deseret.com/2022/3/10/22970330/perspective-romney-2024-the-third-times-a-charm-mitt-romney-for-president|title=Perspective: Romney 2024 — The Third Time's A Charm?|date=March 10, 2022|author=Soave, Robby|work=Deseret|access-date=March 13, 2022|archive-date=March 13, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220313004857/https://www.deseret.com/2022/3/10/22970330/perspective-romney-2024-the-third-times-a-charm-mitt-romney-for-president|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/mitt-romney-president-2024-not_n_6269f8c6e4b050c90f3bd844|title=Mitt Romney For President In 2024? 'Not Going To Happen,' He Says.|date=April 28, 2022|author=Bobic, Igor|work=HuffPost|access-date=May 1, 2022|archive-date=May 3, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220503190415/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/mitt-romney-president-2024-not_n_6269f8c6e4b050c90f3bd844|url-status=live}}</ref>
* [[Marco Rubio]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Florida]] (2011–present), 94th [[Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives]] (2006–2008) from the 111th district (2000–2008), member of the [[West Miami, Florida|West Miami City Commission]] (1998–2000), candidate for president in [[Marco Rubio 2016 presidential campaign|2016]]<ref>{{cite web|author=Weaver, Al |date=November 30, 2022|title=Rubio stokes 2024 chatter with planned book release|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3757352-rubio-stokes-2024-chatter-with-planned-book-release/|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230424040754/https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3757352-rubio-stokes-2024-chatter-with-planned-book-release/|archive-date=April 24, 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2022 |work=The Hill}}</ref><ref name="nyt1">{{cite news|last1=Epstein |first1=Reid J. |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie|date=March 14, 2023|title=M.I.A. in 2024: The Republicans Trump Vanquished in 2016 |language=en-US |work=[[The New York Times]] |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/14/us/politics/trump-opponents.html |url-status=live |access-date=April 15, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230401125508/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/14/us/politics/trump-opponents.html |archive-date=April 1, 2023 |issn=0362-4331}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title='Timing is everything': Marco Rubio slams door on 2024 run |url=https://floridapolitics.com/archives/595174-rubio-timing/ |access-date=April 27, 2023 |publisher=Florida Politics|author=Gancarski, A.G.|date=March 14, 2023}}</ref>
* [[Marco Rubio]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Florida]] (2011–present), 94th [[Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives]] (2006–2008) from the 111th district (2000–2008), member of the [[West Miami, Florida|West Miami City Commission]] (1998–2000), candidate for president in [[Marco Rubio 2016 presidential campaign|2016]]<ref>{{cite web|author=Weaver, Al |date=November 30, 2022|title=Rubio stokes 2024 chatter with planned book release|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3757352-rubio-stokes-2024-chatter-with-planned-book-release/|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230424040754/https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3757352-rubio-stokes-2024-chatter-with-planned-book-release/|archive-date=April 24, 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2022 |work=The Hill}}</ref><ref name="nyt1">{{cite news|last1=Epstein |first1=Reid J. |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie|date=March 14, 2023|title=M.I.A. in 2024: The Republicans Trump Vanquished in 2016 |language=en-US |work=[[The New York Times]] |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/14/us/politics/trump-opponents.html |url-status=live |access-date=April 15, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230401125508/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/14/us/politics/trump-opponents.html |archive-date=April 1, 2023 |issn=0362-4331}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title='Timing is everything': Marco Rubio slams door on 2024 run |url=https://floridapolitics.com/archives/595174-rubio-timing/ |access-date=April 27, 2023 |publisher=Florida Politics|author=Gancarski, A.G.|date=March 14, 2023}}</ref>

Revision as of 03:23, 7 September 2023

2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

← 2020 January 15 to June 11, 2024[1] 2028 →

2,467 delegates (2,392 pledged and 75 unpledged) to the Republican National Convention[2][a]
1,234[2] votes needed to win
Opinion polls

