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2018 Russian presidential election

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Russian presidential election, 2018
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Opinion polls
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party United Russia CPRF
  Vladimir Zhirinovsky
Nominee Vladimir Zhirinovsky TBD
Party LDPR SR
Home state Moscow
Incumbent President

Vladimir Putin
United Russia



The 2018 Russian presidential election will take place on 18 March 2018.[1]

The first round will be held on Sunday 18 March 2018. If in the first round no candidate attains an absolute majority of the votes (more than half), then according to the law, a second round will take place exactly three weeks later, on 8 April 2018.[2]

The incumbent, President Vladimir Putin, is eligible to seek re-election for a second consecutive term, but has not yet confirmed that he will do this.[3][4]

Background

The President of Russia is directly elected for a term of six years, since being extended from four years in 2008 during Dmitry Medvedev's administration.[5] As written in Article 81 of the Constitution of the Russian Federation, a candidate for president must be at least 35 years and has to have permanently resided in Russia for the past 10 years, and cannot serve more than two terms consecutively.[6] Parties with representation in the State Duma are able to nominate a candidate to run for the office while candidates from officially registered parties that are not in parliament have to collect at least 100,000 signatures. Independent candidates have to collect at least 300,000 signatures with no more than 7,500 from each federal subject of Russia.[7]

Change of date

In an article for Vedomosti, Yevgeny Gontmakher suggested that the rescheduling of the 2016 parliamentary elections from December to September indicated the authorities' intention to bring the presidential elections forward to spring 2016.[8] Speaking on 19 June 2015 at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, the head of the Committee of Civil Initiatives and former Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin suggested the feasibility of holding early presidential elections in March 2016,[9] a view that was subsequently criticised by members of all parties represented in the State Duma. Kudrin himself ruled out the possibility of his participation in the presidential race.[10] Commenting on this proposal, Sergey Ivanov said that he does not see any reason to reschedule the elections to an earlier date.[11]

The 2016 parliamentary elections once again prompted talk of early elections. Gennady Zyuganov, a potential presidential candidate, said he was confident that the elections would be held in 2017.[12] According to Russian law, early elections can be held only if the President leaves office before the end of his (or her) term (in case of death, impeachment or voluntary resignation). However, in this case, the incumbent President Putin will not be able to participate in early elections.[13] At his annual press conference in December 2016, Vladimir Putin, answering a question about postponement of the elections, stated that it was: "Possible but impractical".[14] On 3 March 2017, senators Andrey Klishas and Anatoly Shirokov was submitted to the State Duma draft amendments to the electoral legislation. One of the amendments involves the transfer of elections from the second to the third Sunday in March, i.e. from 11 to 18 March 2018.[15] The bill passed through the State Duma and Federation Council without delay in May 2017 and was signed into law by Vladimir Putin on 1 June 2017.[16][17] This date is significant as it is the fourth anniversary of Crimea re-joining Russia (outside Russia this is referred to as Russia's annexation of Crimea).

Candidates

Free access

Political parties represented in the State Duma and/or the legislative bodies of not less than one-third of the federal subjects can nominate a candidate without collecting signatures. The following parties will be able to nominate candidates without collecting signatures: United Russia, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, A Just Russia, Rodina and Civic Platform.

Candidate name,
political party 		Political offices Details
Vladimir Zhirinovsky
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 		style="background-color:Template:Liberal Democratic Party of Russia/meta/color;" | Deputy of the State Duma
(1993–present) 		In June 2015, Vladimir Zhirinovsky, said he plans to participate in presidential elections, but in July of the same year, the politician said that the Liberal Democratic Party, perhaps "will pick a more efficient person."[18][19] Already in March 2016, he announced the names of those were likely to be nominated as a candidate from the Liberal Democratic Party. This included Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Igor Lebedev or deputies Mikhail Degtyarev, Yaroslav Nilov and Alexei Didenko.[20] On 28 October 2016, the official website of the Liberal Democratic Party released a statement announcing that the party will nominate Vladimir Zhirinovsky as a presidential candidate.[21][22]

Contested access

Individuals who belong to a party without any seats in the State Duma have to collect 105,000 signatures to become candidates, while those running as independents collect 315,000.

