Opinion polling for the 2016 Croatian parliamentary election: Difference between revisions

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Opinion polling for the next Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2015 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls and Promocija Plus.

Coalition standings

Date(s) conducted	Polling organization/client	Sample size	Croatia is Growing	Patriotic Coalition	Most	Živi zid	MB 365	ORaH	IDS	Others	Undecided	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organization/client	Sample size	style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" \|	Others	Undecided	Lead
22 May - 9 Jun^{[dubious – discuss]}	Promocija plus ^[1]		38.3	30.5	8.1	9.3	2.9	1.0	1.9	8.0	-	7.8
22 May - 9 Jun^{[dubious – discuss]}	Promocija plus ^[1]		33.6	26.9	7.1	8.2	2.6	0.9	1.6	7.0	12.1	6.7
4 Jun	CRO Demoskop	1300	34.7	28.5	6.4	7.4	2.1	0.6	1.0	6.3	12.8	6.2
25 May	Ipsos Puls		31.6	31.2	7.9	7.8	4.3	-	1.4	6.7	7.6	0.4
6 May	CRO Demoskop	1300	33.6	34.7	5.7	7.3	1.6	0.8	1.1	3.7	11.5	1.1
23 Apr	Ipsos Puls		32.1	33.3	6.9	6.8	4.6	1.0	1.6	6.6	7.2	1.2
5 Apr	CRO Demoskop	1300	31.4	31.9	6.0	5.7	2.0	1.1	1.5	4.9	15.7	0.5
26 Mar	Ipsos Puls		31.5	34.9	7.6	6.3	3.7	1.1	1.6	5.9	7.3	3.4
5 Mar	CRO Demoskop	1300	30.9	31.4	8.9	4.4	2.3	1.6	1.8	5.6	13.1	0.5
25 Feb	Ipsos Puls		28.9	33.2	10.2	6.0	2.8	1.5	2.0	6.8	8.6	4.3
5 Feb	CRO Demoskop	1300	32.3	32.7	9.1	3.2	1.4	1.6	1.6	6.0	11.9	0.4
25 Jan	Ipsos Puls		29.1	32.5	14.5	4.0	4.2	-	2.0	7.1	6.7	3.4
8 Jan	CRO Demoskop	1300	32.1	31.2	11.7	3.2	2.0	1.4	1.2	5.1	12.1	0.9
2016
23 Dec	Ipsos Puls		29.2	33.8	15.5	4.4	3.5	1.0	1.7	5.3	5.7	4.6
30 Nov-2 Dec	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	1300	30.3	29.4	15.4	3.3	2.3	1.8	1.8	4.9	10.7	0.9
25 Nov	Ipsos Puls		30.2	29.6	19.1	3.8	2.3	1.2	1.7	6.1	6.0	0.6
8 Nov	General Election		33.3	33.3	13.5	4.2	3.3	1.7	1.8	8.9	-	0.0

Party standings

Date(s) conducted	Polling organization/client	SDP	HDZ	Most	Živi zid	MB 365	HNS	HSS	ORaH	IDS	Others	Undecided	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling organization/client	style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" \|	Others	Undecided	Lead
1-3 Jun	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	30.5	26.3	6.4	7.4	2.1	3.1	2.8	0.6	1.0	6.3	12.8	4.2
1-21 May	Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV	29.1	28.7	7.9	7.8	4.3	1.5	1.4	-	1.4	10.4	7.5	0.4
2-5 May	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	29.2	29.5	5.7	7.3	1.6	3.1	2.8	0.8	1.1	7.4	11.5	0.3
1-21 Apr	Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV	28.6	29.0	6.9	6.8	4.6	1.8	1.4	1.0	1.6	11.1	7.2	1.2
1-4 Apr	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	29.0	29.8	6.3	5.7	1.4	2.3	2.7	1.3	1.2	7.5	12.8	0.8
1-21 Mar	Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV	28.0	30.2	7.6	6.3	3.7	1.9	1.7	1.1	1.6	10.6	7.3	2.2
1-3 Mar	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	28.2	29.3	8.6	4.0	1.4	2.3	1.8	1.0	1.3	8.3	13.8	1.1
1-21 Feb	Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV	26.2	28.9	10.2	6.0	2.8	1.5	1.7	1.5	2.0	10.6	8.6	2.7
1-3 Feb	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	28.8	30.0	10.0	3.1	1.4	2.4	1.4	1.3	1.3	6.8	13.5	1.2
1-21 Jan	Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV	26.6	28.5	14.5	4.0	4.2	1.5	1.9	-	2.0	16.8	6.7	1.9
4-6 Jan	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	29.6	29.3	12.6	3.0	2.0	2.2	1.8	1.6	1.2	6.6	10.1	0.3
2016
1-21 Dec	Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV	27.2	29.5	15.5	4.4	3.5	1.0	1.7	1.0	1.7	8.8	5.7	2.3
30 Nov-2 Dec	Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop	28.2	27.6	15.6	3.2	2.4	2.6	2.1	1.0	1.5	5.6	9.2	0.6
8-20 Nov	Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV	29.0	28.2	19.1	3.8	2.3	1.2	1.4	1.2	1.7	6.1	6.0	0.8