2024 California Republican presidential primary2024 Oregon Republican presidential primary2024 Washington Republican presidential primary2024 Idaho Republican presidential caucuses2024 Nevada Republican presidential nominating contests2024 Utah Republican presidential caucuses2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary2024 Montana Republican presidential primary2024 Wyoming Republican presidential primary2024 Colorado Republican presidential primary2024 New Mexico Republican presidential primary2024 North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses2024 South Dakota Republican presidential primary2024 Nebraska Republican presidential primary2024 Kansas Republican presidential primary2024 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary2024 Texas Republican presidential primary2024 Minnesota Republican presidential primary2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses2024 Missouri Republican presidential caucuses2024 Arkansas Republican presidential primary2024 Louisiana Republican presidential primary2024 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary2024 Illinois Republican presidential primary2024 Michigan Republican presidential nominating contests2024 Indiana Republican presidential primary2024 Ohio Republican presidential primary2024 Kentucky Republican presidential caucuses2024 Tennessee Republican presidential primary2024 Mississippi Republican presidential primary2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary2024 Georgia Republican presidential primary2024 Florida Republican presidential primary2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary2024 Virginia Republican presidential primary2024 West Virginia Republican presidential primary2024 District of Columbia Republican presidential primary2024 Maryland Republican presidential primary2024 Delaware Republican presidential primary2024 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary2024 New York Republican presidential primary2024 Connecticut Republican presidential primary2024 Rhode Island Republican presidential primary2024 Vermont Republican presidential primary2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary2024 Maine Republican presidential primary2024 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary2024 Alaska Republican presidential caucuses2024 Hawaii Republican presidential caucuses2024 Puerto Rico Republican presidential primary2024 United States Virgin Islands Republican presidential caucuses2024 Northern Mariana Islands Republican presidential caucuses2024 American Samoa Republican presidential caucuses2024 Guam Republican presidential caucuses
First place by first-instance vote

Previous Republican nominee

Donald Trump



Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by state Republican parties and legislatures to select their delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention, to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The elections will take place individually in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories, between January and June 2024. The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled to be held in July at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.[3]

Former President Donald Trump initiated his run for president on November 15, 2022, a week after the 2022 midterm elections and two years ahead of the 2024 election. Former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley became the first to follow him on February 14, followed by wealth management executive Vivek Ramaswamy one week later, businessman Perry Johnson on March 2, former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson on April 6, radio host Larry Elder on April 20, businessman Ryan Binkley on April 23, U.S. Senator Tim Scott on May 19, Florida governor Ron DeSantis on May 24, former Vice President Mike Pence on June 5, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie on June 6, North Dakota governor Doug Burgum on June 7, Miami mayor Francis Suarez on June 14, and former U.S. Representative Will Hurd on June 22.

Trump is considered the frontrunner, and has maintained a consistent lead in primary polling since 2020. Some Republicans have expressed concerns about his nomination due to his loss in 2020, ongoing criminal investigations, and the results of the 2022 midterms, when several Trump-endorsed candidates lost key races.[4] However, many others have supported him and decried the investigations as politically motivated.[5] Among non-Trump candidates, DeSantis initially polled in a close second behind Trump,[6] but his polling numbers fell significantly in 2023, bringing him closer to the other candidates.[7] Ramaswamy experienced a surge in polling during the same time period, and he has begun to outpace DeSantis in some polls.[8] However, Trump remains far ahead. The Republican primary has been called a "race for second" due to Trump's consistent and prohibitive lead in polling.[9]

Trump is the first president to run after leaving office since Herbert Hoover in 1940; if he wins the Republican nomination, he will be the first Republican to be nominated for president three separate times since Richard Nixon (Republican nominee in 1960, 1968, and 1972), and the first person to be the Republican presidential nominee in three consecutive elections. If he wins the general election, he will be the first president to serve non-consecutive terms since Grover Cleveland, who won his second term in 1892.[10] Meanwhile, Pence's candidacy makes him the first vice president to run against the president under whom they served since John Nance Garner in 1940,[11] while Burgum is the first person born in North Dakota to run for a major party's presidential nomination.[12]

Candidates

As of September 2023, more than 290 candidates have filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for the Republican nomination in 2024.[13] In previous cycles, the vast majority of these have been minor candidates who did not appear on any ballots, raise money, or otherwise attempt to formally run a campaign.[13][14]

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); has been included in at least five national polls.

