Post-election pendulum for the 2015 New South Wales state election: Difference between revisions
Appearance
Content deleted Content added
Artie Reeder (talk | contribs) m Correcting the two candidate preferred margins for Murray and Tamworth. |
Artie Reeder (talk | contribs) m Correcting the two candidate preferred margins for Davidson, Manly, North Shore, Pittwater, Vaucluse, and Willoughby. |
||
Line 219: | Line 219: | ||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
||
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |20.9% |
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |20.9% |
||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |[[Electoral district of Orange|Orange]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |[[Electoral district of Orange|Orange]] |
||
Line 229: | Line 234: | ||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
||
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |21.8% |
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |21.8% |
||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |[[Electoral district of Murray (New South Wales)|Murray]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |[[Electoral district of Murray (New South Wales)|Murray]] |
||
Line 239: | Line 239: | ||
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |NAT |
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |NAT |
||
| align="center" bgcolor="40C351" |22.7% v IND |
| align="center" bgcolor="40C351" |22.7% v IND |
||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Ku-ring-gai|Ku-ring-gai]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Ku-ring-gai|Ku-ring-gai]] |
||
Line 248: | Line 253: | ||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Gladys Berejiklian]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Gladys Berejiklian]] |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
||
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" | |
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |24.4% v GRN |
||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Wakehurst|Wakehurst]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Wakehurst|Wakehurst]] |
||
Line 255: | Line 265: | ||
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |25.2% |
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |25.2% |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Pittwater|Pittwater]] |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[ |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Rob Stokes]] |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
||
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |25. |
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |25.7% v GRN |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |[[Electoral district of Northern Tablelands|Northern Tablelands]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |[[Electoral district of Northern Tablelands|Northern Tablelands]] |
||
Line 264: | Line 274: | ||
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |NAT |
| align="left" bgcolor="40C351" |NAT |
||
| align="center" bgcolor="40C351" |27.1% |
| align="center" bgcolor="40C351" |27.1% |
||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
⚫ | |||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Davidson|Davidson]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Davidson|Davidson]] |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Jonathan O'Dea]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Jonathan O'Dea]] |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |LIB |
||
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" | |
| align="center" bgcolor="44A6F1" |28.8% v GRN |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Castle Hill|Castle Hill]] |
| align="left" bgcolor="44A6F1" |[[Electoral district of Castle Hill|Castle Hill]] |
Revision as of 06:54, 13 August 2015
The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2015.[1]
"Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent.
All margins are Coalition vs. Labor unless specified otherwise.
References
- ^ Green, Antony. "New South Wales 2015 Pendulum". ABC Election Blog.