Prognostic value of blood interleukin-6 in the prediction of functional outcome after stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis

J Neuroimmunol. 2014 Sep 15;274(1-2):215-24. doi: 10.1016/j.jneuroim.2014.07.015. Epub 2014 Jul 24.

Abstract

We aimed to quantify the association of blood interleukin-6 (IL-6) concentrations with poor outcome after stroke and its added predictive value over clinical information. Meta-analysis of 24 studies confirmed this association with a weighted mean difference of 3.443 (1.592-5.294) pg/mL, despite high heterogeneity and publication bias. Individual participant data including 4112 stroke patients showed standardized IL-6 levels in the 4th quartile were independently associated with poor outcome (OR=2.346 (1.814-3.033), p<0.0001). However, the additional predictive value of IL-6 was moderate (IDI=1.5%, NRI=5.35%). Overall these results indicate an unlikely translation of IL-6 into clinical practice for this purpose.

Keywords: Individual participant data analysis; Interleukin-6; Meta-analysis; Outcome; Post-stroke infection; Stroke.

Publication types

  • Meta-Analysis
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Review
  • Systematic Review

MeSH terms

  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Humans
  • Interleukin-6 / blood
  • Interleukin-6 / immunology*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Recovery of Function / immunology*
  • Stroke / diagnosis
  • Stroke / immunology*
  • Stroke / metabolism

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • IL6 protein, human
  • Interleukin-6