Declared major candidates for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
Announcement date
Ref.

Ryan Binkley
November 19, 1967
(age 56)
Columbus, Georgia
Co-founder and CEO of Generational Equity Group
(2006–present)
Co-founder and lead pastor of Create Church
Texas

Campaign
April 23, 2023
FEC filing[15]
[16]

Doug Burgum
August 1, 1956
(age 67)
Arthur, North Dakota
Governor of North Dakota
(2016–present)
Senior Vice President of Microsoft Business Solutions Group
(2002–2007)
President of Great Plains Software
(1984–2001)
North Dakota
File:Doug Burgum for America logo.png
Campaign
June 7, 2023
FEC filing[17]
[18]

Chris Christie
September 6, 1962
(age 61)
Newark, New Jersey
Governor of New Jersey
(2010–2018)
Candidate for president
(2016)
U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey
(2002–2008)
New Jersey

Campaign
June 6, 2023
FEC filing[19]
[20]

Ron DeSantis
September 14, 1978
(age 45)
Jacksonville, Florida
Governor of Florida
(2019–present)
U.S. Representative from FL-06
(2013–2018)
Florida

Campaign
May 24, 2023
FEC filing[21]
[22]

Larry Elder
April 27, 1952
(age 72)
Los Angeles, California
Host of The Larry Elder Show
(1993–2022)
Candidate for Governor of California in the 2021 recall election
California

Campaign
April 20, 2023
FEC filing[23]
[24]
File:Nikki Haley 2020 Portrait Cropped (cropped).jpg
Nikki Haley
January 20, 1972
(age 52)
Bamberg, South Carolina
Ambassador to the United Nations
(2017–2018)
Governor of South Carolina
(2011–2017)
South Carolina State Representative
(2005–2011)
South Carolina

Campaign
February 14, 2023
FEC filing[25]
[26]

Will Hurd
August 19, 1977
(age 46)
San Antonio, Texas
U.S. Representative from TX-23
(2015–2021)
Texas

Campaign
June 22, 2023
FEC filing[27]
[28]

Asa Hutchinson
December 3, 1950
(age 73)
Bentonville, Arkansas
Governor of Arkansas
(2015–2023)
Under Secretary of Homeland Security
(2003–2005)
Administrator of the Drug Enforcement Administration
(2001–2003)
Arkansas

Campaign
April 6, 2023
FEC filing[29]
[30]

Perry Johnson
January 23, 1948
(age 76)
Dolton, Illinois
Founder of Perry Johnson Registrars, Inc.
(1994–present)
Disqualified candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022
Michigan

Campaign
March 2, 2023
FEC filing[31]
[32]

Mike Pence
June 7, 1959
(age 65)
Columbus, Indiana
Vice President of the United States
(2017–2021)
Governor of Indiana
(2013–2017)
U.S. Representative from IN-06
(2003–2013)
U.S. Representative from IN-02
(2001–2003)
Indiana

Campaign
June 5, 2023
FEC filing[33]
[34]

Vivek Ramaswamy
August 9, 1985
(age 38)
Cincinnati, Ohio
Executive chairman of Strive Asset Management
(2022–present)
CEO of Roivant Sciences
(2014–2021)
Ohio

Campaign
February 21, 2023
FEC filing[35]
[36]

Tim Scott
September 19, 1965
(age 58)
North Charleston, South Carolina
U.S. Senator from South Carolina
(2013–present)
U.S. Representative from SC-01
(2011–2013)
South Carolina State Representative
(2009–2011)
South Carolina

Campaign
May 19, 2023
FEC filing[37]
[38]

Donald Trump
June 14, 1946
(age 78)
Queens, New York
President of the United States
(2017–2021)
Chairman of The Trump Organization
(1971–2017)
Florida[b]

Campaign
November 15, 2022
FEC filing[39][40]
[41]

Other declared candidates

The candidates in this section are otherwise notable, but have not met the criteria outlined above.

Withdrew before the primaries

The candidates in this section have suspended their campaigns, or have otherwise ceased campaigning and ended their bids for the nomination before any primary contests were held.

