2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky
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Elections in Kentucky |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky will be held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kentucky. Incumbent Republican Rand Paul is running against Democrat Charles Booker.
Paul was first elected in 2010 with 56% of the vote, filling the seat of retiring Jim Bunning, then re-elected in 2016 with 57% of the vote. Paul is running for a third term.[1] Booker is a former state representative (2019–2021) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020.
Background
Although Rand Paul supports a Constitutional amendment limiting Senators to two terms, he said, "I'm not in favor of term limits for some and not others. So I'm not in favor of people self-imposing term limits. I’m a co-sponsor of the constitutional amendment, but I will run again in 2022."[1] Kentucky held its primary election on May 17.[2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Arnold Blankenship, retiree[4]
- Valerie Frederick[4]
- Paul V. Hamilton, economics professor[5]
- John Schiess, perennial candidate[4]
- Tami Stanfield, former sales executive[4]
Endorsements
- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[6]
- Organizations
Results
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/70/2022_United_States_Senate_Republican_primary_election_in_Kentucky_results_map_by_county.svg/220px-2022_United_States_Senate_Republican_primary_election_in_Kentucky_results_map_by_county.svg.png)
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 90–100%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rand Paul (incumbent) | 333,051 | 86.4 | |
Republican | Valerie Frederick | 14,018 | 3.6 | |
Republican | Paul V. Hamilton | 13,473 | 3.5 | |
Republican | Arnold Blankenship | 10,092 | 2.6 | |
Republican | Tami Stanfield | 9,526 | 2.5 | |
Republican | John Schiess | 5,538 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 385,698 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Charles Booker, former state representative (2019–2021) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[11]
Eliminated in primary
- Ruth Gao, educator and activist[12]
- Joshua Blanton Sr., army veteran[13]
- John Merrill, chemist and navy veteran[4]
Declined
- Rocky Adkins, senior advisor to Governor Andy Beshear, former minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives, and candidate for Governor in 2019[14]
- Jim Gray, Kentucky Secretary of Transportation, former mayor of Lexington, KY, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018.[15]
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present)[16]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[17]
- U.S. Representatives
- John Yarmuth, U.S. Representative from Kentucky's 3rd congressional district (2007–present)[18]
- Labor unions
- Kentucky AFL–CIO[19]
- Communications Workers of America – Louisville Chapter[20]
- IUE-CWA – Louisville Chapter[20]
- National Education Association[21]
- Organizations
- Brand New Congress[22]
- Democracy for America[23]
- Indivisible[24]
- League of Conservation Voters[25]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[26]
- Working Families Party[27]
- March On[28]
- Sunrise Movement[29]
- LegalizeKY
- Individuals
Results
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/26/2022_United_States_Senate_Democratic_primary_election_in_Kentucky_results_map_by_county.svg/220px-2022_United_States_Senate_Democratic_primary_election_in_Kentucky_results_map_by_county.svg.png)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charles Booker | 214,245 | 73.3 | |
Democratic | Joshua Blanton Sr. | 30,980 | 10.6 | |
Democratic | John Merrill | 28,931 | 9.9 | |
Democratic | Ruth Gao | 18,154 | 6.2 | |
Total votes | 292,310 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[31] | Solid R | November 19, 2021 |
Inside Elections[32] | Solid R | January 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Safe R | November 3, 2021 |
Politico[34] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[35] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News[36] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
DDHQ[37] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[38] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[39] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[6]
- U.S. Senators
- Mitch McConnell, U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[40]
- Organizations
- U.S. Senators
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[42]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present)[16]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[17]
- U.S. Representatives
- John Yarmuth, U.S. Representative from Kentucky's 3rd congressional district (2007–present)[18]
- Statewide officials
- Jerry Abramson, former Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky (2011–2014)[43]
- Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[43]
- Martha Layne Collins, former Governor of Kentucky (1983–1987)[43]
- Daniel Mongiardo, former Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky (2007–2011)[43]
- Paul E. Patton, former Governor of Kentucky (1995–2003)[43]
- Labor unions
- Kentucky AFL–CIO[19]
- Communications Workers of America – Louisville Chapter[20]
- IUE-CWA – Louisville Chapter[20]
- National Education Association[21]
- Organizations
- Brand New Congress[22]
- Democracy for America[23]
- Indivisible[24]
- League of Conservation Voters[25]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[26]
- Working Families Party[27]
- March On[28]
- Sierra Club[44]
- Sunrise Movement[29]
- Individuals
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Rand Paul (R) |
Charles Booker (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | January 19–22, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
- Rand Paul vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Rand Paul (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | February 1–4, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rand Paul (incumbent) | ||||
Democratic | Charles Booker | ||||
Total votes | N/A |
Notes
References
- ^ a b c Dean, Kelly (February 25, 2021). "Sen. Rand Paul discusses upcoming plans for re-election 2022". WBKO. Archived from the original on February 27, 2021. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
- ^ WLKY Digital Team (May 10, 2022). "Voter guide: Kentucky primary election 2022". Wlky.com. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
- ^ "Sen. Rand Paul announces he has filed for re-election". WBKO. January 5, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "Election Candidate Filings". Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
- ^ "Kentucky Secretary of State - Candidate Filings". Kentucky Secretary of State - Candidate Filings. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
- ^ a b Kobin, Bill (April 9, 2021). "Donald Trump endorses Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul for 2022 reelection". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
- ^ a b "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Rand Paul in the Kentucky U.S. Senate Race". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. August 25, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- ^ a b "Club for Growth PAC Endorsed Candidates". Retrieved January 28, 2022.
