Radiomic nomogram for prediction of axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer

Objective: To develop a radiomic nomogram for preoperative prediction of axillary lymph node (LN) metastasis in breast cancer patients.

Methods: Preoperative magnetic resonance imaging data from 411 breast cancer patients was studied. Patients were assigned to either a training cohort (n = 279) or a validation cohort (n = 132). Eight hundred eight radiomic features were extracted from the first phase of T1-DCE images. A support vector machine was used to develop a radiomic signature, and logistic regression was used to develop a nomogram.

Results: The radiomic signature based on 12 LN status-related features was constructed to predict LN metastasis, its prediction ability was moderate, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76 and 0.78 in training and validation cohorts, respectively. Based on a radiomic signature and clinical features, a nomogram was developed and showed excellent predictive ability for LN metastasis (AUC 0.84 and 0.87 in training and validation sets, respectively). Another radiomic signature was constructed to distinguish the number of metastatic LNs (less than 2 positive nodes/more than 2 positive nodes), which also showed moderate performance (AUC 0.79).

Conclusions: We developed a nomogram and a radiomic signature that can be used to identify LN metastasis and distinguish the number of metastatic LNs (less than 2 positive nodes/more than 2 positive nodes). Both nomogram and radiomic signature can be used as tools to assist clinicians in assessing LN metastasis in breast cancer patients.

Key points: • ALNM is an important factor affecting breast cancer patients' treatment and prognosis. • Traditional imaging examinations have limited value for evaluating axillary LNs status. • We developed a radiomic nomogram based on MR imagings to predict LN metastasis.