Withdrawn major candidates for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
announced
Campaign
suspended
Campaign Ref.

Francis Suarez
October 6, 1977
(age 46)
Miami, Florida
Mayor of Miami
(2017–present)
Member of the Miami City Commission
(2009–2017)
Florida
June 14, 2023 August 29, 2023
Campaign
FEC filing[46]
[47][48]


Publicly expressed interest

As of September 2023, the following notable individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Potential candidates

As of September 2023, there has been speculation about the potential candidacy of the following notable individuals within the previous six months.

Declined to be candidates

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy but have publicly denied interest in running.

Vice presidential speculation

Timeline

2022

November 2022

A week after the 2022 midterm elections, at Mar-a-Lago, former president Donald Trump announced that he would run again for the presidency in 2024. If elected, he would become the only president other than Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms.[98]

2023

February 2023

On February 14, former South Carolina governor and former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley released a video announcing her presidential candidacy.[99]

On February 21, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy announced his presidential candidacy on Tucker Carlson Tonight.[100]

March 2023

On March 2, businessman Perry Johnson, a Michigan gubernatorial candidate in 2022, who had been deemed ineligible to appear on the primary ballot by the Board of State Canvassers due to alleged fraudulent signatures, announced his intent to run for president of the United States.[32]

April 2023

On April 1, businessman and pastor Ryan Binkley filed to run with the Federal Election Commission.[101]

On April 2, former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson announced his candidacy during an interview with ABC News' Jonathan Karl.[102]

On April 6, Hutchinson filed to run with the Federal Election Commission.[29]

On April 12, the junior U.S. Senator from South Carolina Tim Scott announced an exploratory committee to run for president.[103]

On April 20, former California gubernatorial candidate Larry Elder announced his campaign on Tucker Carlson Tonight.[104]

On April 23, Binkley announced his presidential campaign at the University of Texas at Dallas campus[105]

May 2023

On May 19, Tim Scott submitted FEC paperwork to run;[106] he announced his presidential run publicly on May 22.[107]

On May 24, Florida governor and former U.S. representative Ron DeSantis submitted his FEC paperwork to run,[108] and announced that he was running for president during a Twitter Spaces interview with Twitter owner Elon Musk.[109]

June 2023

On June 5, former Vice President Mike Pence filed paperwork to run for president[110] and North Dakota governor Doug Burgum released a campaign video.[111]

On June 6, Burgum published an announcement opinion-editorial piece announcing his presidential run in the Wall Street Journal,[112] making him the first person born in North Dakota to seek a major party's president nomination.[12][c] The same day, former New Jersey governor and 2016 presidential candidate Chris Christie publicly announced a presidential campaign in New Hampshire.[114]

On June 7, Pence publicly announced his bid with a campaign video.[115] Also, Burgum delivered a public announcement speech in Fargo.[116]

On June 14, Miami mayor Francis Suarez filed his run with the Federal Election Commission. He delivered a speech the next day at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library to publicly announce his campaign, as four other Republicans in the race had done in the last year.[117][118][119][120][121]

On June 22, former CIA agent and representative of Texas Will Hurd launched a run, after previously expressing interest in launching a presidential bid.[122]

August 2023

On August 1, Donald Trump was indicted a third time for trying to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.[citation needed]

On August 14, Donald Trump was indicted a fourth time for trying to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in the state of Georgia.[citation needed]

Trump said he would not attend the first debate, and instead planned a show with Tucker Carlson during the same time slot.[123]

On August 21, the slate of candidates that officially qualified for the debate was released: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.[124]

On August 23, the first Republican candidates debate took place in Milwaukee, broadcast by Fox News and moderated by Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum.[125] To be eligible for this debate, a candidate must have polled with at least 1% of voter support, received donations from 40,000 individuals, and signed a loyalty pledge to back whoever ultimately wins the party presidential nomination.[126] Candidates deemed eligible for the debate were Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, and Donald Trump. Trump did not participate in the debate, instead filming an interview with Tucker Carlson that was released minutes before the debate was scheduled to begin.

