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reverting changes. take it to the talk page please. they are clearly two different coalitions.
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| style="background:#DF1A22; color:white;"| 4.6
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| colspan="12"| ''17 July: [[People's Coalition (Croatia)|People's Coalition]] agreement is signed.''
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|- style="height:42px; background-color:#E9E9E9"
! style="width:100px;" rowspan="2"| Date
! style="width:165px;" rowspan="2"| Polling Firm
! [[Croatia is Growing]]
! [[Patriotic Coalition (Croatia)|Patriotic Coalition]]
! [[Bridge of Independent Lists|<span style="font-size:95%;">Most</span>]]
! [[Human Shield (political party)|<span style="font-size:95%;">Živi zid</span>]]
! [[Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity|<span style="font-size:95%;">MB 365</span>]]
! [[Sustainable Development of Croatia|<span style="font-size:95%;">ORaH</span>]]
! [[Istrian Democratic Assembly|IDS]]
! style="width:40px;" rowspan="2"| Others
! style="width:40px;" rowspan="2"| Undecided
! style="width:20px;" rowspan="2"| Lead
|-
! style="background:{{Croatia is Growing/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Human Blockade/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
! style="background:{{Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color}}; width:40px;"|
| style="background:{{Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color}}" width="40px" |
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| 5 Jul
| 5 Jul

Revision as of 19:38, 29 July 2016

Opinion polling for the Croatian parliamentary election, 2016 started immediately after the 2015 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls and Promocija Plus.

Coalition standings

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, as opposed to the date the survey's fieldwork was done which can be seen in the second table. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The client can be seen in the second table.

Poll results in this table are listed for the usual party coalitions that contest in the Croatian parliamentary elections. The second table shows the results for each individual party.

Date Polling Firm People's Coalition HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
25 July: HDZ announced it would participate in the elections without national coalition
Date Polling Firm People's Coalition Patriotic Coalition Most Živi zid MB 365 ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
25 Jul Ipsos Puls 34.2 29.6 11.4 6.8 4.1 0.6 1.7 5.6 6 4.6
17 July: People's Coalition agreement is signed.
Date Polling Firm Croatia is Growing Patriotic Coalition Most Živi zid MB 365 ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
5 Jul CRO Demoskop 36.1 25.3 9.8 5.3 2.0 0.7 1.2 7.1 12.5 10.8
28 Jun Ipsos Puls 32.2 23.1 12.1 7.7 2.3 - 1.4 10.1 11.1 9.1
22 May - 9 Jun Promocija plus [1] 33.6 26.9 7.1 8.2 2.6 0.9 1.6 7.0 12.1 6.7
4 Jun CRO Demoskop 34.7 28.5 6.4 7.4 2.1 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 6.2
25 May Ipsos Puls 31.6 31.2 7.9 7.8 4.3 - 1.4 6.7 7.6 0.4
6 May CRO Demoskop 33.6 34.7 5.7 7.3 1.6 0.8 1.1 3.7 11.5 1.1
23 Apr Ipsos Puls 32.1 33.3 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.0 1.6 6.6 7.2 1.2
5 Apr CRO Demoskop 31.4 31.9 6.0 5.7 2.0 1.1 1.5 4.9 15.7 0.5
26 Mar Ipsos Puls 31.5 34.9 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.1 1.6 5.9 7.3 3.4
5 Mar CRO Demoskop 30.9 31.4 8.9 4.4 2.3 1.6 1.8 5.6 13.1 0.5
25 Feb Ipsos Puls 28.9 33.2 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 2.0 6.8 8.6 4.3
5 Feb CRO Demoskop 32.3 32.7 9.1 3.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 6.0 11.9 0.4
25 Jan Ipsos Puls 29.1 32.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 - 2.0 7.1 6.7 3.4
8 Jan CRO Demoskop 32.1 31.2 11.7 3.2 2.0 1.4 1.2 5.1 12.1 0.9
2016
23 Dec Ipsos Puls 29.2 33.8 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 5.3 5.7 4.6
4 Dec CRO Demoskop 30.3 29.4 15.4 3.3 2.3 1.8 1.8 4.9 10.7 0.9
25 Nov Ipsos Puls 30.2 29.6 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.6
8 Nov General Election 33.3 33.3 13.5 4.2 3.3 1.7 1.8 8.9 - Tie

Party standings

Date(s) conducted Polling organization/client Sample size SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
1-18 Jul Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 974 29.2 28.3 11.4 6.8 4.1 1.3 2.7 0.6 1.2 8.4 6 0.9
1-3 Jul Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 31.8 22.7 9.8 5.3 2.0 3.1 2.8 0.7 1.2 8.1 12.5 9.1
25-28 Jun Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 1219 30.9 21.5 12.1 7.7 2.3 1.3 1.5 - 1.4 10.2 11.1 9.4
1-3 Jun Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 30.5 26.3 6.4 7.4 2.1 3.1 2.8 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 4.2
1-21 May Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 976 29.1 28.7 7.9 7.8 4.3 1.5 1.4 - 1.4 10.4 7.5 0.4
2-5 May Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 29.2 29.5 5.7 7.3 1.6 3.1 2.8 0.8 1.1 7.4 11.5 0.3
1-21 Apr Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 964 28.6 29.0 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.6 11.1 7.2 1.2
1-4 Apr Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 29.0 29.8 6.3 5.7 1.4 2.3 2.7 1.3 1.2 7.5 12.8 0.8
1-21 Mar Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 969 28.0 30.2 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.6 10.6 7.3 2.2
1-3 Mar Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 28.2 29.3 8.6 4.0 1.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 1.3 8.3 13.8 1.1
1-21 Feb Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 973 26.2 28.9 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 1.7 1.5 2.0 10.6 8.6 2.7
1-3 Feb Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 28.8 30.0 10.0 3.1 1.4 2.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 6.8 13.5 1.2
1-21 Jan Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 975 26.6 28.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 1.5 1.9 - 2.0 16.8 6.7 1.9
4-6 Jan Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 29.6 29.3 12.6 3.0 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.2 6.6 10.1 0.3
2016
1-21 Dec Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 976 27.2 29.5 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 1.0 1.7 8.8 5.7 2.3
30 Nov-2 Dec Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 28.2 27.6 15.6 3.2 2.4 2.6 2.1 1.0 1.5 5.6 9.2 0.6
8-20 Nov Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 966 29.0 28.2 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.8

Seats projections

Date Polling Firm SDP HDZ Most Živi zid IDS HNS HDSSB MB 365 HSS
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
May-June 2016 Promocija plus 59 48 12 11 3 2 2 2 1

Polls of electoral districts

District Date(s) conducted Polling Firm SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS HSLS IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
I. Unspecified (published 9 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 35.9 20.3 8.7 7.2 - 1.9 - 1.6 - 10.5 14.1 15.6
II. Unspecified (published 8 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 28.8 21.1 6.6 8.0 4.4 2.6 4.8 1.0 - 6.4 16.1 7.7
VI. Unspecified (published 7 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 31.1 24.1 7.4 9.2 4.9 2.0 - - - 9.9 11.5 7.0
VII. Unspecified (published 6 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 31.5 24.5 6.1 12.3 - 1.6 - - - 15.2 8.9 7.0
X. Unspecified (published 2 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 22.5 28.3 15.8 7.9 - - - - - 14.7 10.8 5.8
IX. Unspecified (published 31 May) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 25.2 36.5 6.3 7.4 - - - - - 12.0 12.6 11.3
VIII. Unspecified (published 29 May) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 33.6 12.9 5.0 7.7 - - - - 16.3 9.4 15.4 17.3

References

  1. ^ Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243