Opinion polling for the 2016 Croatian parliamentary election
Opinion polling for the Croatian parliamentary election, 2016 started immediately after the 2015 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls and Promocija Plus.
Coalition standings
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, as opposed to the date the survey's fieldwork was done which can be seen in the second table. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The client can be seen in the second table.
Poll results in this table are listed for the usual party coalitions that contest in the Croatian parliamentary elections. The second table shows the results for each individual party.
Date | Polling Firm | People's Coalition | Patriotic Coalition | Most | Živi zid | MB 365 | ORaH | IDS | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" | | |||||
17 July: People's Coalition agreement is signed. | |||||||||||
Date | Polling Firm | Croatia is Growing | Patriotic Coalition | Most | Živi zid | MB 365 | ORaH | IDS | Others | Undecided | Lead |
style="background:Template:Croatia is Growing/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" | | |||||
5 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 36.1 | 25.3 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 12.5 | 10.8 |
28 Jun | Ipsos Puls | 32.2 | 23.1 | 12.1 | 7.7 | 2.3 | - | 1.4 | 10.1 | 11.1 | 9.1 |
22 May - 9 Jun | Promocija plus [1] | 33.6 | 26.9 | 7.1 | 8.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 7.0 | 12.1 | 6.7 |
4 Jun | CRO Demoskop | 34.7 | 28.5 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 12.8 | 6.2 |
25 May | Ipsos Puls | 31.6 | 31.2 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 4.3 | - | 1.4 | 6.7 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
6 May | CRO Demoskop | 33.6 | 34.7 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 11.5 | 1.1 |
23 Apr | Ipsos Puls | 32.1 | 33.3 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 1.2 |
5 Apr | CRO Demoskop | 31.4 | 31.9 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 15.7 | 0.5 |
26 Mar | Ipsos Puls | 31.5 | 34.9 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 3.4 |
5 Mar | CRO Demoskop | 30.9 | 31.4 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 13.1 | 0.5 |
25 Feb | Ipsos Puls | 28.9 | 33.2 | 10.2 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 4.3 |
5 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 32.3 | 32.7 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 11.9 | 0.4 |
25 Jan | Ipsos Puls | 29.1 | 32.5 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | - | 2.0 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 3.4 |
8 Jan | CRO Demoskop | 32.1 | 31.2 | 11.7 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 12.1 | 0.9 |
2016 | |||||||||||
23 Dec | Ipsos Puls | 29.2 | 33.8 | 15.5 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 4.6 |
4 Dec | CRO Demoskop | 30.3 | 29.4 | 15.4 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 10.7 | 0.9 |
25 Nov | Ipsos Puls | 30.2 | 29.6 | 19.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 0.6 |
8 Nov | General Election | 33.3 | 33.3 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 8.9 | - | Tie |
Party standings
Date(s) conducted | Polling organization/client | Sample size | SDP | HDZ | Most | Živi zid | MB 365 | HNS | HSS | ORaH | IDS | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Sustainable Development/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" | | ||||||
1-3 Jul | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 31.8 | 22.7 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 9.1 |
25-28 Jun | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 1 219 | 30.9 | 21.5 | 12.1 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | - | 1.4 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 9.4 |
1-3 Jun | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 30.5 | 26.3 | 6.4 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 12.8 | 4.2 |
1-21 May | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 976 | 29.1 | 28.7 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | 10.4 | 7.5 | 0.4 |
2-5 May | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 29.2 | 29.5 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 11.5 | 0.3 |
1-21 Apr | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 964 | 28.6 | 29.0 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 11.1 | 7.2 | 1.2 |
1-4 Apr | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 29.0 | 29.8 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 0.8 |
1-21 Mar | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 969 | 28.0 | 30.2 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 10.6 | 7.3 | 2.2 |
1-3 Mar | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 28.2 | 29.3 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 13.8 | 1.1 |
1-21 Feb | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 973 | 26.2 | 28.9 | 10.2 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 8.6 | 2.7 |
1-3 Feb | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 28.8 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 13.5 | 1.2 |
1-21 Jan | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 975 | 26.6 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | - | 2.0 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
4-6 Jan | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 29.6 | 29.3 | 12.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 10.1 | 0.3 |
2016 | ||||||||||||||
1-21 Dec | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 976 | 27.2 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 |
30 Nov-2 Dec | Promocija Plus/CRO Demoskop | 1300 | 28.2 | 27.6 | 15.6 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 9.2 | 0.6 |
8-20 Nov | Ipsos Puls/Dnevnik Nova TV | 966 | 29.0 | 28.2 | 19.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 0.8 |
Seats projections
Date | Polling Firm | SDP | HDZ | Most | Živi zid | IDS | HNS | HDSSB | MB 365 | HSS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="60px" | | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja/meta/color" width="60px" | | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:60px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||
May-June 2016 | Promocija plus | 59 | 48 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Polls of electoral districts
District | Date(s) conducted | Polling Firm | SDP | HDZ | Most | Živi zid | MB 365 | HNS | HSS | HSLS | IDS | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Croatia/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Democratic Union/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Bridge of Independent Lists/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Human Blockade/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Milan Bandić 365 - The Party of Labour and Solidarity/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Peasant Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Croatian Social Liberal Party/meta/color; width:40px;"| | style="background:Template:Istrian Democratic Assembly/meta/color" width="40px" | | ||||||
I. | Unspecified (published 9 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 35.9 | 20.3 | 8.7 | 7.2 | - | 1.9 | - | 1.6 | - | 10.5 | 14.1 | 15.6 |
II. | Unspecified (published 8 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 28.8 | 21.1 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 1.0 | - | 6.4 | 16.1 | 7.7 |
VI. | Unspecified (published 7 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 31.1 | 24.1 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 9.9 | 11.5 | 7.0 |
VII. | Unspecified (published 6 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 31.5 | 24.5 | 6.1 | 12.3 | - | 1.6 | - | - | - | 15.2 | 8.9 | 7.0 |
X. | Unspecified (published 2 Jun) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 22.5 | 28.3 | 15.8 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 14.7 | 10.8 | 5.8 |
IX. | Unspecified (published 31 May) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 25.2 | 36.5 | 6.3 | 7.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 12.0 | 12.6 | 11.3 |
VIII. | Unspecified (published 29 May) | Promocija plus/RTL and Jutarnji List | 33.6 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 7.7 | - | - | - | - | 16.3 | 9.4 | 15.4 | 17.3 |
References
- ^ Blažević, Robert (2016): Upravna znanost, p. 324. ISBN 9789537083243