Candidate name,
political party 		Political offices Signatures Details
Members of political parties
Anatoly Batashev
The Greens 		Adviser to the Mayor of Balashikha
Signatures collected

0 / 105,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 105,000
 Batashev first announced his candidacy for Russian Ecological Party "The Greens" on 15 December 2016, and the beginning of his campaign.[23][24]
Maxim Suraikin
Communists of Russia 		File:Сурайкин Максим Александрович.JPG Chairman of the Central Committee of the Communists of Russia
(2012–present)
Signatures collected

0 / 105,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 105,000
 The Central Committee of the Communists of Russia party announced the nomination of its chairman Maxim Suraikin as its candidate for the election in February 2017. Suraikin stated that he aims to at least come in second place, and defeat Zyuganov's larger Communist Party of the Russian Federation.[25]
Grigory Yavlinsky
Yabloko 		style="background-color:Template:Yabloko/meta/color;" | Deputy of the
Legislative Assembly of St. Petersburg
(2011–2016)
Signatures collected

0 / 105,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 105,000
 Suggestions that Yavlinsky would run for president in 2018 were first made in 2013,[26] and he was announced as the candidate from the Yabloko party at a convention in February 2017, having been previously the party's candidate for the presidency in 1996 and 2000.[27] In the weeks following the announcement he began campaigning for the election early by travelling to multiple cities across the country.[28]
Self-nomination
Sergey Bizyukin File:TMNOs42uOgs.jpg style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | None
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 Bizyukin, a journalist and historian, announced his candidacy on 14 December 2016.[29]
Ustin Chachikhin style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | None
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 The writer Ustin Chachikhin announced his intent to run for president on his social media page in March 2017.[30]
Vyacheslav Maltsev style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | Deputy of the Saratov Oblast Legislature
(1994–2007)
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 Maltsev announced his candidacy in February 2017 as an independent, although an analyst noted in an article in Nezavisimaya Gazeta that his announcement to run for president was mostly symbolic.[31]
Alexei Navalny style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | Chairman of the Progress Party[a]
(2011–present)
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 Navalny announced his candidacy and the start of his campaign on 13 December 2016.[32] In February 2017, a district court in Kirov upheld his suspended sentence for embezzlement which could prevent him from running.[33] According to his chief of staff, he decided to begin his campaign early to raise support for his candidacy so that the government could not deny him access to the ballot and that Navalny will continue to campaign regardless of the ruling.[34] Throughout the early months of 2017 he traveled to many cities, where he set up campaign offices.[35]
Sergei Polonsky style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | None
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 The businessman's lawyer announced Polonsky's intention to run for president on 15 December 2016, during his trial for a fraud case.[36]
Alina Vitukhnovskaya [ru; uk] style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | None
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 A writer and the head of the unregistered "Republican Alternative" civil movement, announced her candidacy in July 2016.[37][38] In middle 1990s she had been falsely charged by a drug dealing case, because she denied cooperation with FSK/FSB (a successor of KGB).
Alex Lesley style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | None
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 Writer, public figure; announced his candidacy on 12 June 2017 (a public holiday in Russia)[39]
Andrey Bazhutin style="background-color:Template:Independent/meta/color;" | None
Signatures collected

0 / 315,000

Signatures accepted

0 / 315,000
 Leader of long-distance lorry driver protest movement, chairman of Association of Russian Freight Carriers[40]

Potential candidates

The following individuals are included in some polls or are referred to in the media as possible candidates, but have not yet announced that they will run.

United Russia

Communist Party

A Just Russia

Party of Growth

On 17 June 2017, the Party of Growth announced that it was looking at four potential candidates. At the same time the party did not rule out supporting Vladimir Putin's bid, in the event that he decides to run for office again.[59] The final decision on who, if anyone, will run is to be announced in autumn 2017.