On August 29, Francis Suarez suspended his presidential campaign, becoming the first candidate to do so.[127]

September 2023

On September 27, the second Republican presidential debate will take place at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California.[128]

2024

January 2024

On January 15, the first election of the cycle takes place with the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses, followed by the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary.

Overview

Francis Suarez 2024 presidential campaignDonald Trump 2024 presidential campaignTim Scott 2024 presidential campaignVivek Ramaswamy 2024 presidential campaignMike Pence 2024 presidential campaignPerry Johnson 2024 presidential campaignAsa Hutchinson 2024 presidential campaignWill Hurd 2024 presidential campaignNikki Haley 2024 presidential campaignLarry Elder 2024 presidential campaignRon DeSantis 2024 presidential campaignChris Christie 2024 presidential campaignDoug Burgum 2024 presidential campaign
Active campaign Exploratory committee Withdrawn candidate Republican National Convention
Midterm elections Debates Primaries

Background

Despite losing his re-election bid in 2020, Trump remains the main front-runner of the GOP and endorsed challengers to several House members who had voted to impeach him, as well as pushing several candidates through for open races. These candidates had a lackluster performance resulting in the Republicans taking control of the house with only a small majority and causing a dip in Trump's popularity within the party. Many Republicans cited Trump endorsing low-quality candidates as the reason for their slim majority.[129] At the same time Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, won nearly 60% of the vote in a landslide victory in his gubernatorial re-election.[130]

Even before DeSantis announced his presidential run, media coverage consistently portrayed him as Trump's main rival.[131][132] DeSantis rose in GOP aggregate polls throughout 2022, eventually reaching 11 points behind Trump. Since the beginning of the year, Trump has resurged and DeSantis has fallen behind. This has been fueled by sentiments against an indictment of Trump on March 30. National polling against incumbent president Biden shows nearly the exact result regardless of which is the GOP nominee, but because of DeSantis' prominence being more recent, more GOP voters are undecided on him than Trump.[133][134][135][136] In March 2023, Trump attacked DeSantis with nicknames like "Meatball Ron" and "Ron DeSanctimonious".[137]

Trump received his first indictment on March 30[138] and was arrested on April 4.[139] On April 25, Trump suggested he would skip Republican debates, saying he did not want to be "libeled and abused" in them and boasting that he already had a "seemingly insurmountable" lead.[140] On May 10, Trump conducted a live town hall with CNN, his first time with a major network other than Fox News since storming off an interview with 60 Minutes in October 2020.[141]

Trump's poll numbers surged immediately after the New York State indictment was announced. A Yahoo News poll shows that in a Republican primary, 57% of respondents would vote for Trump.[142] In a NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist College poll, 80% of Republicans surveyed said Trump was being unfairly targeted.[143]

In July, Trump's jury trial over possession of classified documents was scheduled for 10 months later, for between May 20 and July 3, which will be at the end of the primary season, but prior to the Republican convention and presidential election. The 37 counts carry possible sentences of jail time; however, this would not interfere with ballot access.[144]

Debates

The first Republican National Debate was held on August 23, hosted by Fox News and moderated by Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum.[125] To be eligible for the debate, a candidate must have polled with at least 1% of voter support, received donations from 40,000 individuals, and signed a loyalty pledge to back whoever ultimately wins the party presidential nomination.[126] The candidates that qualified for the debate where: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, and Donald Trump. However, Donald Trump declined to attend, instead giving an interview with Tucker Carlson during the same time slot.[145]

The second Republican National Debate is scheduled for September 27, 2023, in Simi Valley, California at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library. The requirements are similar to the first debate, but increase the number of individual donors required to 50,000 and require the candidates to poll at or above three percent in two national polls or in one national poll and two "early state" polls.[146]

Endorsements

Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire Senate.
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (1)
  Endorsed Donald Trump (1)
  No endorsement (11)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (51)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (26) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy (7) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (3)
  Endorsed Larry Elder (1) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (110)
  Non-Republicans (202)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (61)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (4)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (2) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (17)
  Non-Republicans (36)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina Senate.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (7)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (5)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (13)
  Non-Republicans (16)

Opinion polling

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since January 2023.

