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2019 Romanian presidential election

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2019 Romanian presidential election

← 2014 10 November 2019 2024 →
TurnoutTBA
 
Nominee Klaus Iohannis Viorica Dăncilă Dan Barna
Party Independent PSD USR
Alliance PNLFDGR None USRPLUS

 
Nominee Mircea Diaconu Theodor Paleologu Kelemen Hunor
Party Independent PMP UDMR
Alliance ALDEPRO None None

President before election

Klaus Iohannis
PNL

Elected President

TBD
TBD

Presidential elections will be held in Romania on 10 November 2019, with a possible second round on 24 November 2019. President Klaus Iohannis who was elected in 2014, is eligible for re-election.

Background

Klaus Iohannis won the last presidential election in 2014 and was sworn in for his first term on 21 December 2014. According to the Article 83 of the Constitution of Romania, the "term of office of the President of Romania is five years, being exercised from the date the oath was taken,"[1] but only for up to two terms. In June 2018, incumbent president Iohannis publicly announced his intention of running for a second term as state president.[2] The electoral calendar for the forthcoming presidential election will be set by the Romanian Government.

Candidates

National Liberal Party

President Klaus Iohannis is eligible for re-election. His candidacy in the 2014 elections was supported by the National Liberal Party (PNL), whose President he was at that time. Upon taking office as president, Iohannis suspended his PNL membership, as the Constitution does not allow the president to be a formal member of a political party during his term. Ludovic Orban, the president of the PNL, reconfirmed the party's support for Iohannis after the elections.[3] On 11 March 2018, the National Council of PNL formally endorsed Klaus Iohannis for a new term as president.[4]

Social Democratic Party

Liviu Pleșoianu, a member of the Chamber of Deputies for Bucharest since 2016 for the Social Democratic Party (PSD), declared his candidacy on 23 July 2017.[5] Liviu Dragnea, President of the Chamber of Deputies since 2016,[6][7] and Gabriela Firea, Mayor of Bucharest since 2016, are thought to be other potential PSD candidates.[8] However, both have refuted these media speculations, Firea stating she wants to finish her term as mayor, while Liviu Dragnea rejected the idea and stated he and the PSD concentrate on the governing program and the parliamentary agenda, as Dragnea is President of the Chamber of Deputies. After being convicted on corruption charges on 27 May 2019, Dragnea became ineligible to run for president.[9]

Save Romania Union and PLUS Alliance

Nicușor Dan, a former President of the Save Romania Union (USR), the third largest political party in the country, believes that the party should run its own candidate for the elections.[10] Dan Barna, the new President of the USR, stated in an interview with Adevărul that the USR would have a presidential candidate, decided by a vote within the party. Barna also said that "Dacian Cioloș may be an option, like any well-known person".[11]

Former Minister of Labor in Cioloș Government, Dragoș Pîslaru, who is among the founders of the new party of former Prime Minister, the PLUS+, said the party is ready for a possible candidacy for the presidency of leader Dacian Cioloș.[12] He also stressed that a candidacy of President Iohannis for a new term would not exclude a candidacy of Dacian Cioloș.[12] On 8 June 2018, Cioloș said he will not run against Klaus Iohannis.[13] However he subsequently stated that he would assume any responsibility that his recently founded political party (PLUS+) would bestow upon him, not excluding the presidency.[14]

In the aftermath of the results of the 2019 European Parliament elections, USR and PLUS decided to keep their alliance for the presidential elections, and nominated Dan Barna as joint candidate.

Other parties

Many voices inside ALDE suggested that Călin Popescu Tăriceanu, the party leader and President of the Senate, should be the proposal of the PSD–ALDE coalition for the upcoming election and asked for PSD support in this regard.[15] Tăriceanu himself considered that the best option for the presidential election is a PSD–ALDE joint candidacy.[16] On 24 July 2019, ALDE announced that Tăriceanu would run for president on its ticket.[17]

In a press conference on 26 October 2017, Victor Ponta, a former Prime Minister and runner-up in the 2014 elections, claimed that his newly established party, Pro Romania, would nominate a candidate in the elections, but denied that he would run for the presidency again.[18]

On 25 August 2019 Theodor Paleologu was designated candidate of the People's Movement Party.[19]

On 7 July 2019 Ramona Ioana Bruynseels launched her candidacy.[20] The announcement was met with surprise and intrigue from political commentators.[21] Bruynseels has set her platform on taking on the broken political system in Romania that she argues is working against the interests of citizens.[22] Bruynseels is a centrist politician and the candidate of the Humanist Power Party. The party is controlled from behind the scenes by Romanian mogul and Securitate collaborator Dan Voiculescu.[23]

