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Opinion polling for the 2016 Croatian parliamentary election

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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Thewanderer (talk | contribs) at 20:32, 28 June 2016 (restoring blanked info. adding dates + sample size for new poll.). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

Opinion polling for the next Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2015 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls and Promocija Plus.

Coalition standings

Date(s) conducted Polling organization/client Sample size Croatia is Growing Patriotic Coalition Most Živi zid MB 365 ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
25-28 Jun Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 1219 32.2 23.1 12.1 7.7 2.3 - 1.4 10.1 11.1 9.1
22 May - 9 Jun[dubious – discuss] Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List [1] 38.3 30.5 8.1 9.3 2.9 1.0 1.9 8.0 - 7.8
22 May - 9 Jun[dubious – discuss] Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List [1] 33.6 26.9 7.1 8.2 2.6 0.9 1.6 7.0 12.1 6.7
4 Jun CRO Demoskop 1300 34.7 28.5 6.4 7.4 2.1 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 6.2
1-21 May Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 976 31.6 31.2 7.9 7.8 4.3 - 1.4 6.7 7.6 0.4
2-5 May Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 33.6 34.7 5.7 7.3 1.6 0.8 1.1 3.7 11.5 1.1
1-21 Apr Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 964 32.1 33.3 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.0 1.6 6.6 7.2 1.2
5 Apr CRO Demoskop 1300 31.4 31.9 6.0 5.7 2.0 1.1 1.5 4.9 15.7 0.5
1-21 Mar Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 969 31.5 34.9 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.1 1.6 5.9 7.3 3.4
5 Mar CRO Demoskop 1300 30.9 31.4 8.9 4.4 2.3 1.6 1.8 5.6 13.1 0.5
1-21 Feb Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 973 28.9 33.2 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 2.0 6.8 8.6 4.3
5 Feb CRO Demoskop 1300 32.3 32.7 9.1 3.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 6.0 11.9 0.4
1-21 Jan Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 975 29.1 32.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 - 2.0 7.1 6.7 3.4
8 Jan CRO Demoskop 1300 32.1 31.2 11.7 3.2 2.0 1.4 1.2 5.1 12.1 0.9
2016
1-21 Dec Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 976 29.2 33.8 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 5.3 5.7 4.6
30 Nov-2 Dec Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 30.3 29.4 15.4 3.3 2.3 1.8 1.8 4.9 10.7 0.9
8-20 Nov Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 966 30.2 29.6 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.6
8 Nov General Election 33.3 33.3 13.5 4.2 3.3 1.7 1.8 8.9 - 0.0

Party standings

Date(s) conducted Polling organization/client SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
1-3 Jun Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 30.5 26.3 6.4 7.4 2.1 3.1 2.8 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 4.2
1-21 May Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 29.1 28.7 7.9 7.8 4.3 1.5 1.4 - 1.4 10.4 7.5 0.4
2-5 May Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 29.2 29.5 5.7 7.3 1.6 3.1 2.8 0.8 1.1 7.4 11.5 0.3
1-21 Apr Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 28.6 29.0 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.6 11.1 7.2 1.2
1-4 Apr Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 29.0 29.8 6.3 5.7 1.4 2.3 2.7 1.3 1.2 7.5 12.8 0.8
1-21 Mar Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 28.0 30.2 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.6 10.6 7.3 2.2
1-3 Mar Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 28.2 29.3 8.6 4.0 1.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 1.3 8.3 13.8 1.1
1-21 Feb Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 26.2 28.9 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 1.7 1.5 2.0 10.6 8.6 2.7
1-3 Feb Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 28.8 30.0 10.0 3.1 1.4 2.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 6.8 13.5 1.2
1-21 Jan Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 26.6 28.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 1.5 1.9 - 2.0 16.8 6.7 1.9
4-6 Jan Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 29.6 29.3 12.6 3.0 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.2 6.6 10.1 0.3
2016
1-21 Dec Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 27.2 29.5 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 1.0 1.7 8.8 5.7 2.3
30 Nov-2 Dec Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 28.2 27.6 15.6 3.2 2.4 2.6 2.1 1.0 1.5 5.6 9.2 0.6
8-20 Nov Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 29.0 28.2 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.8

Seats projections

Date(s) conducted Polling organization/client SDP HDZ Most Živi zid IDS HNS HDSSB MB 365 HSS
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
Unspecified (published 22 May-9 June 2016) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 59 48 12 11 3 2 2 2 1

Polls of electoral districts

District Date(s) conducted Polling Firm SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS HSLS IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
I. Unspecified (published 9 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 35.9 20.3 8.7 7.2 - 1.9 - 1.6 - 10.5 14.1 15.6
II. Unspecified (published 8 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 28.8 21.1 6.6 8.0 4.4 2.6 4.8 1.0 - 6.4 16.1 7.7
VI. Unspecified (published 7 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 31.1 24.1 7.4 9.2 4.9 2.0 - - - 9.9 11.5 7.0
VII. Unspecified (published 6 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 31.5 24.5 6.1 12.3 - 1.6 - - - 15.2 8.9 7.0
X. Unspecified (published 2 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 22.5 28.3 15.8 7.9 - - - - - 14.7 10.8 5.8
IX. Unspecified (published 31 May) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 25.2 36.5 6.3 7.4 - - - - - 12.0 12.6 11.3
VIII. Unspecified (published 29 May) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 33.6 12.9 5.0 7.7 - - - - 16.3 9.4 15.4 17.3

References

  1. ^ a b Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243[full citation needed]
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