  • Boris Titov Presidential Commissioner for Entrepreneurs’ Rights, Head of the Party of Growth[60][61]
    Boris Titov
    Presidential Commissioner for Entrepreneurs’ Rights, Head of the Party of Growth[60][61]
  • Oksana Dmitriyeva Deputy of the Legislative Assembly of St. Petersburg, Deputy Head of the Party of Growth
    Oksana Dmitriyeva
    Deputy of the Legislative Assembly of St. Petersburg, Deputy Head of the Party of Growth
  • Dmitry Potapenko Businessman
    Dmitry Potapenko
    Businessman
  • Dmitry Marinichev Internet Ombudsman
    Dmitry Marinichev
    Internet Ombudsman

Independent candidates

Campaigning

Anatoly Batashev's campaign

The public relations specialist and campaign adviser Anatoly Batashev declared his intent to run for president on 15 December 2016, as the nominee from the Russian Ecological Party "The Greens".[23][65] A couple of days later he stepped down from his position as adviser to the mayor of Balashikha, a city in the Moscow Oblast, to spend time travelling to different regions of Russia on his campaign. He has taken part in various political campaigns before.[66]

Alexei Navalny's campaign

Navalny campaign logo
Main article: Alexei Navalny presidential campaign, 2018

The Russian opposition figure and anti-corruption blogger Alexei Navalny announced his intention to run for the presidency on 13 December 2016.[67] In early 2017, he traveled to different cities across Russia to open campaign offices and meet with his supporters, despite his involvement in ongoing legal cases that may bar him from running. As noted in an article by Newsweek and by the former Russian presidential administration adviser Gleb Pavlovsky,[68] the American-style campaign by Navalny is unprecedented in modern Russia as most candidates do not start campaigning until a few months before the election. The primary focus of Navalny's campaign is combating corruption within the current government under Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev.[35] On March 2, Navalny published a documentary on YouTube titled He Is Not Dimon To You, detailing the corrupt dealings of Prime Minister Medvedev.[69][70] He then called for mass rallies to be held on March 26 to bring attention to this after the government made no response to the documentary, which over 100,000 people were said to have attended across the country.[71][72] The March 26 rally was the largest protest held in Russia since the protests in 2011.[73] Since then Navalny has called for another protest to be held on Russia Day, which is June 12.[74]

On his website, Navalny lists the main principles of his presidential program: combating government corruption, improving infrastructure and living standards in Russia, decentralizing power from Moscow, developing the economy instead of remaining in isolation from the West, and reforming the judicial system.[75] His more specific economic proposals include instituting a minimum wage,[76] lowering prices of apartments and reducing bureaucracy of home construction, making healthcare and education free, lowering taxes for many citizens, taxing the gains from privatization, decentralization of financial management and increase in local governance, increasing transparency in state-owned firms, implementing work visas for Central Asian migrants coming into the country for work, and increasing economic cooperation with western European states.[77]

In April 2017, it was reported that Navalny's campaign staff had collected more than 300,000 signatures from people across 40 regions of Russia electronically.[78] More than 75,000 people signed up to volunteer for his campaign and nearly $700,000 has been donated.[79] However, his eligibility was put into question by his five-year suspended sentence for accused embezzlement of timber from the company Kirovles, back when Navalny had been working as an aide to Governor Nikita Belykh of the Kirov Oblast. The Russian Supreme Court overturned his sentence in November 2016 after the European Court of Human Rights determined that Navalny's rights were violated and sent it back to a district court in the city of Kirov for review.[80] In February 2017, the district court upheld Navalny's suspended sentence.[81] The Constitution of Russia does not allow convicted criminals to run for office[citation needed], so it is believed his candidacy will be rejected. Navalny promised to appeal the result to the ECHR and said he will continue campaigning,[82] while in early May the deputy head of the Russian Central Election Commission commented that he would not be allowed to run unless the sentence is overturned.[83] The cases are widely believed to be fabricated in retaliation for his political activity.[citation needed] The Memorial Human Rights Center recognized Navalny as a political prisoner.[84]

