732
FXUS62 KMLB 180537
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
137 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 134 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

VFR conditions prevailing. Light winds overnight becoming
southeasterly into Thursday afternoon, as the sea breeze develops
and moves inland. Scattered showers and storms are forecast,
beginning along the Treasure Coast by around 16Z. Activity should
progress inland into the afternoon, reaching inland terminals by
around 20Z. Models suggest a slower start to showers and storms at
DAB, not until around 21Z. Tempos have been included for brief
CIG/VIS reductions. Winds will become light once again towards
sunset and showers and storms are forecast to diminish into the
evening hours.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1005 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Mid and high level clouds remain over the northern half of the
area tonight but are in the process of dissipating, as
temperatures slowly fall into the upper 70s to low 80s. No major
changes were made to the previous forecast, though areas along the
Treasure Coast may need to be watched for morning fog. Some hi-res
guidance is hinting at reduced visibility near and west of Vero
Beach/Fort Pierce for a few hours prior to sunrise, but
confidence remains too low to include in the forecast at this
time. Lows will range from the low to mid 70s in most places,
staying closer to the 80 degree mark along the immediate coast.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 226 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Through Sunday...Persistent pattern with low-level ridging across
the local waters, potentially lifting northward slowly over the
weekend. This will continue to produce generally favorable boating
conditions. Wind direction generally S/SW at night/morning,
backing SERLY each day with sea breeze formation thru at least
Fri, then staying more uniformly S/SE for much of the rest of the
extended. Wind speeds AOB 15 kts thru the period. Seas mainly 2-3
ft, occasionally 4 ft well offshore; and locally higher invof
lightning storms. ISOLD to SCT showers/storms will continue to
favor the evening and overnight-early morning hour periods. A
greater chance for shower and storm development during the daytime
hours will occur from Fri through Sun. Any storms that develop
may be capable of producing cloud-to-water lightning strikes,
gusty winds, and heavy downpours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  94  76  93  77 /  40  20  50  10
MCO  96  77  95  77 /  50  30  60  10
MLB  91  77  91  78 /  50  10  50  20
VRB  92  76  93  77 /  50  10  40  10
LEE  95  78  95  78 /  50  40  60  20
SFB  95  77  95  77 /  50  20  60  20
ORL  96  78  95  78 /  50  30  60  20
FPR  91  76  93  77 /  50  10  40  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Schaper
AVIATION...Leahy