Jump to content

Opinion polling for the 2016 Croatian parliamentary election: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Content deleted Content added
i don't understand why you are ignoring facts? everything can be seen it the links provided, it is just statistics, maybe you don't understand it, but that is not my problem
removing fake polls/vandalism. adding actual polls by Promocija Plus.
Line 26: Line 26:
! style="background:{{Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
| style="background:{{Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color}}" width="40px" |
| style="background:{{Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color}}" width="40px" |
|-
| 22 May - 9 Jun
| [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/statisticki-centar/ Promocija plus]
| style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''38.3'''
| 30.5
| 8.1
| 9.3
| 2.9
| 1.0
| 1.9
| 8.0
| -
| style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 7.8
|-
| 22 May - 9 Jun
| [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/statisticki-centar/ Promocija plus]
| style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''33.6'''
| 26.9
| 7.1
| 8.2
| 2.6
| 0.9
| 1.6
| 7.0
| 12.1
| style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 6.7
|-
|-
| 4 Jun
| 4 Jun
Line 532: Line 506:
|align=center| 1
|align=center| 1
|-
|-
|}

===Polls of electoral ridings===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
|- style="height:42px; background-color:#E9E9E9"
! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| District
! style="width:100px;" rowspan="2"| Date(s) conducted
! style="width:120px;" rowspan="2"| Polling Firm
! [[Social Democratic Party of Croatia|<span style="font-size:95%;">SDP</span>]]
! [[Croatian Democratic Union|<span style="font-size:95%;">HDZ</span>]]
! [[Bridge of Independent Lists|<span style="font-size:95%;">Most</span>]]
! [[Human Shield (political party)|<span style="font-size:95%;">Živi zid</span>]]
! [[Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity|<span style="font-size:95%;">MB 365</span>]]
! [[Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats|<span style="font-size:95%;">HNS</span>]]
! [[Croatian Peasant Party|<span style="font-size:95%;">HSS</span>]]
! [[Croatian Social Liberal Party|<span style="font-size:95%;">HSLS</span>]]
! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| Others
! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| Undecided
! style="width:20px;" rowspan="2"| Lead
|-
! style="background:{{Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Human Blockade/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
|-
| I.
| Unspecified (published 9 Jun)
| [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/novosti/hrvatska/1948503/rtl-anketa-nase-ekskluzivno-istrazivanje-doslo-je-svome-kraju-provjerite-kako-bi-danas-izgledao-novi-saziv-sabora/ Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List]
| style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''35.9'''
| 20.3
| 8.7
| 7.2
| -
| 1.9
| -
| 1.6
| 10.5
| 14.1
| style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 15.6
|-
| II.
| Unspecified (published 8 Jun)
| [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/novosti/hrvatska/1948295/rtl-anketa-sdp-prelazi-u-vodstvo-pobjedom-u-ii-izbornoj-jedinici-od-bivsih-most-ovih-biraca-najvise-profitira-zivi-zid/ Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List]
| style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''28.8'''
| 21.1
| 6.6
| 8.0
| 4.4
| 2.6
| 4.8
| 1.0
| 6.4
| 16.1
| style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 7.7
|-
| VI.
| Unspecified (published 7 Jun)
| [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/novosti/hrvatska/1948047/rtl-anketa-sdp-odnosi-pobjedu-u-vi-izbornoj-jedinici-gotovo-70-posto-ispitanika-zeli-nove-izbore/ Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List]
| style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''31.1'''
| 24.1
| 7.4
| 9.2
| 4.9
| 2.0
| -
| -
| 9.9
| 11.5
| style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 7.0
|}
|}



Revision as of 23:23, 23 June 2016

Opinion polling for the next Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2015 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls and Promocija Plus.

