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Opinion polling for the 2016 Croatian parliamentary election

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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Thewanderer (talk | contribs) at 21:20, 28 June 2016 (fixing remaining poll dates). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

Opinion polling for the next Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2015 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls and Promocija Plus.

Coalition standings

Date(s) conducted Polling organization/client Sample size Croatia is Growing Patriotic Coalition Most Živi zid MB 365 ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
25-28 Jun Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 1219 32.2 23.1 12.1 7.7 2.3 - 1.4 10.1 11.1 9.1
22 May - 9 Jun[dubious – discuss] Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List [1] 38.3 30.5 8.1 9.3 2.9 1.0 1.9 8.0 - 7.8
22 May - 9 Jun[dubious – discuss] Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List [1] 33.6 26.9 7.1 8.2 2.6 0.9 1.6 7.0 12.1 6.7
1-3 Jun Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 34.7 28.5 6.4 7.4 2.1 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 6.2
1-21 May Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 976 31.6 31.2 7.9 7.8 4.3 - 1.4 6.7 7.6 0.4
2-5 May Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 33.6 34.7 5.7 7.3 1.6 0.8 1.1 3.7 11.5 1.1
1-21 Apr Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 964 32.1 33.3 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.0 1.6 6.6 7.2 1.2
1-4 Apr Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 31.4 31.9 6.0 5.7 2.0 1.1 1.5 4.9 15.7 0.5
1-21 Mar Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 969 31.5 34.9 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.1 1.6 5.9 7.3 3.4
1-3 Mar Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 30.9 31.4 8.9 4.4 2.3 1.6 1.8 5.6 13.1 0.5
1-21 Feb Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 973 28.9 33.2 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 2.0 6.8 8.6 4.3
1-3 Feb Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 32.3 32.7 9.1 3.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 6.0 11.9 0.4
1-21 Jan Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 975 29.1 32.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 - 2.0 7.1 6.7 3.4
4-6 Jan Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 32.1 31.2 11.7 3.2 2.0 1.4 1.2 5.1 12.1 0.9
2016
1-21 Dec Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 976 29.2 33.8 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 5.3 5.7 4.6
30 Nov-2 Dec Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 30.3 29.4 15.4 3.3 2.3 1.8 1.8 4.9 10.7 0.9
8-20 Nov Ipsos Puls/Nova TV 966 30.2 29.6 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.6
8 Nov General Election 33.3 33.3 13.5 4.2 3.3 1.7 1.8 8.9 - 0.0

Party standings

Date(s) conducted Polling organization/client Sample size SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS ORaH IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
25-28 Jun Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 1 219 30.9 21.5 12.1 7.7 2.3 1.3 1.5 - 1.4 10.2 11.1 9.4
1-3 Jun Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 30.5 26.3 6.4 7.4 2.1 3.1 2.8 0.6 1.0 6.3 12.8 4.2
1-21 May Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 976 29.1 28.7 7.9 7.8 4.3 1.5 1.4 - 1.4 10.4 7.5 0.4
2-5 May Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 29.2 29.5 5.7 7.3 1.6 3.1 2.8 0.8 1.1 7.4 11.5 0.3
1-21 Apr Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 964 28.6 29.0 6.9 6.8 4.6 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.6 11.1 7.2 1.2
1-4 Apr Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 29.0 29.8 6.3 5.7 1.4 2.3 2.7 1.3 1.2 7.5 12.8 0.8
1-21 Mar Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 969 28.0 30.2 7.6 6.3 3.7 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.6 10.6 7.3 2.2
1-3 Mar Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 28.2 29.3 8.6 4.0 1.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 1.3 8.3 13.8 1.1
1-21 Feb Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 973 26.2 28.9 10.2 6.0 2.8 1.5 1.7 1.5 2.0 10.6 8.6 2.7
1-3 Feb Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 28.8 30.0 10.0 3.1 1.4 2.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 6.8 13.5 1.2
1-21 Jan Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 975 26.6 28.5 14.5 4.0 4.2 1.5 1.9 - 2.0 16.8 6.7 1.9
4-6 Jan Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 29.6 29.3 12.6 3.0 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.2 6.6 10.1 0.3
2016
1-21 Dec Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 976 27.2 29.5 15.5 4.4 3.5 1.0 1.7 1.0 1.7 8.8 5.7 2.3
30 Nov-2 Dec Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop 1300 28.2 27.6 15.6 3.2 2.4 2.6 2.1 1.0 1.5 5.6 9.2 0.6
8-20 Nov Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV 966 29.0 28.2 19.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.7 6.1 6.0 0.8

Seats projections

Date Polling Firm SDP HDZ Most Živi zid IDS HNS HDSSB MB 365 HSS
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja/meta/color" width="60px" | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:60px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
May-June 2016 Promocija plus 59 48 12 11 3 2 2 2 1

Polls of electoral districts

District Date(s) conducted Polling Firm SDP HDZ Most Živi zid MB 365 HNS HSS HSLS IDS Others Undecided Lead
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" |
I. Unspecified (published 9 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 35.9 20.3 8.7 7.2 - 1.9 - 1.6 - 10.5 14.1 15.6
II. Unspecified (published 8 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 28.8 21.1 6.6 8.0 4.4 2.6 4.8 1.0 - 6.4 16.1 7.7
VI. Unspecified (published 7 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 31.1 24.1 7.4 9.2 4.9 2.0 - - - 9.9 11.5 7.0
VII. Unspecified (published 6 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 31.5 24.5 6.1 12.3 - 1.6 - - - 15.2 8.9 7.0
X. Unspecified (published 2 Jun) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 22.5 28.3 15.8 7.9 - - - - - 14.7 10.8 5.8
IX. Unspecified (published 31 May) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 25.2 36.5 6.3 7.4 - - - - - 12.0 12.6 11.3
VIII. Unspecified (published 29 May) Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List 33.6 12.9 5.0 7.7 - - - - 16.3 9.4 15.4 17.3

References

  1. ^ a b Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243[full citation needed]
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