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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 29-31
3,000RV
July 29-31
3,000RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

6%
42%
TrumpHarris+5
July 27-30
1,434RV
July 27-30
1,434RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

3%

West

0%

Stein

0%
44%
TrumpHarris+2
July 27-30
1,123RV
July 27-30
1,123RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4
July 29
1,750LV
July 29
1,750LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

5%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
43%
TrumpHarris+2
July 26-29
1,035LV
July 26-29
1,035LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
July 26-29
1,035LV
July 26-29
1,035LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%
47%
TrumpTrump+1
July 24-29
1,000LV
July 24-29
1,000LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

10%
46%
TrumpTrump+1
July 24-29
1,000LV
July 24-29
1,000LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+3
July 23-29
1,000LV
July 23-29
1,000LV
Harris
41%
Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

8%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
42%
TrumpTrump+1
July 23-29
1,000LV
July 23-29
1,000LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
July 26-28
11,538RV
July 26-28
11,538RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+1
July 26-28
786LV
July 26-28
786LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Stein

1%
41%
TrumpHarris+7
July 26-28
876RV
July 26-28
876RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+1
July 26-28
2,196RV
July 26-28
2,196RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

1%

West

1%
47%
TrumpTrump+4
July 26-28
2,196RV
July 26-28
2,196RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

10%
47%
TrumpTrump+3
July 26-28
2,196RV
July 26-28
2,196RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+4
July 26-28
2,919LV
July 26-28
2,919LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

6%

West

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpTrump+1
July 26-28
3,097RV
July 26-28
3,097RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

6%

West

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+1
July 26-28
2,919LV
July 26-28
2,919LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

6%
46%
TrumpTrump+1
July 26-28
3,097RV
July 26-28
3,097RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

6%
46%
TrumpTrump+1
July 26-28
2,919LV
July 26-28
2,919LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
July 26-28
3,097RV
July 26-28
3,097RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+1
July 26-28
2,919LV
July 26-28
2,919LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1
July 26-28
3,097RV
July 26-28
3,097RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1
July 26-27
952LV
July 26-27
952LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%
43%
TrumpHarris+1
July 26-27
997RV
July 26-27
997RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

9%
42%
TrumpHarris+1
July 26-27
952LV
July 26-27
952LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
July 26-27
997RV
July 26-27
997RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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