Seats projections

Date(s) conducted	Polling organization/client	SDP	HDZ	Most	Živi zid	IDS	HNS	HDSSB	MB 365	HSS
Date(s) conducted	Polling organization/client	style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:60px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:60px;"\|	style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:60px;"\|	style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:60px;"\|	style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="60px" \|	style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja/meta/color" width="60px" \|	style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:60px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:60px;"\|
Unspecified (published 22 May-6 June 2016)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	59	48	12	11	3	2	2	2	1

Polls of electoral districts

District	Date(s) conducted	Polling Firm	SDP	HDZ	Most	Živi zid	MB 365	HNS	HSS	HSLS	IDS	Others	Undecided	Lead
District	Date(s) conducted	Polling Firm	style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color; width:40px;"\|	style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" \|	Others	Undecided	Lead
I.	Unspecified (published 9 Jun)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	35.9	20.3	8.7	7.2	-	1.9	-	1.6	-	10.5	14.1	15.6
II.	Unspecified (published 8 Jun)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	28.8	21.1	6.6	8.0	4.4	2.6	4.8	1.0	-	6.4	16.1	7.7
VI.	Unspecified (published 7 Jun)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	31.1	24.1	7.4	9.2	4.9	2.0	-	-	-	9.9	11.5	7.0
VII.	Unspecified (published 6 Jun)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	31.5	24.5	6.1	12.3	-	1.6	-	-	-	15.2	8.9	7.0
X.	Unspecified (published 2 Jun)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	22.5	28.3	15.8	7.9	-	-	-	-	-	14.7	10.8	5.8
IX.	Unspecified (published 31 May)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	25.2	36.5	6.3	7.4	-	-	-	-	-	12.0	12.6	11.3
VIII.	Unspecified (published 29 May)	Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List	33.6	12.9	5.0	7.7	-	-	-	-	16.3	9.4	15.4	17.3

References

^ ^a ^b Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243^{[full citation needed]}

[pl_2016-1] Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243^{[full citation needed]}

[1]

