Jump to content

2009 Iranian presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is an old revision of this page, as edited by BehnamFarid (talk | contribs) at 17:51, 10 June 2009 (Restored external link.). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

Iranian presidential election, 2009

← 2005 June 12, 2009 2013 →
 
Nominee Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Mir-Hossein Mousavi
Party ABII Independent Reformist

 
Nominee Mohsen Rezaee Mehdi Karroubi
Party Ind. Conservative National Confidence

Incumbent President

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Alliance_of_Builders_of_Islamic_Iran



Presidential elections will be held in Iran on June 12, 2009.[1] It will be the 10th presidential election to be held in the country. The current incumbent is Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who is running for re-election. The Iranian reform movement has attempted to unite behind a single candidate. Former President Mohammad Khatami had been the leading opponent to Ahmadinejad until he left the race and endorsed former Prime Minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi.[2] Former Speaker of the Majlis Mehdi Karroubi, another Reformist, is also running, as is former Commander of Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Mohsen Rezaei, a Conservative.

Election Process

The President is elected by direct vote. Candidates need to win majority (half plus one of the votes cast in the election) to become President. If none of the candidates win the majority in the first round, two top candidates from the first round will go to the second round, and whichever wins the majority of votes in the second round is elected President. All Iranian citizens of age 18 are eligible to vote. The Iranian Center for Statistics and Iranian Ministry of Interior have stated that there are around 46 million eligible voters.

Approved candidates

On 20 May, Guardian Council officially announced the list of approved candidates:[3]

Reformists

Conservatives

Rejected candidates

On May 20, Guardian Council rejected the following registered nominees.

Conservatives

Independents

Withdrawn candidates

Potential candidates

The following people were said to be possible candidates in the election, but did not register within the five days allowed for registration.[9] Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, former President and chairman of the Assembly of Experts, will be over 75 years old on the election day and is therefore ineligible to run by election law.

Reformists who declined to run

Conservatives who declined to run

Temporary Facebook block

On 23 May 2009, the Iranian government temporarily blocked access to Facebook across the country. Gulfnews.com reported that this move was a response to the use of Facebook by candidates running against the incumbent Ahmadinejad.[16] PC World reported that Mousavi's Facebook page had more than 6,600 supporters.[17] Access was restored by 26 May 2009.[18]

TV debates between candidates

There will be one debate between each pair of candidates on national TV channel IRIB 3. Each debate lasts for around one and half hours.

Opinion polls

The Opinion polls in Iran have been considered unreliable. A number of polls conducted between relatively small voting groups, like university students and workers, have been reported as election propaganda. More general polls reported in the media do not state the polling organization nor the basic facts about the methodology. The results show a high variance and depend heavily on who is reporting the poll.[19] In 2002, the polling organization Ayandeh and another polling organization was closed and its directors were arrested.[20] The director of Ayandeh, Abbas Abdi, spent several years in prison.[21]

Mousavi's and Karroubi's campaign posters in Tehran claimed that a high turnout would reduce Ahmadinejad's chance of winning the election.[22] Karroubi's campaign manager, Gholamhossein Karbaschi, claimed that the chance of Ahmadinejad losing the election would be over 65 percent if over 32 million people voted, but less than 35 percent if less than 27 million people voted.[22]

Polling Organisation Date Poll details Candidate
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Mehdi Karroubi Mir-Hossein Mousavi Mohsen Rezaei
reported by Roozonline[23] before 9 June 2009 Nationwide; 7900 people 23% Unknown 54%–57% Unknown
Rahbord e Danesh, reported by Tabnak[24] before 9 June 2009 1743 people 25.5% 6.1% 37.6% 30.8%
reported by Baznevis[25] before 6 June 2009 16945 people 22.5% 7.5% 64% 4%
Rahbord e Danesh, reported by Tabnak[26] before 3 June 2009 1743 people 29.5% 7.5% 37.5% 25.2%
Rayemelat[27] before 3 June 2009 Tehran 33% 10% 50% 6%
reported by Rajanews/Press TV[28] before 1 June 2009 major cities 53% Unknown 36% Unknown
Baznevis, reported by Tabnak[29] before 31 May 2009 Nationwide; 77,058 people 33% 3% 36% 27%
Aftab News, reported by Tabnak[29] before 31 May 2009 Nationwide; 18,391 people (62%) (7%) (28%) (4%)
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[29] 31 May 2009 Nationwide 32% 6% 36% 27%
reported by Ghalamnews[30] before 27 May 2009 1650 people 35% Unknown 54% Unknown
reported by Rayemelat[31] before 27 May 2009 Tehran only 36% 9% 48% 5%
Young Journalists Club (IRIB affiliated)[32] before 30 May 2009 Nationwide; 30,000 people 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
reported by Ayandeh News[33] before 26 May 2009 10 major cities 34% Unknown 38% Unknown
Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting[33] before 26 May 2009 Tehran only 43% Unknown 47% Unknown
reported by Rayemelat[34] 14 May 2009 Tehran only 42% 6% 44% 4%
Etemad-e-Melli[35] before 13 May 2009 Nationwide 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[29] 5 May 2009 Nationwide 38% 12% 32% 15%
reported by Rajanews/Press TV[36][37] 3 May 2009–4 May 2009 62 cities 59% Unknown 22% Unknown
Government[36] before 3 May 2009 Unknown 54% (45% in Tehran) Unknown 22% (29% in Tehran) Unknown
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[29] 4 April 2009 Nationwide 40% 8% 24% 1%
Worker's Statistical Institute[38] late March 2009 Nationwide survey of workers 36% 8% 52% Unknown
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[29] 5 March 2009 Nationwide 44% 7% 13% 0%