Candidates in the polls

Name Born Public Administration Experience Affiliation and endorsements Alma mater and profession Candidacy
Announcement dates

Klaus Iohannis
13 June 1959
(age 65)
Sibiu, Sibiu County
President of Romania (2014–present)
Mayor of Sibiu (2000-2014)
Latest poll: 45.3% (1st place)
Former presidential election:
2014: 30.37% (2nd place, 1st round), 54.43% (winner, 2nd round)
Affiliation: PNL
(membership suspended while being President of Romania)
Endorsed by: FDGR

Party result in May 2019 European elections: 27.00% (1st place)
Faculty of Physics, Babeș-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca (1983)

physics teacher
Intention: 11 March 2018[24]
Official: 23 June 2018[25]
BEC filing: 20 September 2019[26]
BEC validation: 22 September 2019[27]

Mircea Diaconu
24 December 1949
(age 74)
Vlădești, Argeș County
MEP (2014-2019)
Minister of Culture (2012)
Senator (2008–2012)
Latest poll: 16.6% (2nd place)
Affiliation: "One Man" Alliance
(Alliance members: Pro Romania, ALDE)
Alliance members cumulative results in May 2019 European elections: 10.55% (a virtual 4th place);
Pro Romania=6.44% (4th place) + ALDE=4.11% (7th place)
Caragiale Academy of Theatrical Arts and Cinematography, Bucharest (1971)

actor
Intention: 25 August 2019[28]
Official: 27 August 2019[29]
BEC filing: 21 September 2019[30]
BEC validation: 22 September 2019[31]

Dan Barna
10 July 1975
(age 49)
Sibiu, Sibiu County
Deputy (2016–present)

Latest poll: 14.2% (3rd place)
Affiliation: USR-PLUS Alliance
(Alliance members: USR and PLUS)
Alliance result in May 2019 European elections: 22.36% (3rd place)
Faculty of Law, University of Bucharest (1998)

lawyer
Intention: 1 July 2019[32]
Official: 13 July 2019[33]
BEC filing: 20 September 2019[34]
BEC validation: 22 September 2019[35]

Viorica Dăncilă
16 December 1963
(age 60)
Roșiorii de Vede, Teleorman County
Prime Minister of Romania (2018–present)
MEP (2009-2018)

Latest poll: 12.4% (4th place)
Affiliation: PSD

Party result in May 2019 European elections: 22.50% (4th place)
Faculty of Drilling of Wells and Exploitation of Hydrocarbon Deposits, Petroleum and Gas University, Ploiești (1988)

oil engineer, petroleum technology teacher[36]
Intention: 11 July 2019[37]
Official: 23 July 2019[38]
BEC filing: 19 September 2019[39]
BEC validation: 20 September 2019[40]

Theodor Paleologu
15 July 1973
(age 51)
Bucharest
Deputy (2008–2016)
Minister of Culture (2008-2009)
Ambassador to Denmark and Iceland (2005-2008)

Latest poll: 7.7% (5th place)
Affiliation: PMP

Party result in May 2019 European elections: 5.67% (5th place)
Faculty of Philosophy, University of Paris 1 Pantheon-Sorbonne (1998)

philosophy and political science professor
Intention: 17 July 2019[41]
Official: 25 August 2019[42]
BEC filing: 20 September 2019[43]
BEC validation: 20 September 2019[44]

Kelemen Hunor
18 October 1967
(age 56)
Cârța, Harghita County
Deputy (2000–present)
Minister of Culture (2009-2012, 2014)
Secretary of State with the Minister of Culture (1997-2000)

Latest poll: 3.8% (6th place)
Former presidential elections:
2014: 3.47% (8th place)
2009: 3.83% (5th place)
Affiliation: UDMR

Organization result in May 2019 European elections: 5.26% (6th place)
University of Agricultural Sciences and Veterinary Medicine of Cluj-Napoca (1993),
Faculty of Philosophy, Babeş-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca (1998)

veterinarian,
philosophy teacher
Intention: 23 February 2019[45]
Official: 30 August 2019[46]
BEC filing: 21 September 2019[47]
BEC validation: 22 September 2019[48]

Other candidates

Name Born Public Administration Experience Affiliation and endorsements Alma mater and profession Candidacy
Announcement dates

Sebastian Popescu
12 February 1982
(age 42)
Balș, Olt County
Affiliation: New Romania Party

Party rejected by BEC from competing in May 2019 European elections
Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Banat University of Agricultural Sciences and Veterinary Medicine, Timișoara (2006)

veterinarian
Intention: 17 June 2018
Official: 17 June 2018[49]
BEC filing: 22 September 2019[50]
BEC validation: 24 September 2019[51]

