Utility of concentration-effect modeling and simulation in a thorough QT study of losmapimod

J Clin Pharmacol. 2015 Jun;55(6):661-70. doi: 10.1002/jcph.465. Epub 2015 Feb 13.

Abstract

A thorough QT study was conducted in healthy volunteers with losmapimod. Four treatment regimens were included: a therapeutic dose (7.5 mg BID for 5 days), a supratherapeutic dose (20 mg QD for 5 days), a positive control (400 mg moxifloxacin single dose on Day 5), and placebo for 5 days. Baseline and on treatment ECGs were measured on Day 1 (3 timepoints predose) and Day 5, respectively. The primary statistical analysis failed to demonstrate a lack of effect of losmapimod on the QT interval leading to a positive finding. However, simulations using the concentration-effect model established for QTcF vs. losmapimod concentration at concentrations 4× the maximum concentration of the therapeutic dose did not exceed the regulatory thresholds of concern of 5 milliseconds for the mean (4.57 milliseconds) and 10 milliseconds for the upper bound of the 90%CI (90%CI 2.88, 6.10). Modeling demonstrated that the discrepant results may have been due to a baseline shift after repeat dosing and baseline differences between the treatments. Considering the results of the concentration-effect modeling, previous losmapimod data, and the high false-positive rate associated with the ICH E14 statistical analysis, the statistical analysis was likely a false-positive.

Keywords: QT; concentration-effect; losmapimod; modeling and simulation.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Cross-Over Studies
  • Cyclopropanes / administration & dosage
  • Cyclopropanes / pharmacology*
  • Dose-Response Relationship, Drug
  • Double-Blind Method
  • Electrocardiography*
  • Female
  • Fluoroquinolones / administration & dosage
  • Healthy Volunteers
  • Heart Rate / drug effects*
  • Humans
  • Long QT Syndrome / chemically induced*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Biological
  • Moxifloxacin
  • Protein Kinase Inhibitors / administration & dosage
  • Protein Kinase Inhibitors / pharmacology*
  • Pyridines / administration & dosage
  • Pyridines / pharmacology*
  • Topoisomerase II Inhibitors / administration & dosage
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • 6-(5-((cyclopropylamino)carbonyl)-3-fluoro-2-methylphenyl)-N-(2,2-dimethylprpyl)-3-pyridinecarboxamide
  • Cyclopropanes
  • Fluoroquinolones
  • Protein Kinase Inhibitors
  • Pyridines
  • Topoisomerase II Inhibitors
  • Moxifloxacin