Campaign finance

This is an overview of the money used by each campaign as it is reported to the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Totals raised include individual contributions, loans from the candidate, and transfers from other campaign committees. Individual contributions are itemized (catalogued) by the FEC when the total value of contributions by an individual comes to more than $200. The last column, Cash On Hand (COH), shows the remaining cash each campaign had available for its future spending as of June 30, 2023. Campaign finance reports for the third quarter of 2023 will become available October 15.[147]

This table does not include contributions made to Super PACs or party committees supporting the candidate.

Overview of campaign financing for candidates in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries through June 30, 2023
Candidate Total raised Total raised
since last quarter
Individual contributions Debt Spent Spent since
last quarter
COH
Total Unitemized Pct
Binkley[148] $2,095,426 $192,775 $42,067 21.8% $1,904,347 $1,484,347 $611,079
Burgum[149] $11,768,301 $1,582,348 $184,152 11.6% $10,377,842 $8,114,362 $3,653,939
Christie[150] $1,656,386 $1,647,980 $570,905 34.6% $0 $66,212 $1,590,173
DeSantis[151] $20,487,494 $20,102,668 $3,061,975 15.2% $11,358 $8,247,371 $12,240,123
Elder[152] $467,531 $453,331 $138,304 30.5% $0 $142,914 $324,617
Haley[153] $10,468,903 $5,343,472 $7,610,990 $1,668,571 21.9% $0 $3,655,370 $2,599,489 $6,813,533
Hurd[154] $273,513 $270,075 $54,155 20.1% $0 $28,394 $245,118
Hutchinson[155] $582,521 $497,200 $80,375 16.2% $0 $203,844 $378,678
Johnson[156] $7,010,764 $3,247,369 $61,269 $0 0% $6,615,658 $6,735,111 $5,008,191 $275,653
Pence[157] $1,168,733 $1,160,433 $346,885 29.9% $0 $74,343 $1,094,390
Ramaswamy[158] $19,164,680 $7,758,468 $3,156,362 $1,645,444 52.1% $15,250,000 $10,134,041 $8,095,117 $9,030,639
Scott[159] $7,580,799 $6,499,948 $1,809,769 27.8% $23,310 $8,252,352 $21,106,870[d]
Suarez[160] $945,451 $28,788 3.0% $106,513 $46,600 $898,850
Trump[161] $35,987,476 $17,714,573 $90,906 $24,093 26.5% $48,453 $13,471,085 $9,130,130 $22,516,391

Primaries and caucus calendar

Caucuses and primaries in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Date[162] Total
delegates
Primaries/caucuses
January 15 40 Iowa caucus
January (TBD) 22 New Hampshire primary
February 6 - Nevada primary[e]
February 8 26 Nevada caucus
February 24 50 South Carolina primary
February 27 55 Michigan primary
March 2 32 Idaho caucus
March 3 19 District of Columbia primary
March 5
(Super Tuesday)
865 49
28
40
169
37
20
40
39
75
43
58
162
40
17
48
Alabama primary
Alaska primary
Arkansas primary
California primary
Colorado primary
Maine primary
Massachusetts primary
Minnesota primary
North Carolina primary
Oklahoma primary
Tennessee primary
Texas primary
Utah primary
Vermont primary
Virginia primary
March 12 141 59
39
43
Georgia primary
Mississippi primary
Washington primary
March 19 349 43
125
64
39
78
Arizona primary
Florida primary
Illinois primary
Kansas primary
Ohio primary

Timing

GOP rules mandate that changes to all contest dates must occur by September 2023, and there appears to be a trend of contests being scheduled earlier than usual.[163] They also specify that all must occur between March and June 11, 2024 – except for Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina – which are allowed to hold contests in February. Iowa, however, chose to hold its caucus the earliest in over a decade, on a federal holiday – January 15 – as the rules are not legally binding. New Hampshire is expected in late January, a result of state law requiring it to be held at least a week prior to other primaries. Nevada is expected on February 6, with South Carolina on February 24 and Michigan on February 27. The bulk of contests will be concentrated in March, as in previous presidential primaries.[164]

Nevada controversy

After the 2020 presidential election, the state of Nevada moved to establish a presidential primary for both parties. Previously, party-organized caucuses were used in Nevada to determine delegates in presidential elections.