@@ Line 6: / Line 6: @@
 {|class="wikitable" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:16px;"
 |- style="height:42px; background-color:#E9E9E9"
-! style="width:100px;" rowspan="2"| Date
+! style="width:100px;" rowspan="2"| Date(s) conducted
-! style="width:165px;" rowspan="2"| Polling Firm
+! style="width:165px;" rowspan="2"| Polling organization/client
+! style="width:60px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size
 ! [[Croatia is Growing]]
 ! [[Patriotic Coalition (Croatia)|Patriotic Coalition]]
@@ Line 16: / Line 17: @@
 ! [[Istrian Democratic Assembly|IDS]]
 ! style="width:40px;" rowspan="2"| Others
-! style="width:40px;" rowspan="2"| Undecided
+! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| Undecided
 ! style="width:20px;" rowspan="2"| Lead
 |-
@@ Line 27: / Line 28: @@
 | style="background:{{Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color}}" width="40px" |
 |-
-| 22 May - 9 Jun
+| 22 May - 9 Jun{{dubious}}
 | [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/statisticki-centar/ Promocija plus] <ref name="pl_2016">Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243{{Incomplete citation}}</ref>
+|
 | style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''38.3'''
 | 30.5
@@ Line 40: / Line 42: @@
 | style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 7.8
 |-
-| 22 May - 9 Jun
+| 22 May - 9 Jun{{dubious}}
 | [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/statisticki-centar/ Promocija plus] <ref name="pl_2016">Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243{{Incomplete citation}}</ref>
+|
 | style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''33.6'''
 | 26.9
@@ Line 55: / Line 58: @@
 | 4 Jun
 | [http://vijesti.hrt.hr/337886/cro-demoskop-sdp-pretekao-hdz-most-zaustavio-pad-2 CRO Demoskop]
+| 1300
 | style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''34.7'''
 | 28.5
@@ Line 68: / Line 72: @@
 | 25 May
 | [http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/crobarometar-dnevnika-nove-tv-svibanj-2016---438373.html Ipsos Puls]
+|
 | style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''31.6'''
 | 31.2
@@ Line 81: / Line 86: @@
 | 6 May
 | [http://www.tportal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/427484/Zivi-zid-preskocio-Most-HDZ-i-SDP-izjednaceni.html CRO Demoskop]
+| 1300
 | 33.6
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''34.7'''
@@ Line 94: / Line 100: @@
 | 23 Apr
 | [http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/crobarometar-hdz-i-sdp-u-mrtvoj-trci-mostu-popularnost-i-dalje-pada---434644.html Ipsos Puls]
+|
 | 32.1
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''33.3'''
@@ Line 107: / Line 114: @@
 | 5 Apr
 | [http://vijesti.hrt.hr/329621/cro-demoskop-mostu-i-dalje-pada-potpora-zivi-zid-raste CRO Demoskop]
+| 1300
 | 31.4
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''31.9'''
@@ Line 120: / Line 128: @@
 | 26 Mar
 | [http://www.jutarnji.hr/most-u--slobodnom-padu---hdz-i-sdp--lagano--rastu-most-i-vladajuca-koalicija-sve-vise-gube-potporu-kod-gradana/1549506/ Ipsos Puls]
+|
 | 31.5
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''34.9'''
@@ Line 133: / Line 142: @@
 | 5 Mar
 | [http://www.promocija-plus.com/javno_mnijenje/index_javno_mnijenje.htm CRO Demoskop]
+| 1300
 | 30.9
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''31.4'''
@@ Line 146: / Line 156: @@
 | 25 Feb
 | [http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/crobarometar-dnevnika-nove-tv-veljaca-2016---427780.html Ipsos Puls]
+|
 | 28.9
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''33.2'''
@@ Line 159: / Line 170: @@
 | 5 Feb
 | [http://www.tportal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/415085/Most-iznevjerio-gradane-vecina-smatra-da-Hrvatska-ide-u-krivom-smjeru.html CRO Demoskop]
+| 1300
 | 32.3
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''32.7'''
@@ Line 172: / Line 184: @@
 | 25 Jan
 | [http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/istrazivanje-dnevnika-nove-tv-crobarometar-neodlucnih-sve-vise---424291.html?icn=article&ici=related_middle-column Ipsos Puls]
+|
 | 29.1
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''32.5'''
@@ Line 185: / Line 198: @@
 | 8 Jan
 | [http://www.hrt.hr/316432/vijesti/mostu-opada-potpora-sdp-na-prvom-mjestu CRO Demoskop]
+| 1300
 | style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''32.1'''
 | 31.2
@@ Line 196: / Line 210: @@
 | style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 0.9
 |-
-| colspan="12"| '''2016'''
+| colspan="13"| '''2016'''
 |-
 | 23 Dec
 | [http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/crobarometar-dnevnika-nove-tv-most-poceo-gubiti-potporu-hdz-i-sdp-zamijenili-mjesta-popularnosti---420854.html Ipsos Puls]
+|
 | 29.2
 | style="background:#B3E0FF"| '''33.8'''
@@ Line 211: / Line 226: @@
 | style="background:#005BAA; color:white;"| 4.6
 |-
-| 4 Dec
+| 30 Nov-2 Dec
+| [https://www.promocija-plus.com/public/cds/cro_demoskop_12_2015.zip Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop]
-| [http://www.tportal.hr/vijesti/parlamentarni-izbori-2015/407267/SDP-pretekao-HDZ-Mostu-raste-podrska.html CRO Demoskop]
+| 1300
 | style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''30.3'''
 | 29.4
@@ Line 226: / Line 242: @@
 | 25 Nov
 | [http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/crobarometar-dnevnika-nove-tv-sdp-nakon-20-mjeseci-prvi-izbor---417619.html?icn=article&ici=related_middle-column Ipsos Puls]
+|
 | style="background:#F9C8CA"| '''30.2'''
 | 29.6
@@ Line 239: / Line 256: @@
 | 8 Nov
 | [http://dnevnik.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2015-rezultati-izbora---415538.html General Election]
+|
 | 33.3
 | 33.3
@@ Line 498: / Line 516: @@
 {| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
 |- style="height:42px; background-color:#E9E9E9"
-! style="width:100px;" rowspan="2"| Date
+! style="width:100px;" rowspan="2"| Date(s) conducted
-! style="width:165px;" rowspan="2"| Polling Firm
+! style="width:165px;" rowspan="2"| Polling organization/client
 ! [[Social Democratic Party of Croatia|SDP]]
 ! [[Croatian Democratic Union|HDZ]]
@@ Line 520: / Line 538: @@
 ! style="background:{{Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color}}; width:60px;"|
 |-
-| May-June 2016
+| Unspecified (published 22 May-6 June 2016)
-| [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/novosti/hrvatska/1948503/rtl-anketa-nase-ekskluzivno-istrazivanje-doslo-je-svome-kraju-provjerite-kako-bi-danas-izgledao-novi-saziv-sabora/ Promocija plus]
+| [http://www.vijesti.rtl.hr/novosti/hrvatska/1948503/rtl-anketa-nase-ekskluzivno-istrazivanje-doslo-je-svome-kraju-provjerite-kako-bi-danas-izgledao-novi-saziv-sabora/ Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List]
 |align=center| 59
 |align=center| 48

v t e Elections and referendums in Croatia
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See also: Elections in Austria-Hungary Yugoslavia Serbian Krajina Zagreb Split Osijek