References

  1. ^ "Iran To Hold Presidential Election In June 2009" (Reuters). Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. September 7, 2008. Retrieved 2 December 2008. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |curly= ignored (help)
  2. ^ Erdbrink, Thomas (March 18, 2009). "Khatami Pulls Out of Presidential Race". The Washington Post. Retrieved 2009-03-18.
  3. ^ "Middle East | Iran approves main presidential candidates". BBC News. 2009-05-20. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  4. ^ "رفعت بيات: معاون اول من يک زن خواهد بود". Tabnak.ir. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  5. ^ "اكبر اعلمي اعلام كانديداتوري كرد". Tabnak.ir. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  6. ^ "تصاویر مربوط به ثبت نام و نشست مطبوعاتی اکبر اعلمی در وزارت کشور - Akbar Alami's Personal website ::: وب سايت شخصي اكبر اعلمي". Akbaralami.com. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  7. ^ "Fars News Agency : شعله‌سعدي: تداركاتچي ها ملت را به عقب بازمي گردانند". Farsnews.com. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  8. ^ Najibullah, Farangis (March 17, 2009). "Khatami Pulls Out of Presidential Race, Backs Another Reformist Candidate". Radio Free Europe. Retrieved 2009-05-10.
  9. ^ "Tik News". Tik News. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  10. ^ معصومه ابتكار نامزد انتخابات دهم مي‌شود, Entekhab News (انتخاب), ۲۳ فروردین ۱۳۸۸
  11. ^ "ابتكار سبز >> حمایت از میرحسین موسوی به جای کاندیداتوری". Greenebtekar.persianblog.ir. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  12. ^ Rubin, Michael (July 31, 2008). "Iran News Round Up". The Corner on National Review Online. Retrieved 2 December 2008.
  13. ^ "قالیباف احتمال کاندیداتوری انتخابات و ریاست صدا و سیما را تکذیب کرد". Irna. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  14. ^ a b "Khamenei's 'aide rules out presidential run'" (Agence France-Presse). Middle East Times. October 26, 2008. Retrieved 2 December 2008. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |curly= ignored (help)
  15. ^ Behnegarsoft.com. "پايگاه خبری تحليلی فرارو - روایت پورمحمدي از ماجراهاي آذر 77 و قتل هاي زنجيره يي". Fararu.com. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  16. ^ "Iran blocks access to Facebook: report". Gulf News. 2009-05-24. Retrieved 2009-05-25.
  17. ^ "Facebook Blocked in Iran Ahead of Elections". PC World. Retrieved 2009-05-26.
  18. ^ "Iran restores access to Facebook, days after blocking the site". Associated Press. Retrieved 2009-04-27.
  19. ^ "جستارها و گفتارهای حسین قاضیان | انتخابات 88؛ نظرسنجی‌‌ها و راهبردها". Daal.ir. 2008-08-31. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  20. ^ "World | Middle East | Leading Iranian reformist 'arrested'". BBC News. 2002-11-04. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  21. ^ "Eleven jailed journalists start new year in harsh prison conditions". IFEX. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  22. ^ a b Akbar Dareini, Ali (2009-05-22). "Iran reformists hope for high election turnout". Associated Press. Archived from the original on 2009-05-30. Retrieved 2009-05-30.
  23. ^ "Roozonline Poll Khordad 19".
  24. ^ "Rahbord e Danesh Poll Khordad 19".
  25. ^ "Banevis Poll Khordad 16".
  26. ^ "Rahbord e Danesh Poll Khordad 13".
  27. ^ "Rayemelat Poll June 06".
  28. ^ "Ahamdinejad (sic) leading polls in major cities". Press TV. Archived from the original on 2009-06-01. Retrieved 2009-06-01.
  29. ^ a b c d e f "وضعیت نامزدهای انتخاباتی در نتایج یک نظرسنجی". tabnak.ir. 2009-05-31. Archived from the original on 2009-06-01. Retrieved 2009-06-01., from bar graph
  30. ^ "Mousavi's votes are increasing and Ahmadinejad's votes decrease". Ghalamnews.
  31. ^ "رای ملت". Rayemelat.com. 2009-05-27. Archived from the original on 2009-06-01. Retrieved 2009-06-01.
  32. ^ "Karroubi overtakes Moussavi in election poll". Press TV. 2009-05-30. Archived from the original on 2009-05-30. Retrieved 2009-05-30.
  33. ^ a b "Moussavi takes lead in 10 major cities: poll". Press TV. 2009-05-26. Archived from the original on 2009-05-26. Retrieved 2009-05-27.
  34. ^ "رای ملت". Rayemelat.com. 2009-05-24. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  35. ^ "Karroubi passes rival Moussavi in poll". Press TV. 2009-05-13. Retrieved 2009-05-24.
  36. ^ a b "Ahmadinejad leads election poll by big margin". Press TV. Retrieved 2009-05-29.
  37. ^ . Xinhua News Agency http://www.webcitation.org/5hDQB8V7E. Archived from the original on 2009-01-06. Retrieved 2009-05-24. {{cite news}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  38. ^ "Iran: Worker poll puts reformist presidential candidate ahead - Adnkronos Politics". Adnkronos.com. 2003-04-07. Retrieved 2009-05-29.