In May 2023, the Nevada Republican Party sued the state of Nevada in an effort to continue the use of caucuses as the means to determine its delegate allocation. It was stated in a court filing from the Nevada Attorney General's office that the Nevada Republican Party was allowed to choose between a primary or caucus, since the primary is non-binding and because state law does not mandate specific rules governing how political parties are to choose its candidate for president.[165]

On August 14, 2023, the Nevada Republican Party announced it would hold its caucuses on February 8 with the February 6 state primary being non-binding.[166]

Michigan controversy

The Michigan primary will take place 2 weeks early, on February 27, 2024 – if its legislature adjourns as expected a month early by November 29, 2023. Michigan legislature laws not passed with a supermajority go into effect 90 days after the adjournment of its session.[167]

The Michigan primaries were originally scheduled to be held in March and thus in accordance with Republican rules, but Democrats (who are in control of the Michigan legislature and governorship after the 2022 midterm elections) decided to move up both primaries as part of their own 2024 presidential delegate selection plan. As a result, the earlier date of February 27 violates Republican rules – which state that only Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina can vote earlier than March 1, 2024.

Michigan Republicans are facing a harsh penalty of up to 90% of their delegates being stripped, if they go forward with their earlier primary. Republicans in Michigan have criticized Democrats in Michigan for their unilateral move and are considering boycotting the earlier primary and instead are considering a party-run caucus later in March.[168]

Delegates

There will be an estimated total of 2,467 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention. In contests until March 15, delegates must be awarded on a proportional basis, either by percentage of statewide vote or share of congressional districts won. However, some states have established thresholds between 4 and 20% for proportionality to kick in, under which a candidate receives no delegates. A vast majority, 41 contests totaling 1,920 delegates, operate this way using methods that are hybrid between proportionality and majority-take-all. New York for example has a 20% threshold for proportionality but if a candidate wins a majority, they take all delegates. North Dakota, Wyoming, American Samoa, Guam, Virgin Islands, and 51 of Pennsylvania's 67 delegates are unpledged (free to vote for anyone at the convention), totaling 119. Florida, New Jersey, Ohio, Colorado, Arizona, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Montana's delegates are strictly awarded on a plurality-take-all basis, totaling 428. It will be possible for a candidate to take all 928 delegates of 19 contests by simply winning a threshold of votes. By Super Tuesday, over 40% of delegates will have been awarded, and most by March 19. GOP rules mandate changes to delegate allocation methods happen by September 30. The primaries will conclude with a final vote on the nominee by a majority of delegates at the newly elected Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, which will be held July 15–18.[169][170]

Candidate filing deadlines

As of August 2023, at least 20 states have announced their filing deadlines for presidential candidates seeking the nomination of their party in order to appear on the state's ballots. Between September 1 and October 15, 2023, Nevada has the nation's first filing window and deadline for its February 8, 2024, presidential caucus. 13 additional states, including populous California and Texas, have filing deadlines by December 22, 2023.[171]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ This delegate count is accurate as of July 2024. Delegate counts are subject to change based on the number of Republicans elected to the state legislatures, governorships, U.S. House, and U.S. Senate through December 31, 2023.
  2. ^ Trump's original state of residence was New York, but that changed when he moved to Mar-a-Lago in 2019.
  3. ^ The first North Dakotan to run for president was U.S. Representative William Lemke who ran as the Union Party's nominee in 1936, but Lemke was not born in the state. The first person born in the state to run for president was Gary Johnson who ran as the Libertarian Party's nominee in 2012 and 2016; Johnson briefly sought the Republican nomination in 2012.[113]
  4. ^ Scott's principal campaign committee, Tim Scott for America, was also used for his earlier congressional campaigns. Much of the cash the campaign has on hand, therefore, is left over from those previous candidacies.
  5. ^ The state-organized primary will be boycotted by the Nevada Republican Party and its results ignored in favor of the party-organized caucus two days later.

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