Grigory Yavlinsky's campaign

The economist Grigory Yavlinsky announced his presidential bid in February 2017 as the candidate for the liberal party Yabloko, though suggestions that he would run were first voiced in 2013 after he was barred from taking part in the 2012 election.[26] His policies mainly focus on improving the economic situation through government reforms and stopping involvement in conflicts.[85] He was nominated by the party leader, Emilia Slabunova, who stressed the need to unite all "democratic forces" behind one candidate and noted his political experience, and also received an endorsement from opposition politician Vladimir Ryzhkov. Yavlinsky had previously run in the 1996 and 2000 presidential elections, getting 7.4% of the vote in the former.[27] He spoke at a party forum announcing the start of the campaign in February. Among the other proposals he made were to give out several acres of free land to families so they can build home there and develop it, which he said would house 15 million families,[86] and to turn the Russian Armed Forces into an all-professional military, abolishing conscription.[87]

In March 2017, Yavlinsky stated that he will be visiting several major cities in fifteen different regions across the country to raise support. He used Alexei Navalny's recent tour of different cities as an example, refusing to use the traditional model of campaigning a few months before the election. Since he is unable to visit more locations, Slabunova, the leader of Yabloko, and Nikolai Rybakov, his chief of staff, will go to other cities to campaign as well.[28]

Vladimir Zhirinovsky's campaign

Vladimir Zhirinovsky announced participation in the presidential elections on 28 October 2016 as the candidate for the Liberal Democratic Party. In the event of his election, Zhirinovsky promised to amend the Constitution of Russia and to radically change the polity of the country. In particular, Vladimir Zhirinovsky promised to abolish the Federal structure of Russia and to return to the Governorates, rename the post of "President of Russia" to the "Supreme Ruler of Russia" and to restore the borders of Russia to the borders of the USSR as of 1985.[21]

In March 2017, Zhirinovsky promised to declare a General Amnesty, if elected President.[88]

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2018

Notes

  1. ^ The Progress Party is not officially registered so Navalny has to run as an independent candidate.

References

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  29. ^ Рязанец объявил об участии в президентских выборах | Ryazanite declared to take part in the presidential election. Ryazan city website. Published 14 December 2016. Retrieved 7 May 2017. Template:Ru icon
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  31. ^ Новая оппозиция делит свои 14% | New opposition divides its 14%. Nezavisimaya Gazeta. Published 9 February 2017. Retrieved 7 May 2017. Template:Ru icon
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  34. ^ Leonid Volkov's statement — via Facebook. Posted 3 May 2017. Retrieved 3 May 2017.
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  41. ^ Медведев: конкуренция на выборах-2018 между мной и Путиным невозможна
  42. ^ Матвиенко – будущий президент России?
  43. ^ a b c d Кто, если не мистер Путин?
  44. ^ Вячеслав Володин — новый спикер Госдумы. Главное
  45. ^ a b c d Медведев, Рогозин, Шойгу: гонка преемников началась?
  46. ^ a b c d Делят шкуру "неубитого Медведева"
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  55. ^ a b c d e СМИ: за пост президента России сможет побороться женщинаk
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  85. ^ Yavlinsky's campaign for President of Russia picks up. Yabloko website. Published 23 February 2017. Retrieved 2 May 2017.
  86. ^ Yavlinsky spoke about his election program for the elections-2018. Russian Reality. Published 21 March 2017. Retrieved 3 May 2017.
  87. ^ Bolgova, Ekaterina (4 February 2017). Партия «Яблоко» объявила о старте предвыборной кампании Явлинского | Yabloko Party announced the start of Yavlinsky's election campaign. Komsomolskaya Pravda. Retrieved 2 May 2017. Template:Ru icon.
  88. ^ Жириновский обещает всеобщую амнистию в случае победы на выборах президента
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