Bogdan Stanoevici
22 January 1958
(age 66)
Bucharest
State Secretary with the Minister for Relations with Abroad Romanians (2014) Affiliation: none Caragiale Academy of Theatrical Arts and Cinematography, Bucharest (1982)

actor
Intention: 29 March 2019[52]
Official: 3 May 2019[53]
BEC filing: 22 September 2019[54]
BEC validation: 24 September 2019[55]

Ninel Peia
7 October 1969
(age 54)
Brastavățu, Olt County
Deputy (2012-2016) Affiliation: Romanian Nationhood Party

Party rejected by BEC from competing in May 2019 European elections
Faculty of Law at a university in Bucharest (2000)

jurist
Intention: 4 June 2019
Official: 4 June 2019[56]
BEC filing: 22 September 2019[57]
BEC validation: 24 September 2019[58]
File:Ramona Ioana.jpg
Ramona Bruynseels
14 February 1980
(age 44)
Cluj-Napoca, Cluj County
State Secretary with the General Secretariat of the Government of Romania (2017–2018) Affiliation: Humanist Power Party

Party did not file for competing in May 2019 European elections
Faculty of Law, Dimitrie Cantemir Christian University, Cluj-Napoca (2002)

jurist
Intention: 8 June 2019
Official: 8 June 2019[59]
BEC filing: 22 September 2019[60]
BEC validation: 24 September 2019[61]

Viorel Cataramă
31 January 1955
(age 69)
Bacău, Bacău County
Senator (1996-2000)
State Secretary with the Ministry of Commerce and Tourism (1991-1992)
Affiliation: Liberal Right Party

Party rejected by BEC from competing in May 2019 European elections
Faculty of Commerce, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest (1980)

economist
Intention: 10 June 2019[62]
Official: 31 August 2019[63]
BEC filing: 18 September 2019[64]
BEC rejection: 20 September 2019[65]
CCR appeal: 21 September 2019[66]
CCR approval: 22 September 2019[67][68]

John Ion Banu
8 July 1960
(age 64)
Câmpulung, Argeș County
Affiliation: Romanian Nation Party
Party did not file for competing in May 2019 European elections
Politehnica University of Bucharest

mechanical engineer
Intention: 13 June 2019
Official: 13 June 2019[69]
BEC filing: 22 September 2019[70]
BEC validation: 24 September 2019[71]

Alexandru Cumpănașu
Caracal, Olt County Affiliation: none "Ioniță Asan" high-school, Caracal (2000)

civic activist
Intention: 29 August 2019[72]
Official: 2 September 2019[73]
BEC filing: 22 September 2019[74]
BEC validation: 24 September 2019[75]

Cătălin Ivan
23 December 1978
(age 45)
Galați, Galați County
MEP (2009-2019)
Iași County Counselor (2005-2009)
Affiliation: Alternate for National Dignity

Prodemo (party's former name)'s result in May 2019 European elections: 0.59% (12th place)
Faculty of Economics and Business Management, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Iași (2003)

economist
Intention: 17 September 2019
Official: 17 September 2019[76]
BEC filing: 22 September 2019[77]
BEC validation: 24 September 2019[78]

Candidates who dropped out

Declined to be candidates

These individuals have been the subject of speculation, but have publicly denied or recanted interest in running for president.

Timeline

Intent
Campaign before
BEC filing
After
BEC filing
During
CCR appeal
After
BEC validation
Withdrawn
candidate
European
elections
BEC filing
deadline
Electoral
campaign
official start
First
round
Second
round

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Opinion polls

After the deadline for submitting candidacies (September 22)

First round

Poll source Date(s) Sample size
Iohannis
Diaconu
Barna
Dăncilă
Paleologu
Kelemen
Others
IMAS 9 September–28 September 2019 1,010 45.3% 16.6% 14.2% 12.4% 7.7% 3.8% -

Second round

Before the deadline for submitting candidacies (September 22)