- ^ a b "Turning Point Action". Turning Point Action - Endorsements. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
- ^ a b "Kentucky Statewide Official Results". Secretary of State of Kentucky. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
- ^ "It's official: Charles Booker will run for Senate again, this time against Rand Paul". WLKY. July 1, 2021. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
- ^ "Ruth Gao announces U.S. Senate run in Kentucky, aims to become 'first millennial woman Senator'". WLEX-TV. June 30, 2021. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
- ^ Smith, Lawrence. "Democrats begin lining up for right to challenge Sen. Rand Paul". WDRB. Retrieved July 31, 2021.
- ^ "Political Notebook: Could Rocky Adkins be Kentucky's Joe Manchin in 2022 Senate race?". Lexington Herald-Leader. April 15, 2021. Retrieved April 21, 2021.
- ^ "Room for a Moderate Democrat in 2022 U.S. Senate Primary". Kentucky Fried Politics. July 9, 2021. Retrieved September 23, 2021.
- ^ a b Breon Martin (May 2, 2021). "US Sen. Bernie Sanders holds rally with Charles Booker in Louisville". WDRB.
- ^ a b Morgan Watkins (July 26, 2021). "Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Charles Booker in bid for Rand Paul's Senate seat". Courier Journal.
- ^ a b "Rep. John Yarmuth backs Charles Booker in his bid to unseat Sen. Rand Paul". The Courier-Journal. November 11, 2021. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
- ^ a b Craig, Berry (March 4, 2022). "State AFL-CIO backs Booker, McGarvey". Forward Kentucky. Retrieved March 8, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Charles Booker picks up major union endorsement in run for U.S. Senate". WLKY. July 21, 2021. Retrieved March 25, 2022.
- ^ a b "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association.
- ^ a b "BNC Endorses Charles Booker!". Brand New Congress. Archived from the original on August 4, 2021. Retrieved August 4, 2021.
- ^ a b Simpson, Yvette (July 1, 2021). "Democracy for America : DFA backs Charles Booker for 2022 Senate rematch in Kentucky". democracyforamerica.com. Democracy for America.
- ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". indivisible.org. Indivisible. September 21, 2018. Retrieved May 20, 2022.
- ^ a b "LCV ACTION FUND ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF NON-INCUMBENT SENATE ENDORSEMENTS". www.lcv.org. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
- ^ a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
- ^ a b "Our Candidates". Working Families Party.
- ^ a b "Endorsements". March On. December 6, 2021.
- ^ a b "Sunrise Movement endorses progressive Democrats Summer Lee, Nida Allam and Erica Smith for Congress". March 24, 2022.
- ^ a b Scott Recker (October 15, 2021). "Civil Rights Attorney Ben Crump Endorses Charles Booker For Senate". LEO Weekly.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- ^ "Kentucky Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "The Economist's 2022 Senate Election forecast". The Economist. September 18, 2022. Retrieved September 18, 2022.
- ^ Kobin, Bill (July 15, 2022). "Biden Drops Plan to Name Anti-Abortion Lawyer Backed by McConnell as Judge". The New York Times. Retrieved July 16, 2022.
Mr. McConnell said he backed Mr. Paul's re-election bid this year.
- ^ Storm, Nick (September 12, 2022). "Rand Paul Endorsed by KY Fraternal Order of Police". www.kentuckyfried.com. Retrieved September 13, 2022.
- ^ "Charles Booker's primary win was historic. But his Senate run against Rand Paul faces a tough road ahead". May 23, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e Storm, Nick (September 1, 2022). "Charles Booker Endorsed by Gov. Beshear & Former KY Governors". www.kentuckyfried.com.
- ^ "Congressional Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
External links
- Official campaign websites