Coalition standings

Date Polling Firm Croatia is Growing Patriotic Coalition Most Živi zid MB 365 ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
4 Jun CRO Demoskop 34.7 28.5 6.4 7.4 2.1 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 6.2
25 May Ipsos Puls 31.6 31.2 7.9 7.8 4.3 - 1.4 6.7 7.6 0.4
6 May CRO Demoskop 33.6 34.7 5.7 7.3 1.6 0.8 1.1 3.7 11.5 1.1
23 Apr Ipsos Puls 32.1 33.3 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.0 1.6 6.6 7.2 1.2
5 Apr CRO Demoskop 31.4 31.9 6.0 5.7 2.0 1.1 1.5 4.9 15.7 0.5
26 Mar Ipsos Puls 31.5 34.9 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.1 1.6 5.9 7.3 3.4
5 Mar CRO Demoskop 30.9 31.4 8.9 4.4 2.3 1.6 1.8 5.6 13.1 0.5
25 Feb Ipsos Puls 28.9 33.2 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 2.0 6.8 8.6 4.3
5 Feb CRO Demoskop 32.3 32.7 9.1 3.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 6.0 11.9 0.4
25 Jan Ipsos Puls 29.1 32.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 - 2.0 7.1 6.7 3.4
8 Jan CRO Demoskop 32.1 31.2 11.7 3.2 2.0 1.4 1.2 5.1 12.1 0.9
2016
23 Dec Ipsos Puls 29.2 33.8 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 5.3 5.7 4.6
4 Dec CRO Demoskop 30.3 29.4 15.4 3.3 2.3 1.8 1.8 4.9 10.7 0.9
25 Nov Ipsos Puls 30.2 29.6 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.6
8 Nov General Election 33.3 33.3 13.5 4.2 3.3 1.7 1.8 8.9 - 0.0

Party standings

Date(s) conducted Polling organization/client SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
1-3 Jun Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 30.5 26.3 6.4 7.4 2.1 3.1 2.8 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 4.2
1-21 May Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 29.1 28.7 7.9 7.8 4.3 1.5 1.4 - 1.4 10.4 7.5 0.4
2-5 May Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 29.2 29.5 5.7 7.3 1.6 3.1 2.8 0.8 1.1 7.4 11.5 0.3
1-21 Apr Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 28.6 29.0 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.6 11.1 7.2 1.2
1-4 Apr Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 29.0 29.8 6.3 5.7 1.4 2.3 2.7 1.3 1.2 7.5 12.8 0.8
1-21 Mar Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 28.0 30.2 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.6 10.6 7.3 2.2
1-3 Mar Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 28.2 29.3 8.6 4.0 1.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 1.3 8.3 13.8 1.1
1-21 Feb Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 26.2 28.9 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 1.7 1.5 2.0 10.6 8.6 2.7
1-3 Feb Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 28.8 30.0 10.0 3.1 1.4 2.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 6.8 13.5 1.2
1-21 Jan Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 26.6 28.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 1.5 1.9 - 2.0 16.8 6.7 1.9
4-6 Jan Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 29.6 29.3 12.6 3.0 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.2 6.6 10.1 0.3
2016
1-21 Dec Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 27.2 29.5 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 1.0 1.7 8.8 5.7 2.3
30 Nov-2 Dec Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 28.2 27.6 15.6 3.2 2.4 2.6 2.1 1.0 1.5 5.6 9.2 0.6
8-20 Nov Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 29.0 28.2 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.8

Seats projections

Date Polling Firm SDP HDZ Most Živi zid IDS HNS HDSSB MB 365 HSS
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
May-June 2016 Promocija plus 59 48 12 11 3 2 2 2 1

Polls of electoral ridings

District Date(s) conducted Polling Firm SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS HSLS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color; width:40px;"|
I. Unspecified (published 9 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 35.9 20.3 8.7 7.2 - 1.9 - 1.6 10.5 14.1 15.6
II. Unspecified (published 8 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 28.8 21.1 6.6 8.0 4.4 2.6 4.8 1.0 6.4 16.1 7.7
VI. Unspecified (published 7 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 31.1 24.1 7.4 9.2 4.9 2.0 - - 9.9 11.5 7.0

References