First round

2019
Poll source Date(s) Sample size Iohannis Dăncilă Diaconu Barna Paleologu Kelemen Ponta Tăriceanu Tomac Cioloș Dragnea Firea Others Undecided
Socio-Data 16–20 September 2019 1,070 40% 19% 16% 15% 5% 3% 2%
Socio-Data 9–13 September 2019 1,070 46% 17% 14% 11% 4% 2% 6%
Socio-Data 2–6 September 2019 1,070 49% 14% 14% 12% 6% 3% 2%
Socio-Data 26–30 August 2019 1,070 43% 16% 18% 15% 6% 1% 3%
IMAS 5 August–28 August 2019 1,010 44.6% 8.4% 17.3% 2.4% 14.0% 12.7% 0.6% -
IMAS 15 July–2 August 2019 1,010 41.7% 7.5% 9.4% 2.8% 12.9% 13.8% 1.5% 10.4% -
IMAS 7–26 June 2019 1,010 42.4% 6.7% 5.3% 1.8% 14.1% 15.5% 1.6% 12.7% -
IMAS 2–20 May 2019 1,010 43.5% 1.9% 1.2% 11.6% 19.8% 2.1% 13% 7% - 14.7%
IMAS 12–15 April 2019 1,010 42.7% 2.5% 1.2% 14.5% 18.3% 2.2% 10% 8.7% - -
IMAS 18 March–3 April 2019 1,010 44.3% 1.7% 1.1% 12.4% 16.1% 2.2% 11.7% 8% - -
CURS 12–25 March 2019 1,067 36% - 4% - 23% 3% 9% 15% - -
IMAS 1–21 February 2019 1,010 41.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0% 18.0% 1.9% 11.7% 6.0% 3% 15.1%
CURS 21 January–6 February 2019 1,067 41% 4% - - 21% - 9% 17% 8% 34%
IMAS 11–30 January 2019 1,011 34.4% 1.9% 0.8% 13.2% 15.4% 1.5% 10.9% 6% 7.7% 8.2%
PNL 25,000 30% - 3% 12% 16% - 10% - 17% 12%
2018
Poll source Date(s) Sample size Iohannis Tăriceanu Ponta Cioloș Dragnea Barna Tomac Kelemen Others Undecided
IMAS 4–20 December 2018 1,010 34.9% 12.9% 12.7% 9.2% 5.3% 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 3.5% 16.8%
CURS 24 November–9 December 2018 1,067 39% 25% - 11% 12% 3% - 2% 8% 32%
CURS 27 April–8 May 2018 1,067 39% 22% - 4% 22% - 2% 3% 8% 39%
2017
Poll source Date(s) Sample size Iohannis Firea Tăriceanu Diaconescu Hunor Barna Mioc Undecided
CURS Nov 2017 1,067 37% 37% 13% 5% 4% 3% 1% 2%

Second round

Poll source Date(s) Sample size Firea Iohannis Undecided None Margin of error
Avangarde 3–12 May 2017 800 44% 40% 6% 10% ±3.47%

Polling graphic evolution

The following graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators since December 2018.

Polling aggregation

The following graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each present candidate, including former party candidates and alliance candidates since December 2018. Viorica Dăncilă includes Liviu Dragnea's previous evolution, Theodor Paleologu includes Eugen Tomac's previous evolution, Dan Barna's evolution is aggregated with Dacian Cioloș' and Mircea Diaconu's evolution is aggregated with Victor Ponta's and Călin Popescu-Tăriceanu's added evolution.

References

  1. ^ Constitution of Romania, Article 83
  2. ^ Digi24 (23 June 2018). "Klaus Iohannis va candida pentru un nou mandat de președinte: "Sunt ferm hotărât"". www.digi24.ro. Retrieved 23 June 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  3. ^ Niculescu, Anghel. "Ludovic Orban a anunţat pe cine va susţine PNL la alegerile prezidenţiale din 2019! „Mă voi bate cu toată forţa mea să obţinem un nou mandat pentru Klaus Iohannis"". Express de Banat (in Romanian). Retrieved 4 August 2017.
  4. ^ Sebastian Zachmann (11 March 2018). "Decizie PNL. Liberalii îl susţin pe Klaus Iohannis pentru un nou mandat de preşedinte. Ludovic Orban - premierul PNL". Adevărul (in Romanian).
  5. ^ "Deputat PSD: Candidez la prezidențialele din 2019 (Video)". Cotidianul (in Romanian). Retrieved 4 August 2017.
  6. ^ "Olguța Vasilescu: Dragnea ar putea fi preşedinte". Digi24 (in Romanian). Retrieved 4 August 2017.
  7. ^ Pușcaș, Florin. "Dragnea nu respinge ideea unei candidaturi la prezidenţiale: 'Aş fi un preşedinte român'". stiripesurse (in Romanian). Retrieved 4 August 2017.
  8. ^ Leca, Iulian. "Firea, viitorul președinte?". Ziare.com (in Romanian). Retrieved 4 August 2017.
  9. ^ "Liviu Dragnea, Romania's most powerful politician, sentenced to jail for corruption". Euronews. 27 May 2019.
  10. ^ Andrei Marian (August 9, 2017). "Posibil CANDIDAT surpriză la ALEGERILE din 2019". Evenimentul zilei (in Romanian).
  11. ^ Alina Neagu (13 February 2018). "Dan Barna: USR va avea candidat la prezidențiale, decis de un referendum în cadrul partidului. Dacian Cioloș poate fi o variantă". HotNews.
  12. ^ a b "Și dacă ar candida și Cioloș, și Iohannis? Ce spune Dragoș Pîslaru, susținător al fostului premier". Digi 24 (in Romanian). 28 May 2018.
  13. ^ Radu Eremia (8 June 2018). "Cioloș: Nu voi candida împotriva lui Iohannis la prezidențiale". Adevărul (in Romanian).
  14. ^ https://www.digi24.ro/stiri/actualitate/politica/ce-spune-ciolos-despre-o-eventuala-candidatura-la-prezidentiale-969855
  15. ^ "Tăriceanu se încălzește pentru prezidențiale. ALDE analizează sondaje pentru Cotroceni". Antena 3 (in Romanian). 10 April 2018.
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  17. ^ "Tăriceanu, desemnat candidatul ALDE la prezidențiale: În acest moment în PSD bântuie un sentiment defetist, și anume își propun mult prea puțin. Candidatura Vioricăi Dăncilă, o dezamăgire". Hotnews (in Romanian). 24 July 2019. Retrieved 24 July 2019.
  18. ^ Rodica Mitu (26 October 2017). "Alegeri prezidenţiale 2019. Ponta: Pro România va avea un candidat". DC News (in Romanian).
  19. ^ "Paleologu: După președintele jucător și președintele spectator, e nevoie de un președinte învățător ["Paleologu: After the player-president and the spectator-president, a teacher-president is needed"]" (in Romanian). 25 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  20. ^ "Ramona Ioana Bruynseels și-a lansat oficial candidatura la prezidențiale". Libertatea (in Romanian). 2019-07-07. Retrieved 2019-08-09.
  21. ^ "Surpriză la prezidenţiale: Ramona Ioana :: Jurnal de Dambovita". www.jurnaldedambovita.ro. Retrieved 2019-08-09.
  22. ^ "Viziunea mea". Ramona Presedinte (in Romanian). Retrieved 2019-08-09.
  23. ^ "Ramona Ioana Bruynseels, candidata partidului controlat de Voiculescu". Adevărul.
  24. ^ https://www.libertatea.ro/stiri/klaus-iohannis-este-candidatul-pnl-la-presedintie-pentru-alegerile-din-2019-2173855
  25. ^ http://www.ziare.com/klaus-johannis/presedinte/iohannis-isi-anunta-candidatura-pentru-un-nou-mandat-la-cotroceni-1518605
  26. ^ https://www.realitatea.net/klaus-iohannis-alegeri-prezidentiale-2019_2221289.html
  27. ^ http://prezidentiale2019.bec.ro/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/dec_cont_13.pdf
  28. ^ https://romania.europalibera.org/a/actorul-mircea-diaconu-prezidentiale/30127790.html
  29. ^ https://www.digi24.ro/stiri/actualitate/politica/alegeri-prezidentiale-2019/ce-castiga-alde-si-pro-romania-pentru-sustinerea-lui-mircea-diaconu-la-prezidentiale-poate-nobletea-lor-generozitate-1178797
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  33. ^ https://www.usr.ro/2019/07/13/congres-usr-dan-barna-candidatul-usr-la-alegerile-prezidentiale/
  34. ^ https://www.mediafax.ro/politic/dan-barna-il-ataca-pe-iohannis-la-depunerea-candidaturii-un-pompier-pentru-momentele-cand-casa-a-luat-foc-daca-era-gospodar-nu-luam-foc-cate-semnaturi-a-strans-liderul-usr-video-18406830
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  36. ^ "Am fost la liceul din Videle unde a predat Viorica Dăncilă, ca să aflu cum era înainte de Dragnea ["I went to the high school in Videle where Viorica Dăncilă taught, to find out how she was before the Dragnea era"]" (in Romanian). Vice.com. 10 May 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2019.
  37. ^ https://www.hotnews.ro/stiri-politic-23252312-primele-rezultate-din-sondajele-psd-razgandit-viorica-dancila-este-dispusa-candideze-prezidentiale.htm
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  42. ^ https://www.digi24.ro/stiri/actualitate/politica/theodor-paleologu-desemnat-candidatul-pmp-la-prezidentiale-vor-fi-cursuri-pro-bono-la-scara-nationala-1178055
  43. ^ https://www.g4media.ro/theodor-paleologu-si-a-depus-candidatura-la-bec.html
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